Middle East

Trump takes US to the brink of war with Iran

POSTED JANUARY 3, 2020

Earlier this week, the Trump administration’s air strikes on three bases of the Iranian-backed Kata’ib Hizbullah militia in Iraq and two in Syria provoked widespread fury among Iraqi politicians, students and the public and a demonstration at the US Embassy.  After the US attacks, the Iraqi government said that it is “reviewing its relationship” with the US in the wake of the American attacks. The Baghdad government said in a statement, “This sinful attack violates the goals and the principles for the sake of which the international coalition was formed, and impels Iraq to review its relationships and its frameworks for action and its policies and laws so as to safeguard the sovereignty and security of the country, protecting the lives of its children and promoting common interests.” 

Today news has come that Iranian Major-General Qassem Soleimani, head of the elite Quds Force, and Iraqi militia commander Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis were killed early on Friday in an air strike on their convoy at Baghdad airport, an Iraqi militia spokesman told Reuters.  US policy towards Iran has been noticeably antagonistic since Trump took office - most notably with the US abandonment of the JCPOA and its re-imposition of sanctions in violation of that agreement.  Today, that antagonism ratcheted upwards when a US air strike assassinated an Iranian military commander and an Iraqi military commander.  The Iranian government's reaction was to threaten US interests in the Middle East.

"Without providing details, Iran has promised “severe revenge” for the killing of Qassem Suleimani. Its regional partners, the Lebanon-based Hezbollah group and Iraqi militias have also said the death will be avenged.  It is widely feared that the pre-dawn attack, ordered by Donald Trump, could become a critical turning point in an escalating conflict between Washington and Tehran. As well as embassies and consulates across the Middle East, the US has multiple army bases, including in Kuwait, Turkey and Iraq." (UK Guardian, Jan 3)

Trump's war-mongering assassinations are reckless and unconstitutional.  The attacks were made without any congressional authorization.  Bernie Sanders and others have rightly condemned the actions.

"Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Bernie Sanders denounced President Donald Trump late Thursday night for giving the order to assassinate Iran's Maj. Gen. Qasem Soleimani, commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps' Quds Force—calling the move a "dangerous escalation" that brings the United States "closer to another disastrous war in the Middle East that could cost countless lives and trillions more dollars."  In a statement responding to what other critics decried as an "explicit act of war" by the sitting U.S. president, Sanders said, "Trump promised to end endless wars, but this action puts us on the path to another one." (Common Dreams, Jan 3)

One cannot know what the motivation for the attacks were (you'll hear the false justifications from the Pentagon and Mike Pompeo).  But it is strangely odd that it's an election year for a disgraced, impeached President, who once predicted that Barack Obama would start a war with Iran before the 2012 elections in order to ensure his re-election. 

Iran will react - imagine what the US response would be if Iran assassinated our top military commander - and the stage is set for yet another endless war in the Middle East.  At the moment, we must rely on the restraint of the leaders of Iraq (whose sovereignty was violated by the attack) and of Iran (whose top military commander was murdered).  Iraq would do well to demand the US troops leave their country.  Iran would do well not to retaliate in kind against the US aggression.  In the US, a vote on the War Powers Act is urgently needed to prevent Trump from taking us to war with Iran.  If he does that would truly be grounds for another impeachment - this time with removal from office.

Links to Democracy Now!'s interviews with Rep. Ro Khanna and UK Guardian's Iraq correspondent Abdul-Ahad Ghaith, Juan Cole's Informed Comment opinion piece, and an analysis of the US defense budget are in the sidebar.

"Trump has from the beginning of his presidential campaign appealed to the worst and most fascistic elements in American political life. At a time when the US has no credible peer military rival, he added hundreds of billions of dollars to the Pentagon budget, and the pudgy old chicken hawk lionized war criminals. Up until now...he avoided taking more than symbolic steps.  Now, by murdering Qasem Soleimani, the head of the Jerusalem (Qods) Brigade of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps, Trump has brought the United States to the brink of war with Iran." 

No war for now...

POSTED JANUARY 12, 2020/UPDATED JANUARY 14

Iran and the United States defused the heightened tensions created by US airstrikes on Iranian-backed militia in Iraq and Syria and the Trump-ordered assassination of a top Iranian military commander.  

Besides being reckless and probably unconstitutional, Trump's recent actions have already generated unintended consequences - the people trampled to death at General Soleimani's funeral and the accidental downing of a Ukrainian passenger plane (1).  Iraq has requested that the US remove our troops from their territory.  Pompeo and the State Department are insisting that US troops will remain in Iraq regardless of what the Iraqi government wants. Trump has prepared sanctions against Iraq and increased sanctions against Iran.  Militias in the region have promised reprisals against the American actions and the threat of more violence in the Middle East remains.  

The Administration has tried to justify the assassination by claiming an imminent threat and by maligning Iran and Major-General Soleimani.   Most Americans are not buying Trump's anti-Iran misinformation campaign (2).  This is just the latest, and possibly the most dangerously provoking chapter in the anti-Iran campaign, which began in earnest with Trump unilaterally and without cause withdrawing from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (aka the Iran nuclear deal).  

In the sidebar there are links to rebuttals of the misinformation coming from the Administration and to commentaries on the recent events that you won't likely see on network or cable news.  Here are excerpts from some of them.

Re Trump/Pompeo claim that the assassination was necessary to prevent an "imminent attack":

"Mike Pompeo, President Donald Trump’s secretary of state, has a long record of deception...Now Pompeo is defending Trump’s lethal drone strike on Gen. Qassem Soleimani, Iran’s top military commander. The secretary gave several interviews on Friday and Saturday, appeared on six Sunday morning shows, and followed up with a press conference on Tuesday. We won’t know the full extent of Pompeo’s deceit until we see more of the intelligence that supposedly warranted the strike. But we have enough evidence to prove that once again, he’s lying." (Slate, Jan 7 - link in sidebar)

"Trump’s dubious rationale for an indisputably criminal assassination has been repeated widely across corporate media networks, and often without any skepticism or debate.  At a January 3 State Department briefing, where reporters finally got the chance to demand evidence for the claim of an “imminent” threat, one US official erupted in anger...Two days later, when Iraqi Prime Minister Adil Abdul-Mahdi addressed his country’s parliament, Trump’s justification for killing Soleimani was exposed as a cynical lie.  According to Abdul-Mahdi, he had planned to meet Soleimani on the morning the general was killed to discuss a diplomatic rapproachment that Iraq was brokering between Iran and Saudi Arabia." (The Gray Zone, January 6 - link in sidebar)

The Ron Paul Institute notes that Pompeo's use of "imminent" has nothing to do with the normal sense of the word.  It stems from the so-called Bethlehem Doctrine, a widely-denounced justification for killing people:

"So when Pompeo says attacks by Soleimani were “imminent” he is not using the word in the normal sense in the English language. It is no use asking him what, where or when these “imminent” attacks were planned to be. He is referencing the Bethlehem Doctrine under which you can kill people on the basis of a feeling that they may have been about to do something.  The idea that killing an individual who you have received information is going to attack you, but you do not know when, where or how, can be justified as self-defence, has not gained widespread acceptance – or indeed virtually any acceptance – in legal circles outside the ranks of the most extreme devoted neo-conservatives and zionists." (The Ron Paul Institute, Jan 5 - link in sidebar)

Labeling Soleimani a "terrorist" is akin to Iran's calling a US general a terrorist.  As Cenk Uygur of the Young Turks notes (link in sidebar) calling people terrorists is:

"a blanket statement that we make of everyone that is our enemy so it justifies all of our actions...all of our war crimes because we arbitrarily call them terrorists...Now does Soleimani's actions lead to other people's deaths? Yes. Is he also Iran's top general? Yes. So do the actions of our generals lead to deaths? Yes. So are they terrorists? No." (TYT video in sidebar)

Re Mike Pence's whopper trying to link General Soleimani to the 9/11 attacks, Col. Lawrence Wilkerson, who served as Secretary of State Colin Powell’s chief of staff from 2002 to 2005  had this to say:

“Pence’s words are laughable,” Wilkerson said on “Democracy Now!” “Soleimani and his entourage were actually helping us in Afghanistan in 2001, early 2002, to fight the Taliban. We got indispensable help from Iran in that regard.” (Democracy Now!, Jan 9 - link in sidebar)

In recent years, Iran and General Soleimani have been key players in the fight against actual terrorists in the region, ISIS. 

"While Qasem Soleimani was seen by the Americans as a key adversary involved in plotting attacks against their allies and assets, it is important to remember the role both he and Iran played in the fight against ISIS.  While US aircraft, special forces and local allies fought ISIS in Syria, as well as in Iraq, Iranian-backed militia also pushed the terror group back in Iraq. Soleimani was reported to have often led that fight from the front line. Iran saw the radical Sunni militant group as a threat too, but was probably also cognizant of the leverage it received by helping Iraq defeat ISIS."(CNN, Jan 4)

The Jerusalem Post reports that Trump had help in the assassination from the Israelis.  You remember those guys - the ones who were the source of "intelligence" about Iraqi weapons of mass destruction and whose president appeared before the United States Congress to try to sabotage the Iran nuclear deal.  

Could the Israeli assistance have anything to do with the Iraqi effort to reduce tensions between Saudi Arabia and Iran by brokering talks between Soleimani and the Saudis? As Haaretz reminded its readers: "Israelis hailing Trump for killing Soleimani forget the destructive consequences of past assassinations."  

Or was this crime just a weak President trying to appear strong and being buffaloed into it by the mendacious Mike Pompeo or possibly a bone thrown to John Bolton (3) to dampen his enthusiasm for testifying in the impeachment trial?

