Textbook Table of Contents

Table of Contents

        1. Coverpage
        2. Half title page
        3. Title page
        4. Copyright page
        5. Dedication
        6. Brief Contents
        7. Contents
        8. Acknowledgments
        9. To the Student
        10. To the Teacher
        11. Part I: Introduction
        12. 1.1 The Problems of Macroeconomics
        13. 1.2 What Is Macroeconomics?
        14. 1.2.1 Macroeconomics Defined
        15. 1.2.2 The Origins of Macroeconomics
        16. 1.2.3 Positive versus Normative Macroeconomics
        17. 1.3 Doing Macroeconomics
        18. 1.3.1 Macroeconomics as a Science
        19. Social Sciences versus Natural Sciences
        20. Rational Behavior
        21. Observation versus Controlled Experiments
        22. 1.3.2 Models and Maps
        23. Models as Maps
        24. Mathematical Models
        25. The Uses of Models
        26. The Scope of Models
        27. Graphical or Diagrammatic Models
        28. 1.4 Where Do We Go from Here?
        29. Part II: The National Accounts
        30. 2.1 How Big Is the Economy?
        31. 2.2 GDP and the Economic Process
        32. 2.2.1 Stocks and Flows
        33. 2.2.2 The Circular Flow
        34. The Domestic Private Sector
        35. Investment Savings, Capital, and Time
        36. The Government Sector
        37. The Foreign Sector
        38. A Bird's-Eye View of the Economy
        39. 2.3 The National Accounting Identities
        40. 2.3.1 The Production-Expenditure Identity
        41. 2.3.2 The Disposable-Income Identity
        42. 2.3.3 The Sectoral-Deficits Identity
        43. 2.3.4 The Inflow-Outflow Identity
        44. Box 2.1. The Twin-Deficits Problem and the Sectoral-Deficits Identity
        45. 2.4 Real Gross Domestic Product
        46. 2.4.1 Real and Nominal Quantities
        47. 2.4.2 Converting Nominal to Real GDP
        48. 2.4.3 International GDP Comparisons
        49. 2.4.4 Population and Real per Capita GDP
        50. 2.5 GDP through Time
        51. 2.5.1 Visualizing Growth 1: Growth Rates
        52. 2.5.2 Visualizing Growth 2: Logarithmic Graphs
        53. 2.6 Measuring Inflation
        54. 2.6.1 Inflation and Deflation
        55. 2.6.2 Measuring Inflation Using the GDP Deflator
        56. 2.7 Economic Behavior and the National Accounts: Aggregate Demand and Supply – A Prelude to Later Chapters
        57. 3.1 What Is a Final Product?
        58. 3.1.1 Quid Pro Quo
        59. 3.1.2 Final and Intermediate Products
        60. 3.1.3 Existing Goods
        61. 3.2 Product and Income
        62. 3.3 Domestic versus National Product
        63. 3.4 Depreciation and Net Product
        64. 3.5 Limits, Judgments, and Puzzles
        65. 3.5.1 Investment or Consumption?
        66. 3.5.2 Nonmarket Production
        67. Home Production
        68. The Third-Party Test
        69. Owner-Occupied Housing
        70. Government Services
        71. 3.5.3 The Black Economy
        72. 3.5.4 Bads and Regrettables
        73. 3.5.5 GDP and Welfare
        74. 3.6 Measuring GDP
        75. 3.6.1 Sources and Methods
        76. 3.6.2 Revisions
        77. 3.6.3 Annualization and Seasonal Adjustment
        78. 3.7 Putting It All Together: Reading the NIPAs
        79. 3.7.1 The National-Income-and-Product Account
        80. 3.7.2 The Personal-Income-and-Outlay Account
        81. 3.7.3 Three Sectors, Three Deficits
        82. 4.1 Constructing Price Indices
        83. 4.1.1 The Laspeyres (or Base-Weighted) Index
        84. 4.1.2 The Paasche (or Current-Weighted) Index
        85. 4.1.3 The Fisher-Ideal Index
        86. 4.1.4 The Chain-Weighted Index
        87. 4.1.5 Price Indices and Real GDP
        88. 4.1.6 The Implicit Price Deflator
        89. 4.2 Alternative Price Indices
        90. 4.2.1 The Consumer Price Index (CPI)
        91. 4.2.2 The Personal Consumption Expenditure Deflator
        92. 4.2.3 The Producer Price Index (PPI)
        93. 4.3 Core Inflation
        94. 4.3.1 The Core Rate of Inflation
        95. 4.3.2 The Weighted-Median CPI
        96. Part III: Trends and Cycles
        97. 5.1 Decomposing Time Series
        98. 5.2 The Business Cycle
        99. 5.2.1 The Language of Business Cycles
        100. 5.2.2 Dating the Business Cycle
        101. 5.2.3 The Typical Business Cycle
        102. 5.3 The Business Cycle and the Economy
        103. 5.3.1 What Causes the Business Cycle?
