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The key temperature questions are:
- What will the wind direction be?
- Will the airmass keep drying out?
First, I want to know the computer-forecasted wind direction. So I compare the latest surface map with the 4-panel forecast.
I take a close look at the pressures being reported on the current surface map. (You should too.) The pressure in central Mississippi is also found in central Florida. This means that the same isobar would pass through central Mississippi and central Florida. Now look at the surface forecasts. That's about the same orientation the surface isobars have throughout the forecast period. So I don't expect any change in wind direction. And most importantly, I don't expect any of the moisture from the Gulf to make it to Jackson.
As for the second question - Why shouldn't the drying continue? And why wouldn't the minimum temperature tomorrow morning be even colder than it has been? I can't think of a reason why not. But wait a minute. What about clouds? If it's cloudy tonight, the temperature should remain warmer.
Most of the clouds still seem to be over Texas. As I remember from the radar image, that's pretty much where the rain is. So if it's not going to rain in Jackson, it shouldn't be cloudy either. I forecast clear to partly cloudy, and see no reason to discontinue the trend of the past two days.
So my tentative forecast is: H: 91 L: 61 Precip: 0.
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