East W L GB Last R RA
Manhattan 88 64 - 9-7 10 1
Brooklyn 83 69 5 6-10 2 15
Boston 83 69 5 11-5 1 13
Toronto 74 78 14 6-10 3 16
Montreal 73 79 15 9-7 5 17
Washington 72 80 16 5-11 16 12
Keystone 69 83 19 8-8 7 11
Havana 67 85 21 10-7 18 10
Florida 64 88 24 9-8 15 8
West W L GB Last R RA
Cleveland 90 62 - 9-7 8 3
Minneapolis 83 69 7 7-9 5 9
Denver 82 70 8 8-8 9 6
Atlanta 80 72 10 11-5 11 4
St. Louis 80 72 10 8-8 14 2
Chicago 79 73 11 9-7 4 5
Seattle 74 78 16 8-8 12 7
Detroit 68 84 22 3-13 13 14
Los Angeles 59 93 31 9-7 17 18
With 10 games to play in the UL's 1997 season, most—but not all—playoff berths have been claimed. The East Division playoff field will feature the same three teams as last year, but the West Division race still features five teams battling for three spots, with two of last year's playoff teams (Atlanta and Chicago) currently on the outside looking in. Every team plays each of its division opponents in the season's final 10 days—and three times over the final 30 days—a feature of the league's back-loaded divisional schedule, so every day will feature a matchup with postseason ramifications.
Cleveland Barons
Closing in on a second straight division pennant (a first) and the first back-to-back playoff appearances since 1973-74, Cleveland is also the favorite to win the President's Trophy, with 90 wins—two more than Manhattan. The Barons 3rd-ranked pitching staff was revitalized by the renaissance of Jose DeLeon. The 36-year-old Dominican righthander is having his best year (11-7, 2.84) since leaving San Francisco in 1993.
Manhattan Gray Sox
With a five-game lead with eight to play, the Gray Sox are prohibitive favorites to win back-to-back pennants for the first time since winning every Atlantic Division pennant during its six-year existence from 1984-89. Manhattan, playing in the pinball machine they call Hudson Yards, is the surprise #1 pitching team, led by Rookie of the Year frontrunner Matt Morris (15-10, 2.52).
Brooklyn Superbas, Boston Federals
All three of last year's East Division playoff teams are poised to return to the dance. The Superbas are set to celebrate the return of longtime GM Glen Reed by finishing in the top-2 in runs for just the second time in two decades, thanks to the addition of rookie 3B Scott Spiezio (83 RBI, .802 OPS) and All-Star catcher Dave Nilsson (.311, .893 OPS). Meanwhile, the defending champs, Boston, are 21-12 since July and have been scoring in bunches, thanks largely to Jim Thome's breakout year (.294-35-102, .955 OPS). Last year's playoff hero, Julian Tavarez, will likely be the UL's only 20 game winner after going 13-1 since June 6.
Minneapolis Foxes / Denver 14ers
In their third year in the North Star State, the Fridley Foxes will—barring disaster—win the most games in franchise history since 1978 and earn their first playoff appearance since 1986. Scott Rolen (.306-31-103, .914 OPS) leads the 5th-ranked offense at the tender age of 22, and closer Ricky Rincon (40 SV) is closing in on the rookie saves record and has helped the club to a 28-20 record in one-run games. Denver, meanwhile, is chasing down its second postseason in two dozen years, the only other coming in 1980, the year of the Third World War. New ace Greg Mathews (16-11, 3.25, 5.0 WAR) is having a career year at age 34, but the Teeners' rotation was thinning out by a midseason trading spree and the loss of Andy Benes (8-11, 3.62, 3.4 WAR) to a shoulder injury.
Outside Looking In
Three West teams are breathing down the necks of MPS and DEN. Atlanta and St. Louis are two games back and Chicago is three, but all are mathematically still in the hunt. Atlanta and Chicago were both playoff teams last year, and the Toppers have won seven straight, while the Colts have lost their last four. Pedro Martinez (17-1, 2.12) is threatening the single season winning percentage record and Fernie Valenzuela has a 1.61 ERA in three September starts. Atlanta plays Minneapolis and Denver on Sept. 28-29 and will likely need to win both of those games (plus probably five of their other six) to land in the top three. First-year GM Jeremy Lemmon inherited a roster of aging veterans, and while the offense flamed out, the strict four-man rotation with three 36-year-olds somehow has produced the second-best pitching performance in the league. Bret Saberhagen (18-10, 2.49), who famously won 19 games three years in a row with Washington in 1988-90 could finally get his first 20-win season while posting the second best WAR of his 14-year career. Under second-year GM Peter Vays, the Colts were supposed to be in rebuilding mode, but have strung together four straight winning months to stay in the hunt, though a four-game skid has diminished their odds.
