2019 10/23

Southwest Michigan AMS/NWA

23 October 2019

West Michigan Aviation Academy

5363 44th St

Grand Rapids, MI 49512

President Warren Wheeler called the meeting to order at 7:05 PM. All of the board members were present. Total attendance was 17 people.

Treasurer William Marino presented the treasurer’s report. As of 23 October 2019 the club has total funds of $950.77. We are now accepting dues for 2020, which are $20 for the year for regular members and just $10 for students.

The speaker for the evening was yours truly. I have been a meteorologist practically all my life with over 40 years’ experience as a broadcast TV chief meteorologist with the on air name ofCraig James. I am a Fellow of the American Meteorological Society and a Centennial Fellow of the College of Earth and Mineral Sciences at Penn State University. I have been extensivelystudying the subject of climate change for approximately 20 years.  For many years NOAA has been using a data set of 1218 stations, called the United States Historical Climate Network, to determine past temperatures. A survey of almost 1,000 of those stations revealed that fewer than 100 of them were properly sited according to NOAA specifications. As a result, in 2014 NOAA stopped using this data set and began using the new Climate Division dataset of around 10,000 stations for climate records.This change, plus adjustments to the raw weather observations, has produced huge changes in the climate record. For example, the state of Michigan previously had no significant warming since 1895 but now has a warming trend of 2.3F per century. Even if all adjustments are perfectly valid, and many experiments say they are not, NASA states we do not know the current global surface temperature to any more accuracy that 2F. It may range from 56F to 58F. Since the reported change in temperature since 1880 has been just 1.5F, the change is actually statistically

insignificant.

Global warming theory predicts that the greatest warming in the atmosphere will occur in the middle troposphere (30,000 to 40,000 ft) over the tropics. We have good measurements in this area from radiosondes going back to 1940 and from satellites back to 1979. As you can see from the graph below presented by John Christy to the US House Committee on Science, Space and Technology in 2016, the global climate models greatly over forecast the amount of warming that has been measured. 

Even NASA states that the climate models need to be “improved by one hundred fold in accuracy”. “Such a margin of error is much too large for making a reliable forecast about climate changes”. Given the uncertainties in past, current and future projections of temperatures, over 500 scientists and professionals in climate have written a letter to the Secretary General of the UN stating that “the general circulation models of climate on which international policy is at present founded are unfit for their purpose”. They conclude, “There is no climate emergency”.The meeting was adjourned around 8:30 PM. The next meeting to be held in November will feature Grand Rapids lead forecaster William Marino talking about his forecast for the coming winter. More information will be available soon on the exact date and location.

Respectfully submitted

Craig James Woods

Secretary