2012 season‎ > ‎

2013-01-08

1 Alabama 1.272246
2 Notre Dame 1.262590
3 Ohio St. 1.130675
4 Oregon 1.124257
5 Stanford 1.118317
6 Florida 1.036678
7 South Carolina 0.916882
8 Georgia 0.906988
9 Texas A&M 0.892340
10 Kansas St. 0.862370
11 Clemson 0.728865
12 Florida St. 0.687145
13 San Jose St. 0.678676
14 LSU 0.664677
15 Oklahoma 0.637094
16 Utah St. 0.570912
17 Louisville 0.531596
18 Nebraska 0.531194
19 Boise St. 0.484210
20 Northwestern 0.440054
21 Arkansas St. 0.396077
22 Northern Illinois 0.376978
23 Texas 0.356202
24 Oregon St. 0.349987
25 Cincinnati 0.330280
26 Tulsa 0.238460
27 Louisiana Tech 0.189611
28 Vanderbilt 0.180443
29 Ball St. 0.177812
30 Michigan 0.175873
31 Penn St. 0.160933
32 Central Florida 0.141917
33 Baylor 0.109159
34 Toledo 0.104624
35 Oklahoma St. 0.094677
36 Fresno St. 0.073070
37 Arizona 0.057768
38 Rutgers 0.037907
39 San Diego St. 0.031273
40 Kent St. 0.012303
41 UCLA 0.009719
42 Wisconsin -0.007973
43 Syracuse -0.028343
44 Texas Tech -0.046407
45 Louisiana-Lafayette -0.046861
46 North Carolina -0.060484
47 Mississippi St. -0.068243
48 Brigham Young -0.102199
49 Southern California -0.116248
50 Michigan St. -0.140070
51 Arizona St. -0.149973
52 U. Miami -0.166163
53 Ohio -0.169472
54 Ole Miss -0.174526
55 Navy -0.195488
56 TCU -0.211776
57 Bowling Green -0.234155
58 West Virginia -0.235179
59 Georgia Tech -0.241301
60 Virginia Tech -0.244203
61 East Carolina -0.289797
62 Missouri -0.304101
63 Washington -0.314949
64 Middle Tennessee -0.338480
65 Louisiana-Monroe -0.363089
66 Texas-San Antonio -0.380061
67 Iowa St. -0.389275
68 Duke -0.489245
69 North Carolina St. -0.519265
70 Tennessee -0.558551
71 Purdue -0.582926
72 Central Michigan -0.646015
73 Utah -0.659124
74 Southern Methodist -0.666632
75 Arkansas -0.684630
76 Western Kentucky -0.706545
77 Minnesota -0.715022
78 Rice -0.730794
79 Wake Forest -0.813690
80 Nevada (Reno) -0.823931
81 Pittsburgh -0.873220
82 Iowa -0.903889
83 Houston -0.912969
84 Indiana -0.918934
85 Temple -0.925047
86 Troy -0.988540
87 Miami U. -0.988821
88 Auburn -0.989989
89 Buffalo -1.000596
90 North Texas -1.021696
91 Marshall -1.035219
92 Cal (Berkeley) -1.037696
93 Connecticut -1.056078
94 South Florida -1.097833
95 Virginia -1.101152
96 Texas St. -1.223333
97 Florida International -1.272196
98 Kentucky -1.278753
99 Wyoming -1.285421
100 UTEP -1.296583
101 Maryland -1.331854
102 Air Force -1.376853
103 Memphis -1.386174
104 Illinois -1.417336
105 Kansas -1.483479
106 Colorado St. -1.515349
107 Hawaii -1.604866
108 Boston College -1.634373
109 Washington St. -1.652409
110 Florida Atlantic -1.662554
111 Eastern Michigan -1.677783
112 Tulane -1.700453
113 Alabama-Birmingham -1.705804
114 Western Michigan -1.737076
115 New Mexico -1.830074
116 Colorado -1.900898
117 Idaho -1.997315
118 Southern Mississippi -2.055049
119 Army -2.068148
120 Massachusetts -2.169222
121 South Alabama -2.308939
122 Akron -2.448539
123 UNLV -2.598048
124 New Mexico St. -2.643711
The following list is a normal function of my formula, but it's still something I consider worth noting.  If I don't adjust these ratings, very large negative numbers are produced so that a team can have a number of good wins combined with one bad loss and fall below another team with no good wins and somewhat bad losses.  So essentially the following teams are bad losses, but I have capped the negative effect of losing to these teams and in the process, I have added to the ratings of teams who have beaten these.  These are all teams that have beaten at least one FBS (I-A) opponent, so I don't think it's unfair to give them this baseline rating.  The list should generally get smaller as the season progresses, but one problem is that if a team is 1-5 and not on this list, the same team may appear on it if it ends up with a record of 1-11, for instance.  Also, an 0-6 team won't be on the list, but if they win the next game, then they probably would be on the list.
Army
Boston College
Colorado
Idaho
Illinois
Kentucky
Massachusetts
South Alabama
Tulane
UNLV
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