A short report in German about our study showing that offering students the choice between ethics and religious education has long-term effects on religiosity and work life, but not on ethical behavior, has been published in the Zeitschrift für Didaktik der Philosophie und Ethik (Journal for the Didactics of Philosophy and Ethics). Participation in compulsory religious education at school can have lasting effects on the lives of students. Since the 1970s, the German federal states have abolished compulsory religious education at public schools at different points in time, replacing it with the option to choose between ethics and religious education. Our study shows that the reforms not only led to lower religiosity among students in later life, but also reduced traditional attitudes towards gender roles and increased labor force participation and income. By contrast, the reforms did not affect life satisfaction or ethical behavior such as volunteering.
Einfluss auf Religiosität? Auswirkungen der Wahlmöglichkeit zwischen Ethik- und Religionsunterricht (with B. Arold and L. Zierow). Zeitschrift für Didaktik der Philosophie und Ethik 46 (4): 82-88, 2024
The multitude of tasks performed in the labor market requires skills in many dimensions. Traditionally, human capital has been proxied primarily by educational attainment. However, an expanding body of literature highlights the importance of various skill dimensions for success in the labor market. This paper examines the returns to cognitive, personality, and social skills as three important dimensions of basic skills. Recent advances in text analysis of online job postings and professional networking platforms offer novel methods for assessing a wider range of applied skill dimensions and their labor market relevance. A synthesis and integration of the evidence on the relationship between multidimensional skills and earnings, including the matching of skill supply and demand, will enhance our understanding of the role of human capital in the labor market.
Skills and Earnings: A Multidimensional Perspective on Human Capital. CESifo Working Paper 11428 / IZA Discussion Paper 17395, October 2024
Schlechte Bildung kostet Billionen. Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, 21.10.2024, p. 16
Mathematik ist wichtiger als schicke Turnhallen. Handelsblatt, No. 197, 11.10.2024, p. 27
I gave a keynote at the Third Applied Economics Conference: Labour, Health, Education and Welfare held at the Institute of Economic Sciences in Belgrade on "Multidimensional Skills as a Measure of Human Capital: Evidence from LinkedIn Profiles".
During September, I also presented at the meetings of the International Academy of Education in Singapore and of the German Economic Association in Berlin.
The program of the CESifo Area Conference on the Economics of Education 2024 is available online. The keynote lecture was given by Matthias Doepke (London School of Economics). Emily Cook (Texas A&M) won the CESifo Young Affiliate Award.
The ifo Education Survey 2024, our annual survey of the adult German population, for the first time allows for evaluations at the level of the federal states. In Bavaria, 41% of the population gives schools in their federal state a grade of 1 or 2, followed by Hamburg (35%) and Saxony (33%); in Bremen the figure is only 18%. A clear majority of Germans expect the shortage of teachers (79%), increasing differences in family background (66%), migration (65%), and political polarization (64%) to have a negative impact on future student performance. A clear majority (78%) are in favor of increasing government spending on schools, ranging from 73% in Bavaria to 86% in Brandenburg. Various reform proposals to improve basic skills are met with high approval, for example annual standardized performance tests based on which teacher teams develop targeted support measures (84%), mandatory language tests at pre-school age with mandatory German lessons if necessary (81%), and daily 20-minute reading training in primary school (79%). The high level of approval is very consistent across all federal states.
Selected media coverage: ZDF heute, NDR, SAT.1, BR24, SWR, Deutschlandfunk, spiegel.de, zeit.de, faz.de, welt.de, bild.de, Table.Media, u.v.a.
Meinungen zum Bildungssystem im Bundesländervergleich – Ergebnisse des ifo Bildungsbarometers 2024 (with K. Werner, V. Freundl, F. Pfaehler, and K. Wedel). ifo Schnelldienst 77 (9): 29-42, 2024 [tweet]
Religion Matters for Economic Growth through Various Channels (with S.O. Becker and J. Rubin). VoxEU.org, 8.9.2024
We use the elements of a macroeconomic production function—physical capital, human capital, labor, and technology—together with standard growth models to frame the role of religion in economic growth. Unifying a growing literature, we argue that religion can enhance or impinge upon economic growth through all four elements because it shapes individual preferences, societal norms, and institutions. Religion affects physical capital accumulation by influencing thrift and financial development. It affects human capital through both religious and secular education. It affects population and labor by influencing work effort, fertility, and the demographic transition. And it affects total factor productivity by constraining or unleashing technological change and through rituals, legal institutions, political economy, and conflict. Synthesizing a disjoint literature in this way opens many interesting directions for future research.