Americans should remember the last time neocons like Bolton and now Pompeo (4) misled us into a war of choice.  It continues to destabilize the Middle East after nearly two decades.  That war too was built on lies as noted by Colin Powell's former chief of staff, Colonel Lawrence Wilkerson.  I'll close with words from another retired colonel - Andrew Bacevich, president and co-founder of the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft. 

"...we, the United States, have, for far too long, tended to view this part of the world through a Manichaean lens, in which there are good guys and there are bad guys. And we find ourselves in this peculiar situation where the Iranians are bad guys, and the kingdom of Saudi Arabia ends up being the good guys. This is absurd. That Manichaean perspective is one of the things I think that sustains the militarized approach to U.S. policy that we have been following in this region for decades now...

"And I do believe that the only conceivable way for us to begin to extricate ourselves from this terrible mess in the region — the instability, the chaos, the violence, that we have helped to stoke — the only way for us to begin to resolve that is to abandon this militarized approach and to take a more balanced position with regard to the rivalries in the region. We’re not for good guys versus bad guys. What we should be for is finding a way to end the instability and to create some semblance of peace. And the further use of American military power, which multiple administrations have now undertaken, the reliance on American military power, has not advanced our purposes and will not. And the beginning of wisdom lies in acknowledging that fact." (Democracy Now!, Jan 9)

Related:

It all started with a coup, the first covert action of the United States to overthrow a foreign government in peacetime. (July 23, 2019)

Economic sanctions may seem less violent than the tanker attacks, but they are not. Iran is losing more than $100 million per day as a result of the current sanctions, and the toll on Iranian lives is significant. (June 18, 2019)

While the media are focusing on the Mueller probe, Iranophobes Bolton and Pompeo have been making mischief and telling lies in the Middle East.  (January 16, 2019)

From the firing of Tillerson and McMaster to Pompeo's "Iran Action Group" (Aug 25, 2018)

(1) The incident is a reminder that tragic mistakes can be made when tensions are high.  On July 3, 1988, the American warship USS Vincennes shot down an Iran Air flight killing all 290 people, mostly Iranian pilgrims on their way to Mecca. The US said the Airbus A300 was mistaken for a fighter jet. 

(2) "The first poll after the killing of Soleimani shows 53 percent of Americans disapproving of Trump’s handling of Iran, a number similar to what other polling registered in September and October. What has changed is that 39 percent “strongly disapprove” of Trump’s policy—a number up 10 points since before the Soleimani killing.  Americans do not want war with Iran, and they do not trust Trump to lead such a war if it erupts." (David Frum, The Atlantic)  

(3) As soon as Trump did the assassination, Bolton tweeted,  “We’ve been working on this for a long time.”

(4) Bolton was one of the Iraq war cheerleaders.  Pompeo has recently taken up the mantle "going full neocon" in a November press conference.  For more on the neocons, see the Vox link in the sidebar "conservatism's most dangerous faction."

What's Been Happening in the Middle East?

POSTED FEBRUARY 17, 2020

The Trump impeachment and the Democratic primaries have gathered the lion's share of the media's attention in the past couple of months.  Time to turn our attention back to other things - starting with the Middle East.

IRAQ

After a US contractor was killed in missile attacks at a US base in Iraq in December, US officials blamed (probably wrongly as it turns out*) Kata’ib Hezbollah, which they described as “Iran-backed militia”, for the attack. In retaliation for that killing, US forces attacked three of Kata’ib bases, killing dozens and wounding dozens more. Al-Arabia has put the number of those killed at the bases at 63. Those killings gave rise to massive protests in Baghdad, including an attack on the US Embassy, which was used as an excuse to assassinate the commander of the IRGC Quds Force, General Qasem Soleimani, and the deputy leader of the Kata’ib Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, and a few other Iraqi officials who were with them. Millions of Iraqis and Iranians took part in the funerals of those two generals.   The massive anti-US demonstrations led the Iraqi parliament to request the withdrawal of the 5000 US troops stationed in their country.

Trump has threatened to destroy the Iraqi economy with severe sanctions if the Iraqi executive follows through on parliament’s decree that US troops must leave.  While the Trump Administration insists that it will continue its mini-occupation of Iraq, Iraq has moved closer to military coordination with Russia as reported in Informed Comment's February 7 article:

"Chief of Staff of the Iraqi Army, Lieutenant General Othman al-Ghanmi met Thursday with the Russian ambassador in Baghdad, Maksim Maksimov, to explore coordination between the Iraqi and Russian militaries.  Both sides affirmed the importance of continued support for the Quadripartite Center for Exchange of Security Information (consisting of Iraq, Russia, Syria and Iran), given its great importance in the exchange of information and coordination for the sake of preventing infiltration and the return of ISIL terrorism, which had threatened the security and peace of the region. (China has also expressed interest in joining this Center)."

On February 16, the Administration's continued intransigence on the subject of troop withdrawal provoked action by an Iraqi militia group:

"Agence France Presse Arabic is reporting that early Sunday morning several rockets or mortars slammed into the area around the US Embassy in Baghdad. Warning sirens sounded, and fighter jets began patrolling the skies.  Reuters reports an American military officer as saying that a base at which US troops are stationed in Baghdad also was attacked. There are no reports of any casualties from these attacks. The attacks came hours after the Harakat Hezbollah al-Nujaba (the Movement of the Nobles of the Party of God)...had announced a “countdown” to the expulsion of US troops from Iraq." (Informed Comment)

IRAN

UPDATE: FEBRUARY 25:  The first parliamentary elections since the United States imposed harsh sanctions on the country saw conservatives pick up the bulk of the seats after thousands of candidates were barred from running.  Election turnout was the lowest since the 1979 revolution.

The US violated the JCPOA (Iran Nuclear Deal) by reimposing sanctions on Iran after the US unilaterally and without cause withdrew from the Iran Nuclear Deal.  In so doing, Trump threw a sop to his right-wing Israeli buddy Benjamin Netanyahu. Netanyahu, you may recall, had addressed the U.S. Congress to try to prevent the deal from being approved.  As for how these extreme, illegal sanctions have worked: they have added to the discontent and misery in Iran and have brought about a de facto decrease in food and medicine imports.  But they have not brought about regime change.  

Earlier this year, Iran and the US stepped back from the brink of war after the US assassinated a top Iranian military official and killed an Iraqi general in the same lawless attack.  Iranians took to the streets in massive protests against the US action. The assassination easily meets the definition of an act of war but, wisely and fortunately, Iran's leaders exercised restraint in their response.  

Iranians have shown that they are in favor of peaceful change, but the current policies of the Trump administration have made this almost impossible.  Iran elections will be held on February 21 and Iran's moderates are facing a strong challenge from hard-liners:  

"The current impasse in Iran will either result in a much more hard-line government, similar to the one led by President Mahmud Ahmadinezhad, or even in a military coup led by the IRGC. Either scenario will push back the possibility of democratization in Iran by many years, and might even lead to a devastating war. The neocons who have been pushing Trump to pursue these policies have not served him, the United States or Iran well." (Informed Comment, Feb 11 - link below left)

On February 13, the US Senate attempted to limit the president’s war powers.  In a bipartisan 55-45 vote, lawmakers passed a resolution that would require President Donald Trump to obtain congressional approval if he wanted to take additional military action against Iran. It’s the latest lawmaker response to an airstrike Trump authorized in early January that killed Iranian Gen. Qassem Soleimani, and follows the passage of a similar measure in the House. Differences in the legislation mean is must be voted on by the lower chamber before it heads to the president’s desk for, unfortunately, a certain veto.  

ISRAEL AND OCCUPIED PALESTINE

The Trump-Kushner peace plan would allow Israel to annex its illegal settlements in the West Bank, annex the Jordan Valley, and have total control over Jerusalem - basically making a viable Palestinian nation impossible.  It was soundly rejected by the Arab League in a meeting on February 1.

"Arab foreign ministers meeting in Cairo, Egypt to discuss US President Donald Trump's plan to end the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, which was formally announced last week, have rejected the proposal. In a communique, the Arab League said it would not cooperate with the US to execute the plan because it "does not meet the minimum rights and aspirations of Palestinian people." The pan-Arab bloc also said Israel should not implement the initiative by force.  "The plan leads to a status that amounts to a one-state situation that comprises two classes of citizens, that is apartheid, in which the Palestinians will be second-class citizens, deprived of the basic rights of citizenship," Arab League Secretary General Ahmed Aboul Gheit said in Cairo."

The US has never been an honest broker in the Palestinian-Israeli peace process.  But we have never seen such blatant prejudicial treatment of the Palestinians until Trump took office.  Almost from the start of his administration, Trump has  rejected the two-state solution and destroyed all hope for a Palestinian state.  Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas has had enough. saying at the Arab League meeting that the Palestinian Authority has cut all ties with the United States and Israel, including those relating to security.  For its part, the Israeli right is hoping that, with the Arab League rejection of the Trump-Kushner plan, the Administration will now green light a unilateral annexation of Israel's illegal settlements in the West Bank.

Mehdi Hasan, senior columnist at The Intercept, calls the Trump plan a policy of apartheid and settler colonialism (link below right).  In another interview, Rep. Rashida Tlaib of Michigan says that the plan would legalize the theft of Palestinian land and explains "the human impact of taking people’s land, taking people’s livelihood away from them.” 

SYRIA

The Syrian Civil War and its humanitarian crisis continued as government forces maintain a devastating onslaught against the last rebel strongholds in the northwest.  The offensive has resulted in the displacement of 900,000 people.

"Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has pledged to continue the onslaught on the country's northwest, the war-torn country's last major rebel stronghold, saying the war was not yet over but a "complete victory" was in sight.  The fierce Russian-backed government offensive has displaced 900,000 people since the start of December, according to the United Nations, which warned on Monday that the "horrifying" crisis was forcing those fleeing to sleep outside in freezing temperatures and had resulted in babies dying of cold as camps are full." (Al Jazeera, Feb 17)

YEMEN

Yemen's warring sides have agreed to implement a major prisoner swap, the United Nations has said, in a breakthrough that came after another bout of heavy fighting, including air raids by a Saudi-UAE-led military coalition that killed dozens of civilians.  The February 16  announcement over the long-delayed exchange came after seven days of meetings in Jordan's capital, Amman, between the Houthi rebels and the internationally-recognized government, which is backed by the coalition.


*In a "bombshell" revelation that calls into question one of the Trump administration's stated justifications for assassinating Iranian Gen. Qasem Soleimani—a move that nearly sparked a region-wide military conflict—Iraqi intelligence officials told the New York Times that they believe ISIS, not an Iran-linked militia, was likely responsible for the Dec. 27 rocket attack that killed an American contractor at an air base near Kirkuk, Iraq. (Common Dreams, Feb. 7)

After 18 years, US to withdraw its troops from Afghanistan 

POSTED MARCH 1, 2020

The invasion of Afghanistan was the first step in the misguided US "war on terror" that has done so much to destabilize the Middle East.  Now after 18 years, twice as long as the Soviet Union's stay in the "graveyard of empires", the United States has agreed to withdraw its troops.  Although obstacles remain, the agreement reached with the Taliban sets the path for a withdrawal of American troops in 14 months, beginning with a draw down to 8,600 troops "within months."  There never was a military solution to the situation in Afghanistan although both the Bush and Obama administrations were deluded into thinking there was.  

The withdrawal is welcome news and long overdue, but no one should believe that, as constructed, it will bring complete peace to Afghanistan.  Common Dreams (link below left) reports on the reaction of the peace community.  Among them:

"Spencer Ackerman, national security writer at the Daily Beast: "Had the US and its Afghan clients not been so hubristic, they might have had today’s peace deal with the Taliban in 2001, 2003 or 2011-12 — except with greater US leverage. Thousands might have been spared death, maiming, displacement & destitution." 

"Rep. Barbara Lee, one of the staunchest anti-war voices in Congress: "After nearly two decades of endless war, it's become clear that there is no military solution to the conflict in Afghanistan.  But this so-called ‪'peace deal' is anything but.  It leaves thousands of troops in Afghanistan and lacks the critical investments in peacebuilding, human-centered development, or governance reform needed to rebuild Afghan society." 

Many Americans viewed the invasion and occupation of Afghanistan as a necessary response to the 9/11 attacks.  I never did and do not now.  By declaring a "war" on terror instead of a policing action to bring a criminal terrorist to justice, George W. Bush and his neocon advisers set the US on a path to endless war - how can you defeat a noun?  Especially a noun that can be manipulated for whatever purpose a speaker wants. Nelson Mandela was deemed a terrorist by white South Africa.  Even decades after the Cuban Revolution, the United States still had Cuba on its list of nations that sponsored terrorism even as it ignored an actual act of  terrorism - the downing of Cubana flight 455 in 1976 which saw the deaths of 73 people including 24 teenage members of Cuba's national fencing team.*

Though Bush may have come up with the term "war on terror" on his own, it was neocon adherents to the dangerous "Project for the New American Century"  that were the driving force, behind our post 9/11 invasions and occupations in the Middle East. Some of these people are still near centers of power.  Thankfully John Bolton - who was one of the Iraq invasion's cheerleaders back then - is gone from the Trump Administration, but others, most notably Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, have taken up the neocon chant.    

The neocons' distorted concept of an American exceptionalism projected by military force has become engrained in many Americans. Vox, discussing the demise of the neocon journal "The Weekly Standard," reminds us that there are some conservative ideas worse than Trumpism.  (link below right)  Vox writer Matthew Yglesias summed up the disastrous consequences of the Iraq invasion that neocons lied us into:

"In its main phase from 2003 to 2011, this war led to the deaths of thousands of American soldiers, plus what appears to be around 400,000 Iraqis. And that was only the beginning. The regional destabilization the invasion touched off led directly to the rise of ISIS and a whole new round of fighting in Iraq in which many thousands of people have died.  More broadly, the extremely deadly civil war in Syria likely also counts as a knock-on consequence of invading Iraq. This is to say nothing of the extent to which the war counterproductively undermined the global nonproliferation regime by convincing North Korea to go for broke in its quest for nukes."

He describes the "neo-Reaganite foreign policy" touted by the neocons as "a deeply held ideological view that argues that the United States must avoid any form of pragmatic accommodation of anyone or anything in the international order," and concludes with a statement on the neocon opposition to Trumpism: 

"...in a sane world, the alternative to perpetual war is not isolation or pathetic wheedling for Saudi defense contracts — it’s tourism, commerce, diplomacy, migration, and cooperation on areas of mutual interest that respects universal human dignity....While the country desperately needs the kind of principled resistance to Trump’s worst excesses that the Weekly Standard represented, it would be particularly useful for that resistance to take the form of ideas that are better than Trump’s — rather than simply different and in many ways worse."

And in a sane America, neocons like Bill Kristol, Robert Kagan, John Bolton, Stephen Hayes, and now Mike Pompeo would be reminded of how disastrous their policies and lies have been and laughed off the stage of power, once and for all.

-----  

*"The Cubana Flight 455 mass murder is not much remembered, but the two dozen Cuban athletes who perished represent the most horrific attack against innocent sportsmen we’ve ever seen. The downing of their flight remains a rare mid-air bombing of a civilian airliner in the Western Hemisphere. And the U.S. government’s behavior in the 40-year wake of those deaths remains shameful."(Washington Post, Dec 4, 2016)

Arms Hypocrisy, Sanctions Snapback, Iran Nuclear Deal

POSTED AUGUST 14, 2020

The US plans to introduce a resolution in the United Nations Security Council that would extend the Iran Arms Embargo indefinitely.  A provision in the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (aka the Iran Nuclear Deal) ends the embargo on October 18.  Iran has warned that if the embargo is not lifted, it would leave the JCPOA.  There is little likelihood that the resolution will even gather a majority of votes from UN Security Council members.  If it does, Russia and China would use their vetoes.

UPDATE: On Friday Aug 14, the US resolution garnered one vote in the Security Council - that of the Dominican Republic.  All other members either voted no or abstained.

But this is not the end game of the Trump/Pompeo ploy.  The end game is the dissolution of the JCPOA.  If the US arms embargo resolution fails, the United States has threatened to try to force a return of UN sanctions by using a controversial technique called "snapback."  US Secretary of State Pompeo has offered the contested argument that the United States remains a "participant" in the nuclear accord as it was listed in the 2015 resolution and therefore can force a return to sanctions if it sees Iran as being in violation of its terms. 

The hypocrisy of the world's largest arms exporter demanding an arms embargo on another nation is breath-taking.  This is particularly true in the case of Iran.  The US unilaterally and without cause withdrew from the JCPOA and then, in violation of that agreement, re-imposed draconian sanctions on that country.  

As the source of approximately 36 percent of the world’s military exports, the United States is by far the largest exporter of weapons.  [sidebar] To take two of the most egregious examples: US weapons supplied to Saudi Arabia are being used to commit war crimes in Yemen, the site of world's greatest humanitarian crisis.   Those supplied to Israel are being used to continue the suppression and human rights violations of Palestinians, a stateless people under the longest standing military occupation.  

The hypocrisy does not even stop there.  Paying homage to his NRA supporters ($30 million to his 2016 campaign), Trump told members of the gun lobby at their annual meeting in April 2019 that he intends to revoke the status of the United States as a signatory to the Arms Trade Treaty (ATT) , which requires states to monitor their arms exports.  US and UK opponents of arm sales to Saudi Arabia have pointed to the treaty in an attempt to stop the carnage and war crimes in Yemen . The BBC has reported on criticism of Trump's actions from human rights groups and others.

US Middle East Troop Withdrawals

POSTED SEPTEMBER 9, 2020

Over the past few weeks, Donald Trump has signaled the United States' intention to withdraw some of its remaining troops in Iraq and Afghanistan by the end of the year. Trump must now follow up his words with actions. 

The major stumbling block to the Iraq withdrawal is Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, whose unhealthy obsession with regime change in Iran has already brought the United States to the brink of war with that neighboring country. 

The Afghanistan withdrawal is “conditions-based” and depends on the success of negotiations between Kabul and the Taliban - a risky proposition which dangerously prolongs a war that was the initial step in the misguided War on Terror and the beginning of America's forever wars in the Middle East.

Middle East map is from World Atlas.

Iraq

Earlier this month, Donald Trump announced that the United States would be withdrawing about one-third of its remaining troops from Iraq, bringing the number down to 3500. It is one step in the right direction of ending America's endless Middle East wars.

The US invasion of Iraq 17 years ago was described at the time by the late NSA Director Bill Odom as “the greatest strategic disaster in American history.” The invasion, based on a relentless barrage of lies about weapons of mass destruction by the war's neocon supporters, destabilized the Middle East and resulted in hundreds of thousands of unnecessary deaths.

