2012 season‎ > ‎

2012-10-21

1 Notre Dame 0.762718
2 Florida 0.668819
3 Alabama 0.623489
4 Kansas St. 0.618152
5 Ohio St. 0.598763
6 Oregon 0.556392
7 Oregon St. 0.553334
8 LSU 0.430669
9 Texas Tech 0.412666
10 Rutgers 0.400988
11 Mississippi St. 0.342196
12 Louisville 0.295108
13 Toledo 0.290640
14 Oklahoma 0.285157
15 South Carolina 0.269432
16 Florida St. 0.253209
17 Ohio 0.222962
18 Boise St. 0.208468
19 Stanford 0.205439
20 West Virginia 0.204749
21 Texas 0.190309
22 Georgia 0.179171
23 Clemson 0.177168
24 Southern California 0.175523
25 Wisconsin 0.169704
26 Texas A&M 0.153755
27 Louisiana Tech 0.143673
28 Tulsa 0.142528
29 Michigan 0.109978
30 Nebraska 0.109756
31 Cincinnati 0.100648
32 Northwestern 0.058565
33 Northern Illinois 0.039949
34 Arizona 0.027904
35 Duke -0.003470
36 Utah St. -0.011490
37 San Jose St. -0.011898
38 Iowa St. -0.031023
39 TCU -0.036218
40 Oklahoma St. -0.064157
41 North Carolina -0.065118
42 Western Kentucky -0.066603
43 UCLA -0.069627
44 Arizona St. -0.098108
45 Central Florida -0.135068
46 Navy -0.189925
47 Ole Miss -0.210840
48 U. Miami -0.223421
49 Fresno St. -0.226071
50 Baylor -0.232366
51 Minnesota -0.233565
52 Arkansas St. -0.238866
53 Washington -0.244560
54 Michigan St. -0.253283
55 Kent St. -0.261544
56 Wake Forest -0.263596
57 Bowling Green -0.300237
58 Purdue -0.301193
59 Louisiana-Monroe -0.313655
60 Maryland -0.323413
61 Nevada (Reno) -0.339346
62 Troy -0.341824
63 Temple -0.342512
64 East Carolina -0.343916
65 Tennessee -0.352408
66 San Diego St. -0.377341
67 Missouri -0.406250
68 Vanderbilt -0.417679
69 Virginia Tech -0.420406
70 Texas-San Antonio -0.452565
71 Arkansas -0.466674
72 Iowa -0.473059
73 Penn St. -0.487243
74 Syracuse -0.497435
75 North Carolina St. -0.499786
76 Louisiana-Lafayette -0.501142
77 North Texas -0.532704
78 Miami U. -0.540227
79 Brigham Young -0.591525
80 Texas St. -0.602872
81 Utah -0.614271
82 Air Force -0.621401
83 Georgia Tech -0.668922
84 Middle Tennessee -0.677049
85 Cal (Berkeley) -0.694966
86 Illinois -0.699375
87 Indiana -0.699719
88 Houston -0.735029
89 Ball St. -0.739057
90 Southern Methodist -0.795714
91 Hawaii -0.799214
92 Auburn -0.850408
93 Connecticut -0.864507
94 Marshall -0.926403
95 UTEP -0.964545
96 Central Michigan -1.009796
97 Alabama-Birmingham -1.014143
98 South Florida -1.040735
99 New Mexico -1.060333
100 Virginia -1.091612
101 Washington St. -1.099779
102 South Alabama -1.109377
103 Western Michigan -1.148011
104 Tulane -1.216661
105 Southern Mississippi -1.229493
106 Pittsburgh -1.235254
107 Kentucky -1.285958
108 Boston College -1.287726
109 Memphis -1.311679
110 Colorado St. -1.312416
111 Wyoming -1.323555
112 Kansas -1.369464
113 Florida Atlantic -1.381753
114 Eastern Michigan -1.441754
115 Rice -1.548336
116 Colorado -1.564086
117 Florida International -1.637353
118 Idaho -1.739298
119 UNLV -1.776866
120 Massachusetts -1.970056
121 Army -2.092819
122 Buffalo -2.128927
123 New Mexico St. -2.315608
124 Akron -2.480029
The teams with strengths of schedules that had to be adjusted are as follows:
Ohio

Part of my formula subtracts the strength of schedule number (provided in the "SoS" links to the left) from 12, and Ohio's SoS number is over 13.

The following list is a normal function of my formula, but it's still something I consider worth noting.  If I don't adjust these ratings, very large negative numbers are produced so that a team can have a number of good wins combined with one bad loss and fall below another team with no good wins and somewhat bad losses.  So essentially the following teams are bad losses (at least statistically), but I have capped the negative effect of losing to these teams and in the process, I have added to the ratings of teams who have beaten these.  These are all teams that have beaten at least one FBS (I-A) opponent, so I don't think it's unfair to give them this baseline rating.  The list should generally get smaller as the season progresses, but one problem is that if a team is 1-5 and not on this list, the same team may appear on it if it ends up with a record of 1-11, for instance.  Also, an 0-6 team won't be on the list, but if they win the next game, then they probably would be on the list.
Army
Auburn
Colorado
Colorado St.
Eastern Michigan
Florida International
Idaho
Kentucky
Louisville
Memphis
Northern Illinois
Ohio
South Alabama
Tulane
UNLV
Wyoming
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