Individual Achievements
Montreal's Vladimir Guerrero is about the fifth or sixth player to lead the batting race, though Roberto Alomar (CLE), John Olerud (CHI), last year's MVP Juan Gonzalez (TOR), and teammate Brad Fullmer are all within 10 points. Detroit's Ryan Klesko (43 HR) and Gonzalez (118 RBI) have the HR and RBI titles locked up. Klesko also leads the league in OPS (1.060), but his MVP credentials are hurt by his relatively modest 93 RBI (thanks to 30 of his 43 HRs being solo pokes) and the fact that the Griffins are miles closer to the Waffle House than to the playoff zone.
Pedro Martinez is on the inside track for two-thirds of the Triple Crown, though he leads the ERA race over Boston's Tavarez and Julio Valera (WAS) by just 11 and 16 points, respectively. Tavarez and even Saberhagen could steal votes from Pedro, who is not quite a lock for his third Cy Young Award.
Big Apple August
Superbas, Sox Surge Atop East
The two New York City clubs pulled ahead of the pack in August, raising the prospect of their first postseason clash since 1976. The Manhattan Gray Sox and Brooklyn Superbas—who have been tied for 1st more than 20 days so far this season—compiled identical 18-9 records in the month, creating a nine-game cushion for playoff qualification.
The two clubs have taken very different paths to success this season. Manhattan, surprisingly, is the #1 pitching team, allowing just 3.4 runs per game with a team ERA of 3.08. Playing in one of the friendliest hitters’ parks in the league, the Gray Sox have had below average pitching for most of the last decade, before climbing to 5th last year.
On the other hand, Brooklyn is the league’s top offense, averaging 4.9 runs per game,with a team batting average of .272 and team OPS of .766 (both league bests). Brooklyn has ranked in the top half in both batting and pitching the least four seasons, making the playoffs three times, but this year their offense is #1 and their pitching has tanked to #14.
Manhattan's rotation combined for 20 quality starts in August, led by Bobby Munoz, who was quality in all six of his starts for a 3-0 record and 1.94 ERA. A 29-year-old Puerto Rican righthander, Munoz came into the season with a career ERA north of 4.70 and a losing record. This year, he is 11-4 with a 2.51 ERA and ranks fifth in the league in ERA. Another star was Matt Morris, who won Rookie of the Month with a 4-1, 1.69 August. A 23-year-old from Middletown, N.Y., Morris was the 9th overall pick in this year's draft and is a frontrunner for Rookie of the Year.
Brooklyn's surge was all offense. Three Superbas drove in 20+ runs in the month, and two had OPSs over .900. New addition Dave Nilsson, an Australian catcher and former batting champion while with Detroit in 1994, hit .361 with a .963 OPS in August to overtake John Olerud (CHI) and Tony Gwynn (ATL) for the lead in the batting race. Another newcomer, rookie 3B Scott Spiezio, hit .309-4-22 with a .900 OPS. Red Hook’s new stars have helped compensate for the lackluster production of perennial all-star CF Ken Griffey Jr, who has struggled to a .263 average and .796 OPS, both career lows.
Throughout UL history, Manhattan and Brooklyn have rarely been good at the same time. Brooklyn's dynasty ruled the late 50s and early 60s, and Manhattan was the dominant team of the 70s. The two NYC clubs have both made the playoffs just three times: in 1976, 1984, and 1996, including the Subway Series in 1976, their one and only postseason meeting. Last year, the teams tied for first, with Brooklyn claiming the pennant on the tiebreaker. However, Manhattan lost the Hex Series to Boston, who went on to beat Brooklyn and Cleveland on its way to the title. Fans throughout the tri-state away are clammering for another Subway Series. Will this be the year?
Feds Lurking
Meanwhile, the defending champion Boston Federals outperformed both clubs, posting a 20-7 record to pull four games clear of the playoff zone. Boston more closely fits the Brooklyn mold, an offensive juggernaught ranking 2nd in runs and 15th in runs against. Boston’s attack is led by three hitters on pace for 30-100 seasons: Sammy Sosa (.308-26-74), Jim Thome (.287-29-88), and Howard Johnson (.261-22-85).