        104. 5.3.2 The Classification of Economic Indicators
        105. 5.3.3 Is the Business Cycle Predictable?
        106. Part IV: Financial Markets
        107. 6.1 The Financial System and the Real Economy
        108. 6.1.1 The Role of Money and Finance
        109. Real Flows and Financial Flows
        110. The Monetary Economy
        111. Financial Instruments and Financial Intermediaries
        112. The Flow of Funds
        113. 6.1.2 The Flow of Funds Accounts
        114. Real and Financial Wealth
        115. Accounting and Balance Sheets
        116. Flow Accounts
        117. The Assets-and-Liabilities Accounts
        118. 6.2 Principles of Valuation
        119. 6.2.1 Present Value
        120. The Principle of Similarity and Replacement
        121. Two Key Concepts: Opportunity Cost and Present Value
        122. Four Properties of Present Value
        123. 6.2.2 Real and Nominal Value
        124. A Useful Approximation
        125. The Ex Ante versus the Ex Post Real Rate
        126. 6.3 The Main Financial Instruments
        127. 6.3.1 Debt
        128. What Are Bonds?
        129. The Mechanics of Bond Pricing
        130. Types of Bonds
        131. Prices and Yields
        132. 6.3.2 Money
        133. 6.3.3 Equity
        134. What Are Stocks?
        135. The Mechanics of Stock Pricing
        136. Stock Prices and Yields
        137. Stock Market Indices
        138. 6.4 Financial Markets and Aggregate Demand
        139. 7.1 Five Questions about Interest Rates
        140. 7.2 The Market for Financial Assets
        141. 7.2.1 Substitution and Arbitrage
        142. Similarity and Replacement Again
        143. Supply and Demand
        144. Reaching Equilibrium in a Financial Market
        145. Arbitrage
        146. 7.2.2 Efficient Markets
        147. Inside and Outside Views of Financial Markets
        148. The Efficient-Markets Hypothesis
        149. Challenges to the Efficient-Markets Hypothesis
        150. Two Answers
        151. 7.3 Risk
        152. 7.3.1 Default Risk
        153. Risk and Return
        154. Federal Government Bonds
        155. Rating Risk
        156. Default Risk and Interest Rates
        157. 7.3.2 Price or Interest-Rate Risk
        158. 7.4 The Term Structure of Interest Rates
        159. 7.4.1 The Relationship of Interest Rates of Different Maturities
        160. 7.4.2 The Expectations Theory of the Term Structure
        161. Arbitrage across Different Maturities
        162. Expectations and the Shape of the Yield Curve
        163. Alternative Portfolio Strategies
        164. Implicit Expectations
        165. 7.4.3 The Role of Risk
        166. 7.5 Inflation and Interest Rates
        167. 7.5.1 The Effect of Inflation on the Supply and Demand for Bonds
        168. 7.5.2 The Fisher Effect and the Fisher Hypothesis
        169. Box 7.1. Measuring Expected Inflation
