PTQ

(MTGO PTQ on October 20, 2019)

List

Like I said in #45 and 46, Oko actually does the things against interactive decks that people say Stoneforge Mystic does.

Starting from #all-in-druid, to find room for another Bird, another land, and 3 Oko, I lost 2 Vines, 2 Evolutions, and 1 Dryad Arbor. So I am less all-in than I was.

1 of the Vines of Vastwood made it into the sideboard and will come in against literally every matchup.

The manabase is the biggest problem -- I used to have 4 basics, 5 fetches, and the ability to play Devout Lightcaster. Now I have 2 basics and 7 fetches, which means I start at 18 instead of 20. As a result I put another slot in the sideboard for Burn.

The manabase has 6 Dorks and 4 Once Upon a Time, and outside of those, it has 17 Green, 17 White, and 9 Blue. I think it works. It may be possible to save some life points by fixing this a bit, but on the other hand against interactive decks I like to cut the Birds of Paradise and keep Oko, so maybe we can't do better.

Results

7-2 (15-8) for 24th place out of 289. What a run. Punted a game against Layers which was sad. Oko really did it today though.

Breaking serve in games on the draw against other combo decks three times -- G3 vs Druid, G2 vs Urza, and G2 vs Amulet -- is a huge deal, not to mention the burn games and the other interactive matchups that we just didn't face.

XX Eldrazi Tron Lifetime 7-4 vs Eldrazi Tron

XOO Mirror (T3, T5) (Oko wins G3) Lifetime 5-1 vs Druid

OO Urza Ascendancy (T3, T6) (Oko wins G2) Lifetime 3-3 vs Paradoxical

XOX Burn (T7) (Oko dominates G1 and G2) Lifetime 13-13 vs Burn

OO 4c Shadow (T7, T8) Lifetime 3-12 vs Shadow

XOO BW Eldrazi (T7, T4) Lifetime 3-0 vs BW Eldrazi

XOO Dredge (T6, T4) Lifetime 10-2 vs Dredge

OXO Burn (T4, T7) (Oko dominates G2 and G3) Lifetime 14-13 vs Burn

OO Amulet (T3, T4) (Oko wins G2) Lifetime 6-2 vs Amulet

Rounds

Round 1 on the play vs Brunninho on Eldrazi Tron

This matchup is much harder than normal Tron: T3 Karn Liberated isn't that backbreaking for us, but Thought-Knots and Dismembers and stuff are a big problem.

Lose Game 1

Nope

Nope:

We found a 5:

Bottom Noble and Misty.

T2 Druid gets Dismembered. T4 All Is Dust. Mulligans to 5 don't beat that.

+2 Path +1 Vines -1 Call, Once, Finale (??? I don't know what the plan is vs this yet, somehow. Maybe the Okos are supposed to go ???)

Lose Game 2

Nope

Bottom a Vizier from this:

T1 Giver gets Dismembered, T2 Druid gets Warping Wailed, T3 Druid gets 6-mana Ugin'd, T4 Ballista on 5. Can't win them all.

Round 2 on the draw vs kingbobth on Druid

The mirror is pretty toxic, especially on the draw. But we have

E L K E L K E L K E L K E L K E L K E L K E L K E L K E L K E L K E L

L K E L K E L K E L K E L K E L K E L K E L K E L K E L K E L K E L K

K E L K E L K E L K E L K E L K E L K E L K E L K E L K E L K E L K E

which is maybe good for the mirror?

Lose Game 1

This is ok and not good:

Opponent goes T1 Noble and it turns out we are in the old "Mirror where we lost the die roll" situation. Die T3.

-1 Lunge -1 Bird +2 Path

Win Game 2

The Once Upon a Time only has 4 hits in this situation so it's 33% at a T3. But wait, then you also get a bunch of draws at tutors AND the payoffs themselves.

To not T3, you have to first miss on the Once Upon a Time (which, if you fetch first, has 5 looks at 4 hits in 52 cards). The probability of missing that is 66%.

