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The 2021 Virginia Gubernatorial election, an election that tested democrats in the symbol of their burgeoning strength in the suburbs, was a mild upset where Former Governor Terry McCaulliffe lost against Carlyle CEO Glenn Younkin.
Most rating agencies saw the tide shift in the final few days leading up to the election, evidenced by a lackluster, to downright atrocious campaign from Mcauliffe, Younkin was able to benefit from the democrat’s weaknesses to the first statewide victory for the VA GOP since 2009
Younkin’s victory came through doing near uniformly better than former President Trump across the commonwealth of Virginia, with his best improvements coming from the southside of VA in the Appalachian 9th district, and Gov. Northams own Hampton Roads/VA Beach
Adding onto this, the mixture of Younkin’s win, and down ballot lag in the commonwealth cost the Democrat’s the VA LG office that would have helped them solidify their control in the state Senate that now rests on the perilous hold of two Moderate Democrats.
Furthermore, Younkin’s 2% win, mixed with increasing polarization proved to be a hill too daunting to overcome for 7 year incumbent AG Mark Herring, who went down to defeat to Cuban Republican Jason Miyares.
All in All, combined with the loss of the VA House of Delegates, this was a disastrous night for the Democrats, portending that their strength in the New Blue State of Virginia is one that will only truly be solid in federal elections, while keeping State elections competitive.
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