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Financial Modeling is the Process of Creating a Numerical Representation of Financial Performance to Forecast Future Results and Guide Strategic Decisions.
It combines historical financial data with assumptions about the future to estimate key financial metrics like revenue, expenses, and cash flow.
CAPITAL ASSETS
Asset-Based Approach
Equity
Market Value vs Intrinsic Value
Formula: Arbitrage Pricing Theory Model
E(R)i=E(R)z+(E(I)−E(R)z)×βn
where:
E(R)i=Expected return on the asset
Rz=Risk-free rate of return
βn=Sensitivity of the asset price to macroeconomicfactor n
Ei=Risk premium associated with factor i
Mathematical Model for the APT
Finance
Ethics
Weighted Average Cost of Capital
Digital technology has helped to transform the Financial Services Industry, changing how we save, borrow, invest, and pay for goods.
An enabling regulatory and institutional framework and a level playing field for conventional and Islamic banks is critical for the sound and stable growth of the Islamic Banking Industry.
While large banks continue to invest in Mobile Banking, FinTech companies, like Stripe, help small businesses conduct online payments, and investment broker Robinhood seeks to democratize investing and finance. These innovations have increased the number of financial providers available to consumers, borrowers, and businesses.
The Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) is an alternative to the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAMP) that uses fewer assumptions and can be harder to implement than the CAPM. While both are useful, many investors prefer to use the CAPM, a one-factor model, over the more complicated APT, which requires users to quantify multiple factors.
Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) is a Multi-Factor Asset Pricing Model based on the idea that an asset's returns can be predicted using the linear relationship between the asset’s expected return and a number of macroeconomic variables that capture systematic risk. It is a useful tool for analyzing portfolios from a Value Investing perspective, in order to identify securities that may be temporarily mispriced.
Key Takeaways
Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) is a multi-factor asset pricing model based on the idea that an asset's returns can be predicted using the linear relationship between the asset’s expected return and a number of macroeconomic variables that capture systematic risk.
Unlike the Capital Asset Pricing Mode (CAPM), which assumes markets are perfectly efficient, APT assumes markets sometimes misprice securities, before the market eventually corrects and securities move back to fair value.
Using APT, arbitrageurs hope to take advantage of any deviations from fair market value.
Formula: Arbitrage Pricing Theory Model
E(R)i=E(R)z+(E(I)−E(R)z)×βn
where:
E(R)i=Expected return on the asset
Rz=Risk-free rate of return
βn=Sensitivity of the asset price to macroeconomicfactor n
Ei=Risk premium associated with factor i
Mathematical Model for the APT
While APT is more flexible than the CAPM, it is more complex. The CAPM only takes into account one factor—market risk—while the APT formula has multiple factors. And it takes a considerable amount of research to determine how sensitive a security is to various macroeconomic risks.
The factors as well as how many of them are used are subjective choices, which means investors will have varying results depending on their choice. However, four or five factors will usually explain most of a security's return. (For more on the differences between the CAPM and APT, read more about
CAPM and Arbitrage Pricing Theory
APT factors are the systematic risk that cannot be reduced by the diversification of an investment portfolio. The macroeconomic factors that have proven most reliable as price predictors include unexpected changes in inflation, Gross National Product (GNP), corporate bond spreads and shifts in the yield curve.
Other commonly used factors are Gross Domestic Product (GDP), commodities prices, market indices, and exchange rates.
The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) describes the relationship between Systematic Risk or the general perils of investing, and Expected Return for assets, particularly stocks. It is a Finance Model that establishes a linear relationship between the required return on an investment and risk.
CAPM is based on the relationship between an asset’s Beta, the Risk-Free Rate (typically the Treasury Bill Rate), and the Equity Risk Premium, or the expected return on the market minus the risk-free rate.
CAPM evolved as a way to measure this systematic risk. It is widely used throughout finance for pricing risky Securities and generating expected returns for assets, given the risk of those assets and Cost of Capital.
Fundamental Analysis Tools and Methods
Valuing Non-Public Companies
Introduction to Company Valuation
Financial Statements
Financial Ratios
Fundamental Analysis Basics
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