The Green Elephant

Episode Sixty-five

Tipping Points:

Local - Global – Social - Personal - Political and Hopefully, a Tipping Point of the Human Heart.

Planetary Tipping Points Cascading

Arctic thaw may be first in cascade of tipping pointsA record low in Arctic sea ice may have been the first in a series of events that unleash unstoppable climate changes – what will be next?

Dramatic climate domino effects could be unleashed after less than 2 degrees of warming, a new study revealsNearly one-third of the 3 million simulations run by scientists showed disastrous effects within 2 degrees of warming, and scientists say their estimates are conservative.

Climate tipping points could topple like dominoes, warn scientistsAnalysis shows significant risk of cascading events even at 2C of heating, with severe long-term effects

Earth Likely to Become Increasingly Hostile to AgricultureDrought frequency is expected to triple in the next 100 years. The resulting variability and stress for farmers could prove regionally disabling without new policy

As Climate Change Worsens, A Cascade of Tipping Points LoomsNew research warns that the earth may be approaching key tipping points, including the runaway loss of ice sheets, that could fundamentally disrupt the global climate system. A growing concern is a change in ocean circulation, which could alter climate patterns in a profound way.

Earth’s tipping points could be closer than we think. Our current plans won’t work | George MonbiotClimate policies commit us to a calamitous 2.9C of global heating, but catastrophic changes can occur at even 1.5C or 2C, says Guardian columnist George Monbiot

Local / Regional Environmental Tipping Points

Attempt to feed manatees fails so far, but effort to hold off starvation will continueAn attempt to feed starving manatees appears to have failed so far, as the big marine mammals refuse to recognize floating lettuce as food.

In Pakistan’s Jacobabad, temperatures are beyond human toleranceJacobabad, located along the Indus Valley, is the world's hottest city, and climate change can make burn even hotter.

The 3.5% Rule Tips to the 25% which Sparks a Social Revolution

The '3.5% rule': How a small minority can change the worldNonviolent protests are twice as likely to succeed as armed conflicts – and those engaging a threshold of 3.5% of the population have never failed to bring about change.

Can 3.5 Percent Save the Planet?Environmental movements have shifted public awareness about climate change. How many more people will need to join them for their demands to be met?

Do Protests Even Work?It sometimes takes decades to find out.

How Mass Protests EndWhen the current wave of demonstrations dies down, the movement won’t go away.

How many people does it take to start a revolution?

The 25 Percent Tipping Point for Social ChangeNew research on social norms shows how to reach critical mass.

The magic number of people needed to create social changeYour voice is louder, and more meaningful, than you think. This new research visualizes its impact.

Tipping point for large-scale social change? Just 25 percent | Penn TodayHow many people need to take a stand before a behavior is no longer seen as normal? According to research from Annenberg’s Damon Centola, there’s now a quantifiable answer: roughly 25 percent.

"Change: How to make Big things Happen" - my summary of the book by Damon CentolaThe book called “Change: How to make big things happen” by Damon Centola, is a very insightful read, that challenges many of our assumptions about how change happens. It has been published in 2021, during the COVID-19 pandemic, and while it is all about the science of networks and how things spread,

The only way we can effectively manage climate change is through government intervention

Federal Action on Climate | Center for Climate and Energy Solutions

5 ways our governments can confront climate changeWhat can and should our governments do, seeing as their large-scale actions are fundamental to the welfare of their people?

Even if You Have been Impacted by Extreme Weather - You Will Still Stick with Your Tribe

Study: Extreme weather may not lead to increased support for climate action » Yale Climate ConnectionsMany people aren’t making the connection between global warming and weather disasters.

The Key Element: Advocating for Action

How to advocate for climate change actionWe have to act now.

