Epidemic appears a total of 4,612 times in the HE Corpus. It is most frequently found in European General documents and Activity reports, produced by IGOs, NGOs and NGO_Feds. Documents produced by RC also stand out. In General documents there is a peak in 2008, whereas in Activity reports peaks are found in 2014, 2015 and 2017. General documents are especially produced by European and North American IGOs, whereas Activity reports are produced by NGOs and NGO_Feds in more varied regions.
is a type of
{emergency, crisis, disaster, threat, disease, shock, factor, challenge, event, issue, effect, outbreak, calamity, problem, cyclical, cause, risk}
affects
{people, regions, countries, animals, health systems, production systems}
can be triggered or spread by
{organisms, environmental conditions, population movements, poor infrastructure}
can cause
{deaths, suffering, fear, stigma, socioeconomic impact, vulnerability...}
can be managed by actions such as
prevention {treatment, WASH, vaccination, hygiene promotion...}
forecasting {surveillance, risk analysis, risk assessment...}
preparedness {social mobilisation, surveillance, community education...}
detection {early detection, laboratory testing, alert reporting, tracing...}
response {case management, epidemiology, containment, risk management...}
An epidemic (...) is the occurrence of disease cases in a population or region that clearly is in excess of normal expectancy (General document, Europe, C/B, 2005, GD-38)
Epidemic – The rapid spread of a disease that affects some or many people in a community or region at the same time (Activity Report, North_America, RC, RCNS, 2009, AR-3632)
{(acute/potential/public) health, medical, recurrent} emergency
{(public) health, sudden-onset, protracted, humanitarian, major, international} crisis
{recurring, devastating effect of, (major) natural} disaster
{great, (global/global) health, emerging} threat {to international peace and security, to survival and well-being}
{deadly, vector-borne, water-related} disease
{recurring. unnanticipated negative} shock
{risk} factor
{new} challenge
{(acute/public) health} event
{persistent} issue
{secondary} effect {of earthquake}
{disease} outbreak
calamity
{international} problem
cyclical cause (of humanitarian needs)
risk
There are no all-encompassing definitions of epidemic probably because the understanding of the concept (or rather the designation of an event with the term epidemic) largely depends on context, as suggested by the following excerpt:
What is a malaria epidemic? The definition of a malaria epidemic depends on the local malaria situation. It is not possible to develop a global definition or threshold for malaria epidemics because malaria cases in epidemic-prone areas are seasonal, and vary greatly from year to year (General_Document, Europe, C/B, 0, 2005, GD-38).
Explicit definitions in the corpus highlight two main dimensions of diseases: properties (excess/rapid) and affected entity (population/region). The definition contained in the General document is more oriented towards statistics ("excess of normal expectancy"), whereas the definition provided by the Activity report is more people-centered ("affects some or many people").
Implicit categorization (mostly found in North American General documents and European Activity reports) includes terms that emphasize slightly different senses of epidemic, such as that of danger and destruction (e.g. disaster, threat, calamity, risk) or that of problem (e.g. problem, issue, challenge), which imply the different optics with which epidemics can be approached. Most definitional contexts, categorize epidemic as a type of emergency, crisis, disaster or threat.
Depending on how epidemic is categorized (see Definitions - contexts), it shows slightly different clusters of sibling concepts. For example, when categorized as disaster, threat or calamity, siblings concepts are mostly related to natural hazards, whereas when categorized as emergency, shock or factor, epidemic is part of larger humanitarian frame, including siblings such as food insecurity, nutritional crises, conflicts, displacement, political crises, poverty, etc. Nevertheless, some of these sibling concepts are at the same time the causes of epidemics (e.g. earthquakes, floods, food insecurity).
Natural disasters
Conflicts
Nutritional crises
Famine
Floods
Common diseases
Injuries
Pandemic
Natural disasters
Displacement
Conflict
Drought
Economic collapse
Earthquake
Natural crises
Protracted situations
Earthquake
Conflict
Drought
Flood
Fire
Landslide
Earthquake
Flood
Drought
Violence
Conflict
Land-slides
Pandemic
Natural disaster
Climate change
Financial crises
Natural disaster
Drought
Fluctuation of prices
Climate change
Violence
Conflict
Political crises
Flood
Destruction of shelter
Food insecurity
Malnutrition
Drought
Flood
Conflicts
Displacement
Political crises
Natural disaster
Lack of shelter
Poverty
Poverty
Disaster
Famine
Flood
Chemical poisoning
(Re)emerging diseases
Pandemic
Food insecurity
Pandemic
Ecological harm
Deterioration of living conditions
Decreases in soil fertility
Flood
Fire
Natural disaster
Food insecurity
Different types of epidemic are based on the disease, symptom or pathogen it causes, the causes of the epidemic, its temporal dimension, scope, extent/morbility or gravity/intensity.