And while the pitching overall has been below average, the rotation ranks 6th in ERA and ace Julian Tavarez (18-3, 2.23) is one of the top three hurlers in the league and a legit Cy Young candidate. The 24-year-old Dominican northpaw had a 4.68 ERA last year, but turned it up a notch in the postseason, posting a 1.71 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in five playoff starts. Tavarez found some magic last October and his spell of dominance has continued into 1997; he ranks 3rd in ERA and leads the league in wins.
If the trifecta of Manhattan, Brooklyn, and Boston repeats, it would be the first time that all three East playoff teams returned to the postseason the following year. And all three teams are slated to be in the Atlantic grouping when the league splits into three divisions in 1998, ensuring that the three-way rivalry will endure into the next century.
Six-Way Duel in Wild, Wild West
Barons Slump, Foxes Close Gap
Maroons, Colts, Toppers Within Striking Distance
The clarity of the West Division race one month ago has been muddied. On Aug. 1, the Cleveland Barons were running away with the division—and the President's Trophy—with a dominant 71-39 record (.645), while Denver and Minneapolis were grappling for the 2 and 3 spots. The rest of the pack stood five or more games behind the top three.
Heading into the final month, the Foxes have trimmed Cleveland's lead from eight to five games, and St. Louis, Chicago, and Atlanta have re-entered the playoff picture, due more to the lackluster play at the top of the division than their own brilliance. With so much to unpack, let’s start at the top of the division, where Charlie Qualls’ seemingly inexorable march to the pennant has suddenly run into some question marks after a 10-17 August, the Barons’ worst month in four years.
Cleveland started the month 4-14, shrinking their lead over Minneapolis from eight to four games. Cleveland scored two runs or less 12 times in August, including five one-run games during a seven-game skid in the middle of the month. Star slugger Jim Edmonds missed 14 starts with a rib cage strain, but the larger issue was an across-the-board offensive meltdown. Try these numbers on for size:
• #2 hitter Dwight Smith hit .222 with a .290 OBP.
• #6 hitter Alex Rodriguez hit .243 with a .286 OBP.
• #7 and 8 hitters Craig Grebeck and Shawn Abner hit .152 and .133, respectively.
The offensive blackout spoiled what was by all accounts (except wins) a stellar month for ace Ismael Valdez, who posted a 0.92 ERA and 0.61 WHIP but was just 3-1 in five starts. The bottom of the Barons' rotation has been a key to their #3 overall pitching rank. Jose DeLeon and Alex Fernandez have identical 2.95 ERA. And #2 starter Greg Swindell has been marvelous since coming over from L.A. in May (7-3, 3.03, 0.97 WHIP).
Cleveland’s rough month allowed Minneapolis to close the gap despite barely playing over .500 (14-13). The Foxes are the UL's surprise team of the year, due mostly to the precocious campaigns of sophomore 3B Scott Rolen and rookies SP Jose Rosado, and closer Ricardo Rincon. The young trio has combined for 10.2 WAR. Rolen is batting .306-25-89, .900 and is 2nd in WAR and 6th in RBIs. The 22-year-old Rosado was slotted into the #2 starting role and has responded by going 11-9 with a 3.03 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. And closer Rincon leads the league with 35 saves to go with an 8-4 record and 2.92 ERA. The question for the Foxes down the stretch will be can their pitching hold up through the vigors of a pennant race and playoff run? Scoring runs is clearly not going to be a problem.
The Denver 14ers have managed to stay in the playoff zone later into the season than anytime since 1980, their one and only playoff year. Denver joins Cleveland and Chicago as the only three clubs to rank in the top eight in both runs and runs against. Denver’s offensive star has been Mark Grace (.314-18-78), who leads the club in batting, home runs, and RBIs. The defensive star is center fielder Darin Erstad, who has a 18.8 ZR, third best among outfielders. And the pitching star has been ace Greg Mathews (14-9, 3.37, 1.16 WHIP), who ranks 8th in strikeouts and 9th in WAR. The bullpen has also helped key the Teeners' success, with Todd Frohwirth (1.80, 20 SV), Keith Foulke (1.88), and Hideo Nomo (12-5, 10 SV) leading the way.
