Islamic Republic of Mauritania: A Geopolitical Assessment (2025)

Introduction and Overview

Mauritania, officially the Islamic Republic of Mauritania, occupies a unique space in Northwest Africa, bordered by the Atlantic Ocean, Western Sahara, Algeria, Mali, and Senegal. Its vast (1,030,700 sq km) and largely desert terrain (90%) presents both opportunities and challenges. The country's predominantly hot and arid climate exacerbates environmental vulnerabilities, including desertification and drought, impacting the livelihoods of its predominantly (61.3% in 2024) urban population of nearly 5 million.

Mauritania's complex social fabric reflects its history. The dominant Moorish community (Bidhan – of "free" or "noble" descent - and Haratin – of enslaved descent, considered "freed" slaves) coexists with Afro-Mauritanian ethnic groups (Halpulaar, Wolof, Soninke, and Bambara), each with distinct languages and cultures. This ethnic diversity has often been a source of political tension and conflict, particularly given the legacy of slavery and continued marginalization of the Haratin. Since independence from France in 1960, Mauritania's political landscape has been marred by periods of military rule and fragile democratic transitions, marked by contested elections and accusations of human rights abuses. Its economy, largely dependent on extraction (iron ore, gold, fish, and increasingly natural gas), is vulnerable to fluctuations in global commodity prices. This economic dependence is a legacy of its colonial past and continues to shape its development trajectory. However, Mauritania's strategic location at the crossroads of the Maghreb, West Africa, and the Sahel, along with its vast renewable energy potential and emerging gas sector, make it an increasingly important player in regional geopolitics and a focal point for international engagement, including with regard to irregular migration flows to Europe.

Geopolitical Risk Landscape:

Data Synthesis and Organization

I. Historical Context and Colonial Legacies

II. Political Developments

III. Institutional and Electoral Processes

IV. Socio-Economic Factors

V. Security and Conflict Dynamics

VI. Foreign Policy Environment

VII. Unique to Country Topics

Sources Cited