Based on disease/symptom/pathogen:
Cholera epidemic
AIDS epidemic
HIV epidemic
Malaria epidemic
Ebola epidemic/Ebola virus epidemic
Tuberculosis epidemic/TB epidemic
Meningitis epidemic
Measles epidemic
Polio epidemic
Dengue fever epidemic
Yellow fever epidemic
Lassa fever epidemic
Haemorrhagic fever epidemic
Diarrhoea epidemic
Zika virus epidemic
Influenza epidemic
Avian influenza epidemic
Influenza A (H1N1) epidemic
SARS epidemic
Hepatitis C epidemics
Meningococcal C epidemic
Dysentery epidemic
Tetanus epidemic
Hepatitis E epidemic
AWD epidemic
Chikungunya epidemic
Beriberi epidemic
Typhus epidemic
Marburg epidemic
Scabies epidemic
Based on cause:
Disease epidemic
Obesity epidemic
Water borne epidemic
Viral epidemic
Virulent epidemic
WASH-related epidemic
Temperature-related epidemic
Sanitation-related epidemic
Tobacco epidemic
Based on time:
Recurrent epidemic
Frequent epidemic
Seasonal epidemic
Future epidemic
Ongoing epidemic
Unprecedented epidemic
Short-lived epidemic
Periodic epidemic
Based on scope:
Health epidemic
Dual epidemic
Based on extent/morbility:
Global epidemic
Regional epidemic
Local epidemic
Country's epidemic
Generalized epidemic
Concentrated epidemic
Localized epidemic
Growing epidemic
Widespread epidemic
Worldwide epidemic
Large-scale epidemic
Small-scale epidemic
Low-level epidemic
International epidemic
Transboundary epidemic
Urban epidemic
Isolated epidemic
Fast-moving epidemic
Silent epidemic
Hidden epidemic
Unnoticed epidemic
Based on gravity/intensity:
Deadly epidemic
Severe epidemic
Devastating epidemic
Lethal epidemic
Acute epidemic
Major epidemic
Massive epidemic
Great epidemic
Emergency epidemic
These contexts include extracts where the different types are an explicit specification of the concept epidemic (e.g. epidemics such as cholera...).
Organisms
Pathogens (e.g. bacteria Neisseria meningitidis, Zika virus, mengingococcus A)
Population movements
Displacement
Population growth
Drug trafficking routes
Armed conflict
Environmental conditions
Climate conditions
Climate change
Floods
Natural hazards
Earthquakes
Infrastructure/living conditions
Poor sanitation
Poor water quality
Poor hygiene
Poor nutrition
Food insecurity
Weak health services
Low vaccine coverage
Geographical access difficulties
Vulnerability
Poverty
Lack of shelter
Diseases
Diseases of animal origin
Deaths
Suffering
Orphans and vulnerable children
Shock
Fear
Stigma
Impact on people with other diseases
Deprivation
Poverty
Vulnerability
Displacement
Diseases
Malnutrition
Discrimination
Humanitarian crisis
Health crisis
Humanitarian needs
Devastation
Morbidity
Loss of livelihood
Weak health services
Impact on economy
Impact on labour market
Impact on wages
Social impact
Political impact
Impact on human development
Impact on mental health
Disruption in urban systems
Unacceptable living conditions
Fiscal impact
Reduced agricultural production
Impact on investment plans
Food insecurity
Gender inequalities
Emergency response operations
Mass vaccination campaigns
These are causes of epidemics or causes of the spread of epidemics. They are not necessarily collective causes of all types of epidemics, although those related to pathogens and infrastructure/living conditions seem to be behind any of them, especially poor hygiene and sanitation.
Most documents highlighting the causes of epidemics are European and North American General documents and Activity reports produced by IGOs, NGOs and RC.
Pathogens are only mentioned in Activity reports and Strategy documents, whereas climate conditions, population movements and poor nutrition are mainly covered in General documents.
Most documents highlighting the consequences of epidemics are European and North American General documents and Activity reports produced by IGOs, NGOs and NGO_Feds, which means that IGOs and NGOs are equally concerned about both causes and consequences but RC is tends to be more concerned about causes and NGO_Feds about consequences.
Most frequent consequences are deaths and weak health systems. Generally speaking, NGOs show more concern about personal consequences (stigma, fear, suffering) and NGO_Fed about socio-economic impact.
It should be noted that the following are both causes and consequences of epidemics: displacement, diseases, weak health services, vulnerability, poverty, food insecurity.
Countries/Areas
Africa
Angola
Arab countries
Armenia
Asia
Bahrain
Bangladesh
Benin
Bostwana
Burkina Faso
Burundi
Cameroon
Cape Verde
Caribbean
Central Africa
Chad
China
Democratic Republic of Congo
Eastern Europe
Equatorial Guinea
Ethiopia
Gambia
Georgia
Ghana
Guatemala
Guinea
Guinea Bissau
Haiti
Honduras
Hong Kong
India
Indonesia
Iraq
Ivory Coast
Kazakhstan
Kenya
Kyrgyzstan
Lesotho
Liberia
Malawi
Mali
Middle East
Mozambique
Myanmar
Nepal
Niger
Nigeria
North Africa
Pakistan
Papua New Guinea
Russia
Rwanda
Senegal
Sierra Leone
Somalia
South Africa
Southeast Asia
South Sudan
Sudan
Swaziland
Tajikistan
Tanzania
Thailand
Togo
Uganda
Ukraine
United States
Uzbekistan
Vietnam
West Africa
Yemen
Zambia
Zimbabwe
People
African population
Sierra Leoneans
Detainees
Children
Communities
Individuals
Doctors
Families
Men who have sex with other men
Sex workers
Transgender people
Mothers
Women
Workers
Migrants
Patients
Street traders
Animals
Health systems
Production system
The following contexts have been semi-automatically extracted based on searches like epidemic in... and by (...) epidemic. The list above is thus a selection of most frequently mentioned entities affected by epidemics, which are mostly found in Activity reports produced by NGOs, NGO_Feds and IGOs (in that order). Most mentioned epidemics are Ebola, HIV and cholera and most mentioned regions are West Africa (Ebola and meningitis), Haiti (cholera), Guinea (Ebola, meningitis, measles), Sierra Leone (Ebola, cholera) and Liberia (Ebola, yellow fever). Detainees as affected population are only mentioned in RC texts. Ebola is mostly mentioned in documents produced by NGOs and NGO_Feds, HIV is especially mentioned in IGOs and NGOs and cholera in NGO_Feds.