Trump must now follow up his words with actions. The major stumbling block to this modest withdrawal is Secretary of State Pompeo whose unhealthy obsession with Iran has already brought the United States to the brink of war with that neighboring country. “When the president was questioned about a timetable for the US withdrawal from Iraq, he turned to Pompeo for an answer. Pompeo’s response did not inspire much hope. 'As soon as we can complete the mission, said Pompeo. What is the mission? Does anyone know? Aside from “regime change” for Iran, that is.” [1]

The troop withdrawal also makes strategic sense. Besides taking US troops out of harm's way, the Iraqis insist that they do not need the U.S. combat troop’s help against ISIL. Nor are U.S. troops needed to check Iran’s influence in Iraq. That is, first of all, an Iraqi problem and secondly, America's military presence is having the opposite effect. Many Iraqi political factions view Iran as a necessary partner to balance and contain America’s military influence in their country.[2]

Afghanistan

Afghanistan’s decades-long conflict is “arguably best characterized as a civil war with foreign intervention—intervention that is not and cannot be conducive to peace, because there is no foreign military solution to what is ultimately a domestic problem with political, religious, and cultural elements which Washington demonstrably cannot address with bombs.” [3]

The US currently deploys 8,600 soldiers in Afghanistan, in accordance with a bilateral agreement signed February 29 in Doha between Washington and the Taliban. Under the agreement, all foreign troops must leave Afghanistan by the spring of 2021, in exchange for security commitments from the militants. 

The net troop level is unchanged from when Trump took office. According to August statements by Trump and Secretary of Defense Esper, the United States is counting on military withdrawal from Afghanistan to potentially fewer than 5,000 troops by the end of November.

However, the withdrawal plan is “conditions-based,” meaning it could be delayed, canceled, or even reversed with another surge if conditions change. Bonnie Kristian writing at Strategic Culture calls tying American withdrawal from Afghanistan to peace talks between the Afghan government and the Taliban reckless and strategically bizarre, "because every moment U.S. forces remain in harm’s way is a moment risking some new escalation. This slow, conditional exit dangerously prolongs a war that should have ended years ago." [3]

Middle East Headlines

POSTED OCTOBER 5, 2020

Some headlines from the third quarter.  Israeli annexation threat, Beirut explosion, US/Iran, Yemen, more

Jul 1 - Sanders, AOC, Tlaib Threaten to Cut Israeli Funding if Netanyahu Annexes 1/3 of Palestinian West Bank

Jul 7 - The US violated international law by assassinating Iranian general Qassem Soleimani, top UN human rights investigator says

RELATED POST: No war for now...

Jul 13 - Amid Pandemic Spike, Israel cuts Electricity to Palestinian Hamlets in Apparent Pressure to accept Annexation

Jul 15 - Seven vessels catch fire in southern Iranian shipyard incident at port of Bushehr latest in series of fires and blasts that could be part of sabotage campaign

Aug 11 - The Beirut explosion: what we know so far

Aug 14 - UN Security Council rejects US proposal to extend Iran arms embargo 

Aug 14 - Israel & UAE Deal to Normalize Relations Is New Chapter in 100-Year War on Palestine

Aug  24 - Hundreds of thousands displaced by Yemen floods

Aug 25 - UNSC dismisses US demand to impose ‘snapback’ sanctions on Iran

RELATED POST: Arms hypocrisy, sanctions snapback, Iran nuclear deal

Aug 25 - Gaza fears the worst as Israel ratches up it siege

Aug 30 - Tens of thousands of anti-Netanyahu protesters hit Israel streets 

Sep 5 - Saudi Arabia tells US it wants fair solution for Palestinians

Sep 15 - UN experts decry continued abuse as Syria’s war grinds on

Sep 20 - Affirming Jim Crow, Israeli Parliament votes down Bill guaranteeing Equality for Palestinian-Israelis, 21% of Population

Sep 20 -US claims UN sanctions on Iran reinstated. The world disagrees. Washington isolated as global allies and adversaries say its unilateral move targeting Tehran has no legal standing.

Sep 24 - Arab, European states call Israel and Palestine to restart talks

Sep 27 - Yemen gov’t, Houthis agree to exchange over 1,000 prisoners

Sep 28 - Trump admin mulls new sanctions on Iran’s financial sector Trump administration is weighing new sanctions that would cut Iran’s economy off from the outside world, and thwart any US attempt to re-enter nuke deal if Biden wins – sources.

Oct 1 - Sudan to strike peace with rebels after decades of war

Oct 2 - Will there ever be accountability for murder of Jamal Khashoggi?

Israel suspected in assassination of top Iranian scientist

POSTED NOVEMBER 27, 2020

President-elect Biden's chances of repairing the rift with Iran caused by the Trump Administration and re-entering the JCPOA (Iran nuclear deal) suffered a serious blow today when Iran's top nuclear scientist was assassinated, apparently by Israeli agents.  

"Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif condemned the attack and said there are 'serious indications' of an Israeli role in the assassination. 'Terrorists murdered an eminent Iranian scientist today. This cowardice—with serious indications of Israeli role—shows desperate warmongering of perpetrators,' Zarif wrote on Twitter.  For their part, Iran is urging its allies in the region to exercise caution, hoping to avoid a military confrontation with the US before Trump is out of office.  Both the Israelis and the Trump administration are hoping to sabotage a future Biden administration’s efforts to rejoin the 2015 nuclear deal, known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA)." [antiwar.com, Nov 27]

The killing comes two weeks after President Trump asked his advisers about options for a US strike on Iran’s civilian nuclear enrichment facilities and five days after a not-so-secret meeting between Secretary of State Pompeo, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. [link below left] Trump's request for military strike options came days after he lost the presidential election to Joe Biden, who has pledged to act quickly to re-enter the Iran nuclear agreement that Trump violated in May of 2018.  

Julian Borger at The Guardian notes [link below center] that the "assassination of Mohsen Fakhrizadeh may not much have impact on the Iranian nuclear program he helped build, but it will certainly make it harder to salvage the deal intended to restrict that program, and that is – so far - the most plausible motive.

- Iran has not had a nuclear weapons program since 2003.  Back then, Mohsen Fakhrizadeh was the head of the program.

- After it mothballed its rudimentary military experiments in 2003, Iran kept to civilian enrichment. 

- The JCPOA of 2015 was working with Iran in full compliance until Trump violated it and imposed brutal sanctions on the country, making it impossible for them to sell their oil.

- To pressure Europe into circumventing the illegal US sanctions, Iran has enriched some uranium slightly above the 3.5% limit of the JCPOA.  

- To make a bomb, uranium must be enriched to 95%.  The contention sometimes made by US journalists that Iran has enough uranium to make two bombs is ridiculous. "You don’t make bombs by the amount of uranium you possess that is enriched to 3.5% or 4.5%. Without the necessary level of enrichment, you’d just have some rocks that could be used to heat water."

To take action, there is a link to a letter to world leaders from Code Pink [link below right] for this vile assault on diplomacy.

Prolonging war and increasing misery

POSTED DECEMBER 1, 2020

The casualty figures of the Yemen Civil War are daunting for a small nation with a population of less than 30 million.  By the end of 2019, it was estimated that over 233,000 Yemenis had been killed as a result of fighting and the humanitarian crisis.  The death toll from the fighting alone - over 112,000 - includes more than 12,000 civilians.  An estimated 85,000 children under age 5 may have died of hunger and disease since 2015.  3.1 million people have been displaced.  

With 50 days left in his presidency, as part of his administration's failed "maximum pressure campaign" on Iran and its allies, Donald Trump is re-stoking the flames that led to the world's worst humanitarian crisis by preparing to designate the rebel Houthis as a foreign terrorist organization.  The impact of an FTO designation would be twofold - it would disrupt ongoing negotiations for a nationwide ceasefire and would make delivery of critical humanitarian aid to Houthi-controlled areas nearly impossible as Yemen teeters on the brink of the worst famine in decades.

The U.N. special envoy for Yemen has spent months attempting to negotiate a nationwide cease-fire with economic and humanitarian confidence-building measures and a return to talks between the Houthis and the government. There is a not-so-secret back channel between Houthi leaders and Saudi officials that has also been working in fits and starts. [1]   The United States has been supplying arms to Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates for years and the FTO designation would be another indication of bad faith negotiation.  It will prolong the conflict, not end it.

United States lawmakers, international aid groups and rights advocates are warning the outgoing Trump administration against reported plans to label Yemen’s Houthi rebel group a “foreign terrorist organization”, saying it would worsen the world’s worst humanitarian crisis. 

“It’s a very scary prospect as the country teeters on the edge of famine,” said Hassan El-Tayyab, a Middle East policy lobbyist at the Friends Committee on National Legislation (FCNL), a US nonpartisan lobby group, about the potential designation. The FTO designation would make delivering critical humanitarian aid to Houthi-controlled areas "nearly impossible."  [2]

The U.S. provides billions of dollars of arms to the Saudi-led coalition fighting against Iran-backed rebels in Yemen. Members of Congress have expressed concern about the thousands of civilians killed in coalition airstrikes since the conflict began in 2014. The fighting in the Arab world’s poorest country also has left millions suffering from food and medical care shortages and has pushed the country to the brink of famine.  In 2019, Trump vetoed a bipartisan resolution passed by Congress to end U.S. military assistance in Saudi Arabia’s war in Yemen. [3]

President-elect Biden has indicated that he plans to end US support for the Saudi-UAE coalition.  The Trump Administration's FTO is one of two last-minute Trump administration efforts to strengthen Saudi-led forces and put pressure on the Houthis.  The other is a planned $23.3bn sale of weapons, including F-35 aircraft and drones, to the UAE, which has drawn concern from US legislators who say they fear the arms will be used in violations of international law. [2]

References:

[1] Labeling the Houthi rebels as terrorists would prolong Yemen’s war, not end it - The Washington Post  

[2] Al Jazeera 

[3] Associated Press

Yemen Civil War Timeline

- 2011  Arab Spring protests undermine long-time president Ali Abdullah Saleh’s rule

- 2012 Saleh steps down in a political transition plan backed by Gulf states. Abd-Rabbu Mansour Hadi becomes interim president.

