A revised model: the national z-difference; normal distributions in political space
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A revised model: the national z-difference; normal distributions in political space
See also list of contents below
My Election Night Coverage: a compendium
GO TO My Election Night Coverage: a compendium
Elections: UK and France …
… representative and unrepresentative democracy
In France:
The people.
“The will of the people must be strictly respected.” Melenchon, NPF.
“an unnatural alliance designed to stop the French people from freely choosing a different path.” Bardella, NR.
“France in disarray …”. The Times, July 8 2024: 26.
In the UK:
“The most disproportional electoral outcome in British electoral history.”
The Times, July 5 2024: 1. John Curtice:
“While Labour can trust its majority in the Commons, the unprecedented distortions of the electoral system means it cannot trust maintaining its lead in popular support.”
The Times, July 6 2024: 30. Richard Rose.
How sick is British democracy?. Richard Rose.
https://link.springer.com/book/10.1007/978-3-030-73123-6
The book
Local elections and national opinion polls.
2 An analysis of changing percentages – a conceptual map.
3 National elections: mass and motion in political space, 1945-2024.
4 Local results in national elections.
[8 A revised model: z-scores and normal distributions in political space]
A revised model: the national z-difference; normal distributions in political space
1 The main argument
Voting percentages, voter flows and party movements
The step equation
What the experts have observed, 2023-2024
Straightening out curviness … how z-scores relate to percentages
What does z(2024)=z(2019)+dz(national) mean?
National and local … percentages and z-scores
The tables for national percentages and z-scores
How z-scores relate to percentages
2 All the parties: the percentage graphs and the z-score graphs
The data sets
The fall in the Conservative percentage
The full final results
The Non-Conservatives
3 A theory-based model: voters and parties in political space
4 The normal distribution and the z-score … cases and theory
The world literacy rates by gender – the use of z-scores, 235-244
Individuals and attributes, , attributes and distributions, percentages and z-scores – the analysis of group differences
The use of z-scores: the Bradford by-election, 2012
THE END