Epidemics show different stages and so does their management, as can be inferred from the following excerpts:
Actions in epidemic control (before an epidemic, epidemic alert, during an epidemic, after an epidemic)
Engaging a broad range of partners from across the globe, the Campaign will advocate for increased support for global and country preparedness; compliance with International Health Regulations; closing the critical gaps in health systems around infection control and prevention and ensuring more sustainable funding for developing and maintaining the core capacities necessary to prevent, contain and respond to outbreaks and epidemics.
The plan established five Ebola Epidemic phases are: Preparedness, Alert, Early Response, Peak response and recovery.
Interventions to address communicable diseases should include prevention, surveillance, outbreak detection, diagnosis and case management, and outbreak response.
Often, existing knowledge about the agent can guide the design of appropriate control measures in specific situations. In general, response activities include controlling the source and/or preventing exposure (e.g. through improved water source to prevent cholera), interrupting transmission and/or preventing infection (e.g. through mass vaccination to prevent measles or use of LLINs to prevent malaria) and modifying host defences (e.g. through prompt diagnosis and treatment or through chemoprophylaxis).
Epidemic management stages can usually be inferred from verbs such as prevent, forecast, prepare, alert, declare, respond, contain and treat (see Verbs), which suggest a chronological order. The information below has thus been classified into different categories based on a logical sequence, but in the corpus no consistent set of steps was found to exist, since they obviously depend on the epidemic type and other situational parameters. The classification of concrete measures in these categories is thus somewhat fuzzy, as they are not discrete categories (e.g. WASH can be a preventive measure before an epidemic or part of the response to it in order to avoid transmission), and even more concrete measures are only found next to specific epidemic types (e.g. prevention may include improved water source for cholera but not for malaria; mass vaccination might work as a response to measles and LLINs for malaria).
The fuzzy stages of epidemic management are found to be comprised by different actions and tools (projects, programmes, etc.):
Prevention
Treatment
Prophylaxis
WASH
Capacity building
Vaccination
Inmunization
Hygiene promotion
Investment in resilient health systems
Networking of public health laboratories
Social mobilisation
Reduce vulnerability
Condom protection
Surveillance
Community counseling
Awareness raising
Provide safe drinking water
Promote the well-being of draught animals
Cross-sectoral prevention activities
Forecasting
Collection and analysis of data
Health centre collaboration
Surveillance
Risk analysis
Risk assessment
Risk mapping
Early warning
Warning system
Monitoring
Use of geographic information systems
Preparedness
Social mobilisation
Community education
Screening
Provide medical supplies
Door-to-door visits
Awareness raising
Provide mosquito nets
Provide adequate water and waste management
Enhance surveillance
Strengthen laboratory capacity
Develop reporting mechanisms
Hygiene promotion
Provision of equipment
Coordinate global scientifica research and development
WASH
Investment in resilient health systems
Emergency mobile treatment centres
Provide insecticide
Provide mosquito nets
Skilled health care workforce
Detection
Early detection
Surveillance
Laboratory testing
Alert reporting
Risk assessment
Information management
Collection and analysis of data
Contact tracing
Response
Coordination
Case management
Surveillance
Epidemiology
Laboratory testing
WASH
Risk communication
Social mobilisation
Information management
Containment operations
Transmission interruption
Mass vaccination
Treatment
Reduce exposure
Community involvement
System-suppported community-based risk management approach
Community-based early warning system
Epidemic guidelines
Monitoring
Isolation
Contact tracing
Strengthening of community resilience
Tailor public health response
Provide shelter
Provide medicines and nutrients
Logistic support
Repair sewage systems
Treatment in special units
Epidemiology
Use of geographic information systems
Improve quality of drinking water
Provide hygiene kits
Psycho-social support
Sword and shield approach
Total Control of the Epidemic programme (HIV)
Global Health Security Agenda
National Malaria control programmes
Epidemic control for volunteers (ECV)
WHO Health Emergencies Programme
WHO guidelines
National Ebola Preparedness and Response Plan
Ebola orphans
Orphans and vulnerable children programs
WASH projects
Incident Management System
ZIKA kits
PREPARE project
Roll Back Malaria campaign
Zoonotic Diseases Project
Centre for Disease Control
International Health Regulations
Information technology services
Crowd-sourcing tools
CUBE (Biosecure Emergency Care Unit for Outbreaks)
Mapping Malaria Risk in Africa
Mobile applications
Pandemic influenza contingency preparedness website
Oral Cholera Vaccination (OCV)
Pandemic Preparedness Plan
Humanitarians in Pandemics network
Humanitarian Preparedness programme
Community Pandemic Preparedness programme
Community Based Surveillance project
Rapid Response Mechanism
Strategic action plan for pandemic influenza
The Food Security and Livelihoods intervention
Based on the contexts analysed, European organizations (IGOs, NGOs and RC) are the ones mentioning epidemic management most often, especially in Activity reports. Tools and response actions are especially mentioned by European and African IGOs; preparedness actions by European and North American IGOs; prevention measures by European and Asian NGOs; detection by European IGOs and C/Bs; and forecasting by European C/Bs.