- 2013 Saleh and his allies undermine the political transition.

- 2014 The Houthis rapidly advance south from Saadeh and seize Sanaa on September 21 with help from Saleh. They demand a share in power.

- 2015 Hadi tries to announce a new federal constitution opposed by the Iran-aligned Houthis and Saleh.  Hadi is arrested , escapes and pursued by the Houthis, triggering Saudi intervention in March along with a hastily assembled Arab military coalition. 

- 2016 Al-Qaeda on the Arabian Peninsula takes advantage of the chaos to establish a mini-state around Mukalla in east Yemen, raising fears the war will lead to a new surge in jihadist activity. The UAE backs local forces in a battle that ends AQAP’s rule there. 

- 2017 The Houthis launch a growing number of missiles deep into Saudi Arabia. Seeing a chance to regain power for his family by reneging on his Houthi allies, Saleh switches sides, but is killed trying to escape them. 

- 2018 Coalition-backed forces advance up the Red Sea coast against the Houthis, aiming to take the port of Hodeidah. Military stalemate ensues: the Houthis control the port and coalition-backed Yemeni forces mass on the outskirts. Separatists supported by the United Arab Emirates seize Aden, a major southern city.

-2019 U.N. efforts lead to a power-sharing agreement between separatists and the Yemen government to end the conflict in southern Yemen.

- 2020 Progress stalls on troop withdrawals because of mistrust among warring parties.

Below: Control of Yemen as of Sep 2020

20 years in Afghanistan

POSTED FEBRUARY 17, 2021

On October 7, we will observe the 20th anniversary of the US invasion of Afghanistan.  It was the first step in the neocon's misguided and tragic "war on terror" that eventually destabilized the entire Middle East.  Pushed by neoconservatives, the Bush Administration had decided to prosecute as a war what should have been an international policing action to bring a criminal to justice.   All that followed - the invasion of Iraq, the rise of ISIS, the hundreds of thousands of deaths, the millions of refugees -  began here.  The Iraq War may have been the most destabilizing event [below center], but the invasion of Afghanistan started it all.  

Those disgraced neocons almost got their war with Iran during Trump's tenure, as Mike Pompeo took on their arguments and forged a Middle East policy that once again destroyed America's credibility.  President Biden would do well to take the advice of Liza Featherstone at The Jacobin regarding the neocons still lurking in the shadows: "These guys have made successful careers of being catastrophically, tragically wrong. No one should ever listen to any of them again." [below right]

Perhaps the most appalling statistic of the neocon forever wars in the Middle East is the number of civilians that have been killed directly or indirectly as a result of the ensuing turmoil.  The Costs of War Project has estimated that since 2001, there have been more than 335,000 civilian deaths in our Middle East war zones since 2001.  

At the peak of the nearly two decade war in Afghanistan, there were more than 100,000 American troops there.  The number is down to 2,500 now, and a stuttering peace process is underway between the Taliban and the Afghan government.  A framework for the peace talks was finally agreed in December.  The peace process was initiated by the U.S.-Taliban agreement signed in February 2020 that diminished the Taliban threat to U.S. personnel.  "That agreement produced the launch of peace talks among Afghans in September, after months of delay. It also committed the United States and North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) to a total withdrawal of forces by May 2021, and the Taliban to preventing Afghan territory from being used by transnational terrorist groups to threaten the United States and its allies. Currently, the parties’ wait-and-see posture toward the incoming Biden administration—watching particularly for signals of commitment, or not, to the February deal—is slowing the talks."  (Council of Foreign Relations, Jan 20)

An Afghan political settlement by May is essential.  If a political settlement is not reached by then and the United States and NATO troops remain in Afghanistan, the Taliban will begin to doubt the commitment to the withdrawal, and countries in the region will protest the continued presence of outside troops in the region.  

NATO's Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said that NATO will not withdraw its troops from Afghanistan “before the time is right”, adding that the Taliban must do more to meet the terms of a 2020 peace agreement with the United States first.  Stoltenberg’s remarks came on Monday, days before the defense ministers of the 30 NATO member states discuss the deployment on Wednesday and Thursday.  (Al Jazeera, Feb 15)

One of the best options for successful peace negotiations is that presented by the Heart of Asia - Istanbul Process.  [below left]  A "recommitment of major regional and international players in the Afghan peace process—plus a degree of innovation and flexibility—will be sufficient to make the HoA-IP fit for purpose as the most inclusive, effective, and easily convened consultation and support platform. Given the urgency of the process and the importance of a regional guarantee and support for an eventual Afghan peace agreement, this diplomatic initiative should be prioritized by all the key regional and international stakeholders, including the Biden administration."

Bring 'em home

POSTED MAR 7, 2021

President Biden is fond of ending his words to the people of our nation with "God bless America and God protect our troops."  Yet he leaves these in harm's way in nations that are no threat to us and that do not want us there in the first place.  He needs to bring them home.

Otherwise, we may be treated to more abuses of the post 9/11 Authorization for the Use of Military Force such as happened in his February 25 bombing in Syria.  The Pentagon portrayed (and mainstream media reported) the bombing as a precision strike against Iranian-backed Iraqi militias in retaliation for an attack on a base in Iraqi Kurdistan, which had left one American contractor dead.   Some analysts said that the bombing may have been intended to strengthen the U.S. hand in its negotiations with Iran over the nuclear deal (JCPOA). 

Let's provide some background and deconstruct these statements.

If Biden is to live up to his campaign promise of diplomacy, he must stop doing the bidding of the Iran hawks and the Israel lobby.   Both groups are intent on keeping the US from returning to the Iran nuclear deal, an agreement they fought desperately to prevent when Obama was originally negotiating it.   

If Biden supports the repeal of AUMF, as he has said, he must end all US bombing in the Middle East and work with Congress to repeal the AUMF.  It is his opportunity to earn a place in history by ending America's "forever wars."

If Biden wants to protect American troops, he must "bring 'em home," as a Vietnam-era song once exhorted us.  [below left]

A final opportunity to save the Iran nuclear agreement

POSTED APRIL 9, 2021

This week, the remaining signatories to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action met in Vienna's Grand Hotel to try to save the agreement.  Across the street in another hotel, representatives of the United States sat as messages were shuttled back and forth between the meeting participants and the US delegation.  

It may be the last, best chance to salvage the agreement.  Iranian elections are in June.  Without an end to the brutal US sanctions before then, Iranian hardliners will likely win and replace the moderate government of Hassan Rouhani.  

As for the US, the Biden Administration needs to stand up to those trying to sabotage the President's efforts.  Iran hawks (several of whom are Democrats including Senate Foreign Relations Chair Bob Menendez),  the Israel lobby, and the Netanyahu government of Israel are mounting an effort to stop the US from re-entering the agreement.  Israelis attacked an Iranian ship in the Red Sea on Tuesday - just as the Vienna talks were getting underway. The Israeli station i24 speculated that the attack was a signal to the world that Israel will not be bound by any deal with Iran. 

The first week of talks to restore Iran’s 2015 nuclear deal with world powers concluded Friday with all sides hopeful of continuing the discussions.  "Iran’s foreign ministry said Tehran was in favor of continuing the talks if all sides continue to exhibit 'political will and seriousness' to restore the deal that the United States unilaterally abandoned in May 2018.  For now, negotiators – including those from the US who were in Vienna but in a different hotel as Iran refuses to meet them directly – will head back to reflect on the progress made this week. The talks will continue on Wednesday.   'The JCPOA participants took stock of the work done by experts over the last three days and noted with satisfaction the initial progress made,' tweeted Mikhail Ulyanov, Russia’s representative at the talks." (Al Jazeera, Apr 9)

Why are we here?

In 2018, Donald Trump, unilaterally and without cause, withdrew from the agreement and then, in violation of that agreement, imposed the harshest ever peace-time sanctions on Iran.  In spite of these actions, Iran remained in complete compliance for one year.  When it became clear that the Europeans were unable to find a way around the US sanctions, one year after Trump's abandonment of the agreement, Iran began to exceed the limits placed on its uranium uranium enrichment.  With Trump and Pompeo gone, all of the original parties to the agreement including the United States now want to repair the damage.  In particular, the Europeans see the JCPOA as vital to their security.

What are the issues that need to be resolved first?

"On Monday. the US and Iran agreed they had two lists to compile. First, they need to agree on a full inventory of the sanctions that the US needs to lift to come back into compliance with UN resolutions on the nuclear deal. Second, they need to compile a full list of the constraints that Iran must readopt to return to compliance."  (UK Guardian, Apr 9)  Unraveling the sanctions imposed by the Trump Administration will not be easy.  In an incredible display of underhandedness, Trump conflated the sanctions related to Iran's nuclear program with those imposed for other reasons - cybercrime, human rights, "terrorism", etc.  to make it difficult for Biden to re-enter the JCPOA.

What was the initial response of the Iranian and American delegations towards reaching an agreement?

Both sides called Tuesday's indirect talks "useful" and "constructive."  Iranian President Hassan Rouhani told a cabinet meeting in Tehran on Wednesday that initial talks with the U.S. and world powers in Vienna to rescue the deal were a “success” that opened a “new chapter” to save the agreement. (CNBC, Apr 7)

How the United States and Iran Became Adversaries: A Timeline 1953 - 2018


1953 - In the first covert action of the United States to overthrow a foreign government in peacetime, democratically elected Prime Minister Mohammad Mosaddegh was overthrown in a coup d'etat in favor of strengthening the monarchical rule of Mohammad Reza Pahlavi  (aka "the Shah of Iran") [link above]

1978 - Protests against the Shah begin and intensify, peaking in December when more than 10% of the country marched in anti-shah demonstrations. Carter Administration debates continued support for the Shah. 

