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The 2020 Puerto Rican Election saw five people offering different visions for the island, and looking at each of their performances can help to gain a better understanding of the Puerto Rican electorate in the 2020 elections.
Major Party Candidates
Major Party Candidates
We start with Now Governor Pedro Pierluisi(PNP), generally strong throughout the island, he attained percents In the mid 30s throughout, mainly dipping into the 20s in longtime PPD strongholds like Caguas Humacao, Mayagüez y Rincón.
This is mainly due to a mix of the partisan strength of the PNP in the northwestern portion of the island, which coupled with Pierluisi’s strength in San Juan & it’s suburbs allowed for him to attain a broad and ultimately winning coalition.
Next up we go to the candidate that obtained Second place, Carlos "Charlie" Delgado Altieri (PPD). His coalition was a departure of more Recent PPD Victories, in where he attained a more Northwestern Coalition than other Populares.
This coalition came about mainly thanks to his streanght in his home Municipio of Isabela where he was the mayor for 20 years.
however it also came at the expense of underperforming in the the Traditional PPD areas of Mayagüez Humacao & Caguas, which while he still won, wasn't enough to ofset Pierluisi's gains in the San Juan Metro, Leading to Delgado's ultimate loss.
This underperformance came through mainly because the PPD Relies on Socially Liberal voters and Charlie moving to the center led them to leave to the more socialy liberal candidates of Pierluisi, Lúgaro, & Dalmau
Major Third Party Candidates
Major Third Party Candidates
Next we take a look At The Coalition of Alexandra Lugaro. A progressive, Lúgaro's coalition is one that helps to discern the relative Ideological leans(regardles of status) of the Various Municipios on the island.
Overperforming most in the San Juan Metro, in addition to Metropolitan Ponce, and Rincón/Cabo Rojo we find that those are some of the more liberal areas in PR. Conversly Lugaro underperformed in the more conservative Northwest, and parts of the east such as Loíza.
Similar to Alexandra Lúgaro, Democratic Socialist Juan Dalmau Ramíre Overperformed his statewide Margin in the San Juan Metro Area, Ponce and Cabo Rojo, & underperformed in Loíza
However, in addition to Lugaro's Overperformaces, Dalmau also overperformed in the college town of Mayagüez, a place typically considered a PPD Stronghold. This is likely due to the Soberanista nature of the college students (Desiring more autonomy for PR)
Lastly we take a look at the worst performing of the three major third party candidates, César Vázquez Muñiz. His coalition os mainly a reverse of Lugaro/Dalmau, mainly due to the fact that his party is a status agnostic conservative christian fundamentalist party.
With that in mind, we find that he performed best in the conservative rural areas of Puerto Rico, such as the Municipio of Florida, along with most of the northwestern/central coast, in addition to some municipios that are in El Yunque national park.
It should be noted that Vázquez performed decently well in two urban areas, Arecibo and Humacao, however, owing to the fact that it is more conservative, César performed better in Arecibo, just barely cracking double digits in the, politically moderate, typically PPD municipio of Humacao.
Who Finished in Third Place & Where
Who Finished in Third Place & Where
Looking at where each candidate finished third gives us a better glimpse at each candidate's coalitions.
Looking at this we see that Lúgaro's coalition it was a mix of of all types of localities, being predominantly Urban, suburban, exurban & containing some rurals.
Where-as Juan Dalmau's was Predominantly Urban/Suburban, and César Vázquez's was predominantly rural, while containing Arecibo and some Exurban Areas.
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