2012 season‎ > ‎

2012-11-04

1 Notre Dame 1.011472
2 Alabama 0.969625
3 Ohio St. 0.841986
4 Kansas St. 0.840722
5 Oregon 0.764371
6 Florida 0.692304
7 Georgia 0.580782
8 Oregon St. 0.560552
9 Louisville 0.537282
10 South Carolina 0.462059
11 Clemson 0.451046
12 Nebraska 0.408942
13 Florida St. 0.406167
14 LSU 0.388687
15 Texas A&M 0.375385
16 Stanford 0.362431
17 Toledo 0.344516
18 Texas 0.339994
19 Oklahoma 0.279744
20 Louisiana Tech 0.256349
21 Northwestern 0.251453
22 Rutgers 0.208069
23 San Jose St. 0.201795
24 UCLA 0.182764
25 Mississippi St. 0.177741
26 Texas Tech 0.169135
27 Utah St. 0.167657
28 Boise St. 0.141615
29 Northern Illinois 0.115475
30 Michigan 0.107775
31 Ohio 0.090406
32 Arizona 0.069106
33 Cincinnati 0.055402
34 Central Florida 0.034910
35 Southern California 0.030989
36 Washington 0.026268
37 Wisconsin 0.018382
38 Navy 0.016982
39 Tulsa 0.006585
40 West Virginia 0.006121
41 Oklahoma St. -0.026713
42 TCU -0.048749
43 North Carolina -0.050346
44 Iowa St. -0.059709
45 Kent St. -0.069956
46 Fresno St. -0.076629
47 Arkansas St. -0.091718
48 San Diego St. -0.098680
49 U. Miami -0.119670
50 Western Kentucky -0.178917
51 Ole Miss -0.182993
52 Duke -0.195179
53 Michigan St. -0.205739
54 Vanderbilt -0.249731
55 Arizona St. -0.265044
56 Brigham Young -0.278081
57 Bowling Green -0.289260
58 Louisiana-Monroe -0.295396
59 Missouri -0.299969
60 Minnesota -0.312892
61 Tennessee -0.334000
62 Penn St. -0.334626
63 East Carolina -0.346481
64 Baylor -0.359282
65 Wake Forest -0.409102
66 Arkansas -0.429764
67 Ball St. -0.442627
68 Middle Tennessee -0.444620
69 Nevada (Reno) -0.445290
70 Utah -0.446843
71 Virginia Tech -0.454724
72 Syracuse -0.468650
73 North Carolina St. -0.482497
74 Georgia Tech -0.489649
75 Indiana -0.511885
76 Purdue -0.601697
77 Iowa -0.655402
78 Louisiana-Lafayette -0.667352
79 Texas-San Antonio -0.670730
80 Texas St. -0.767838
81 Houston -0.779220
82 Temple -0.819156
83 Auburn -0.827659
84 Southern Methodist -0.854052
85 South Florida -0.865453
86 Pittsburgh -0.870127
87 North Texas -0.888136
88 Cal (Berkeley) -0.913791
89 Air Force -0.914358
90 Miami U. -0.948662
91 Illinois -0.949643
92 Troy -0.964829
93 Virginia -0.977014
94 Marshall -1.104267
95 UTEP -1.124277
96 New Mexico -1.128160
97 Hawaii -1.145008
98 Kentucky -1.169130
99 Connecticut -1.202586
100 Central Michigan -1.205410
101 Boston College -1.222891
102 Maryland -1.233853
103 Tulane -1.335677
104 Rice -1.346192
105 Wyoming -1.350521
106 Florida International -1.355783
107 Florida Atlantic -1.365380
108 Washington St. -1.466647
109 Alabama-Birmingham -1.487066
110 Western Michigan -1.503540
111 Kansas -1.537667
112 Southern Mississippi -1.578351
113 South Alabama -1.606771
114 Colorado St. -1.613388
115 Memphis -1.651473
116 Colorado -1.665294
117 UNLV -1.745605
118 Idaho -1.817689
119 Army -1.889187
120 Eastern Michigan -1.950190
121 Buffalo -1.957492
122 Massachusetts -2.529801
123 New Mexico St. -2.676684
124 Akron -2.878490
The following list is a normal function of my formula, but it's still something I consider worth noting.  If I don't adjust these ratings, very large negative numbers are produced so that a team can have a number of good wins combined with one bad loss and fall below another team with no good wins and somewhat bad losses.  So essentially the following teams are bad losses (two are simply here because their opponents have won less than 25% of their games and this requires adjustments as well), but I have capped the negative effect of losing to these teams and in the process, I have added to the ratings of teams who have beaten these.  These are all teams that have beaten at least one FBS (I-A) opponent, so I don't think it's unfair to give them this baseline rating.  The list should generally get smaller as the season progresses, but one problem is that if a team is 1-5 and not on this list, the same team may appear on it if it ends up with a record of 1-11, for instance.  Also, an 0-6 team won't be on the list, but if they win the next game, then they probably would be on the list.
Boston College
Colorado
Eastern Michigan
Idaho
Illinois
Kentucky
Memphis
Northern Illinois
Ohio
South Alabama
Washington St.
Wyoming
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