Ultra-processed foods
Obesity Sugar Quota Import Standards
UPFoods are "characteristically formulated from ‘refined’ and ‘purified’ ingredients freed from the fibrous watery matrix of their original raw materials. They are formulated to be sensually appealing, hyper-palatable, and habit-forming, by the use of sophisticated mixtures of cosmetic and other additives, and state-of-the-craft packaging and marketing”
Ultra-processed food makes up half the food we eat in UK, and virtually all of it is imported from far flung lands.
Four of the five main constituents of u-p foods are completely dependent on imports, corn flour and cane sugar from Americas, soy oil from South Americas and palm oil from Asia. The fifth main ingredient, wheat flour, may be grown here.
During Brexit, there was talk of Empire 2.0 The provision of u-p 'feedstuffs' is just that.
Ingredients
Ultra-processed foods typically have more than one ingredient that you never or rarely find in a kitchen. They also tend to include many additives and ingredients that are not typically used in home cooking, such as preservatives, emulsifiers, sweeteners, and artificial colours and flavours. These foods generally have a long shelf life.
Ultra-processed foods are based on substrates - lets call them feedstuffs' that are virtually all imported. Corn (maize from US, previously Ukraine)) provides flour, soy and palm oils are all imported from Brazil and Middle East Similarly nearly all the sugar is imported either as corn sugar (HFCS) or cane sugar British beet sugar is not used. The only substrate that may be provided from local producers is wheat..working on proportion
Details of UK’s lower self-sufficiency of crops that make up most ultra-processed foods.
While the general self-sufficiency rate for overall food production is around 62%, the reliance on imports for certain key crops like corn, soy, sugar (cane-derived), and palm oil skews this figure downward for ultra-processed food production.
Corn:
Most corn used in ultra-processed foods is imported. The UK grows corn mainly for animal feed, not for human consumption or industrial processing. Self-sufficiency is very low for the type of corn used in processed food. Mainly now from US after Russia invaded Ukraine
Soy:
Almost entirely imported, mainly from Brazil. Soy derivatives like soy protein isolate and soy oil, critical for many ultra-processed foods, are not produced domestically. Self-sufficiency here is effectively zero.
Sugar:
UK-grown sugar beet covers around 60% of the domestic sugar demand. However, sugar from cane, more prevalent in ultra-processed foods due to its specific properties, is primarily imported, and all comes through Tate & Lyle. Self-sufficiency is non-existent for cane sugar specifically.
Palm Oil:
The UK relies completely on imports for palm oil, much from Malaysia which is a staple ingredient in ultra-processed foods for its stability, texture, and cost-effectiveness. Self-sufficiency is zero.
Wheat:
The UK is largely self-sufficient in wheat, but most of this wheat is used for bread-making and animal feed. Refined flours for ultra-processed foods may require specific types of wheat not exclusively sourced locally, so the self-sufficiency could be slightly lower for this category.
Many imported substrates are highly refined or chemically processed to ensure shelf stability and ease of transport, often at the expense of nutritional value.
Palm Oil
UK imports v nearly $500m (2022), 36% from Papua New Guinea, 20% Indonesia and 13% Malaysia
Cane Sugar
UK imports $200m, vast majority (54%) from Brazil
Corn
UK imports $585M, 20% from France & Canada each.
Soy
UK imports over 3 million metric tons of soy each year Cost $550M soybeans with the majority coming from Brazil (66%), and the United States. (24%). Much of this may go cattle feed. Soy Oil costs $210M in imports predominantly (80%) from Netherlands
The main constituents of ultra-processed foods in detail.
The main constituents such as wheat, corn, soy, palm oil, and sugars are indeed typically processed to some extent before shipment. These raw materials are transformed into intermediary products or ingredients - some with new names - to ensure stability, ease of transport, and versatility in industrial applications.
List includes High-fructose corn syrup: HS 1702.60
The main constituents of ultra-processed foods—such as wheat, corn, soy, palm oil, and sugars—are indeed typically processed to some extent before shipment. These raw materials are transformed into intermediary products or ingredients to ensure stability, ease of transport, and versatility in industrial applications. Below is an overview of their processing stages and the names under which they are exported/imported, often aligned with Harmonized System (HS) codes.
