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The forecast for Jackson was fairly straightforward. There were no significant weather events to worry about. The weather was changing, but it was changing gradually.
Notice how I made use of computer models to see how the overall weather pattern was going to evolve, but didn't use them at all in coming up with my specific temperature numbers. And I brought in the National Weather Service only at the last minute. This is good forecasting practice. Anybody can come in, look at the NWS forecast, tweak it by a degree or two, and end up with a decent forecast most of the time. But remember why you're here: to learn how to understand and forecast the weather. If you stick with this, eventually you'll know as much as the National Weather Service forecasters, and you'll certainly know more (or at least different stuff) than the computer models. If, on the other hand, you rely heavily on the model and NWS forecasts, your own understanding of the weather and ability to forecast will always be inferior.
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