January 1979 - The Shah leaves Iran for Egypt

Feb 1 1979 -Exiled cleric Ruhollah Khomeini returns to Tehran greeted by a welcoming crowd of several million Iranians at the airport

Nov 1979 - Iranian college students take over the American Embassy precipitating a diplomatic standoff that lasted more than a year.  US imposes its first sanctions against Iran.

1980-1988 - The Iran-Iraq War.  The war starts when Iraq invades Iran. Many nations including the US provide political and logistic support to Iraq while Iran is relatively isolated.  The war ends in a stalemate. The number killed on both sides was perhaps 500,000, with Iran suffering the greatest losses

1988 - The American warship USS Vincennes shoots down an Iran Air flight in the Gulf on 3 July, killing all 290 people on board. The US says the Airbus A300 was mistaken for a fighter jet.  Most of the victims are Iranian pilgrims on their way to Mecca.

2002 - Bush's axis of evil speech which lumps Iran with Iraq and North Korea is met with outrage across Iran. An Iranian opposition group claims Iran is developing nuclear facilities.

2002-2013 - Years of diplomatic activity and intermittent Iranian engagement with the UN's nuclear watchdog follow. Several rounds of sanctions are imposed by the UN, the US and the EU against ultra-conservative president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's government. This causes Iran's currency to lose two-thirds of its value in two years.

2013 - Barack Obama initiates dialog with Iran's newly elected moderate president Hassan Rouhani.

2015 - Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action - Iran agrees to limit its sensitive nuclear activities and allow in international inspectors in return for the lifting of crippling economic sanctions.

2018 - Trump unilaterally and without cause withdraws from JCPOA and re-imposes sanctions in violation of the agreement.

Calls for restraint as Holy Land violence threatens to spiral out of control

POSTED MAY 13, 2021/ UPDATED MAY 15

World leaders are calling for restraint from Israeli armed forces and Hamas militants in the recent round of violence, which has so far killed at least 152 Palestinians and 8 Israelis.  Worried that the region’s worst hostilities in years could spiral out of control, the United States sent an envoy, Hady Amr to Israel.  Truce efforts by Egypt, Qatar and the United Nations have so far offered no sign of progress. [5]

The tinderbox that is the Israeli-Palestinian relationship was lit after hundreds of Palestinians were injured during protests over the expulsion of Palestinian families and in Israeli raids on the Al-Aqsa Mosque compound in Jerusalem.   After the raids, Hamas demanded Israel remove police from the holy site and the nearby predominantly Arab district of Sheikh Jarrah, where Palestinian families face eviction by Jewish settlers. Hamas launched rockets when its ultimatum went unheeded. [6]

Israel responded with a bombing campaign that has left at least 139 dead in Gaza.  Israel’s bombardment of the Gaza Strip entered its sixth consecutive day, with Israeli air raids hitting a refugee camp where at least 10 Palestinians, including eight children, were killed.  In the occupied West Bank, Israeli forces have killed at least 13 Palestinians protesting against continued Israeli occupation and the ongoing bombardment of Gaza. [7] 

The Israeli plan to evict 169 Palestinians from their homes in the Sheikh Jarrah neighborhood had made this Ramadan particularly tense and fomented protests in Jerusalem, a holy city for the world's Jews, Christians, and Muslims.  When the protesters were attacked by Israeli security forces, they went to the area of the al-Aqsa Mosque, the third holiest mosque in the Islamic world, perhaps expecting that it would be treated as a sanctuary by the Israelis. [1] 

Make no mistake: the evictions planned for Sheikh Jarrah are part of the long-term ethnic cleansing of Palestinians, not part of a "real-estate dispute" as the Israeli Foreign Ministry obnoxiously called it.  It's not just about the eviction of 169 people, "It's about whether Palestinians will be allowed to live in east Jerusalem at all." [MSNBC, sidebar] The United Nations urged Israel to call off any forced evictions in Israeli-annexed east Jerusalem, warning that its actions could amount to “war crimes”.  “We call on Israel to immediately call off all forced evictions,” UN rights office spokesman Rupert Colville told reporters in Geneva.  “We wish to emphasize that East Jerusalem remains part of the occupied Palestinian territory, in which international humanitarian law applies.”  [2]

The May 7 attack on the mosque drew widespread condemnation.  Jordan, which has custodianship of Muslim and Christian sites in Jerusalem, urged Israel to stop what it described as “barbaric” attacks on worshippers in Jerusalem’s al Aqsa mosque, and said Israel should respect worshippers and international law safeguarding Arab rights. [3]  The US State Department, for its part, limited its comments to being “extremely concerned” about the violence in Jerusalem and called on Israeli and Palestinian officials “to act decisively” to deescalate tensions. [4]

As Informed Comment's Juan Cole writes [sidebar]: "These invasions of one of the world’s holiest structures were barely reported by the US press or on US television news, which is largely wedded to the racist narrative that the Palestinians are dangerous or terrorists...who pose a threat to Israeli Jews."  

The incredible stupidity of Hamas firing rockets into Israel both feeds that narrative and distracts from the apartheid nature of the Israeli state [sidebar], from the devastating effect of the 14-year Gaza blockade, and from Israel's own war crimes and violations of international law.  Israel's disproportionate response is greeted with "Israel has the right to defend itself."  Of course it does, but that is not what is happening.  

Israeli actions go far beyond defending themselves, and Washington's silence has allowed them to continue to act with impunity.  

As in the case of South Africa, Israel will not end its policies of apartheid and persecution [Human Rights Watch, sidebar] until Washington begins to hold them accountable.  Long after the rest of the international community had condemned apartheid in South Africa, the United States held out.  Finally, in 1986, Congress overrode President Reagan's veto and imposed economic sanctions on South Africa.  Negotiations to end apartheid began four years later and South Africa eliminated apartheid in 1994.

Unfortunately even under Biden, the United States is a long way from holding Israel accountable.  The Israel lobby is one of the most powerful international issue lobbies in the United States.  It spent nearly $15M in the 2018 mid-terms.  In 2020, the casino-billionaire-Adelsons contributed and raised $218 million for Trump and conservative politicians as a reward for Trump's destruction of the two-state solution [Independent, sidebar].  From the move of the US embassy to Jerusalem and cutoff of aid to Palestinians to its 'deal of the century' and its incredible pronouncement that the US no longer considered Israeli settlements on Palestinian land violations of international law, the Trump Administration was a nightmare for peace and justice in the Occupied Territories.

The Israel lobby is ready to malign any person or organization as anti-Semitic should they call attention to the actual situation faced by Palestinians.   "One just has to look at the backlash New York-based Human Rights Watch is experiencing for publishing last month a report calling the Israeli oppression of the Palestinians what it is – apartheid. The American Jewish Committee said its arguments 'border on antisemitism', while the International Legal Forum called it 'anti-Semitic' 'blood libel'. It is such attacks that American politicians fear." [Al Jazeera, sidebar]

Rashida Tlaib, the only Palestinian-American member of Congress, has no such fear.  She delivered a powerful message to her colleagues in the House that both addressed the ongoing oppression of Palestinians and the tepid response of the United States to the current Israeli assault on Gaza. [Democracy Now!, sidebar]

"If we are to make good on our promises to support equal human rights for all, it is our duty to end the apartheid system that for decades has subjected Palestinians to inhumane treatment and racism, reducing Palestinians to live in utter fear and terror of losing a child, being indefinitely detained or killed because of who they are, and the unequal rights and protections they have under Israeli law. It must end....

"To read the statements from President Biden and Secretary Blinken, General Austin and leaders of both parties, you’d hardly know Palestinians existed at all. There has been no recognition of the attack on Palestinian families being ripped from their homes in East Jerusalem right now or home demolitions; no mention of children being detained or murdered; no recognition of a sustained campaign of harassment and terror by Israeli police against worshipers kneeling down and praying and celebrating their holiest days in one of their holiest places...   

The United States does have leverage with Israel if we choose to use it.  

Israel and Hamas agree to ceasefire, but has Biden learned anything?

POSTED MAY 21, 2021

President Biden finally brought enough pressure on Israel's Benjamin Netanyahu to end Israel's 11-day assault on Gaza which left at least 248 Palestinians dead, including 66 children.  On the Israeli side, 12 people, including two children, have been killed.  On Thursday May 20, Hamas and Israel agreed to a ceasefire.

It took eleven days longer than it should have for Biden to exert enough pressure on Israel to stop its attacks on Gaza.  Instead of calling for an immediate ceasefire, Biden stated his support for "Israel's right to defend itself".  But Israel's massively disproportionate response is not, by any reasonable definition of the term, "defending itself".  Disproportionate response is not self-defense.  It is a war crime.

As we have seen in past assaults on the Gaza Strip, attacks on the densely populated Gaza Strip kill civilians no matter how allegedly ‘targeted’ they are.  The effects of the bombing cannot be contained. 

Besides the dead,  who were mostly civilians, at least 58,000 Palestinians have been made homeless in GazaIsrael's bombing campaign devastated Gaza's civilian infrastructure with strikes hitting electricity, water, sewage and telecommunications lines.   The 11-day assault also destroyed roads near hospitals, more than 1000 residential buildings, and a high-rise building that housed offices of The Associated Press and other media outlets.  At least 17 hospitals and clinics were damaged, including a a Doctors Without Borders trauma and burn clinic and the Al-Ramal Clinic in Central Gaza, site of Gaza's only COVID-19 testing lab. [link below left]

On Monday May 17, Nobel Peace Prize recipient Médecins Sans Frontières (Doctors without Borders) issued this statement:

“The horrendous attacks on civilians and civilian infrastructure that we are witnessing in Gaza are inexcusable and intolerable.  The situation is critical. The number of wounded and displaced people is mounting while additional humanitarian personnel and supplies still cannot enter Gaza. The local health authority is reporting being 24 hours away from running out of blood bags, meaning they cannot transfuse patients with blood, a key intervention in caring for war wounded.”

