In an exemplar of the trends that have underpinned Pennsylvania for the past 20-30 years, Fetterman's 4.9% win compared to Obama's 2012 win clearly hilights the underlying trends occuring in Pennsylvania.
In his unexpectedly comfortable victory, Fetterman's 4.9% win came close to Matching Obama's 5.4% win, with the former underunning Obama by 0.4% in the Senate race.
As such, While his vaunted rural appeal did not revert Pennsylvania's rural areas to the margins found during the Obama Era, Fetterman was still able to match Obama due to his major improvements in Pennsylvania's suburban Areas.
In this victoty, Fetterman majorly outpaced Obama in the left Trending Suburban Montgomery, Chester, and Cumberland counties counties and decently outpaced him in Centre, Dauphin, Lehigh, and his Native York County.
This is in addition to Fetterman's historic Performance in Butler County, and adopted home of Allegheny County, whereing in the latter he improved on Obama's Margins by 13.9%.
However, a large chunk of this overperformance from Obama is due to the Lieutenant Governor's riding of the trends, as his impressive performance still constituted an expected double digit underperformance from Obama's numbers in Pennsylvania's rural and right trending working Class areas.
2012 President > 2022 Senate Swing by 2022-2032 State house District
The Most Standout areas to me vs the county map (Seen bellow) are how Fetterman lost ground with mid-sized city and Philadelphia Latinos, along with broadly almost matching Obama with Urban African Americans in Philly/Allegheny.
Largest Swings Dem
HD-30 (Allegheny): D+28.7%
HD-42 (Allegheny: D+28.3%
HD-28 (Allegheny): D+26.2%
HD-168 (Delaware): D+26.1%
HD-157 (Chester): D+25.01%
Largest Swings GOP
HD-7 (Mercer): R+20.8%
HD-22 (Lehigh): R+20.2%
HD-73 (Clearfield/Cambria): R+19.7%
HD-116 (Schuylkill/Luzerne): R+18.7%
HD-123 (Schuylkill): R+17.3%