1. Wheat
Processed Forms:
Wheat flour
Wheat starch
Gluten (extracted from wheat)
Export/Import Names and HS Codes:
Wheat flour: HS 1101
Wheat starch: HS 1108.11
Wheat gluten: HS 1109
2. Corn (Maize)
Processed Forms:
Cornmeal
Corn starch
High-fructose corn syrup (HFCS)
Dried distillers grains (by-products of ethanol production)
Export/Import Names and HS Codes:
Corn starch: HS 1108.12
High-fructose corn syrup: HS 1702.60
Dried distillers grains: HS 2303.30
3. Soy
Processed Forms:
Soybean oil (refined or crude)
Soy protein isolates and concentrates
Soy lecithin (used as an emulsifier)
Export/Import Names and HS Codes:
Crude soybean oil: HS 1507.10
Refined soybean oil: HS 1507.90
Soy protein concentrates: HS 2106.10
Soy lecithin: HS 2923.20
4. Palm
Processed Forms:
Crude palm oil
Refined palm oil
Palm kernel oil
Palm stearin and olein (fractions used in food and cosmetics)
Export/Import Names and HS Codes:
Crude palm oil: HS 1511.10
Refined palm oil: HS 1511.90
Palm kernel oil: HS 1513.21
Palm stearin: HS 1511.90 (specific subcategories may vary)
5. Sugars
Processed Forms:
Raw cane sugar
Refined sugar
Glucose syrups and fructose syrups
Maltodextrin
Export/Import Names and HS Codes:
Raw cane sugar: HS 1701.12
Refined sugar: HS 1701.99
Glucose syrup: HS 1702.30
Maltodextrin: HS 1702.90
Mapping the UK's food trading relations in the era of ultra-processed foods
Such mapping requires a multifaceted approach, integrating trade data, supply chain analysis, regulatory understanding, and advanced visualization techniques. By systematically gathering data, identifying key trade partners, and utilising appropriate mapping tools, we can create a detailed and insightful representation of the UK's modern food trade landscape, aptly capturing the essence of "Empire 2.0." I have made a start on this page, but there is a long way to go.....
Building a comprehensive map of the UK's evolving food trading relations, especially in the context of a significant shift towards ultra-processed foods, is an ambitious and insightful project. This transformation reflects broader changes in global food systems, supply chains, and consumer preferences, often likened to a new "Empire 2.0." Here's a structured approach to help you develop this map effectively:
1. Define the Scope and Objectives
a. Objectives:
Identify Key Ingredients: Focus on wheat, corn, soy, palm oil, and sugars as primary constituents of ultra-processed foods.
Trace Supply Chains: Map the origins of these ingredients, processing hubs, and final export destinations.
Analyse Trade Dynamics: Understand how trade agreements, tariffs, and geopolitical factors influence food trade.
Visualise Data: Create visual representations (maps, charts) to illustrate trade flows and relationships.
b. Scope:
Time Frame: Consider recent years to reflect post-Brexit trade dynamics and the latest trends in ultra-processed food consumption.
Geographical Boundaries: Primarily the UK and its major trading partners, both within and outside the EU.
2. Gather Comprehensive Trade Data
a. Key Data Sources:
UK Department for International Trade (DIT): Offers detailed reports and statistics on UK’s food imports and exports.
Office for National Statistics (ONS): Provides data on trade by commodity and partner countries.
UN Comtrade Database: International trade statistics that can be filtered by HS codes.
Eurostat: If analysing EU-related trade post-Brexit.
World Trade Organization (WTO): For broader trade policies and agreements.
b. Relevant Harmonized System (HS) Codes:
Use these HS codes to filter and extract specific trade data for each ingredient.
Ingredient
Processed Forms
HS Codes
Wheat
Flour, starch, gluten
1101, 1108.11, 1109
Corn
Starch, syrup, etc.
1108.12, 1702.60, 2303.30
Soy
Oils, protein isolates
1507.10, 1507.90, 2106.10, 2923.20
Palm Oil
Crude, refined, kernel oil
1511.10, 1511.90, 1513.21
Sugars
Raw, refined, syrups
1701.12, 1701.99, 1702.30, 1702.90
3. Identify Major Trading Partners
a. By Ingredient:
Wheat:
Major Exporters to UK: Canada, France, Australia, Russia.
Major Importers: Other EU countries may also be significant, especially post-Brexit.
Corn (Maize):
Major Exporters to UK: USA, Brazil, Argentina, Ukraine.
Soy:
Major Exporters to UK: Brazil, USA, Argentina.
Palm Oil:
Major Exporters to UK: Indonesia, Malaysia.