Collocations are words frequently accompanying a search term (in this case epidemic). They are automatically extracted based on different statistics and manually curated based on meaningfulness.
For a better insight, you can interact with the graphics by sorting and highlighting the data, displaying more or less collocations, using and combining the filters on the right or opening them in Tableau Public by copying the link on the share button. You can also undo or redo your actions by clicking the arrows below.
The following visualizations contain several types of collocations. Each collocate constitutes a bubble whose size represents its frequency in the corpus and whose colour represents its type of collocation (grammar relations). You can reduce and increase the number of collocates shown by setting a desired range with the frequency slider control or by checking one or several grammar relations. They have been extracted from two corpora for the sake of comparison: the HE Corpus and the COVID-19 corpus, released as part of the COVID-19 Open Research Dataset (CORD-19).
Among the collocates referring to countries and regions where epidemics take place, Africa, Liberia, Sierra Leone, Guinea and Haiti stand out. Other than countries, prisons are also a common place for epidemics to spread.
Mosf frequent types of epidemics include cholera, AIDS/HIV, Ebola and malaria and the most common adjectives accompanying epidemic is global, showing the general concern about pandemics.
Similar related terms (e.g. parent concepts, siblings, synonyms) are disaster, disease, outbreak, flood, war, crisis, conflict, earthquake, pandemic.
Among the collocates referring to countries and regions where epidemics take place, Africa, China, America, Taiwan, Asia and Korea stand out. Other less frequent collocates include Europe, Italy, Brazil, India, Iran, Japan, UK, Nigeria, Canada, Liberia and Mexico, showing a wider scope as compared to the HE corpus.
Most frequent types of epidemics include SARS, influenza, Ebola, AIDS/HIV, MERS and COVID-19. One of the most common adjectives is also global, but also future, recent and major.
Similar related terms are pandemic, outbreak, disease, disaster, influenza and case.
Terms from the General corpus are represented in orange, from the Activity report corpus in blue and from the Strategy corpus in green. Darker color terms are common to all three corpora. The size of bubbles shows the frequency of the terms.
Terms from IGOs are represented in blue, those from NGOs in orange and those from NGO Federations in green. Darker color terms are common to all three corpora. The size of bubbles shows the frequency of terms.
Common collocates in all three text types are: epidemic types (Ebola, AIDS/HIV, cholera, malaria, tuberculosis, measles), near-synonyms (disease, outbreak, pandemic) and phases of epidemic management (control, surveillance, response, spread). Pandemic is proportionally more frequent in the Strategy corpus as compared to the General documents and Activity reports.
Regarding their differences, General documents focus on other epidemic types (meningitis, SARS, dengue and obesity) and verbs related to what epidemics do (impact, generalize, concentrate), whereas Activity reports focuses also on meningitis, obsesity and dengue but also on verbs related to response (tackle, combat, contain, fight). Strategy documents do not focus on other epidemics but on epidemic management, although with less "active" verbs and more nominalizations (WASH, preparedness, prevention, end, mitigate).
This graphic presents unique and shared collocations based on three organisation types. Unique collocations allow to discover what a particular organisation type says about epidemic. Shared collocations allow to discover matching elements.
Common collocates in IGOs, NGOs and NGO_Feds are similar to common collocates to all three text types (types, synonyms and management). Comparing differences, IGOs show more collocates related to epidemic types (SARS, Marburg, dengue, polio, hepatitis, influenza) or their impact/origin-related attributes (deadly, waterborne, devastating), whereas NGOs focus on attributes (devastating, deadly, lethal) but especially impact (rage, break, hit) and reponse-related verbs (contain, prevent, reverse). NGO_Feds share collocate types with IGOs and NGOs, since they focus on epidemic types (dengue, hepatitis, yellow fever, tuberculosis) and impact and response-related verbs (sweep, rage, devastate, declare, curb, tackle, contain, respond).
Overall, epidemic types are the most salient collocates over the years (SARS in 2005, cholera in 2010-2012, 2017 and 2018, Ebola in 2014-15, zika in 2016). In 2006-7 and 2009 endemic stands out and the single verb in the selection is generalize (2008). More recently (2019), pandemic-prone is the top collocate, which reflects current concerns about epidemics.
Pandemic-prone and pandemic seem to have been relevant for IGOs and RC for longer (top collocate in 2013 and 2019 for IGOs and 2010, 2013 and 2016 for RC).
IGOs' top collocates related to epidemic types also include meningitis (2007, 2009), whereas NGOs show more interest in malaria (2007) and AIDS (2008, 2009).
In NGO_Feds endemic seems to be the most relevant collocate from 2006 to 2009.
The only top collocates related to epidemic management are in texts by NGOs and C/Bs: combat (NGOs, 2006), forecasting and prevention (C/Bs, 2005 and 2010). And the only collocates related to causes are mentioned by NGO_Feds and NGOs: miningococcal (NGO_Feds, 2017) and waterborne (NGOs, 2017).
Verbs can indicate what an epidemic can do or what can be done towards an epidemic. These are the most meaningful verbs most frequently encountered. In the graphics below you can see which ones are most frequent in both the HE Corpus and the COVID-19 corpus. Most verbs occurring with epidemic as a subject indicate its sudden and violent nature, as they are impact-related verbs (hit, strike, rage, sweep, break out, devastate), whereas most verbs occurring with epidemic as an object are response-related (contain, reverse, avert, combat, fight, prevent, curb, stop, etc.), indicating a subsequent phase in the event of an epidemic. More rarely, there are also verbs indicating anticipation (prevent, avert, detect).