        170. 7.6 The Level of Real Interest Rates
        171. 7.6.1 Monetary Policy and Short Rates
        172. 7.6.2 Arbitrage to Real Returns
        173. 7.7 The Five Questions about Interest Rates Revisited
        174. Appendix: The LM Curve
        175. 7.A.1 Money Supply and Money Demand
        176. The Real Supply of Money
        177. Transactions Demand for Money
        178. Money Demand and Interest Rates
        179. The Money Demand and Supply Curves
        180. 7.A.2 The LM Curve
        181. Deriving the LM Curve
        182. What Shifts the LM Curve?
        183. What Use Is the LM Curve?
        184. 7.A.3 The Limitations of the LM Model
        185. 8.1 The Global Economy
        186. 8.2 Balance-of-Payments Basics
        187. 8.2.1 The Current Account
        188. 8.2.2 The Capital Account
        189. 8.2.3 The Balance-of-Payments Identities
        190. 8.3 Exchange-Rate Basics
        191. 8.3.1 Exchange Rates as the Relative Price of Money
        192. The Price of One Currency in Terms of Another
        193. Appreciation and Depreciation
        194. 8.3.2 The Real Exchange Rate
        195. The Real Price of a Foreign Good
        196. Purchasing Power and Price Indices
        197. 8.3.3 Effective Exchange Rates
        198. 8.4 The Foreign Exchange and Financial Markets
        199. 8.4.1 The Foreign-Exchange Market
        200. Foreign Exchange and Real Trade
        201. Foreign Exchange and Financial Trade
        202. Direct and Indirect Exchange
        203. 8.4.2 Exchange Rates and Relative Prices
        204. The Law of One Price
        205. Purchasing-Power Parity
        206. The Mutual Adjustment of Prices and Exchange Rates
        207. How Well Does Purchasing-Power Parity Work in Practice?
        208. 8.4.3 Exchange Rates and Interest Rates
        209. The Exchange Rate, Capital Flows, and Interest Parity
        210. Uncovered Interest Parity
        211. Exchange-Rate Risk
        212. Interest-Rate Differentials and Short-Run Deviations from Purchasing-Power Parity
        213. Interest Parity in Practice
        214. The Limits of Short-Run Exchange Rate Models
        215. Part V: Aggregate Supply
        216. 9.1 The Production Decisions of Firms
        217. 9.1.1 Production Possibilities
        218. Technology
        219. The Production Function
        220. Measurement Issues
        221. Basic Properties of the Production Function
        222. Returns to Scale
        223. 9.1.2 Optimal Production
        224. Profit Maximization
        225. Marginal Products and Factor Prices
        226. Choosing Input Levels
        227. 9.2 Aggregate Supply
        228. 9.2.1 The Aggregate Production Function
        229. 9.2.2 The Cobb-Douglas Production Function
        230. 9.2.3 Does the Cobb-Douglas Production Function Provide a Good Model of Aggregate Supply?
