Irán
Irán- Israel
Iran Takes Off the Gloves (Lt. Col. (ret.) Michael Segall, March 28, 2012)
2011
Continuing Power Struggles (Mehdi Khalaji, April 20, 2011) - Siguen las disputas cada vez más públicas entre el Líder Supremo Jamenei y el Presidente Ahmadineyad, mientras el primero afirma su derecho constitucional para vetar al segundo.
Washington and the UAE Discuss Iran (Simon Henderson, April 25, 2011
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Lucha Ahmadineyad-Jamenei
Ya son varios quienes vienen hablando de disputas entre Ahmadineyad y Jamenei: Possible rift appearing in Iranian leadership (JPost, April 29, 2011). Más sobre este tema (May 5, 2011)
Analyzing Internal Conflicts in Iran (Barry Rubin, May 22):
Spiritual Guide Ali Khamenei is supposed to be the boss. In curbing President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's power, Khamenei is reminding him of that fact, which Ahmadinejad tends to forget at times.
In Iran there is talk of a "military coup" that is Ahmadinejad and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps taking over more and more power and wealth in Iran.
So the differences are real and serious but have little or nothing to do with issues like the drive to obtain nuclear weapons or Iran's expansionist, subversive and anti-Western foreign policy.
Presumably if Khamenei lives long enough, he will replace Ahmadinejad with someone else as the next president.The question is whether in the long run Ahmadinejad has any chance of becoming Iran's dictator with Revolutionary Guard backing. This battle, and not the regime's overthrow--unfortunately--will probably be the main political issue in Iran during the next few years.
Ahmadineyad
Ahmadinejad: Iran fighting a righteous battle with evil forces (Scott Peterson; May 11, 2011) - El demonio es el "imperialismo2 liderado por EEUU e Israel
2012
Debate sobre la futura sucesión de Jamenei
Debate sobre la futura sucesión de Jamenei (Feb 13, 2012; video 23') - Mehdi Jalaji, que escribe una biografía sobre Jamenei, Karim Sadjadpour y Dennis Ross, el gran experto en Oriente Medio con 4 presidentes useños, debaten sobre el posible curso y las implicaciones de la lucha por la sucesión cuando el líder supremo de Irán, Jamenei, deje la escena política.
Incluso la élite social que se opone al régimen es anti-occidental
What Iranian Elites Think. An Inside Look at Views of the West (Hasnain Kazim, in Islamabad, Pakistan, Feb 22, 2012): según el autor, una encuesta no rigurosa entre universitarios y profesores de Tehran muestra que el sentimiento anti occidental es fuerte incluso entre quienes se oponen al Presidente Ahmadinejad.