Other than impact vs. response-related verbs, affect and tackle are among the most common verbs accompanying epidemic in the HE corpus as opposed to that of cause and spread in the COVID-19 corpus. This shows that the humanitarian domain is more concerned about the consequences of an epidemic and the ways of putting and end to it, whereas the scientific domain is rather inclined to worry about its causes and behaviour.
Hit
Strike
Spread
Rage
Sweep
Impact
Evolve
Unfold
Appear
Occur
Grow
Peak
Concentrate
Break out
Generalize
Devastate
Contain
Reverse
Avert
Combat
Fuel
Fight
Prevent
Curb
Stop
Halt
Tackle
Control
Declare
Simulate
Mitigate
Detect
HE Corpus
COVID-19 Corpus
It is worth comparing most frequent verbs encountered in General documents and Activity reports, since the later show a more profuse use of impact-related verbs (e.g. strike, hit, rage, sweep).
Activity reports also mention more concrete regions where epidemics occur (e.g. Zimbabwe, Sierra Leone, Haiti, Liberia, Guinea).
Near-synonyms:
outbreak
pandemic
epidemic outbreak
disease outbreak
Although strictly speaking they are not the same concept, outbreak and pandemic are often used as synonyms of epidemic. Both terms have a similar collocational behaviour to that of epidemic (e.g. Ebola epidemic/outbreak/pandemic; epidemics, outbreaks and pandemics are fought/prevented/tackled) and are categorized under the same parent concepts (crisis, emergency, challenge, threat, event, shock, challenge), which means that in real texts they can act as near-synonyms or sibling concepts.
1) When acting as near-synonyms, all three terms tend to be accompanied by concrete diseases or viruses (e.g. the same event can be referred to as the Ebola outbreak or the Ebola epidemic). However, there are certain viruses/diseases that are never used with outbreak because they are not as rapidly spread as others, such as AIDS, HIV and obesity. In contrast, the latter are often accompanied by pandemic, highlithing the wide geographical scope over that of rapid spread.
2) When acting as sibling concepts, the difference between epidemic and outbreak is understood from a temporal point of view, where an outbreak is only the beginning of what subsequently can become an epidemic, or from a scope perspective, where an epidemic is an outbreak out of control. Pandemic, in turn, adds a geographical dimension (an epidemic becomes a pandemic when it spreads to several regions).
Other than outbreak and pandemic, specific epidemic types are also prone to be rephrased with more general terms acting as synonyms, showing slight differences according to the epidemic type (e.g. burden seems to be only related to tuberculosis and malaria) but also depending on the severity of the event (from more neutral, such as situation, to more severe, such as crisis). Some examples are below:
Ebola epidemic = Ebola crisis/emergency/situation/disaster
Cholera epidemic = Cholera crisis/emergency/situation/episode
AIDS epidemic = AIDS issue/crisis/problem/situation/disaster
Tuberculosis epidemic = Tuberculosis problem/burden
The interchangeability of epidemic with near-synonyms (outbreak and pandemic) can thus be explored through their different and similar collocations, especially modifiers (adjectives/nouns preceding the terms) and verbs. Please hover the mouse and click the arrows to visualize all different images.
Common modifiers of epidemic and outbreak include epidemic types. Ebola, cholera, malaria, measles and meningitis accompany both epidemic and outbreak, but AIDS, HIV and obesity only go with epidemic.
Epidemic and outbreak complement preparedness, but detection, surveillance, investigation and alert are more typical collocates of outbreak, which could indicate that proper management stages are triggered once an outbreak happens. Nevertheless, verbs with epidemic/outbreak as an object are equally used (prevent, detect, control, curb, tackle, declre, contain, avert), although suspect only collocates with outbreak and reverse with epidemic.
The behaviour of outbreak/epidemic collocates is approximately the same as in the HE corpus, except that epidemic types are SARS, Ebola, influenza, MERS and COVID-19.
Again, detection, alert and investigation collocate more typically with outbreak and peak, curve and wave with epidemic.
In this corpus there are less verbs as collocations, which shows a more observational attitude towards epidemics as compared to the humanitarian domain. No other significant differences are found.
Common modifiers of epidemic and pandemic include Ebola, HIV and AIDS, which prove their synonymic interchangeability for certain epidemic types. Malaria and cholera are only used with epidemic and influenza shows a preference for pandemic. The name of viruses (H1N1, H2P) seems to accompany pandemic.
All impact-related verbs (sweep, break, hit, rage) seem to collocate with epidemic, whereas causative verbs (affect, cause, lead) are used with both. Most response-related verbs and noiminalizations show a preference for epidemic (preparedness, surveillance, declare, contain) except fight, control, tacke and prevent, which collocate with both pandemic and epidemic, although still with a preference for the latter.
When it comes to epidemic types, this corpus shows the same trends as the HE corpus.
Response-related terms also tend to collocate more often, or exclusively, with epidemic (preparedness, alert, combat, declare), but their frequency is much lower. Other terms related to the parameterization of diseases are more salient in this corpus, such as wave, threshold, peak and curve.
Near-antonyms:
endemic
Again, although strictly speaking it is not an antonym, endemic can be understood as such from the following contexts, where endemic and epidemic are opposing terms:
'Endemic areas' are defined as 'areas with significant annual transmission, either seasonal or perennial'. An epidemic, by comparison, is the occurrence of disease cases in a population or region that clearly is in excess of normal expectancy.