        231. The Cobb-Douglas Production Function Predicts Constant Factor Shares
        232. Are Factor Shares Constant?
        233. 9.2.4 A Cobb-Douglas Production Function for the United States
        234. 9.3 Productivity
        235. 9.3.1 Alternative Measures of Productivity
        236. Three Measures
        237. International Comparisons
        238. How Are the Productivity Measures Related?
        239. 9.3.2 Technological Progress
        240. Factor Productivity over Time
        241. Factor-Augmenting Technological Progress
        242. 9.4 Short-Run and Long-Run Aggregate Supply
        243. 9.4.1 Flexible and Inflexible Production Functions
        244. 9.4.2 Productivity and Resource Use in the Short Run
        245. 9.4.3 Measures of Resource Use
        246. Labor Utilization
        247. Capital Utilization
        248. 9.5 Potential Output
        249. 9.5.1 The Concept of Economic Potential
        250. 9.5.2 Scaled Output
        251. 9.6 Aggregate Supply: Questions Answered, Questions Raised
        252. 10.1 Why Growth Is Important
        253. 10.2 Accounting for Growth
        254. 10.2.1 Production at a Point in Time and Production over Time
        255. 10.2.2 Decomposing Economic Growth
        256. 10.2.3 Accounting for Growth Rates
        257. 10.3 The Sources of Economic Growth
        258. 10.3.1 Productivity and Technological Progress
        259. Product Innovation
        260. Process Innovation
        261. Research and Development
        262. 10.3.2 The Growth of Labor
        263. The Law of Motion of Labor
        264. Malthusianism
        265. Economic Development and the Stabilization of Population
        266. 10.3.3 The Growth of Capital
        267. 10.4 The Neoclassical Growth Model
        268. 10.4.1 The Process of Growth
        269. Balanced Growth without Technological Progress
        270. Balanced Growth with Technological Progress
        271. Unbalanced Growth
        272. Convergence to Balanced Growth
        273. Box 10.1. Relative Prices in the Growth Process
        274. The Speed Limit
        275. 10.4.2 The Solow-Swan Growth Model
        276. A Model with Labor-Augmenting Technological Progress
        277. Balanced Growth and Convergence
        278. Is the United States on a Balanced Growth Path?
        279. How Does the Steady State Shift?
        280. 10.5 What Accounts for Differences in the Growth of Nations?
        281. 10.5.1 Catching Up
        282. The Importance of Technology
        283. The Speed of Convergence
        284. Do Countries Converge?
        285. 10.5.2 Which Factors Promote Growth?
        286. 10.5.3 Endogenous Growth
        287. 10.6 Economic Growth: Achievements and Prospects
        288. 11.1 Labor Demand
        289. 11.1.1 The Firm's Demand for Labor
        290. Deriving the Firm's Labor-Demand Curve
        291. Factors That Shift the Labor-Demand Curve
        292. 11.1.2 The Aggregate Demand for Labor
        293. 11.2 Labor Supply
        294. 11.2.1 The Worker: Choosing Hours of Work
        295. The Price of Leisure
        296. The Labor-Leisure Choice
        297. The Labor-Supply Curve
        298. Adding Realism: Taxes
        299. Adding Realism: A Standard Workweek
        300. The Individual Labor-Supply Curve in Practice
        301. 11.2.2 The Worker: Choosing to Participate
        302. 11.2.3 Aggregate Labor Supply
        303. The Aggregate Labor-Supply Curve
        304. The Participation Rate and Average Hours
        305. Is the Labor Supply Stable over Time?
        306. 11.3 Labor Market Equilibrium
        307. 11.3.1 Market Clearing
        308. 11.3.2 Analyzing Ideal Labor Markets
        309. Issue 1. Tax Cuts
        310. Issue 2. Technological Progress and Worker Welfare
        311. Issue 3. Immigration, Jobs, and Real Wages
        312. 11.3.3 The Labor Market in Practice
        313. 12.1 The Concepts of Employment and Unemployment
        314. 12.2 Measuring the Labor Market in Theory and Practice
        315. 12.2.1 Labor Market Data
        316. 12.2.2 The Unemployment Rate
        317. Mismatched Definitions
        318. Box 12.1. A Jobless Recovery?
        319. Transitional Unemployment
        320. A Real-Wage Floor
        321. Frictional Unemployment
        322. 12.2.3 Other Dimensions of Unemployment
        323. Part-Time Employment
        324. Overtime Employment
        325. Loosely Attached Workers
        326. Underemployment
        327. International Comparisons of Underutilization of Labor
        328. 12.3 The Labor-Market Process
        329. 12.3.1 Why Do Wages Not Fall?
        330. The Unemployment Puzzle
        331. Cutting Wages or Raising Prices
        332. Efficiency Wages
        333. Unions
        334. Government Actions
        335. 12.3.2 The Labor-Supply Process
        336. Job Search
        337. Employment Status and Job Flows
        338. The Duration of Unemployment
        339. 12.3.3 The Labor-Demand Process
        340. Job Creation and Destruction
        341. Technological Progress and the Reallocation of Labor
        342. Employment Policy
        343. Part VI: Aggregate Demand
        344. 13.1 A Simple Model of Aggregate Demand
        345. 13.1.1 Consumption Behavior
        346. The Consumption Function
        347. The Shape of the Consumption Function
        348. The Savings Function
        349. 13.1.2 Tax Behavior
        350. Net Taxes
        351. The Tax Function
        352. The Shape of the Tax Function
        353. 13.1.3 What Determines the Level of Aggregate Demand?
