2011 - XX Nueva ronda de negociaciones Israel-Palestinos

Antes

Con las conversaciones de Paz Israelo-Palestinas prácticamente interrumpidas desde comienzos de 2010, los Palestinos acudieron a la estrategia de buscar su reconocimiento como estado en NNUU, anunciado para septiembre de 2011, y previamente acordando Fatah-Jamás la formación de un Gobierno de unidad.

Con ese marco de fondo, entre el 16 y el 23 de mayo de 2001, y con ocasión de la visita de Netanyahu a los EEUU, se producen diversas escenificaciones de useños e israelíes, siendo las principales el Discurso de Obama ante el Departamento de Estado (19 may), luego matizado por el que da ante la AIPAC (22 may), y el Discurso de Netanyahu ante el Congreso de EEUU (24 de may); entre medias estuvo la entrevista Obama-Netanyahu (20 may.)

A mediados de junio se publica que se están dando todos los últimos pasos previos a la reanudación de las conversaciones: PM meets with US officials, Ashton to visit Israel Friday (Tovah Lazaroff, Gil Hoffman y Lahac Harkov, June 15, 2011) y Last preparations before restart of Israel-Palestinian talks (Debkafiles, June 15, 2011):

The final touches on US President Barack Obama's push to revive Israel-Palestinian negotiations, stalled for nearly two years, are being put in place by his Middle East advisers David Hale and Dennis Ross and the legal adviser to the National Security Council Jonathan Schwartz who arrived in Israel Tuesday, June 14. After talks in Jerusalem, the group will move to Amman to meet Palestinian Authority chairman Mahmoud Abbas and continue working on arrangements for a non-ceremonial, modest triple summit in Washington to kick off the negotiations.

According to DEBKAfile's Washington sources, both Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu and Mahmoud Abbas have quietly committed to sit down and talk without prior conditions: The Prime Minister has dropped his demand for Abbas to first recognize Israel as the Jewish national state, while the Palestinian leader has abandoned the prior conditions for Israel to accept the 1967 lines as the starting point of the talks and halt settlement construction.

Obama for his part stands by his insistence on the 1967 borders as the basis for negotiations. He has also obtained Abbas' pledge to give face-to-face diplomacy one more chance before addressing a unilateral application to the UN for recognition of Palestinian statehood.

With these obstacles out of the way, Israeli-Palestinian talks are expected to restart within the next six weeks and if they go smoothly to keep going until August.

Obama – No, he can't! (Yoram Ettinger, June 15, 2011) - Según el cuál Israel no debería sucumbir a la presión psicológica a que es sometido por la Casa Blanca para negociar conforme al plan expuesto por Obama, porque éste no tiene la fuerza necesaria para ejecutar tal presión eficazmente:

President Obama pressures Israel to adopt his initiative, which is based on the 1949 ceasefire lines, including the repartitioning of Jerusalem and land swaps. He implies that Israeli rejection of his initiative would undermine US-Israel relations, while advancing Palestinian maneuvers at the UN.

However, Obama lacks the domestic backing to effectively pressure Israel, which has recently gained in bi-partisan support on Capitol Hill and among constituents, while Obama lost the "Bin Laden Bump" and is struggling with a less-than-50% approval rating. 

(...) Will Prime Minister Netanyahu leverage this unique American support, defying pressure and solidifying Israel's posture of deterrence in the face of an unpredictably violent Middle East, where concessions breed radicalism, terrorism and war? Or, will he succumb to the psychological warfare launched by the White House?

Peres warns: Israel in danger of ceasing to exist as Jewish state (Yossi Verter, June 17, 2011) - President says that Israel 'doomed' unless negotiations with the Palestinians leading to a peace agreement begin in the immediate future:

"I'm concerned about the continued freeze [in the peace talks]."

"I'm concerned that Israel will become a binational state. What is happening now is total foot-dragging. We're about to crash into the wall. We're galloping at full speed toward a situation where Israel will cease to exist as a Jewish state."

"Whoever accepts the basic principle of the 1967 lines will receive international support from the world," Peres said. "Whoever rejects it will lose the world."

Interview: Benny Morris (Simon Rocker, June 23, 2011) - The Israeli left-wing historian has come to a stark realisation - that Middle East peace is virtually impossible:

"I have been pessimistic since the year 2000 when in effect the Palestinians rejected a reasonable offer of peace by Ehud Barak and a slightly better offer by Clinton in December 2000." 

"From that point on, the Palestinians displayed a disinterest in peace and a two-state solution. What they want is all of Palestine. And so whether you have negotiations or not, their end game is Israel's elimination."

Visión de Jordania

Jordan's Abdullah 'pessimistic' about peace prospects (JPost, June 16, 2011) - In 'Washington Post' interview Jordanian king calls Arab Spring "defining moment for the Arab world," discusses positive role of Jordan in peace process but says "2011 will be... a very bad year for peace.":

Jordan's King Abdullah is "pessimistic" about the possibility of a peace agreement in the coming years, he said in an interview with The Washington Post.

In the interview he stated "2011 will be, I think, a very bad year for peace. Although we will continue to try to bring both sides to the table, I am the most pessimistic I have been in 11 years."

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