Advocacy - CARE Climate ChangeClimate change poses the greatest threat to the most vulnerable, particularly women and girls, who are often the ones contributing the least to its escalation. The global climate crisis affects everything that CARE does and threatens our vision of a world of hope, tolerance and social justice where poverty has been overcome and people live […]

Understanding the Methods of Nonviolent ActionJoshua Kirshbaum (2018) Table of Contents Introduction 198 Methods of Nonviolent Action Introduction People have been using nonviolent action for thousands of years. Let’s start by talking about one of my favorite videos. It involves Jamila Raqib. For a living, she promotes nonviolent resistance to people living under tyranny, and she shares with us the importance of nonviolent action in today’s society. She explains: “The greatest hope for humanity is in not condemning violence but making viole

Advocating for action on climate change and healthWHO is raising awareness of the climate risks to health through advocacy campaigns, publications and policy briefs, encouraging representation of WHO and health actors in key climate forums, and providing multimedia products which raise the prominence of health issues on the climate agenda and stimulate appropriate health protection by decision-makers.A better understanding of the risks and effects of climate change on health will motivate and facilitate both behavioural change and societal support for the actions needed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Improved awareness will also help health-care professionals to provide leadership in supporting rapid and comprehensive strategies for mitigation and adaptation that will both improve health and reduce vulnerability.

How to Advocate for Climate Change/PRNewswire/ -- (Family Features) Climate change is an issue that impacts everyone, especially children. The impacts can be seen first-hand, as the planet...

How to Advocate for Climate Change as a Teenager

Educate and Advocate Climate Change Connections for Women

For decades, women have been effectively mobilizing around environmental, political, economic and social issues. In their communities, in their countries and at the global level, they have demonstrated tremendous motivation and have achieved great successes in securing spaces for gender equality in policies and programmes. With climate change becoming one of the most urgent issues of our time, women and gender advocates around the world are taking action.

Republicans are Crazy - but not Stupid

Adam Kinzinger: Republicans Are ‘Frigging Crazy’The Illinois representative thought the GOP was filled with democracy-loving internationalists. Now he sees the party as a corrupt shell of itself.

The Republican Party at the State Level Has Gone InsaneThe Republican Party’s state-level committees have committed themselves to pro-Trump cultism and have descended into madness.

The Republican party is devolving further into crazytownAs the GOP moves right, rational Republicans will start losing seats to those on the fringe. And Democrats could be the big winners.

Yes, the Republican Party has become pathological. But why?We’re not going to fix American democracy until we can explain why the GOP went crazy.

The GOP future: we may be crazy, but we’re not stupidThe Grand Old Party is not disappearing any time soon. Despite the dire predictions of many analysts, the Republican Party is doing just fine. And while the Democrats are increasingly becoming the party of the well-educated and the well-to-do, the Re

Analysis: Republican extremism offers a preview of possible new House majorityIf House Republicans win in the midterm elections, it's already clear their new majority will be a constant churn of self-radicalization and an extremist political weapon for Donald Trump.

GOP infighting takes stupid to a whole new levelAmericans want lawmakers to do their jobs, get to work, grow up — and get off of Twitter.

"We're going to make you suffer" Violence is Mainstream in the Republican Party

The Republican party is embracing violence in the name of Trump | Jonathan FreedlandDeath threats, gerrymandering and voter suppression are being normalised by America’s right to keep Trumpism alive, says Guardian columnist Jonathan Freedland

Why Many Americans Might Be Increasingly Accepting Of Political ViolenceFor more coverage of the Jan. 6 attack, read our collection of essays and reflections examining where we are as a country one year later, including what has — a…

Analysis | The role of violent threats in Trump’s GOP reign, according to RepublicansSeveral Republicans now have described it as having a direct impact on how lawmakers act and vote.

The Republicans Have Become the Party of Organized ViolenceRight now, the GOP views threats of violence as offering a political advantage with no real downside. Normalization of this behavior by President Biden or the media will only make it worse.

‘A core threat to our democracy’: threat of political violence growing across USRepublicans’ muted response to Paul Gosar’s behavior has intensified fears about where incendiary rhetoric and images may lead

American democracy is under threat. But what is that threat, exactly?Is it election theft, minority rule, voter suppression, or all of the above?

