2012-10-28

The teams with strengths of schedules that had to be adjusted (due to excessive games against teams with poor records) are as follows:

Ohio

Part of my formula subtracts the strength of schedule number (provided in the "SoS" links to the left) from 12, and Ohio's SoS number is over 13.

The following list is a normal function of my formula, but it's still something I consider worth noting. If I don't adjust these ratings, very large negative numbers are produced so that a team can have a number of good wins combined with one bad loss and fall below another team with no good wins and somewhat bad losses. So essentially the following teams are bad losses (at least statistically), but I have capped the negative effect of losing to these teams and in the process, I have added to the ratings of teams who have beaten these. These are all teams that have beaten at least one FBS (I-A) opponent, so I don't think it's unfair to give them this baseline rating. The list should generally get smaller as the season progresses, but one problem is that if a team is 1-5 and not on this list, the same team may appear on it if it ends up with a record of 1-11, for instance. Also, an 0-6 team won't be on the list, but if they win the next game, then they probably would be on the list.

Army

Auburn

Boston College

Colorado

Eastern Michigan

Florida International

Idaho

Kentucky

Memphis

Ohio

South Alabama

UNLV

Wyoming