Core 1.2 Changing Population and Places
IB Outcome: How the impacts of population change and spatial interactions between places can be categorized and represented graphically
Discussion:
- How does population increase?
- How does it decrease?
- How can age of marriage affect population size?
- How can we measure populations?
- Why is China's still growing after 30 years of "one child policy?
- Why do people migrate?
- Are push factors or pull factors more important when deciding to migrate?
- Can you explain the trend in the graph below?
Vocab:
- Crude Birth Rate (CBR): The most common measure of fertility. The number of births, per 1000 people in the population, per year. All the population is considered. Numbers like 10, 20, 40, etc.
- Rates of 30+ /1000 are HIGH
- Rates of below 13/1000 are LOW
- (Total) Fertility Rate (T)FR): The average number of children born to a woman during her lifetime. Number of live births per female of reproductive age (15-49).
- Numbers such as 2.2, 4.5.
- Indicates population change over a long period of time.
- Instructive about societal norms in any given culture.
- A TFR of 2.1 is considered as being the replacement birth rate.
- Lower than 2.1 yields population decrease while rates greater than 2.1 yields population increase.
- Improvements in medical conditions lower the replacement rate (below 2.06 in many countries).
- Crude Death Rate (CDR)
- The average annual number of deaths during a year per 1,000 population.
- Life Expectancy: The average number of years to be lived by a group of people born in the same year, if mortality at each age remains constant in the future.
Types of population projection:
Doubling time: Rate of increase relating to time it takes population to double
- 70/Rate of National Increase in %, RNI (must be positive…duh!)
- 1% RNI = 70 year doubling time
- 2% RNI = 35 year doubling time
- Rates of increase have risen during human history = doubling times shortened.
- Question: If fertility rates decline (as they have been), what will happen to doubling times?
Dependency ratio : Number of dependents / people in productive years (age 16 to 64)
- Large number’s of young or old = high dependency ratio
- See textbook p. 402: Triangular Graph
- Ageing dependency ratio: Number of 65+/people in productive years (age 16 to 64)
- Youthful dependency ratio: NUumber of 0-15/people in productive years (age 16 to 64)
Knowledge gained from population projections
- Demands for different goods
- Needs for education or healthcare
- Possible employment numbers
- Foretell future problems
- Imbalance of sexes ( eg: China has too many boys)
Exercise:
In groups of 2 or 3, you will create an annotated poster, using graphs, maps and population pyramids, describing trends in two contrasting countries of:
- population change
- demographic transition over time
- natural increase
- fertility rate
- life expectancy
- population structure
- dependency ratios
You will have class time to complete the posters.
Due Thursday September 14th
Growth of megacities
- Urban areas with a population of over 10 million people
Top 20 Megacities - Can you guess #1?
As you watch the videos below, list the:
- Push Factors
- Pull Factors
- Intervening obstacles
- Impacts of migration on origin
- Impact of migration on destination
- Benefits of living in a megacity
- Drawbacks of living in a megacity
- 4Ps
Talking points when discussing Megacities
- Types of labor (formal and informal)
- Labor supply and demand & unemployment
- Position of women
- Educational Attainment
- Income inequality
- Type of housing
- Crime
- Government regulations: labor rights and unions, big firm bias, zoning, minimum wage
- Urban planning
- Transportation and infrastructure
- Health: disease, access to medical facilities
- Water
- Food
- Environmental degradation / pollution
- 4Ps
In groups read one of the following article and report your findings back to the class, mentioning the 4Ps:
- J. Kotkin, The Problem wth Megacities, Forbes 2011
- J.W. Schoen, Megacities' Explosive Growth poses Epic Challenge
- V. Collingridge, The Rise and Rise of the Asian Megacities
- J. L. Hester, How Much are Trees Worth to Megacities and S. DeWeerdt Megacity Trees Yield Mega Benefits
- AFP Tokyo The Megacity that Works
First Summative assessment:
- IB learning outcome: You need a detailed case study of of a contemporary megacity experiencing rapid growth, and the consequences of megacity growth for individuals and societies
You will write a 5 or 6 paragraph (2 pages max) essay answering one of the following essay question:
- Using a named example, examine the consequences of megacity growth in LICs or NICs
- You will need a conceptual approach (4Ps) to your answer to score high on the markband.
- Here is the Assessment rubric I will use for ALL of your essays and presentations, except for the HL extension.
Due Monday Sep 25th
Forced Migration
Your megacity will be your voluntary migration CS.
IB learning outcome: The causes and consequences of forced migration and internal displacement
- Detailed examples of two or more forced movements, to include environmental and political push factors, and consequences for people and places
Detailed Examples of forced Migration
- In groups pick a CS of forced and present it to the class.
- Create a one page factsheet
- Discuss:
- The consequences (SPEED) on people and places at the origin and the destination
- Push factors, pull factors and intervening obstacles
Each group will research on of these:
- Forced, political, international
- Forced, environmental, international
- Forced, political, national
- Forced, environmental, national