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The 2021 VA Gubernatorial election by Legislative district, former Gov Terry McAuliffe ended and now gov Glenn Youngkin ended up tying with regards to state senate districts each winning 20 a piece.
By contrast, Glen Youngkin ended up winning 52 House districts to 48 Districts with His 50th seat clocking in at a 2.18% win and his 51st at a 2.12%, as such these tipping point seats are just under a quarter of a point more Republican than the state which Was Youngkin +1.94%
In terms of control, the GOP has a good shot at getting the 20 seats for senate control and 21 seats for outright senate control once incumbents are factored in, however due to their 20th seat being Youngkin +0.8% less than he won the state by.
As such, the Democrats have a better shot at the senate, which depending on environment and incumbency should be easier than the house whose Median seat is to the right of the state, a bias in the opposite direction of the senate.
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