On Wednesday May 19, after more than a week of resisting calls from progressives to put more pressure on Israel to obtain a ceasefire and after facing protests during a visit to a Ford auto plant in  Michigan, Biden called Netanyahu for a third time.  Biden said that he “expected a significant de-escalation today on the path to a cease-fire,” according to the White House, in the most assertive language used publicly by the administration since the start of the conflict.

Perhaps in a belated understanding of Martin Luther King's insightful observation that "injustice anywhere is a threat to justice everywhere,"  US public opinion on Palestine is changing. [link below right

But it is not clear that President Biden has learned anything from this latest tragic episode: 

What is clear is that the right-wing pro-Israel lobby AIPAC will continue to attack anyone who criticizes Israeli actions. 

AIPAC is running three Facebook ads attacking Ilhan Omar, Alexandra Ocasio Cortez, Bernie Sanders, Mark Pocan, and Rashida Tlaib.  The attack on Rep. Omar is especially egregious, showing the Minnesota Congresswoman's face next to Hamas rockets.   "Omar’s office has called on Facebook to immediately remove the ads, which 'blatantly peddle both anti-Muslim hate speech and disinformation,' and on AIPAC to apologize. 'Given the number of threats of death and violence the congresswoman receives on a near-daily basis, it’s not just irresponsible—it’s incitement,' Omar’s deputy communications director, Isi Baehr-Breen, told The Nation."

The ads remain up and AIPAC has not apologized. 

Iran nuclear talks resume this week

POSTED JUNE 9, 2021

What was supposed to be the fifth and final round of talks in Vienna to revive the JCPOA (aka "Iran nuclear deal") ended with negotiators returning home to their respective countries last week.  The talks to bring the US and Iran back to the original terms of the landmark 2015 agreement are to resume on June 10.  

Enrique Mora, the European Union envoy coordinating talks on reviving the Iran nuclear deal, siad he believed a deal would be struck in this next round.  Other senior diplomats from Britain, France and Germany were more cautious noting that "the most difficult decisions lie ahead.” [4]

Among the most significant barriers to a resolution are Iranian demands about sanctions relief and Western concern over Iran's expanding nuclear know-how.  Analysts believe these issues will take weeks, perhaps months to resolve. [1]

Iran will hold its presidential elections on June 18.  The ultra-conservative Ebrahim Raisi, head of the judiciary, is the current favorite to win after moderate candidates were barred from running by Iran's Guardian Council. This 60-year-old traditionalist cleric is a close ally of Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, whose confidence he has gained over the years by holding key positions of power. [2]  

While this would seem to portend ill for the negotiations,  cabinet spokesman Ali Rabiei told a weekly news conference that Iran’s nuclear policy, set by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, is not linked to internal developments and that the new government would maintain the same policies as those followed in the Vienna talks which began in April. [3]

Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, resigned to the revival of a nuclear pact with Iran they always opposed, are engaging with Tehran to contain tensions while lobbying for future talks to take their security concerns into account. [5]

Meanwhile US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken says  1) that he is unsure if Iran wants to return to compliance with the terms of the 2015 agreement and 2) that hundreds of sanctions would remain even if the United States returns to the agreement that Trump unilaterally and without cause abandoned and then subjected Iran to the harshest peacetime sanctions ever imposed.  

Hmmm, perhaps your two comments are related, Anthony.


[1] Reuters, June 8 [2] AFP, June 6 [3] News 18, June 8  [4] Reuters, June 2  [5] Reuters, June 9


The sputtering Iran nuclear talks 

POSTED JULY 19, 2021

The talks to revive the JCPOA and bring Iran and the United States back into compliance with the original agreement are on hold and may be in trouble.  If they fail, President Biden will only have himself to blame.  

President Obama's signature foreign policy achievement relieved sanctions imposed on Iran in return for their voluntary limitation on uranium enrichment for civilian purposes.  In 2018, Trump unilaterally and without cause withdrew the United States from the JCPOA and then imposed the harshest peacetime sanctions in history on Iran to effect regime change. 

In December, Iran's foreign minister Javad Zarif stated that Iran would come back into full compliance with its nuclear deal immediately after the incoming Joe Biden administration in the US proved its bona fides by lifting all the illegal sanctions imposed by Donald Trump. (The Guardian, Dec 3)  

Biden could have removed those sanctions on Day One.  He did not.  Instead, the Administration left the vast majority of the Trump-Pompeo sanctions in place, choosing to use them as bargaining chips.  

Sanctions are not bargaining chips.  They are tools of war that impose collective punishment on innocent civilians.   The continuation of US sanctions on Iran and other countries during the pandemic was and is a totally reprehensible act.  

In June, with the Trump sanctions still in place, Iran elected hard-liner Ebrahim Raisi, a protégé of the Supreme Leader.  He will take office in August, replacing moderate President Hassan Rouhani.  Iran now says that it "is not prepared to resume negotiations on coming back into compliance with the 2015 nuclear deal until Iranian President-elect Ebrahim Raisi's administration has begun...[The] current thinking is the Vienna talks will not resume before mid-August."  (Reuters, July 14)

Al Jazeera [sidebar] has a summary of the status of the talks, which will be entering their seventh and probably final round.

And then there is the wild card of Israel.  What they will do to prevent a return to the JCPOA is anybody's guess.  

After it became clear that Trump had lost the election, Netanyahu and other Iran hawks were urging Trump to take action against Iran.  The New Yorker's Susan Glasser writes that “the subject of Iran was repeatedly raised in White House meetings with the President, and [Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Mark] Milley repeatedly argued against a strike.”  [sidebar]  Milley saw Trump as vulnerable and surrounded by Iran hawks, including then Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu, who “was also urging the Administration to act against Iran after it was clear that Trump had lost the election.” 

Juan Cole [sidebar] points out, "that Netanyahu was attempting to manipulate Trump into launching an action that could well have escalated into a full-blown US war against Iran. Since Trump was thinking of strikes on Iran as a way to stay in office, Netanyahu’s advice takes on an extremely sinister overtone."

Since the election, Israel has been implicated in the November 27 assassination of a top civilian nuclear scientist (BBC), the April sabotage of Iran's main nuclear facility, and the June 23 attack on a nuclear-related site near Tehran. (Al Jazeera)  It was after the April attack, the second such attack in less than one year, that Iran began enriching uranium to its highest rate ever in response. (Al Jazeera)

So far, Iran has failed to be baited into military action.  But it has responded to the provocations by increasing its uranium enrichment level.  At what point will the combination of sabotage attacks and continuing sanctions cause Iran to walk away from the table?

The Graveyard of Empires

POSTED AUGUST 20, 2021

Twenty years after the United States invasion, the Taliban are back in control of Afghanistan.  The irony of the whole American misadventure there goes back to the 1980's when the United States, through the CIA, supported and armed the Mujahedeen in a bastardized version of the discredited Cold War "domino theory" .  

The 1978 Afghan  revolution resulted in a one-party state, run by the head of the communist party, Nur Mohammed Taraki .  The government proved unpopular and Taraki was overthrown and killed in September 1979.  In December 1979, Soviet troops entered Afghanistan to re-establish a friendly government in accordance with the Soviet-Afghan Friendship Treaty, wherein the two countries agreed to provide economic and military assistance*.   The Mujahedeen, a loose collection of guerilla groups, took up arms against Soviet troops and eventually prevailed. [1]  The United States support was one factor in the eventual departure of Soviet troops in  February 1989, seven months before the symbolic collapse of the Soviet Union with the fall of the Berlin Wall.

Many of the Mujahedeen, including Osama bin Laden, went on to careers as members and leaders of either the Taliban or al Qaeda.  Upon first learning about the 9/11 attacks on the news, one of the Congressional spearheads of the CIA's involvement exclaimed, “My God, what have we done?” He did not fully comprehend the possibility that the rebels that he authorized the CIA to assist could someday turn their backs on their benefactors.  [2]

The horrific attacks of 9/11 initiated the US "war on terror."  Pushed by neoconservatives, the Bush Administration decided to prosecute as a war what should have been an international policing action to bring a war criminal to justice.   From a hunt for Osama bin Laden, the invasion of Afghanistan morphed into the invasion and occupation of Iraq and all that followed.  The invasion of Afghanistan was the first step in the neocon's misguided and tragic "war" that eventually destabilized the entire Middle East.  All that followed - the invasion of Iraq, the rise of ISIS, the hundreds of thousands of deaths, the millions of refugees -  began here.  The Iraq War and Occupation may have been the most destabilizing event of the "war on terror", but the invasion of Afghanistan started it all.  

Those disgraced neocons almost got their war with Iran during Trump's tenure, as Mike Pompeo took on their arguments and forged a Middle East policy that once again destroyed America's credibility.  Now the neocons are surfacing again, blaming Biden for the chaos in Afghanistan as the US prepares to leave.  As we listen to these "experts" appearing on news shows, we would do well to take the advice of Liza Featherstone at The Jacobin : "These guys have made successful careers of being catastrophically, tragically wrong. No one should ever listen to any of them again." [3]

Afghanistan has been called the "graveyard of empires."  The Soviet and the American experiments in nation building have proven the case.  While the United States is not in any danger of collapse as was the Soviet Union in 1989, any moral reckoning of the costs of the "war on terror" must take into account the costs not only to the United States but to the rest of the world.  The monetary cost to our country alone is over $6 trillion.  Imagine what $6 trillion could have done had it been used on domestic social programs.  Even more appalling is the death toll - Brown University's Costs of War Project estimates a total of 800,000 dead including more than 335,000 civilians.  [4, 5]

From here on, America's role must be to mitigate the damage: evacuating those who helped the US-Afghan war effort, providing them with asylum and support here in the United States, and working with the international community to ensure that the progress made in the last two decades in Afghanistan towards women's equality and schooling, reduced maternal and infant mortality, and better overall health care are preserved.  