Where malaria is endemic, people usually have some resistance to the disease, and medical services are used to dealing with malaria. In contrast, when epidemics occur, they affect people with little or no immunity.
Quite often the meaning of epidemic is metaphorically extended to refer to violence and crime (especially with regards to gangs or against women or children). Anecdotally, it is also found referring to lack of funding or displacement.
Gender-based violence (GBV) remains epidemic in situations of conflict, disaster and displacement.
He urged the government "to strengthen its efforts to stop an internal displacement epidemic" caused by organised and gang-related crime and violence.
Funding and resources allocated to mental health are almost non-existent in many health systems around the world; it is a silent epidemic, and those suffering are often not in a position to demand action.
The LATIN AMERICA Maras are now believed to be responsible for an epidemic of street violence throughout the region.
Most countries in the region have homicide rates which are much higher than for other regions and which are considered to be at epidemic levels by the World Health Organization.
Violence is a behaviour reinforced by social norms which acts like a contagion. Violence is an epidemic and is contagious. Research reveals that violence behaves like an epidemic, sharing the same characteristics of clustering, spread and transmission (Slutkin et al., 2015). Violence clusters occur in "hot spots" where people have been exposed to violence – just as cholera typically clusters around water sources where people are exposed to bacteria that cause the disease. It can mimic epidemic spread across time or geographically across space, and has a transmission mechanism in which exposure correlates to risk: those exposed to violence are at increased risk of perpetuating it themselves (Spano, Rivera and Bolland, 2010).
Throughout the last decade the region has suffered an epidemic of violence, accompanied by the growth and dissemination of crime, as well as an increase in fear among citizens.
In July, Liam Neeson kicked off the End Violence Against Children initiative with a powerful video calling on everyone to "make the invisible visible," by shining a bright light on the hidden epidemic of sexual, physical and emotional abuse.
The first graphic shows part of the same results shown in Frequencies so as to compare them with those in the COVID-19 corpus and those generated by the Google Ngram Viewer.
Generally speaking, IGOs are the organizations that mention epidemics most often, especially in 2008, 2010, 2013, 2015, 2016 and 2019. NGOs show peaks in 2012, 2014 and 2017, NGO_Feds in 2006, 2015 and 2017 and RC in 2008. However, there is a clear difference in the peaks according to text type. In Activity reports, NGOs and NGO_Feds are the organizations that stand out, with peaks in 2014, 2015 and 2017 and 2015 and 2017 respectively. In General documents, IGOs and RC stand out, showing peaks in 2008, 2013, 2016 and 2019 and 2008 respectively. In Strategy documents, although to a lesser extent, peaks are shown in IGOs (2015) and RC (2013 and 2016).
In the COVID-19 Corpus there is a steady increase since 2004, with peaks in 2007, 2009, 2011, 2016 and 2020.
Note that the results provided by Google Ngram viewer, are based on Google Books dating from 1800 to 2019. It is NOT a domain-specific corpus.
The main peaks of outbreak are in 1917 and 1942. The main peak for epidemic is in 1919. There is an increasing use of outbreak over epidemic since 2007, although this trend already existed from 1910 until 1987. The rising use of epidemic in 1987 might be connected to AIDS.
Debates and controversies about epidemic revolve around current problems in epidemic management, needs and proposals for future epidemics, questionings and lessons learned from the past.
Current fast spread and quick change of stage: national epidemic - cross border epidemic - pandemic "public health emergencies of international concern" (PHEICs).
Newly emerging diseases appear at an unprecedented rate
Problems in early detection:
Bad surveillance systems provide bad quality data
Traditional paper-based surveillance systems are not adequate in emergencies
Data gap issue: people devastated by an epidemic might not be accounted for due to omissions related to crises that fall outside of definitions, parameters and indicators
Reluctancy of health authorities to declare epidemics, mainly due to the additional burden this imposes on a health system
Unadequate current stocks of vaccines and anti-viral medications
Fragile inmune systems due to self-medication
Availability of donor support has been reduced
Governments contingency plans are rare or not sufficiently funded
Poor preparedness due to limited preparedness capacity and investment
Lack of political commitment to implementation of IHR and public health security
Underreporting of outbreaks
Poor coordination and collaboration at the national/international level
Lack of leadership and coordination for epidemic prevention, preparedness and effective response (among countries and/or agencies)
Command-and-control structure of health systems is ill-adapted
Disruption in drug supplies
Poor clinical management
Lack of integral/international/cross-sectoral approaches to evolving epidemics:
HIV/AIDS continues to be framed as a medical issue, and despite the multidimensional and widespread consequences of the epidemic, responsibility for AIDS continues to fall to provincial and national health departments
At the outset of the epidemic HIV was mainly considered a public health issue, now it is increasingly seen as a fundamental challenge to broader human development (vicious circle of AIDS and poverty)
HIV requires a longer-term reaction than the usual response to emergencies; there are no short-term solutions to underlying causes of vulnerability such as discrimination against marginalized groups and gender inequality
The term ' epidemic ' may acquire different meanings according to the timeframe in which it is considered
Vulnerability to acute public health events
Lack of political will
Gap in global research and development
Vicious cycle of suboptimal preparedness, inadequate responses, and increased vulnerability to other emergencies.