Sugars:
Major Exporters to UK: Brazil, Thailand, France.
b. Export Destinations for Processed Foods:
Primary Markets: EU countries, USA, China, Middle Eastern countries.
Emerging Markets: African nations, Southeast Asia.
4. Analyse Trade Agreements and Policies
a. Post-Brexit Trade Dynamics:
UK-EU Trade Agreement: Assess tariffs, quotas, and non-tariff barriers affecting food trade.
New Trade Deals: Look into agreements with non-EU countries like Canada (CETA), USA, Australia, etc.
b. Regulatory Standards:
Food Safety Standards: UK-specific regulations post-Brexit.
Labelling Requirements: Impact on trade flows and processing needs.
c. Tariffs and Quotas:
Identify Tariff Rates: For each HS code and trading partner.
Quota Restrictions: Any limits on specific imports.
5. Map the Supply Chains
a. Supply Chain Stages:
Raw Material Extraction: Farming/harvesting of wheat, corn, soy, etc.
Processing: Transformation into flour, oils, syrups, etc.
Manufacturing: Production of ultra-processed foods.
Distribution: Export to various markets.
b. Tools and Technologies:
Geographic Information Systems (GIS): For spatial mapping.
Supply Chain Mapping Software: Tools like Tableau, Power BI, or specialized GIS tools.
Trade Map by ITC: Visualize trade flows and patterns.
c. Visualization Elements:
Flow Maps: Show movement from exporters to the UK and from the UK to other countries.
Heat Maps: Indicate concentration of trade volumes.
Choropleth Maps: Represent data intensity by region.
6. Incorporate Industry and Market Data
a. Major UK Food Processors:
Identify Key Players: Companies involved in processing and manufacturing ultra-processed foods.
Supply Chain Partnerships: Their sourcing strategies and key suppliers.
b. Market Trends:
Consumption Patterns: Shift towards ultra-processed foods and its drivers.
Economic Factors: Price fluctuations, subsidies, and their impact on trade.
7. Address Challenges and Considerations
a. Data Availability and Quality:
Timeliness: Ensure data is up-to-date, especially post-Brexit.
Consistency: Harmonize data from different sources for accuracy.
b. Complexity of Supply Chains:
Multiple Intermediaries: Ingredients might pass through several countries before reaching the UK.
Global Dependencies: Reliance on specific countries for key ingredients like palm oil from Indonesia.
c. Dynamic Trade Environment:
Geopolitical Events: Conflicts, trade wars, or pandemics affecting trade flows.
Policy Changes: Sudden shifts in trade agreements or regulations.
8. Utilize Visualization and Mapping Tools
a. Data Visualization Platforms:
Tableau: For interactive dashboards and maps.
Power BI: Integrates with various data sources for visualization.
QGIS or ArcGIS: For detailed geographic mapping and spatial analysis.
b. Interactive Elements:
Clickable Regions: Show detailed trade data when a country is selected.
Time Sliders: Illustrate changes over time.
Filter Options: Allow users to focus on specific ingredients or trade partners.
9. Example Structure for Your Food Trade Map
a. Global Supply Overview:
Primary Suppliers: Display major exporting countries for each key ingredient.
Trade Volume: Use proportional symbols to represent trade volumes.
b. UK Processing Hubs:
Major Ports and Industrial Areas: Show where food processing and packaging occur.
Logistics Networks: Highlight key transportation routes (sea, air, land).
c. Export Destinations:
Primary Markets: Indicate major countries receiving UK-processed ultra-processed foods.
Emerging Markets: Highlight regions with growing demand.
d. Regulatory and Trade Policy Overlay:
Trade Agreements: Visual cues for countries with significant trade agreements with the UK.
Tariff Zones: Differentiate regions based on tariff rates or trade barriers.
10. Leverage Additional Resources
a. Reports and Publications:
Industry Reports: From organizations like IBISWorld, Euromonitor, or Mintel.
Government Publications: White papers, trade strategy documents from the UK government.
b. Academic Research:
Studies on Food Trade: Look for research on global supply chains, ultra-processed food trends.
Economic Analyses: Impact of trade policies on food imports and exports.
c. Industry Associations:
Food and Drink Federation (FDF): UK-based body providing insights and data.
British Retail Consortium (BRC): Information on retail trends affecting food trade.
Sugar
Are Isoglucose and High Fructose Corn Syrup (HFCS) the same thing?
