Embedded Files
By: Arianna Dayoub '32
I think Liverpool will win against Nottingham Forest F.C. 2-0 or 3-1. If Liverpool are at home they will historically dominate against Nottingham Forest. According to multiple prediction websites they say Liverpool have a 64% chance of winning. But I think this is incorrect. I think Liverpool has about a 80% chance of winning if you round it up. People say Nottingham has a 23% chance of winning. This is incorrect because a draw can also happen so it could be around 13%. Liverpool is more powerful and has a stronger record at home games.
Liverpool tends to score regularly in recent matchups. They often score 1 or 2 goals. Some preview notes that Forest struggle to consistently score away or in certain games. According to professional statistical models. Liverpool are clear favorites with a win probability often very high.
Things that could go wrong for Liverpool are if Forest absorbs the pressure and hits on the break. Also if Liverpool rest key players or injury issues. Sometimes tight games are decided from a dead ball situation especially if Forest defends well.
1-1 draw if Forest plays very compactly and Liverpool struggle to break them down. Liverpool could 2-0 them if Liverpool dominated and Forest committed too many men forward late in the game.
Given uncertainty in Liverpool defense and Forest counter threat over .5 goals seem very plausible. Forest also have those key players such as Chris Wood, Morgan Gibbs White, Callum Hudson Odoi. Same with Liverpool they have key players like Mo Salah, Diogo Jota, and Gakpo.
If Liverpool score first early Forest could struggle and the score could be 2-0 or 3-1. If Forest scores first it could be a very dangerous game Liverpool would need to attack more aggressively. If Forest keeps the game 0-0 until 70 minutes it's the highest draw probability. The highest chance is Liverpool wins 2-0 or 3-1.
Report abuse