        354. The Model
        355. Equilibrium and Convergence to Equilibrium
        356. The Effect of Changes in Autonomous Expenditure on Aggregate Demand
        357. 13.1.4 The Multiplier
        358. The Static Multiplier
        359. A Numerical Example
        360. The Size of the Multiplier
        361. The Multiplier Process
        362. 13.2 Fiscal Policy
        363. 13.2.1 Discretionary Fiscal Policy
        364. Choosing the Level of Government Spending
        365. Setting Tax Rates
        366. The Balanced-Budget Multiplier
        367. 13.2.2 Automatic Stabilizers
        368. 13.3 Investment and Aggregate Demand
        369. 13.3.1 What Determines the Level of Investment?
        370. The Opportunity Cost of Investment
        371. Investment and Risk
        372. Investment and Finance (and Other Factors)
        373. 13.3.2 The Investment Function in Practice
        374. 13.3.3 The IS Curve
        375. Deriving the IS Curve
        376. An Increase in Autonomous Spending Shifts the IS Curve to the Right
        377. An Increase in the Rate of Return on Investment Shifts the IS Curve to the Right
        378. An Increase in Marginal Tax Rates Pivots the IS Curve Downward
        379. An Increase in the Marginal Propensity to Save
        380. The IS Curve and the Multipliers
        381. Numerical Examples
        382. 13.4 Aggregate Demand and the Current Account
        383. 13.4.1 Some Pitfalls
        384. 13.4.2 The Behavior of Imports and Exports
        385. 13.5 The Limits to Aggregate Demand Management
        386. 13.5.1 The Paradox of Thrift
        387. 13.5.2 Resource Constraints
        388. Appendix: The IS-LM Model
        389. 13.A.1 The LM Curve and Expected Inflation
        390. 13.A.2 Working with the IS-LM Model
        391. An Increase in Government Expenditure
        392. An Increase in the Money Supply
        393. An Increase in the Rate of Inflation
        394. 13.A.3 The IS-LM Model at Full Employment
        395. PART A. CONSUMPTION
        396. 14.1 Simple Consumption Functions and the Real World
        397. 14.2 The Permanent-Income/Life-Cycle Hypothesis
        398. 14.2.1 Consumption Smoothing
        399. 14.2.2 Consumption, Income, and Wealth
        400. 14.2.3 The Aggregate Permanent-Income Hypothesis
        401. From the Individual to the Economy as a Whole
        402. How the Permanent-Income Hypothesis Explains the Data
        403. 14.2.4 The Permanent-Income Hypothesis and Fiscal Policy
        404. 14.3 Borrowing Constraints, Rules of Thumb, and Consumption
        405. Box 14.1. Testing the Permanent-Income Hypothesis:A Natural Experiment
        406. PART B. INVESTMENT
        407. 14.4 An Asset-Based View of Capital and Investment
        408. 14.4.1 Evaluating an Investment Project
        409. The Present Value of an Investment Project
        410. Internal Rate of Return
        411. Investment and Risk
        412. 14.4.2 The Rate of Investment
        413. 14.4.3 Investment and the Stock Market
        414. 14.5 Aggregate Investment
        415. 14.5.1 Factors Governing Aggregate Investment
        416. 1. Opportunity Cost
        417. 2. Expected Future Profits
        418. 3. Risk
        419. 4. The Relative Price of Capital Goods
        420. 5. The Level of the Capital Stock
        421. 14.5.2 The Accelerator
        422. 14.5.3 Investment and Fiscal Policy
        423. Part VII: Macroeconomic Dynamics
        424. 15.1 The Interaction of Aggregate Supply and Aggregate Demand
        425. 15.1.1 Supply Fluctuations
        426. Adjustments to Supply Factors When Wages Are Flexible
        427. Adjustments to Supply Factors When Wages Are Inflexible
        428. Technological Progress and Capital Obsolescence
        429. Cost-Push Inflation
        430. 15.1.2 Demand Fluctuations
        431. When Aggregate Demand Falls Short of Aggregate Supply
        432. When Aggregate Demand Exceeds Aggregate Supply
        433. Distinguishing the Types of Inflation
        434. 15.2 Unemployment and Output Fluctuations
        435. 15.2.1 What Changes the Unemployment Rate?