Religion and Growth (with S.O. Becker and J. Rubin). Journal of Economic Literature 62 (3): 1094–1142, 2024 [tweet1] [tweet2]
What will help schools out of their plight? A conversation about outdated structures and teachers who want to make a difference, in the research magazine Einsichten of the Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich with Uta Hauck-Thum and Katja Scharenberg.
Antworten auf den traurigen Smiley. Einsichten – Das Forschungsmagazin, No. 1/2024
In May and June, I gave a series of presentations at various venues including the Annual Meeting of the Society of Labor Economists (SOLE) in Portland, the University of Luzern, and the University of Mannheim. I participated in a panel discussion at the National STEM Summit in Berlin with the Federal Education Minister and the President of the Conference of State Education Ministers, among others. I gave online presentations at the Education.Table Live Briefing on Educational Opportunities and at the Online Impulses series of the Center for School Quality and Teacher Training Baden-Württemberg. I also gave a radio interview on Deutschlandfunk.
The study compares the probability of attending an academic-track school (Gymnasium) for children from lower backgrounds (neither one parent with a high school diploma nor top income quartile) with that of children from higher backgrounds (at least one parent with a high school diploma and/or top income quartile). Across Germany, 26.7% of children with a lower background attend a Gymnasium, compared with 59.8% of children with a higher background. The chance of attending a Gymnasium with a lower background is thus not even half as large (opportunity ratio 44.6%) as with a higher background, the opportunity difference is 33 percentage points. The inequality of educational opportunities is very pronounced in all federal states. However, there are also clear differences. When looking at the relative difference, Berlin, Brandenburg, and Rhineland-Palatinate have slightly better opportunity ratios (between 52% and 54%), while Bavaria and Saxony have worse (38% and 40%, respectively). When looking at the absolute difference, the opportunity difference is particularly pronounced in Saxony and Saxony-Anhalt (40 and 38 percentage points, respectively), while it is lowest in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania and Rhineland-Palatinate (26.4 and 28.4 percentage points, respectively). Examples of good practice are used to present concrete measures for more equal opportunities in education.
Selected media coverage: tagesschau.de, spiegel.de, sz.de, zeit.de, BR24, Deutschlandfunk, welt.de, faz.de, SWR, br.de, sz.de, Die Zeit, news4teachers.de, sz.de, a.o.
Ungleiche Bildungschancen: Ein Blick in die Bundesländer (with F. Schoner, V. Freundl, and F. Pfaehler). ifo Schnelldienst 77 (5): 49-62, 2024 [tweet]
Numerous crises are putting our society and our self-image as a democracy to the test. How can the education system help to strengthen the necessary integrative power of our increasingly individualized society and provide the foundations for peaceful and trusting coexistence? The new report by the Aktionsrat Bildung focuses on strengthening social cohesion, which can be measured and developed at various levels: at the micro level in people's attitudes and behavior, at the meso level in the characteristics of groups and at the macro level in the characteristics of social institutions. Based on an empirical inventory, the report shows the prerequisites for how the various phases of the education system can contribute to strengthening social cohesion in our society.
Bildung und sozialer Zusammenhalt. Gutachten des Aktionsrats Bildung. Münster: Waxmann, 2024
As a Distinguished Visiting Fellow, I am visiting the Hoover Institution at Stanford University in April/May during my sabbatical.
My contribution to the focus “Future of Schools - Schools of the Future” of “Akademie Aktuell” of the Bavarian Academy of Sciences and Humanities on measures for more equal opportunities in the German school system.
Für eine faire und leistungsfähige Gesellschaft. Akademie Aktuell 82 (1): 24-27, 2024
On April 16-17, 2024, the second CESifo/ifo Junior Workshop on Economics of Education took place with a fantastic program of exciting presentations by young scholars in the economics of education. CamilleTerrier (Queen Mary London) and Petter Lundborg (Lund) gave the keynote lectures. Young researchers from Harvard, Princeton, Chicago, Yale, Columbia, UCLA, LSE, PSE, and other renowned European universities presented in Munich.
Ich würde die Einstiegshürden anheben. Neun Fragen an Ludger Wößmann. Pädagogik 2/2024: 45, 2024
We study a mentoring program that aims to improve the labor market prospects of disadvantaged adolescents. Our randomized controlled trial investigates its effectiveness on three outcomes highly predictive of later labor market success: math grades, patience/social skills, and labor market orientation. For low-SES (socioeconomic status) adolescents, the mentoring increases a combined index of the outcomes by over half a standard deviation after 1 year, with significant increases in each outcome. Effects on grades and labor market orientation, but not on patience/social skills, persist 3 years after program start. By that time, the mentoring also improves early realizations of school-to-work transitions for low-SES adolescents. The mentoring is not effective for higher-SES adolescents.
