In Prepreration of the 2021 Boston Mayoral Primary, I thought it prudent to look at a similar election, the 2019 Boston City Council At-Large Election.
Looking at the results, We can see that Michelle Wu performed best in and around Ward 5, outpacing her citywide vote by ~3%, This was not her home ward however, as she lives in ward 16 where she performed around her city-wide vote totals.
We find a similar thing for Essaibi George, as despite losing her home ward, the 7th (due too Flaherty's Strong home region effect), as her best Ward was the 13th, whichwas the closest one to her(that she did not live in).
Lastly(with regards to an analysis of the Results), I'd be remissed to mention the one vote victory that Julía Mejia experienced, as despite comming in fifth in the September primary she won with 22,492 votes to Alejandra Nicole St. Guillen's 22,491 votes
Looking forward to the 2021 Boston Mayoral race, we find that Michelle Wu being the Top vote getter in the 2019 election helps her, and also helps to show why she's the frontrunner. However, this should not be taken as a guarrantee of her coming in 1st in the september primary.
That is because of a few reasons, the first is that people can vote for 4 Boston city councilors, Thereby showing that whie she has broad appeal, she may not have been all of her voter's first choice.
The Second is because the Person trailing her in the mayoral primary is the 2nd largest vote getter in the 2019 Elections, Annissa Essaibi George, so that is something that should keep Michelle Wu on her toes.
But All in all, Wu being the top vote getter, and being broadly popular is an advantige that serves her well in her attempt at becoming Mayor of Boston.