        436. 15.2.2 The Modified Balanced Growth Path
        437. 15.2.3 Okun's Law
        438. 15.2.4 The Dynamics of Resource Utilization
        439. 15.3 Inflation and Unemployment
        440. 15.3.1 Pricing Behavior
        441. 15.3.2 The Phillips Curve
        442. 15.3.3 The Natural Rate of Unemployment and NAIRU
        443. The Concept of the Natural Rate
        444. An Estimate of the Natural Rate of Unemployment
        445. NAIRU and the Formation of Expectations
        446. An Estimate of NAIRU
        447. The Phillips Curve and Resource Utilization
        448. NAIRU and Full Employment
        449. 15.3.4 Inflation and Supply Factors
        450. Wage Inflation and Labor Productivity
        451. Supply Shocks
        452. 15.3.5 Stagflation and Credibility
        453. 15.4 Another Look at the Limits of Demand Management
        454. 15.5 Aggregate Supply and Demand: Putting It Together
        455. 15.5.1 A Steady State
        456. 15.5.2 Shifts in Aggregate Demand
        457. 15.5.3 Shifts in Aggregate Supply
        458. Part VIII: Macroeconomic Policy
        459. 16.1 Monetary and Fiscal Policy
        460. 16.1.1 The Government Budget Constraint
        461. 16.1.2 Monetary Policy and the Real Economy
        462. 16.2 The Federal Reserve and the Banking System
        463. 16.2.1 The Central Bank
        464. Some History
        465. The Structure of the Federal Reserve System
        466. 16.2.2 Bank Balance Sheets
        467. The Fed's Balance Sheet
        468. Commercial Bank Balance Sheets
        469. 16.2.3 The Mechanics of Monetary Policy
        470. The Classic Federal Funds Market
        471. Open-Market Operations
        472. Open-Mouth Operations
        473. Interest-Bearing Reserves
        474. Discount-Window Policy
        475. Reserve Requirements
        476. 16.3 The Opportunity-Cost or Interest-Rate Channel of Monetary Policy
        477. 16.3.1 Using Short Rates to Control Long Rates
        478. Scenario 1: A Credible Permanent Change in the Federal-Funds Rate
        479. Scenario 2: The Public Believes the Change in the Federal-Funds Rate Is Temporary
        480. Credibility
        481. 16.3.2 Long Rates, Real Rates, Output, and Inflation
        482. A Stable Inflation Rate
        483. A Cumulative Process
        484. The Effective State of Monetary Policy Depends on the State of the Economy
        485. 16.4 The Credit Channel
        486. 16.4.1 The Narrow Credit Channel
        487. 16.4.2 The Broad Credit Channel
        488. 16.4.3 The Operation of the Credit Channel
        489. Box 16.1. The Monetary Policy Response to the Financial Crisis of 2008
        490. 16.5 The Conduct and Limits of Monetary Policy
        491. 16.5.1 The Goals of Monetary Policy
        492. Inflation and Employment
        493. Hot or Cold Monetary Policy
        494. Balancing the Risks
        495. 16.5.2 Rules versus Discretion
        496. (i) Ignorance
        497. (ii) Policy Lags
        498. (iii) A Stable Economic Environment
        499. (iv) Time Consistency
        500. 16.5.3 How the Federal Reserve Behaves
        501. Discretion or Rules?
        502. The Taylor Rule
        503. Box 16.2. Concepts of Potential Output
        504. Does the Fed Follow a Taylor Rule?
        505. The Limits of the Taylor Rule
        506. 16.6 Monetary Policy and International Finance
        507. 16.6.1 Controlling the Exchange Rate
        508. Direct Intervention
        509. Foreign-Exchange and Monetary Policy
        510. 16.6.2 Exchange-Rate Regimes
        511. Fixed versus Floating Exchange Rates
        512. Varieties of Exchange-Rate Management
        513. Fixed versus Floating: Advantages and Disadvantages
        514. Currency Areas
        515. Appendix: The Monetarist Experiment of the 1980s: An Application of IS-LM Analysis
        516. 16.A.1 The Situation in 1979