Can Mentoring Alleviate Family Disadvantage in Adolescence? A Field Experiment to Improve Labor-Market Prospects (with S. Resnjanskij, J. Ruhose, S. Wiederhold, and K. Wedel). Journal of Political Economy 132 (3): 1013-1062, 2024 [tweet1] [video] [tweet2] [tweet3]
Mentoring Improves the School-to-Work Transition of Disadvantaged Adolescents (with S. Resnjanskij, J. Ruhose, K. Wedel, and S. Wiederhold). VoxEU.org, 17.12.2023
(Reprinted in: EconPol Forum 25 (1): 25-28, 2024)
The significant expansion of student testing has not generally been linked to educational outcomes. We investigate how different testing regimes—providing varying information to parents, teachers, and decisionmakers—relate to student achievement. We exploit PISA data for two million students in 59 countries observed from 2000-2015. Removing country and year fixed effects, we investigate how testing reforms affect country performance. In low- and medium-performing countries, more standardized testing is associated with higher student achievement, while added internal reporting and teacher monitoring are not. But, in high-performing countries, expansion of standardized internal testing and teacher monitoring appears harmful.
Testing (with A.B. Bergbauer and E.A. Hanushek). Journal of Human Resources 59 (2): 349-388, 2024 [tweet1] [tweet2] [video]
My keynote speech at the 7th Dortmund Symposium on Empirical Educational Research "Evaluation of the Education System: What Insights Do Current School Achievement Studies Provide?" has now been published in the symposium proceedings.
Erkenntnisse aus aktuellen Schulleistungsstudien zur Evaluation des Bildungssystems: Eine bildungsökonomische Perspektive. In: Nele McElvany, Michael Becker, Hanna Gaspard, Fani Lauermann, Annika Ohle-Peters (eds.), Evaluation des Bildungssystems: Welche Erkenntnisse liefern aktuelle Schulleistungsstudien? Dortmunder Symposium der Empirischen Bildungsforschung, Band 7, Münster: Waxmann, 9-32, 2024
Ensuring that all children in the world obtain at least basic skills is paramount for world development. At least two thirds of the world’s youth do not even reach basic skill levels – i.e., the world is incredibly short of meeting the Sustainable Development Goal of universal quality education. This is the result of our new study which combines multiple data sources from international tests to conduct a cross-country analysis of basic skills using a common achievement scale. Skill deficits range from 24 percent in North America and the European Union to 89 percent in South Asia and 94 percent in Sub-Saharan Africa. An economic analysis suggests that the world is missing out on over $700 trillion in economic output over the remaining century, or 12 percent of future GDP, by failing to reach the goal of global universal basic skills.
A World Unprepared: Missing Skills for Development (with S. Gust and E.A. Hanushek). EconPol Forum 25 (2): 43-46, 2024
I am visiting Monash University and the Melbourne Institute at the University of Melbourne in February/March as part of my sabbatical.
If school closures and social-distancing experiences during the Covid-19 pandemic impeded children’s skill development, they may leave a lasting legacy in human capital. Our parental survey during the second German school lockdown provides new measures of socio-emotional development and panel evidence on how students’ time use and educational inputs adapted over time. Children’s learning time decreased severely during the first school closures, particularly for low-achieving students, and increased only slightly one year later. In a value-added model, learning time increases with daily online class instruction, but not with other school activities. Parental assessments of children’s socio-emotional development are mixed. Discussing our findings in light of the emerging literature on substantial achievement losses, we conclude that unless remediated, the school closures will persistently increase inequality and reduce skill development, lifetime income, and economic growth.
The Legacy of Covid-19 in Education (with K. Werner). Economic Policy 38 (115): 609-668, 2023 [tweet1] [tweet2] [more on Covid]
Mentoring programs can strongly improve the transition from school to work for disadvantaged adolescents. Results from our field experiment indicate that a German mentoring program markedly boosts school achievement, patience, and labor-market orientation of students from highly disadvantaged backgrounds. The effects on math grades and labor-market orientation extend beyond the end of the program. Three years after program start, the mentoring program substantially increases the share of disadvantaged adolescents who start an apprenticeship, a vital step for success in the German labor market. The results show that substituting a lack of family support with other adults can help disadvantaged children in adolescence.
Mentoring Improves the School-to-Work Transition of Disadvantaged Adolescents (with S. Resnjanskij, J. Ruhose, K. Wedel, and S. Wiederhold). EconPol Forum 25 (1): 25-28, 2024