The Booms and Busts of Fantasy Football

By Kevin Cahill ('23)

Everyone’s favorite sport is back, and it’s as entertaining to watch as ever. Rival teams like the Kansas City Chiefs and the Las Vegas Raiders are battling it out in one-point games, New York teams like the Giants and the Jets are surpassing all expectations, and the Broncos are still finding their way onto PrimeTime games (seriously, who keeps putting them on PrimeTime? They’re so boring). Other than that, football has been incredibly engaging, and that’s mostly because of stellar performances from star players like Lamar Jackson, Justin Jefferson, and Nick Chubb.

But while there are players that have “boomed” in the first 5 weeks, there are also players that have “busted,” like Matthew Stafford, Dalton Schultz, and well, the entire Steelers defense. This means that they had high expectations going into the season, however, they’ve completely failed to reach those expectations and are just disappointing in general. Let’s analyze these players based on their Fantasy Football projections and stats, as they are typically good indicators for how well each player has done so far.

Booms:

Josh Allen (QB) 

Projected Total: 113.45 pts

Projected Average: 22.69 pts/game

Actual Total: 146.54 pts

Actual Average: 29.31 pts/game


Josh Allen is ranked the number 1 quarterback in Fantasy Football for obvious reasons, although his success is even more impressive than we originally thought it would be. His balance of throwing the ball and rushing the ball is perfect, as he completes roughly 30 passes per game while still rushing at least 8 times each game. Overall, he is the most well-rounded QB in the game, and his numbers prove it.

Josh Allen

Photo courtesy of Sports Illustrated

Christian McCaffrey

Photo courtesy of NFL

Christian McCaffrey (RB) 

Projected Total: 92.75 pts

Projected Average: 18.55 pts/game

Actual Total: 95.20 pts

Actual Average: 19.04 pts/game


Christian McCaffrey, the best running back in the league in 2019, has been a risky pick recently in Fantasy Football. He got injured early in his 2020 and 2021 seasons, rendering his inability to participate. While the same thing was expected to happen this year, McCaffrey is still healthy and better than ever as of Week 5. He’s been the most consistent running back so far, putting up a score within 14 to 25 points every week. As long as he keeps this up, he will be the best running back in the league again in no time.

Cooper Kupp (WR) 

Projected Total: 119.45 pts

Projected Average: 23.89 pts/game

Actual Total: 132.10 pts

Actual Average: 26.42 pts/game


Cooper Kupp has proven why he was drafted as the number 1 player in all of Fantasy Football this year. As the only good wide receiver on the Los Angeles Rams, Kupp gets the volume he deserves and more. He has been targeted an average of 16 times per game, receiving over 85% of them for a grand total of 527 receiving yards in just 5 games. What makes Kupp even better is his versatility: he is just as strong as he is fast. This makes him a perfect wide receiver in Fantasy Football and in the NFL in general.

Cooper Kupp

Photo courtesy of Wikipedia

Busts:

Russell Wilson

Photo courtesy of Sports Illustrated

Russell Wilson (QB) 

Projected Total: 91.30 pts

Projected Average: 18.26 pts/game

Actual Total: 74.56 pts

Actual Average: 14.91 pts/game


Russell Wilson is probably a name you’ll recognize even if you know absolutely nothing about football. He was a franchise QB for the Seattle Seahawks for ten years until he was traded to the Denver Broncos during the offseason. But ever since that trade, Wilson hasn’t been nearly as good as his old self. He completes only 59.4% of his passes and gets sacked around 4 times every game. While he certainly isn’t a bottom-tier QB, it’s safe to say that he’s disappointed many fans so far this season.

Jonathan Taylor (RB) 

Projected Total: 102.05pts

Projected Average: 20.41 pts/game

Actual Total: 50.20 pts

Actual Average: 10.04 pts/game


Jonathan Taylor is easily the biggest bust of the Fantasy Football season up to this point. Even with a strong 27-point game to start, he has followed that up with consistently disappointing performances. He’s getting a high number of rushing attempts as usual, however, he just can’t seem to make anything out of it. Part of it may be because the Indianapolis Colts’ offensive line has been seriously lacking this year. Also, many experts point out that Taylor had a similarly bad start to last year’s season, yet he ended up finishing as the RB1 of the whole league.

Jonathan Taylor

Photo courtesy of Sporting News

D.J. Moore

Photo courtesy of NFL Spin Zone

D.J. Moore (WR) 

Projected Total: 69.55 pts

Projected Average: 13.91 pts/game

Actual Total: 46.60 pts

Actual Average: 9.32 pts/game


D.J. Moore is an interesting player to analyze this season. He is supposed to be the WR1 on the Carolina Panthers this year, however, he's definitely not playing like it. He has caught less than 35% of his targets and only one touchdown through 5 games. I don’t blame Moore all that much for the poor performance, however. The Panthers have been very messy this season, in fact, they just fired their head coach (Matt Rhule) last week. Regardless, Moore and these other “bust” players are disappointing fans this season, and we can only hope that they turn things around in the near future.

Cover photo courtesy of Turf Show Times

Banner photo courtesy of NFL Spin Zone