        517. The Problem and Paul Volcker
        518. Monetarism and the Fed
        519. 16.A.2 Implementation
        520. An IS-LM Analysis
        521. Reserve Targeting
        522. 16.A.3 Post-Mortem
        523. Expectations and Outcomes
        524. What Went Wrong?
        525. 17.1 Countercyclical Fiscal Policy
        526. 17.1.1 Fiscal Responses to Aggregate Demand and Supply Shocks
        527. Active and Passive Fiscal Policy
        528. Aggregate-Demand Shocks
        529. Aggregate-Supply Shocks
        530. Mixed Shocks
        531. The Cost of Misperception
        532. 17.1.2 The Limits of Countercyclical Fiscal Policy
        533. The Lag in Fiscal Policy
        534. Permanent versus Temporary Policies
        535. State and Local Budgets
        536. 17.2 Fiscal Policy in the Long Run
        537. 17.2.1 Monetary Policy as Fiscal Policy
        538. Seigniorage
        539. Risks of Hyperinflation
        540. 17.2.2 Deficits and the Debt through Time
        541. 17.2.3 Crowding Out
        542. Functional Finance
        543. Zero-Sum Crowding Out
        544. Crowding Out or Crowding In?
        545. Displacement of Private Expenditure
        546. Deficits and Interest Rates
        547. 17.2.4 Wealth Effects
        548. Are Government Bonds Net Worth?
        549. The Limits of Ricardian Equivalence
        550. 17.2.5 Taxes and Incentives
        551. Average and Marginal Tax Rates
        552. Supply-Side Economics
        553. Costs of Complexity
        554. 17.3 The Burden of the Debt
        555. 17.3.1 Debt and Growth
        556. Debt and Income
        557. Outgrowing Debt
        558. Inflation and the Debt
        559. 17.3.2 Capital and Consumption Spending
        560. 17.3.3 Domestic and Foreign Debt
        561. 17.4 Summing Up: Functional Finance Again
        562. Part IX: Macroeconomic Data
        563. G.1 Economic Data
        564. G.1.1 Variables
        565. G.1.2 The Dimensions of Data
        566. Keeping Track of Units
        567. Stocks and Flows
        568. Annualization and Aggregation
        569. Percentages and Percentage Points
        570. G.1.3 Seasonal Adjustment
        571. G.2 Graphs
        572. G.2.1 Cross-Sectional Graphs
        573. Univariate Cross-Sectional Graphs
        574. Multivariate Cross-Sectional Graphs
        575. G.2.2 Time-Series Graphs
        576. Time-Series Plots
        577. Time-Series Scatterplots
        578. G.2.3 Guide to Good Graphics
        579. A Good Graph Is Informationally Rich
        580. A Good Graph Is Clear and Self-Contained
        581. A Good Graph Is Aesthetically Pleasing
        582. The Golden Rule of Graphics
        583. G.3 A Guide to Good Tables
        584. G.4 Descriptive Statistics
        585. G.4.1 Histograms and Frequency Distributions
        586. G.4.2 Measures of Central Tendency
        587. The (Arithmetic) Mean
        588. The Weighted Mean
        589. The Median
        590. The Geometric Mean
        591. G.4.3 Measures of Variation
        592. Variance
        593. Standard Deviation
        594. Coefficient of Variation
        595. G.5 Making Inferences from Descriptive Statistics
        596. G.5.1 Homogeneity
        597. G.5.2 Stationarity
        598. G.6 The Normal Distribution
        599. G.7 Type I and Type II Error
        600. G.8 Using Index Numbers
        601. G.8.1 Index Numbers
        602. G.8.2 Price Indices
        603. Laspeyres (or Base-Weighted) Index
        604. Paasche (or Current-Weighted) Index
        605. The Fisher-Ideal Index
        606. G.9 Real and Nominal Magnitudes
        607. G.9.1 Conversions between Real and Nominal Magnitudes
        608. Converting Nominal Data to Real
        609. Converting Real Data to Nominal
        610. Converting Real Data of One Reference Period to That of Another Period
        611. G.9.2 Real Values Using Chain-Weighted Indices
