As of 2025, this is the last time KS-03 elected a Republican representative.
Further Analysis Coming Soon!
Further Analysis Coming Soon!
After losing Kansas' gubernatorial election in 2018 and the GOP primary for US Senate in 2020, former Secretary of State Kris Kobach launched his third comeback bid in 2022, this time running for Kansas' attorney general. However, Kobach faced opposition from State Senator Kellie Warren and former federal prosecutor Tony Mattivi. Each campaign had a distinct message, with Kobach running as anti-establishment conservative, Warren running
on a platform of electability with the support of several interest groups, and Mattivi running as the only Republican who would not “embarrass our state." Ultimately, Kobach's name recognition from his previous runs and the loyalty of conservatives allowed him to prevail with a relatively narrow plurality against Warren.
On the same day as Kobach's nomination, Democrats nominated former prosecutor and police officer Chris Mann of Lawrence. Mann had never run for office before and used that to portray the contest as being between "a politician and a public servant", criticizing Kobach as being too focused on generating headlines than helping average Kansans. Kobach, meanwhile, ran a firebrand campaign, promising to regularly sue the Biden administration for various policies. Polling indicated a close race, largely owing to Kobach's baggage from his previous campaigns harming him with independents and moderate Republicans. However, Kansas' strong Republican tilt allowed Kobach to remain competitive, with Sabato's Crystal Ball labeling the race as a tossup shortly before election day.
As results came in, it became clear that for Kobach, third time was the charm. While his baggage hurt him significantly, Republicans noted Kobach ran a stronger campaign that was better organized and more coherent than his previous campaigns. As a result, Kobach narrowly won despite a weak showing in eastern urban areas, propelled by Kansas' ruby-red rural areas and holding up well enough in the Wichita suburbs. Yet, while Kobach may have emerged victorious, this was the closest race statewide and the only one Republicans won* by less than 10%. Kobach and Mann will face off again in 2026, and while Kobach is currently favored, only time will tell if 2022 was a genuine comeback or an abberation.
*Republicans sole statwide loss was the Gubernatorial election, where incumbent Laura Kelly won re-election by 2.21%.
Schmidt had the best performance of any statewide Republican in 2022 and was the only one to carry Johnson County.
Further Analysis Coming Soon!
This was the closest Supreme Court Justice retention election in Kansas during 2022.
Further Analysis Coming Soon!
Further Analysis Coming Soon!