Weak health systems and an insufficient public health infrastructure and health emergency management system
Insecurity in countries affected by emergencies remains a major challenge in the delivery of health services, putting health partners and providers at risk
Inability of affected countries to sustain an emergency response system over the time (obstacle to adequate monitoring and risk assessment)
Local resistance to outbreak management teams
Poor supervision of health staff and patient treatment's regimes
Drastic improvement of surveillance systems
Avoid epidemics through risk management instead of expensive emergency aid interventions
Policy and intervention responses cannot be guided by simplistic stereotypes about populations at risk (HIV-related)
The recurrent health emergencies in most of the African countries need considerable and sustainable efforts in terms of coordination, including information management, technical support and resource mobilization
Improve infection control capacity
Integrate security risk management in response approaches
Worldwide action to enable response operations through a public-private parnership of UN agencies, the private sector, intergovernmental organisations and other sectors
Stronger financing for response programmes
Include pandemic preparedness into general emergency frameworks
Based on global economic and security-related impact of epidemics, health issues should be an integral part of geopolitical analysis
Improve political commitment
Technical and programmatic innovations
Greater vaccine production capacity
AIDS prevention must be rights-based
Control population movements
Provide people with information
Pre-disaster funding based on warning systems
Increase commitment to the development of IHR
Increase IHR compliance
Strategic alliances (regional, national, international) for public health security
Addressing public health emergencies should be part of the wider developmental agenda
Integrated prevention and response plans
Cross-sectoral approach:
Governments need to address the drivers of the outbreaks (e.g. safe water and sanitation) while ensuring that the health response is both timely and comprehensive.
Strengthen the interface between humanitarian and public health communities, including regional, national, local and community capacities
Strong leadership and coordination from governments, nongovernmental organizations, the World Health Organization, the World Bank, and the private sector
Add a human development perspective (e.g. focus on how virus are transmitted but also on underlying structural factors that render people and communities vulnerable)
Build resilience rather than merely providing assistance
Risk reduction measures (e.g. control of panzootica)
Strengthen nations' capacity to prevent, detect, and respond
A final question is one which will inevitably be addressed to donors: with the possibility of a malaria epidemic, will donors invest in stockpiles of antimalarials, spraying equipment, insecticide and additional health and logistical personnel? How accurate will systems have to be before donors invest in predictions?
The question is: how can this [improve infection control capacity] best be done? Part of the answer relates to the background factors or causes that lead or contribute to epidemics and other acute health emergencies. These may be natural, environmental, industrial, human, accidental or deliberate.
The influence of pharmaceutical firms on the WHO's new definition of pandemic: before it was necessary that the illness breaks out in several countries at once, but also that it has serious consequences, with a number of mortalities in excess of the usual averages. That aspect was erased from the new definition.
Disasters should no longer be viewed as linear – with a discrete beginning, middle and end – but as long-term events requiring a different paradigm for responses: "Traditional humanitarian thinking focuses on the short-term, and is often aimed at returning affected populations to 'normality'."
The role of foreign military engagement is questionable
The key question is whether there has been any change [since IHR] in domestic preparedness and in the speed of response by the humanitarian sector.
Reassessment of WHO's capacity and role in major disease outbreaks.
Two of the key questions regarding the HIV-related responses needed in disasters are: where has the disaster occurred; and at what stage is the disaster? The first question is largely about HIV prevalence and the type of epidemic in the disaster area; the second is about what responses are appropriate and cost-effective at any given stage of the specific disaster (...). The question of 'when' revolves around the stage of disaster. It is also a question about 'who' since different organizations have their own special expertise and priorities, and the responsibilities of host governments also come into play.
The "emerging diseases worldview":
It is a convincing depiction of current health problems but at the same time a selective approach with questionable political implications
It draws certain health problems and threats to be relevant and tends to neglect a range of equally important global public health concerns
The understanding of global public health changed from being a humanitarian issue to being a domain of security
Global disease surveillance is not always beneficial as it binds manpower and money into often redundant surveillance networks.
High-income nations often become the beneficiaries of the early warning information and the scientific data produced through these surveillance systems while low- and middle-income countries lack the necessary basic health infrastructure
The consequential securitization of global health is strongly biased towards the interests of western nations
The implied orientation towards the discovery of a novel pathogen and the prioritization of surveillance, early warning and emergency responses is leading to the occlusion of underlying more structural factors driving disease emergence. Hunger and lack of clean water, a growing number of urban poor or the ongoing deterioration of national health systems are challenges that need to be re-centred on the global public health agenda against an emerging diseases worldview
Health and well-being are not individual concerns: they are global issues... [they] are human rights; they are also public goods... like the road networks, clean air and clean water
Debates of whether tackling the epidemic through treatment or through prevention is the best approach
AIDS exceptionalism
The lessons learned from past epidemics can be divided into key strategies that were successful in the past, pitfalls encountered and needs and recommendations for the future. Generally speaking, most lessons learned can be classified into health-related measures (e.g. screening centers, vaccination, treatment), people education and involvement (e.g. community education, community engagement), and information management (e.g. share knowledge, communication from governments). Some of them coincide with the debates collected above, but these are explicitly described as lessons learned in the corpora.