Then, after that you also have to miss on both draws, but now you have 12 hits. The deck is 51 cards big for the first draw, so missing the first draw is at least 39/51 (we're ignoring the bonus we get from having bottomed non-payoff-creatures) and missing the second draw is 38/50. So in total the probability of missing is at most

0.66 * 39/51 * 38/50 = 38%

So this is at least a 62% chance of a T3.

Once Upon a Time hits Ranger-Captain, so we win T3.

Win Game 3

Here we need to break serve, and this isn't it:

This is a Break Serve hand, bottom Giver:

I play T1 Giver. This is interesting -- I could play either:

T1 Path and T2 Druid to guarantee T3 Oko, or
T1 Giver and T2 Path, to guarantee a protected midgame.

My logic was that we aren't comboing soon, we are comboing later, so we need the Giver T1. We drew a Bird so it worked out.

We play T3 Druid, and then this is really interesting too:

← ← ← ← ←

What's the play?

← ← ← ← ←

The correct play is to play Vizier AND Oko this turn -- I didn't see it. I just played Oko and Elked the Druid. Opponent called for Ballista in response, which is trouble for us.

Oko died in combat. Yikes. But it still did the thing.

Luckily they waited on their Ballista, so we are able to win with Lunge on T5.

What a game!

Round 3 on the draw vs SourceOdin on Urza Ascendancy

This is really hard but our sideboard is ready.

Win Game 1

This is a keep - -we have Druids for days.

I took the Horizon Canopy.

Opponent has T2 Emry, T3 EE on 2 but no third artifact to crack it.

Win T3.

+1 Caterpillar +1 Vines +2 Ouphe +1 Manglehorn

-1 Once -1 Vizier -1 Oko -2 Bird

+1 Caterpillar +1 Manglehord +2 Ouphe +1 Vines

Win Game 2

This is a great Once Upon a Time.

Topdeck a Big Ouphe, so Once Upon a Time takes a Giver over a Druid.

T2 Ouphe with protection loots pretty strong.

Opponent ends up with 8 looks at 3 Ambers to win the game anyway, but they miss (55% to miss) , so Oko comes down and Elks the Emry.

We then win T6.

Giver + Ouphe into Oko your Emry was just barely enough -- that was enough to make it a coinflip.

Round 4 on the play vs pepeisra on Burn

This is the closest of matchups. Our sideboard has a huge number of slots for it to make it about even, and opponent needs to generally draw 1 Skullcrack and 1 Path to win a sideboarded game (they do though, often).

Lose Game 1

Yup!

Once Upon a Time could be a Ballista or a land; we take the land.

T1 Giver T2 Druid gets both bolted. We play Oko on 3 at 11 life. Then we punt to layers.

-2 Lunge -2 Vizier -2 Bird -1 Once +2 Forgetender +2 Path +1 Firewalker +1 Vines +1 Caterpillar

Win Game 2

This is a really good Hearthstone hand.

Yup: bottom the Call.

We play a Forgetender, two Givers, a Firewalker,

T7 win with Oko + Forgetender.

Lose Game 3

Nooooo

Yessss:

We T2'd Oko, T3 Forgetender off the top and Elk. And lost by a LOT.

Oko is great but the real impact is in turns 4+ when you can crack the foods. We ended up making a 3/3 blocker on T3 (which blanked two turns of attacks) but we could have gotten the Forgetender online one turn sooner which could have blanked more attacks.

I'm really not sure about that.

Round 5 on the play vs benchsummer on 4c Shadow

This matchup is quite a nightmare. But we have some sideboard cards for it.

Win Game 1

Yup, ok:

Sweet game.

Win T7 with Gavony Township.

-2 Vizier -2 Lunge -2 Once -2 Bird +4 Veil +1 Vines +1 Chameleon Colossus +2 Path

Win Game 2

Snap Keep Let's Go

T1 opponent goes to 15 and Inquisitions the Veil, then T2 Traverse for Plague Engineer on Human.