"There is a lot of confusion around the terms, isoglucose and high fructose corn syrup (& glucose-fructose syrup) which are often used interchangeably. In Europe, due to ‘isomerisation’ process, GFS with more than 10% fructose is called isoglucose. In turn, when the fructose content exceeds 50%, the name changes to Fructose-Glucose Syrup to reflect the higher content of fructose". In UK we talk about HFCS (High Fructose Corn Syrup), whereas EU call it 'Iso-Glucose. Fructose and glucose are isomers of each other. They have the same chemical formula, C6H12O6. However, they are isomers because their atoms are organised differently
If you are confused, that helps explain why many people do not realise that fructose in UK is iso-glucose in Europe, and if you may not have realised how much US 'corn' tries to get into Europe.
Sugar
Most sugar in ultra-processed foods comes from either cane sugar or corn sugar. We and the rest of Europe grow beet sugar.
Napoleon developed beet sugar to withstand UK blockades of cane sugar, so there is quite a history in Europe of supporting its beet farmers - more than the UK. See Cane in UK below
The 1980 Iso-Glucose Case (Case 138/79, Roquette Frères v. Council of the European Communities) revolved around the European Economic Community's (EEC) imposition of tariffs and production levies on iso-glucose, a sweetener derived from maize (corn), as part of its Common Agricultural Policy (CAP). The case highlighted the tensions between market regulation and free competition within the EEC.
The proposed tariffs were aimed at protecting the European sugar beet industry, which was heavily subsidized under the CAP. Iso-glucose, a cheaper alternative to sugar, posed a competitive threat to the traditional sugar market. The EEC sought to equalize the economic conditions between the two sweeteners by imposing production levies on iso-glucose to align its costs with sugar. The policy was intended to prevent market disruption, protect agricultural incomes, and ensure stability in the sugar industry—a politically influential sector in many member states.
The measures, however, were criticized as disproportionately favoring the sugar industry at the expense of iso-glucose producers. Roquette Frères, a leading iso-glucose manufacturer, challenged the regulation, arguing that it violated the principles of proportionality and equal treatment enshrined in EU law. The company contended that the tariffs distorted competition and unfairly hindered the development of alternative sweetener markets.
The European Court of Justice (ECJ) ultimately upheld the EEC's regulation, emphasizing the broad discretion granted to EU institutions in shaping agricultural policy. The Court found the measures justified under the CAP's objectives, even if they imposed unequal burdens on different sectors. This ruling underscored the dominance of agricultural priorities in early EU law-making and illustrated the challenges of balancing market liberalization with sectoral protectionism. The case remains a landmark in EU competition and agricultural law.
The proposed levies on iso-glucose under the European Economic Community's (EEC) regulations in the 1980s were designed to align the production costs of iso-glucose with those of traditional sugar. Specifically:
The levy on iso-glucose production was set at $8.21 per 100 kilograms of dry matter (approximately €7.2 per 100 kg in historical terms).
This levy aimed to counterbalance the lower production costs of iso-glucose compared to sugar derived from sugar beet, ensuring that iso-glucose did not undercut the sugar industry, which was protected by subsidies and quotas under the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP).
These measures reflected the political and economic priorities of the EEC at the time, particularly its commitment to stabilising the sugar market and supporting agricultural incomes in member states where sugar beet production was a significant sector. However, the levies also effectively limited the competitiveness of iso-glucose producers like Roquette Frères, prompting the legal challenge that became the Iso-Glucose Case.
Cane Sugar in UK
CANE (not beet) SUGAR used for Ultra-processed foods.
Cane sugar tariff
First day of Brexit, removed tariff on cane sugar. This was later challenged by British Sugar but they lost in High Court
"The Judge concluded that, while the Government’s expectation when introducing the ATQ (autonomous tariff quota for raw cane sugar ) was that the overwhelming majority of the ATQ would be used by T&L, this was not because of any term of the ATQ which was designed or in fact had this effect, but because T&L was the only raw cane sugar refiner operating in the UK.
High Court dismisses Challenge (by British Sugar plc)
Mr Justice Foxton today dismissed a claim for judicial review brought by British Sugar plc against the Secretary of State for International Trade challenging the legality of an autonomous tariff quota for raw cane sugar (“the ATQ”). Under the ATQ, 260,000 tonnes of raw cane sugar may be imported into the UK tariff-free each year for refining. The ATQ is available to all importers on a first-come, first-served basis.