Control population movements
Provide people with information
Screening centers
Treatment of patients with earlystage symptoms
Patient education on prevention
Door-to-door visits
Community education (proved more important than timely treatment)
Community engagement
Hygiene promotion
Mass vaccination campaigns
Strengthening surveillance
Strengthening reporting mechanisms
Provision of essential commodities for home-based drinking water treatment
Appropriate respiratory PPE and compliance programs
Population prevention
Clinical treatment
Community engagement
Maintain social order
Early diagnosis/detection/case recognition
Provision of continuity of care for other patients
Protect HCWs (health care workers) with protective equipments
Flexible HCWs
HCWs awareness
Simple, well-defined triage procedures
Share knowledge/information
Hand hygiene
Hygiene promotion
Educational campaigns
Protocol for confirmed cases: quarantine vs. hospitalization
Infection control tools (quarantine, isolation)
Case detection and reporting
Wearing masks
Community containment
Social distancing
Comply with IHR (International Health Regulations)
Mass vaccination campaigns
Strengthen the monitoring of wild animal sources
Containment
Emergency plan in place
Accurate, timely and transparent communication from the government
IPC (Infection Prevention and Control) assessment tools
Adaptation of existing networks and capacities
Build local public health surveillance capacity early detection
High quality data collection and systematic and timely data reporting
Integrate disease-specific preparedness into wider local preparedness planning
Provide resources, training and expertise to local hospitals to strengthen infection control practice
Develop agreements for specimen and data sharing
Immediately identify reference hubs sorted by pathology, in order to maintain "clean" areas and hospitals
Microbiological culture and molecular testing to improve infection control and epidemic prevention
Under-resourced health systems in countries affected quickly become overwhelmed
Epidemics are prolonged because of failure to observe IHRs
Pandemic breaks down resilience of households making them vulnerable
Not shared probes for RT-PCR at international level
Cultural and ethical differences are a challenge in internacional pandemics
Overlook of community engagement
Inadequate surveillance and response capacity in one country endangers global public health security
Shortages of antiviral medication
Shortage of protective equipment
Lack of drugs
Failure to distribute enough vaccines in a timely way
Lack of income protection for those in quarantine is an impediment to voluntary compliance
Lack of affordable diagnostic tests adapted for field use
Inadequate readiness of the facility to implement infection prevention control guidelines effectively
Lack of institutional readiness to implement IC measures and reduce patient flow, low staff morale and high anxiety
Secondary transmission may force closure of entire ICUs, decreasing the critical care capacity when most needed
Without ethical safeguards, public health measures can inadvertently encroach on human rights and values
The incorporation of relevant ethical principles in pandemic planning can help enhance voluntary cooperation based upon public trust
Unfamiliriaty with diseases and lack of understanding of the disease's diverse symptomatology
In a globalized world any epidemic could easily spread with a simple flight
Urban settings, socio-cultural traditions, and local migration affect outbreak dynamics
The ability of the viruses to adapt and achieve cross-species infections is particularly concerning
Early control of the virus (while it was still confined to southeast China) might have prevented its global spread
Efficient/sustainable/resilient health systems
Improve health systems funding, staff, and equipment
Strengthen laboratory systems
Strenghten (effective and continuous) surveillance capacity
Strenghten preparedness capacity
Strenghten response capacity
Strenghten prevention capacity
Strengthen infection control capacity
Improve early warning systems
Train human resources
Build vaccine manufacturing capacity
Strengthen routine immunizations
Develop rapid diagnosis kits
Governments commitment
Management and leadership framework with clear responsibilities
Contingency stock of emergency items
Assessment of possible funding constraints ahead of time
Continued investment in public health surveillance
Fast-track customs system before the next epidemic
Re-evaluation of outbreak response guidelines
Revision of drug policy
Adequate financial support to NGOs
Combat stereotypes
Anticipate major constraints
Manage economic consequences
Better governance of health care services
Health workforce development
Pharmaceutical management
Collective building of surveillance and information systems
Strengthen (public) health systems
Invest in better (reliable) disease-surveillance capacity
Improve containment measures
Invest in laboratory-testing capacity
Information sharing for robust monitoring and response
Flexible response to unexpected conditions
Improve detection and response of the early stages of a newly emerging infection
Strengthen existing structures instead of creating a new Global Fund for Health
Diagnosis methods with the ability to provide clues for emerging HCoVs
Effective communications, specifically through formal channels such as WHO and public domain
New IT-based approaches to surveillance
Improved understanding of the biological and ecological factors driving disease emergence and mitigation strategies
Bring HAIs (Hospital Acquired Infections) to the forefront of infection control
Avoid complacency
Improve global capacity to address the next pandemic using 21st century tools
Support research to develop new options, countermeasures, and insights
Address global inequities
Improve preparedness globally
Constitute interdisciplinary teams for prevention, preparedness and response
Humanitarian, healthcare and military sectors can work together
Well-trained epidemiologists,
Efficient communication channels
Training of future physicians
Improve risk communication
Risk-based and integrated approaches in preparedness
Harmonized national and international preparedness and response efforts
Improve information exchange
Income protection for those in quarantine
Increase zoonotic surveillance activities
Implement effective ecological health interventions
Expand prediction modeling
Safe broad spectrum antiviral drugs that can be tested rapidly in phase III clinical trials
Improve local and international responses to epidemics
Better understand the role of social media in outbreak awareness
Expressly consider vulnerable populations in pandemic planning
Developed nations with advanced health systems should identify key lessons on four domains:
Safe and Effective Patient Care
The Role of Experimental Therapeutics and Vaccines
Infection Control
Hospital and Community Preparedness.
Control of trading and human consumption of wild animals
Improve intergovernmental relationships
Monitor the appearance of pathogens
International animal surveillance
Critical care staff should be explicitly and routinely trained in infection control procedures
Anticipate the development of tools (diagnostics, drugs and vaccines)
Detailed preplanning and preparation for a major infectious disease epidemic that is inclusive of hospital and ICU operations in each locale
Guidelines for addressing pandemic situations including risk assessment and risk management
Strengthen research
Information translators and communication strategies for dissemination
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