Diverting Risk: Supporting Climate Resilience through Fire-Risk Modelling within the City of Edmonton

2016 Ft. McMurray Wildfire Evacuation. Image from Google Images Archives


PIs: Dr. Tae J. Kwon and Dr. Karim El-Basyouny

Funding Source: Alberta EcoTrust

Project Overview

As climate change continues, Alberta is experiencing an increased intensity in its annual fire season. As such, this poses a severe risk to Alberta's people, property, environment, and infrastructures and this is a risk that must be managed. For example, the Edmonton river valley, which is the largest stretch of parkland in a North American city (Caldo), runs directly through the urban area. In addition, increased use of the city’s green spaces adds to the potential threat of fires caused by human activity that may burn out of control due to higher temperatures and lower levels of precipitation (Climate Atlas, 2018). Coupled with the proximity of the river valley to both residential and commercial areas, the need for a fire-risk modeling and a comprehensive emergency response plan are significant to ensuring Edmonton is a climate resilient city.

Thus, it is important for city authorities to have accurate knowledge of the green spaces as well as which areas pose the highest risk of fire based on the ignition sources (i.e., vegetation, terrain, and weather) in that area. Using this information, city planners can design an effective emergency response and evacuation plan that includes information about transportation facilities and their accessibility.