Denver hit a worrying patch in mid-month, when they lost four straight, including three at home, while scoring a grand total of one run across the four games. The team average of .161 (19-118) over those games was all the more puzzling as it came directly after a 10-0, 17-hit drubbing of Chicago. Denver had a similar slump in mid-July—a five-game skid when they averaged around two runs per game. And lest you think Denver just ran into great pitching, the starters Denver faced in its mid-August slump were Justin Thompson, Denny Neagle, Rusty Meacham, and Dave Beard—four names that are nowhere to be found on the pitching leaderboards. Given that history, the 14ers seem susceptible to scoring slumps that could threaten their hold on a top-3 spot down the stretch. And given the club's history, a September collapse is more likely than not.
The St. Louis Maroons were 15-12 in August, which was the best record among the West contenders and allowed the Dark Reds to enter the final month just two games out of the playoff zone. St. Louis ranks 2nd in pitching, up from 4th in 1995 and 3rd last year. The league’s second-best rotation is led by veteran right-hander Bret Saberhagen, who is having a career year (16-9, 2.47, 0.99 WHIP, 225 K) and is a Cy Young candidate exactly 10 years after his first award in 1987. Jim Gott, age 37, has also picked up where he left off last year, when he became one of the most surprising 20-game winners in recent times. Gott is 12-6, 2.91 with a 1.22 WHIP and a 3.8 WAR. Offensively, the Maroons have stunk, ranking 14th in runs, despite ranking 5th in home runs. Chipper Jones has hit 29 dingers, but 21 were solo shots, yielding a relatively modest 78 RBIs. So who is failing to set the table for Chipper? #1 hitter David Justice (.318 OBP) and #2 hitter Tony Batista (.273 OBP). But its not a batting order issue. Those two are the best options for the 1-2 spots, which speaks to the overall weakness of the offense. Four-time MVP Barry Bonds' summer slump hasn’t helped. After OPSing 1.005 in June, Barry OPSed .938 in July and .666 in August, with just two home runs, his lowest monthly homer output since Hector was a pup. St. Louis will need to improve its run production to make a run at the top 3 and a playoff return.
Two other once-elite clubs still hanging around in the West Divison race are the Chicago Colts and the Atlanta Hilltoppers. Chicago was 14-13 in August and is four games out of the top-3, but is the only team in the UL in the top five in both runs and runs against, which arguably makes them more slump-proof. The Ponies are getting a career year from batting champion contender 1B John Olerud, which is saying something for a guy with a career average of .305 and career OBP of .384. They are also getting solid production from all five starters in the rotation, including 39-year-old Charlie Lea, who got his 200th career win on Aug. 30.
Atlanta (69-67) is probably the season’s biggest disappointment. As usual, the Toppers’ fortunes rise or fall on the run support for their stellar pitching staff. All-time greats Tony Gwynn and Wade Boggs (who, by the way, have combined for 6425 career hits) are batting .309 and the rest of the team is batting .232. Leadoff man Kenny Lofton? .309 OBP. #3 hitter Manny Ramirez? .226 average and .722 OPS. #7-8 hitters Andy Fox and Charles Johnson? Below the Mendoza line. Nothing speaks to Atlanta’s lack of offense than Pedro Martinez’ no-decision record. Pedro has a 2.10 ERA, opponent average of .186, and 24/27 quality starts, yet has only 16 wins, meaning eight of his quality outings have failed to yield a victory. Kenny Lofton started to show some life in August, batting .300 with a .385 OBP, but Manny has OPSed under .750 for four straight months and shows no sign of snapping out of his season-long slump.