We T3 Call and slam Chameleon Colossus with double Giver on T4. Hahahahaha.

Opponent spends 4 minutes looking at their deck with a Traverse the Ulvenwald.

Win turn 8. Look at this beautiful army.

Round 6 on the draw vs Thiriok on BW Eldrazi

This is really hard because of all the discard push and path. Postboard we can try to survive off of Veils.

Lose Game 1

T4 on the draw with resilience is a keep.

Opponent has a T1 Relic T2 Inquisition T3 Strangler, so we can't win. Then they Path the Shalai and Brutality our remaining useful spells and draw a million Lunges.

+4 Veil +1 Vines +2 Path +1 Caterpillar

-2 Vizier -1 Bird -2 Once -3 Lunge

Win Game 2

We did it!

We go T1 Nothing, T2 Shock Nothing.

T3 Druid + this. Feels great.

I play Shalai T4 which gets Pathed, and Druid Pushed.

We win T7 after opponent TKSs us and we topdeck a tutor to win.

Win Game 3

Okay I guess:

Opponent plays T4 TKS and we combo T4. Opponent has a blocker though, so they get another look before conceding. I'm counting it as a T4.

Round 7 on the play vs joker420sx on Dredge

Dredge is a very very good matchup, because we race well and our sideboard is strong against their attempts to interact.

Lose Game 1

This is fine on the play.

We got wasted.

+1 Vines +2 Forgetender +2 Veil -3 Oko -2 Bird

Win Game 2

No:

Noooo

Okay:

Keep Plains Druid Call Shalai.

Do nothing for a long time but counter a Conflagrate with a Forgetender to protect Druid. These matches have been really mentally draining, and while mulliganing those hands, I really wanted to not be playing anymore. But it continues!

Win game 2 on the mull to 4 is glorious. Win T6.

+1 Veil -1 Lunge

Win Game 3

Keeping this!

Opponent misses on all their Shriekhorn activations and we manage to counter a Conflagrate and then win T4.

Give me those topdeck Finales all day!!

5-2!!!!!!!!!! We are aliiiiive

Round 8 on the play vs Vonducky on Burn

Die roll and winning Game 1 are huge; this matchup is sooo close especially against good players. Oko helps quite a bit.

Win Game 1

Yep

Once Upon a Time is a Razorverge Thicket, god bless it. T1 Noble. T2 double Giver.

Win T4!

+2 Forgetender +2 Path +1 Firewalker +1 Vines

-1 Once -2 Bird -1 Vizier -2 Lunge

Lose Game 2

uhhhh I kept this and I have no idea

We land 3 Forgetenders, an Oko and a Firewalker and die T9.

+1 Bird -1 Once Upon a Time

Win Game 3

This is our plan I guess! Let's do it!

T1 Noble T2 Finale for Forgetender at 17 life. We lose the Noble and can't cast Oko -- keeping the Forgetender instead.

Cast Oko T4 and lose the Forgetender to a Path.

Then we Path their Swiftspear and the Oko stabilizes at 4 life! Perfect perfect and so close.

F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D

O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F

O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O

D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O D F O O

Round 9 on the play vs Amnesa on Amulet

This matchup is generally very easy -- they try to race us, but can't, and they desperately try to repurpose to interact like Dredge does and we are set up well to beat that (Veil). If it ever became a problem we would go back to Blood Moon, I used to think -- but maybe not anymore now that we are Oko-based?

Win Game 1

Keep!

Once Upon a Time is a Vizier of Remedies, Win T3.

+2 Veil +1 Vines +1 Ouphe

-2 Lunge -2 Oko.. does Oko even do anything?

Win Game 2

Keep:

T2 Oko the Amulet. This wins the game (????)

I guess Oko does something. I feel embarrassed now. I'm sorry Oko. You are the best.

Then win T4 through Pact of Negation with Lunge. Got em!

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