Core 1.2 Changing Population and Places

IB Outcome: How the impacts of population change and spatial interactions between places can be categorized and represented graphically

Discussion:

  • How does population increase?
  • How does it decrease?
  • How can age of marriage affect population size?
  • How can we measure populations?
  • Why is China's still growing after 30 years of "one child policy?
  • Why do people migrate?
  • Are push factors or pull factors more important when deciding to migrate?
  • Can you explain the trend in the graph below?

Vocab:

  • Crude Birth Rate (CBR): The most common measure of fertility. The number of births, per 1000 people in the population, per year. All the population is considered. Numbers like 10, 20, 40, etc.
    • Rates of 30+ /1000 are HIGH
    • Rates of below 13/1000 are LOW
  • (Total) Fertility Rate (T)FR): The average number of children born to a woman during her lifetime. Number of live births per female of reproductive age (15-49).
    • —Numbers such as 2.2, 4.5.
    • Indicates population change over a long period of time.
    • Instructive about societal norms in any given culture.
    • A TFR of 2.1 is considered as being the replacement birth rate.
    • Lower than 2.1 yields population decrease while rates greater than 2.1 yields population increase.
    • Improvements in medical conditions lower the replacement rate (below 2.06 in many countries).
  • Crude Death Rate (CDR)
    • The average annual number of deaths during a year per 1,000 population.
  • Life Expectancy: The average number of years to be lived by a group of people born in the same year, if mortality at each age remains constant in the future.
Population2.pptx

Types of population projection:

Doubling time: Rate of increase relating to time it takes population to double

  • 70/Rate of National Increase in %, RNI (must be positive…duh!)
  • 1% RNI = 70 year doubling time
  • 2% RNI = 35 year doubling time
  • Rates of increase have risen during human history = doubling times shortened.
  • Question: If fertility rates decline (as they have been), what will happen to doubling times?

Dependency ratio : Number of dependents / people in productive years (age 16 to 64)

  • Large number’s of young or old = high dependency ratio
  • See textbook p. 402: Triangular Graph
  • Ageing dependency ratio: Number of 65+/people in productive years (age 16 to 64)
  • Youthful dependency ratio: NUumber of 0-15/people in productive years (age 16 to 64)

Knowledge gained from population projections

  • Demands for different goods
  • Needs for education or healthcare
  • Possible employment numbers
  • Foretell future problems
  • Imbalance of sexes ( eg: China has too many boys)
Pyramids & DTM.ppt

Exercise:

In groups of 2 or 3, you will create an annotated poster, using graphs, maps and population pyramids, describing trends in two contrasting countries of:

  • population change
  • demographic transition over time
  • natural increase
  • fertility rate
  • life expectancy
  • population structure
  • dependency ratios

You will have class time to complete the posters.

Due Thursday September 14th

Growth of megacities

  • Urban areas with a population of over 10 million people

Top 20 Megacities - Can you guess #1?

As you watch the videos below, list the:

    • Push Factors
    • Pull Factors
    • Intervening obstacles
    • Impacts of migration on origin
    • Impact of migration on destination
    • Benefits of living in a megacity
    • Drawbacks of living in a megacity
    • 4Ps

Talking points when discussing Megacities

    • Types of labor (formal and informal)
    • Labor supply and demand & unemployment
    • Position of women
    • Educational Attainment
    • Income inequality
    • Type of housing
    • Crime
    • Government regulations: labor rights and unions, big firm bias, zoning, minimum wage
    • Urban planning
    • Transportation and infrastructure
    • Health: disease, access to medical facilities
    • Water
    • Food
    • Environmental degradation / pollution
    • 4Ps

First Summative assessment:

  • IB learning outcome: You need a detailed case study of of a contemporary megacity experiencing rapid growth, and the consequences of megacity growth for individuals and societies

You will write a 5 or 6 paragraph (2 pages max) essay answering one of the following essay question:

Due Monday Sep 25th

Forced Migration

Your megacity will be your voluntary migration CS.

IB learning outcome: The causes and consequences of forced migration and internal displacement

  • Detailed examples of two or more forced movements, to include environmental and political push factors, and consequences for people and places
4.Migration.ppt

Detailed Examples of forced Migration

  • In groups pick a CS of forced and present it to the class.
  • Create a one page factsheet
  • Discuss:
    • The consequences (SPEED) on people and places at the origin and the destination
    • Push factors, pull factors and intervening obstacles

Each group will research on of these:

    • Forced, political, international
    • Forced, environmental, international
    • Forced, political, national
    • Forced, environmental, national