        612. G.10 Growth Rates
        613. G.10.1 The Essentials of Growth Rates
        614. Simple Growth Rates
        615. Compound Annualization
        616. Annual Growth Rates
        617. Average Growth Rates
        618. G.10.2 When Should Growth Rates Be Compounded?
        619. G.10.3 Extrapolation
        620. G.10.4 The Algebra of Growth Rates
        621. G.11 Logarithms
        622. G.11.1 What Are Logarithms?
        623. The Concept of the Logarithm
        624. The Antilogarithm
        625. The Natural Logarithm
        626. G.11.2 Calculating with Logarithms
        627. G.11.3 Logarithms and Growth
        628. Logarithmic Derivatives and Percentage Changes
        629. Logarithms and Growth Rates
        630. Continuous Compounding
        631. Further Examples
        632. The Rule of 72
        633. G.11.4 Logarithmic Graphs
        634. G.12 Detrending
        635. G.12.1 Constant Trends
        636. Using Constant Trends
        637. Linear Trends
        638. Exponential and Other Constant Trends
        639. G.12.2 Moving-Average Trends
        640. The Moving-Average Trend
        641. Calculating Moving-Average Trends
        642. Dealing with the Endpoint Problem
        643. G.12.3 Differences or Growth Rates
        644. G.13 Correlation and Causation
        645. G.13.1 The Nature of Correlation
        646. G.13.2 Covariance
        647. G.13.3 The Correlation Coefficient
        648. G.13.4 Two Important Properties of Correlations
        649. Correlation Is Symmetrical
        650. Correlation Is Not Transitive
        651. G.13.5 Causation versus Correlation
        652. The Nature of Causation
        653. Properties of Causation
        654. G.13.6 Causal Structure
        655. Mutual and Cyclical Causes
        656. Direct and Indirect Causes
        657. Common Causes
        658. G.13.7 Causal Inference
        659. Time Order
        660. Economic Theory and Common Sense
        661. G.14 Relationships between Stationary and NonstationaryTime Series
        662. G.14.1 Nonsense Correlations
        663. G.14.2 Genuine Relationships between NonstationaryTime Series
        664. Short-Run Relationships
        665. Long-Run Relationships
        666. G.14.3 Do Not Mix Stationary and NonstationaryTime Series
        667. G.15 Regression
        668. G.15.1 Linear Regression
        669. The Regression Line
        670. Goodness of Fit
        671. G.15.2 Nonlinear Regression
        672. G.15.3 The Direction of Regression
        673. G.15.4 Nonsense Regression
        674. G.16 The Cobb-Douglas Production Function
        675. G.16.1 The Properties of the Cobb-Douglas ProductionFunction: An Example
        676. G.16.2 The Mathematics of the Cobb-DouglasProduction Function
        677. No Free Lunch
        678. More Inputs, More Output
        679. Diminishing Returns to Factors of Production
        680. Increasing Returns to Scale
        681. G.16.3 Estimating Labor's Share (α) of Output from Data
        682. Symbols
        683. Glossary
        684. Guide to Online Resources
        1. 1 Macroeconomics and the Real World
        1. 2 The National Accounts and the Structure of the Economy
        1. 3 Understanding Gross Domestic Product
        1. 4 Measuring Prices and Inflation
        1. 5 Trends and Cycles
        1. 6 The Financial System
        1. 7 The Behavior of Interest Rates
        1. 8 The International Financial System and the Balance of Payments
        1. 9 Aggregate Production
        1. 10 Economic Growth
        1. 11 The Ideal Labor Market
        1. 12 Unemployment and the Labor-Market Process
        1. 13 An Introduction to Aggregate Demand
        1. 14 Consumption and Investment: A Deeper Look
        1. 15 The Dynamics of Output, Unemployment, and Inflation
        1. 16 Monetary Policy
        1. 17 Fiscal Policy
        1. A Guide to Working with Economic Data