Batting Average
+Dave Nilsson BRO .330
John Olerud CHI .329
Roberto Alomar CLE .326
Juan Gonzalez TOR .324
Tony Gwynn ATL .324
+Vladi Guerrero MON .322
Ryan Klesko DET .318
+Johnny Damon SEA .315
+Mark Grace DEN .314
Mike Greenwell BRO .309
RBIs
Juan Gonzalez TOR 106
Alex Rodriguez CLE 98
+Ryan Klesko DET 93
Wil Cordero KEY 91
Todd Helton DET 89
Scott Rolen MPS 89
+Jim Thome BOS 88
Jim Edmonds CLE 86
Howard Johnson BOS 85
+Carlos Delgado CLE 84
Infield Zone Rating
Tony Graffanino MAN 25.7
Rey Sanchez STL 23.1
Benji Gil SEA 20.2
Tony Batista STL 18.2
+Craig Grebeck CLE 15.7
Home Runs
Ryan Klesko DET 43
Eric Karros TOR 33
Juan Gonzalez TOR 31
Wil Cordero KEY 30
Chipper Jones STL 29
+Jim Thome BOS 29
Gary Sheffield WAS 28
Alex Rodriguez CLE 27
+Carlos Delgado CLE 26
Manny Ramirez ATL 26
Sammy Sosa BOS 26
bWAR
Rondell White KEY 7.5
Scott Rolen MPS 7.2
Vladi Guerrero MON 7.0
Ryan Klesko DET 6.9
Chipper Jones STL 6.7
Jim Thome BOS 6.6
John Olerud CHI 6.5
Jim Edmonds CLE 6.3
Gary Sheffield WAS 6.2
+Roberto Alomar CLE 5.7
Outfield Zone Rating
Andruw Jones WAS 21.9
F.P. Santangelo MAN 21.1
Darin Erstad DEN 18.8
Rondell White ATL 16.2
Michael Tucker STL 14.1
Earned Run Average
Pedro Martinez ATL 2.10
Julio Valera WAS 2.12
Julian Tavarez BOS 2.23
Bret Saberhagen STL 2.47
Bobby Munoz MAN 2.51
Matt Morris MAN 2.51
Rheal Cormier CHI 2.58
Pat Hentgen MAN 2.60
+Ismael Valdez CLE 2.61
+Sean Bergman HAV 2.61
Strikeouts
Pedro Martinez ATL 251
Bret Saberhagen STL 225
Sean Bergman HAV 202
Kevin Brown BRO 192
Steve Cooke CHI 187
Britt Burns STL 180
Pat Hentgen MAN 179
+Greg Mathews DEN 175
Mike Timlin BRO 175
Roger Clemens MAN 174
Top Rookies (WAR)
Matt Morris MAN 4.2
Brad Fullmer MON 4.0
Damian Miller MAN 3.5
+Scott Spiezio BRO 3.4
O. Cabrera KEY 2.7
Wins
Julian Tavarez BOS 18
Pedro Martinez ATL 16
Brett Saberhagen STL 16
Mike Mason WAS 15
Scott Sanderson BRO 15
Pat Hentgen MAN 14
Greg Mathews DEN 14
Mike Timlin BRO 14
+Kevin Brown BRO 13
Butch Henry KEY 13
+Matt Morris MAN 13
pWAR
Bret Saberhagen STL 6.9
Sean Bergman HAV 6.6
Pedro Martinez ATL 6.3
Mike Timlin BRO 4.9
Mike Mason WAS 4.7
Terry Adams DET 4.5
Jon Lieber BOS 4.3
Ismael Valdez CLE 4.3
+Greg Mathews DEN 4.2
+Matt Morris MAN 4.2
Batter of the Month
APR Juan Gonzalez TOR
MAY Chipper Jones STL
JUN John Olerud CHI
JUL Ryan Klesko DET
AUG
SEP
Pitcher of the Month
APR Mike Mason WAS
MAY Bret Saberhagen STL
JUN Bret Saberhagen STL
JUL Sean Bergman HAV
AUG
SEP
Rookie of the Month
APR Scott Spiezio BRO
MAY Ricardo Rincon MPS
JUN Jose Rosado MPS
JUL Matt Morris MAN
AUG
SEP
Player of the Week
4/7 Orlando Merced FLO
4/14 Garret Anderson MPS
4/21 Mike Mussina FLO
4/28 Del DeShields DEN
5/5 Ivan Calderon BRO
5/12 Ryan Klesko DET
5/19 Eric Karros TOR
5/26 Garret Anderson MPS
6/2 Chipper Jones STL
6/9 Marty Cordova BRO
6/16 John Olerud CHI
6/23 Scott Rolen MPS
6/30 Ryan Klesko DET
7/7 Alex Rodriguez CLE
7/14 John Valentin BRO
7/21 Orlando Cabrera KEY
7/28 Cory Snyder TOR
8/4 Juan Gonzalez TOR
8/11 Ryan Klesko DET
8/18 Juan Gonzalez TOR
8/25 Albert Belle BOS
9/1 Mark Grace DEN
9/8
9/15
9/22
9/29