How Did I Do?

Your forecast is scored by a point-per-error system. Your goal is to get the lowest score. Points are added as follows:

• Maximum and Minimum Temperature: One error point for every degree difference between your forecasted high and low and the verified high and low temperatures.
• Wind Speed: 0.5 error points for every knot difference between your forecasted wind speed and the verified wind speed.
• Precipitation:
  • .4 points for each .01 of error in the verification range from 0.00 - .10 inclusive
  • .3 points for each .01 of error in the verification range from 0.11 to 0.25 inclusive
  • .2 points for each .01 of error in the verification range from 0.26 to 0.50 inclusive
  • .1 points for each .01 of error in the verification range over 0.50
  • Note that This is NOT an absolute error range. The score depends where you are on the scale. (Note: A verification of trace precipitation will be scored as 0.00" of precipitation.)

For each day, a daily raw score will be calculated by summing the error points from the high temperature, low temperature, wind speed, and precipitation forecasts. Any penalty points for non-human forecasts (i.e. Persistence and Guidance Forecasts) will also be added into the daily raw score.

If you want to see how you compare to the other forecasters in the challenge, just check the "results" page! To get to it, just go to the list on the left side, expand the section that says "The Challenge", and click results!

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