By its first ground, British Sugar alleged the ATQ was an unlawful State aid to Tate & Lyle Sugars in breach of Article 10(1) of the Northern Ireland Protocol. Tate & Lyle is the only substantial refiner of raw cane sugar in the UK and imported over 99% of the raw cane sugar which benefited from the ATQ in 2021. By its second ground, British Sugar alleged that the ATQ was an unlawful subsidy to Tate & Lyle granted in breach of Article 366 of the Trade and Cooperation Agreement between the UK and the EU (“the TCA”).
On the first ground, Mr Justice Foxton rejected British Sugar’s submission that the ATQ was by its nature selective. The Judge concluded that, while the Government’s expectation when introducing the ATQ was that the overwhelming majority of the ATQ would be used by T&L, this was not because of any term of the ATQ which was designed or in fact had this effect, but because T&L was the only raw cane sugar refiner operating in the UK. As such, the Judge held that it was necessary to apply the three stage World Duty Free test for determining whether a tax measure is de facto selective. Applying the three stage test, he held that the ATQ formed part of the normal taxation regime for imports of raw cane sugar and did not discriminate between undertakings in comparable factual and legal situations. Accordingly, it did not confer a selective advantage on Tate & Lyle. Had the issue arisen, however, he would have rejected the Secretary of State’s case that the ATQ was justified by the general principles of the UK’s system of import duty.
Tariffs
Cane Sugar
The freedom to change tariffs was a much proclaimed advantage of Brexit. Yet only three tariffs have been altered following the freedom from EU constraints. Raw Sugar Cane Quota was changed so the first 1/4 m tons became exempt immediately after Brexit . All that comes through Tate & Lyle and is worth worth £100m a year. Despite a challenge in the High Court from British Sugar the judge decided the 'altered quota' remains.
Corn
Government has removed tariffs on importing US maize in 2022 (Tariffs on US bourbon whisky other goods were also lifted)
Palm Oil
Malaysia has negotiated with the UK to eliminate tariffs on Malaysian palm oil from the current 12% to zero upon entry into the trade pact."
This comes into force now as the UK joined the CPTPP in Dec 2024 More on CPTPP
Environmental groups argue that palm oil production is linked to deforestation and damages orangutan habitats. The Conservative government said that the UK and Malaysia have published a joint statement on sustainable agricultural commodity trade and cooperation to conserve forests
Soy Trade
a. Supply Chain Mapping:
Soybean Production: Primarily from Brazil and the USA.
Import to UK: Via major ports like Southampton or Felixstowe.
Processing: Into soybean oil, protein isolates at facilities in the Midlands or North West.
Export: Processed products to EU countries and beyond.
b. Trade Dynamics:
Brexit Impact: New tariffs or trade barriers with EU importing countries.
Sustainability Concerns: Shift towards non-GMO or sustainably sourced soy affecting trade choices.
Implications for Ultra-Processed Foods
When focusing specifically on ultra-processed food ingredients:
The UK's overall food self-sufficiency (~62%) overstates its independence for these products.
The production of ultra-processed food in the UK heavily relies on imported crops, particularly corn, soy, and palm oil, as well as sugar cane, using cane sugar rather than UK beet.
These imports exacerbate the environmental footprint and economic vulnerability related to global supply chain disruptions, underscoring the UK’s increased reliance on global agriculture for these foods.
This bias highlights a critical area for policy focus, especially given that ultra-processed foods make up over half of the average UK diet.
Efforts to improve food security and sustainability would benefit from prioritising alternatives or innovations to reduce reliance on imported ingredients for ultra-processed foods.
Future Trends and Projections
a. Sustainability and Ethical Sourcing:
Palm Oil: Increasing demand for certified sustainable palm oil affecting trade sources.
Soy and Corn: Trends towards non-GMO, organic influencing trade patterns.
b. Technological Advancements:
Automation in Processing: Impact on trade logistics and costs.
Digital Supply Chains: Enhanced transparency and traceability in food trade.
c. Consumer Behaviour:
Health Trends: Potential backlash against ultra-processed foods influencing future trade dynamics.
Demand for Convenience: Continued growth in ultra-processed food consumption sustaining trade volumes.
Points to Ponder..
Virtually all ultra-processed feedstuffs are vegetable-based
Labour's proposed ban on advertising 'junk food' (High fat, salt & sugar) before 9pm means that foods like porridge, crumpets and muffins are banned, yet leaves alone UP-foods