Armed and Lame

Armed Protesters Inspire Fear, Chill Free SpeechSince 2020, we've witnessed an alarming uptick in incidents of armed protesters asserting that their right to bear arms trumps every other right—not to mention public health and safety.

Armed Assembly: Guns, Demonstrations, and Political Violence in America | Everytown Research & PolicyArmed demonstrations are nearly six times as likely to turn violent or destructive compared to unarmed demonstrations.

Green is the New Red

GREEN IS THE NEW RED | Kirkus ReviewsIn this hard-hitting debut, journalist Potter likens the Justice Department targeting of environmentalists today to McCarthyism in the 1950s.

Believe it or Not: Right-Wingers Position Themselves as the New Eco-Warriors

The Extremist Campaign to Blame Immigrants for U.S. Environmental ProblemsAnti-immigrant rhetoric stemming from discredited pseudoscience has evolved into an extreme right-wing greenwashing effort that the modern conservation movement is right to reject.

Can you be right wing and an environmentalist? | EcohustlerAs nature collapses around us, surely political priorities have to change? It’s the ecology, stupid

The Dark Side of Environmentalism - Guerrilla FoundationOrwellian or Overwellmian? Donald Trump Jr recently compared his father’s Twitter ban to Orwell’s dystopia, claiming that “We are living in Orwell’s 1984. Free speech no longer exists in America”, prompting journalists to write articles to educate the public that George Orwell was a “self-described democratic socialist” and that he “always belonged on the Left”. The […]

Perspective: Climate change is a big problem, but that doesn’t mean we need big governmentWe need more conservative people, like many in Utah’s Carbon and Emery counties, to join the conversation about climate change

Climate denial is waning on the right. What’s replacing it might be just as scaryThe wrapping of ecological disaster with fears of rampant immigration is a narrative that has flourished in far-right fringe movements in Europe and the US

The Far-Right View on Climate PoliticsAs the world reckons with the grim reality of the climate crisis, right-wing populists are adapting their message.

Beware the Rise of Far-Right Environmentalism - The WorldPost - Berggruen InstituteOur climate crisis may provide a powerful new set of justifications for the far right's agenda.

The Climate Movement Must Be Ready To Challenge Rising Right-Wing EnvironmentalismRight-wing forces have denied the existence of climate change for decades, but we are beginning to see a shift away from crude denial toward a terrifying eco-fascism. We have to oppose any attempt to use the climate crisis to justify racist, reactionary, and authoritarian policies.

Eco-Fascism: How The Far-Right Weaponises EnvironmentalismEcofascism is a dangerous ideology, but the way groups have appropriated climate change and environmental concerns in the modern age is more insidious.

Anti-Protest Laws Growing

US Protest Law Tracker - ICNLThe US Protest Law Tracker, part of ICNL’s US Program, follows initiatives at the state and federal level since November 2016 that restrict the right to protest. Click this link to see the full Tracker.

Eight States Enact Anti-Protest LawsSimilar bills are pending in 21 states.

New anti-protest laws cast a long shadow on First Amendment rightsThis story also appeared in HuffPost and Indian Country Today Tiffany Crutcher was worried. Oklahoma lawmakers had passed a new measure stiffening penalties for protesters who block roadways and granting immunity to drivers who unintentionally hit them. The state NAACP, saying the law was passed in response to racial justice demonstrations and could chill the […]

What happened when Italy criminalised environmental protestA criminologist spoke to anti-gas pipeline activists.

Anti-Protest Laws Threaten Indigenous and Climate Movements“Critical infrastructure” laws in over a dozen states wrongly invoke national security to justify targeting pipeline protesters.

State Anti-Protest Laws and Their Constitutional ImplicationsStates have recently passed laws targeting a range of protest actions. How exactly do these statutes work and what constitutional questions do they raise?

Oklahoma passes a law that can protect drivers who run over protesters Oklahoma Governor Kevin Stitt signed a bill Wednesday granting immunity to drivers who unintentionally injure or kill protesters while attempting to flee and which stiffens penalties for demonstrators who block public roadways, according to the Oklahoma State Legislature.

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