Notes and Considerations
Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting (Montgomery)
Example 4.6, p. 208
Adaptive simple (single) exponential smoothing
The code and results/output are in the file "CH04 Example 4-6 Adaptive Exponential Smoothing.docx" attached below.
Data Set
Dow Jones data
Data from Table 4.1
Available at the bottom of the book page Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting (Montgomery) in the file "DATA Montgomery TS data for chapter examples.xlsx"
Also embedded in the R script file below.
Analysis or Script File
See the file "CH04 Example 4-6 Adaptive Exponential Smoothing.R" attached below.