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Here are the observations from JAN:
KJAN 120554Z 14006KT 10SM CLR 18/14 A3002 RMK AO2 SLP162 T01780144 10239 20178 403110178 58010 $= KJAN 120654Z 15005KT 10SM CLR 19/15 A3002 RMK AO2 SLP160 T01940150 $= KJAN 120754Z 15004KT 10SM CLR 18/15 A3001 RMK AO2 SLP158 T01780150 $= KJAN 120854Z 14004KT 9SM CLR 18/16 A2999 RMK AO2 SLP153 T01780161 58009 $= KJAN 120954Z 13005KT 8SM CLR 18/17 A3000 RMK AO2 SLP154 T01780167 $= KJAN 121054Z 11005KT 9SM CLR 19/17 A3000 RMK AO2 SLP156 T01890172 $= KJAN 121154Z 12008KT 8SM CLR 19/18 A3001 RMK AO2 SLP158 T01940178 10194 20172 53005 $= KJAN 121254Z 12011KT 8SM CLR 21/18 A3001 RMK AO2 SLP157 T02110178 $= KJAN 121354Z 12012KT 9SM CLR 22/18 A3002 RMK AO2 SLP161 T02220183 $= KJAN 121454Z 13015G23KT 10SM CLR 25/19 A3001 RMK AO2 SLP158 T02500194 52001 $= KJAN 121554Z 15012G19KT 10SM FEW034 27/19 A3000 RMK AO2 SLP154 T02720189 $= KJAN 121654Z 13015G22KT 10SM FEW042 SCT050 29/18 A2997 RMK AO2 SLP146 T02890183 $= KJAN 121754Z 14018G22KT 10SM SCT049 SCT060 29/18 A2995 RMK AO2 PK WND 13026/1717 SLP139 T02940178 10294 20194 58019 $= KJAN 121854Z 13014G21KT 10SM SCT050 30/18 A2992 RMK AO2 SLP127 T03000178 $= KJAN 121954Z 13014G20KT 10SM SCT055 SCT080 31/19 A2990 RMK AO2 SLP121 T03110189 $= KJAN 122054Z 13014KT 10SM SCT050 30/19 A2989 RMK AO2 SLP117 T03000189 56021 $= KJAN 122154Z 13012KT 10SM FEW049 29/19 A2989 RMK AO2 SLP116 T02890189 $= KJAN 122254Z 36007KT 10SM CLR 33/19 A2993 RMK AO2 SLP129 T03280194= KJAN 122254Z 12014KT 10SM FEW060 28/19 A2989 RMK AO2 SLP119 T02780189 $= KJAN 122354Z 14017G22KT 10SM FEW046 BKN055 26/19 A2991 RMK AO2 SLP124 T02610194 10317 20261 53006 $= KJAN 130054Z 13014KT 10SM SCT095 25/20 A2992 RMK AO2 SLP129 T02500200 $= KJAN 130154Z 14012KT 10SM CLR 24/21 A2994 RMK AO2 SLP133 T02390206 $= KJAN 130254Z 14014G19KT 10SM CLR 23/21 A2994 RMK AO2 SLP136 T02330206 51012 $= With three hours left in the period and clear skies, I think my forecast of category zero will hold up. The clear-to-partly-cloudy for the day was also a good forecast. The high was a bit of a mystery: the 00Z max report was 31.7 C (89 F), while at 2254Z the hourly observation was 32.8 C (91 F). Either way, my forecast of 90 was on the mark.
My min forecast was also pretty good. It dropped down to 17.2 C (63 F), so I was scared off too much by the wind. I was right that the dewpoint would be lower (although i didn't expect it to go back up near dawn). I was also right that the wind would be stronger: unlike the night before, there were no calm winds. All in all, I only picked up three error points (1 for the max, 2 for the min, 0 for the precip), which is a successful forecast by almost any measure.
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