Super Intelligence

Eric Schmidt, CEO of Relativity Space:
"Computers don't have to listen to us anymore".
Source: Special Competitive Studies Project, 11-04-2025

<<< We believe, as an industry,  that within one year the vast majority of programmers will be replaced by AI programmers. We also believe that within one year you will have graduate level mathematicians that are at tippy top of graduate math  programs. That's one year. What happens in two years? (Well, I have just told you about reasoning, programming and math. Programming plus math are the basis of sort of our whole digital world. So the evidence and claims from  the resarch groups in  OpenAI and Anthropic and so forth is that they are now somewhere around 10 to 20% of the code that they are developing in their research program is being generated by the computer. That's called recursive self improvement. That's the technical term.

So what happens when this thing starts to scale? Well, a lot. One thing to say this, is that within three to five years we will have what is called general intelligence (AGI), which can be defined as a system that is as smart as the smartest mathematician, physicist, artist, writer, thinker, politician,. I call this, by the way, the San Fransisco Consensus. Because everyone who believes this is in San Fransisco. It may be in the water. In the next year or two, this foundation is being locked in and we're not going to stop it. It's much more interesting after that. Because, remember the computers are doing self improvement. They are learning how to plan, and they don't have to listen to us anymore. We call that super intelligence or ASI, Artificial Super Intelligence.  And this is the theory that there will be computers that are smarter than the sum of humans. The San Fransiscus Consensus is, that this occurs within six years, just based on scaling. 

Now, in order to pull this off, you need to have an enormous amount of power. 

This path is not understood in our society. There's no language for what happens with the arrival of this.  This is happening faster than our human society, our democracy, our laws will address and there are lots of implications. That's why it is underhyped. People do not understand what happens when you have intelligence at this level which is largely free.  >>>