[一般論]
E[X]=E_Y[E[X|Y]]
V[X]=E_Y[V[X|Y]]+V_Y[E[X|Y]]
V[Z|Z ≧0] = E[Z^2|Z ≧0] - (E[Z|Z ≧0])^2
[正規分布]
Z~N(0,1)のとき
E[Z|Z ≧0] = √(2/π)
E[Z^2|Z ≧0] =1
E[Z|Z ≧0]=1-(2/π)
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