Two of the best analyses of the situation come from Democracy Now!


Related: 20 years in Afghanistan (WITW, Feb 17, 2021)


Note: *Afghanistan borders Russia and was always considered important to its national security and a gateway to Asia. Russia had long tried to establish strong ties, holding interests there for centuries.

Sources: [1] inews  [2] Whose Monster? A Study of the Rise to Power of al Qaeda and the Taliban, Nicholas B. Kotarski, SUNY-Buffalo, December 2018 [3] The Jacobin, Jan 18, 2020 [4] TomDispatch, Jan 24, 2021 [5] Brown University, Nov 13, 2019

Iran Nuclear Talks Resume

POSTED NOVEMBER 30, 2021

Amid generally low expectations and after a five month hiatus, the United States and Iran returned to their indirect talks to salvage the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action.  After a round of bilateral talks on Sunday Nov 28th, the formal talks resumed at the Coburg hotel between Iran, Russia, China, the UK, France, Germany and the EU on Monday Nov 29th. Iran has again said it will not hold talk direct talks with the US delegation. [1]

Rather than dealing with the moderate government of Hassan Rouhani, the parties must now negotiate with Iranian hard-liner Ebrahim Rahisi, who won the Iranian presidency in a landslide in June.  In addition to removal of the sanctions imposed by the Trump administration, the new Iranian regime is requesting financial compensation from America for previous sanctions, and for a guarantee that America will not leave the agreement again. [1]

As usual, mainstream news coverage, given without context, is all about the concerns that Iran is developing its nuclear program by enriching uranium in excess of the JCPOA limits.  

So, let's give some context.  It's May 2018 and Iran is in full compliance with the JCPOA.  Then:

How the United States and Iran Became Adversaries

It all started with a coup [link below], the first covert action of the United States to overthrow a foreign government in peacetime. (WITW, July 23, 2019)

May 8, 2018: Donald Trump announces his intent to abandon, unilaterally and without cause, the JCPOA

August 2018: The Trump administration announces they would re-impose sanctions and warns that anyone doing business with Iran will not be able to do business with the United States.  The crippling sanctions on Iran antagonize our allies by forcing them to comply or risk financial isolation.[2]

October 2018:  The UN’s International Court of Justice unanimously rules that the return to sanctions imposed by Donald Trump following the US withdrawal from the JCPOA was in violation of the Treaty of Amity, a 1955 pre-revolutionary friendship treaty and orders a stop to the sanctions.

November 2018: the U.S. officially reinstates all sanctions against Iran that had been lifted before the U.S. withdrew from the JCPOA.

April 2019: the U.S. threatens to sanction countries continuing to buy oil from Iran after an initial six-month waiver announced in November expired.

June 2019: Trump imposes sanctions on Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei, his office and those closely affiliated with his access to key financial resources.

July 1, 2019: thirteen months after the United States unilaterally withdrew from the JCPOA and eight months after the US officially reinstated all sanctions against Iran,  Iran breaches the limit on low-enriched uranium (300 kg) citing Section 36 of the JCPOA.  Iran has continued to incrementally increase its uranium enrichment since then.

July 31, 2019: the U.S. places sanctions on Iran's foreign minister, Mohammad Javad Zarif.

March 2020: Iran becomes the epicenter of the coronavirus pandemic outside China.  Rather than easing sanctions to help Iran manage the pandemic better, the U.S. piles on more sanctions, and chooses to ignore calls from world leaders, former U.S. diplomats, and the United Nations to ease sanctions.  A Brookings Institute analysis concluded that had sanctions eased when the pandemic hit Iran, thousands of Iranian lives could have been saved. [3]

December 3, 2020: Iran's foreign minister Javad Zarif says that Iran will come back into full compliance with its nuclear deal immediately after the incoming Joe Biden administration in the US proves its bona fides by lifting all sanctions.

April 2021: The remaining signatories to the JCPOA meet in Vienna's Grand Hotel to try to save the agreement.  Across the street in another hotel, representatives of the United States sit as messages were shuttled back and forth between the meeting participants and the US delegation.  

A final opportunity to save the Iran nuclear agreement (Apr 9, 2021)

June 2021: Talks are suspended with little progress as the Biden Administration resists giving sanctions relief to Iran.

June 19, 2021: Iran's hard-line judiciary chief,  Ebrahim Raisi , won a landslide victory in the country's presidential election, replacing moderate Hassan Rouhani with whom Barack Obama had negotiated the JCPOA. 

The forces opposing the United States' return to the JCPOA and sanctions relief are numerous - the powerful Israel lobby, the Iran hawks, and the far-right Israeli government.  Iran had not been goaded into military action either by the Trump-ordered drone-strike-assassination of a top general in January 2020 or by the Israeli murder of a leading civilian nuclear scientist on November 27 after Biden had been elected.  Iran was ready and willing to negotiate with the Biden Administration.  By not agreeing to end the illegal Trump sanctions while negotiating with the moderate Rouhani government, President Biden and Secretary of State Blinken may have already lost their best chance to act.  


Sources: [1] The Guardian  [2] Center for Arms Control and Non-proliferation [3] Brookings Institute

Will Biden stand up to the saboteurs of the Iran Nuclear Deal?

POSTED MAY 11, 2022

The forces opposing the United States' return to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) and sanctions relief for Iran are numerous and well organized.  The Iran hawks, the powerful Israel lobby, and the far-right Israeli government are now on the verge of success in their efforts to end once and for all the Iran Nuclear Deal.  President Biden inherited Trump's abandonment of the deal but, nearly sixteen months after taking office, the President has not fulfilled his campaign pledge to rejoin the JCPOA, bring Iran back into compliance, and end the illegal Trump sanctions. 

A Biden Administration agreement to rejoin the JCPOA could only be overturned by a veto-proof majority in Congress.  Last week Senate opponents of the deal succeeded in getting 62 [a] of the required 67 votes for a "Memo to Inform" drawn up by Senator Lankford (R-OK).  Lankford's MTI is explicitly intended to kill, or lay the groundwork for killing, any Iran nuclear deal the Biden Administration could plausibly hope to achieve, by requiring that any such deal address not just nuclear issues but all issues of concern with Iran. [1]

After unilaterally and without cause reneging on the JCPOA, the Trump administration violated that agreement and imposed the harshest peacetime sanctions in history on Iran, continuing the sanctions through the pandemic.  The Trump administration's unprecedented designation of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps – a major branch of the armed forces in Iran – as a foreign terrorist organization is one of the last blocks to an agreement. Iran is adamant that the designation be removed, while the Biden administration appears to be pushing for concessions outside of the nuclear issue in return. While Biden has kept sanctions in place, Iran’s nuclear program has steadily advanced, spurred on by Israeli sabotage in 2021 that Biden failed to stop. [2, 3]

Will the forces opposed to the JCPOA succeed in preventing a return to the JCPOA or will Biden demonstrate the political will to fulfill his campaign pledge?  If the saboteurs of the agreement succeed, what's next for Iran-US relations? 

Assuming the Biden administration and Iran fail to clear this last hurdle in the nuclear negotiations - i.e., the Trump-era poison pill designed to push Iran out of compliance with the deal and block a Democratic administration from restoring it - a crisis could be sparked from any number of directions.  

Iran could breach a red line on its nuclear program, or an Iran-linked proxy could strike U.S. forces in Iraq, or there could be a naval clash in the Persian Gulf.  Iran has not yet been goaded into military action either by the Trump-ordered drone-strike-assassination of a top general in January 2020,  by the Israeli murder of a leading civilian nuclear scientist in November 2020, or by Israeli strikes against their uranium enrichment facilities.   This could change, with Israel finally provoking an Iranian military response by assassinating another scientist, a nuclear enrichment facility strike resulting in fatalities or a release of radioactive material, or by continuing to attack Iranian-allied forces in the region. [3]  

It is up to the Biden Administration to restrain the Israelis - a difficult task in light of former failures to do so and the long history of successive Administrations providing cover for Israel's  violations of international law.  With US funds providing 18.5 percent of Israel’s annual defense budget, the US has the leverage to change those practices, if only it would use it.  US military aid totaling nearly $150 billion over the decades may be underwriting unlawful Israeli practices. [4] 

The tensions and mutual distrust between Israel and Iran are at the heart of the issue.  Iran does not recognize the legitimacy of the Israeli state, given the conditions that led to its creation - the ethnic cleansing of three-quarters of a million Palestinians from their land and homes.  Iran is also a strong opponent of Israeli apartheid policies and the continued oppression of the Palestinians under the Israeli military occupation.  

So, how's this for a possible solution?  In return for Israel stopping its violations of international law [b],  ending its apartheid policies and other crimes against humanity [c], and allowing the creation of a viable Palestinian state [d], Iran recognizes Israel and the three nations (Iran, Israel, and Palestine) agree to a non-aggression pact.  

A long shot but it might work. 

Related Post: Iran Nuclear Talks Resume (Nov 30, 2021)

A sad postscript: As I was putting this post to bed, word came that a Palestinian-American Al Jazeera journalist was shot and killed by an Israeli sniper.  Shireen Abu Akleh was covering an Israeli military raid on a refugee camp.  She was killed even though she was clearly identified as a journalist.  This is the kind of impunitive action that has led to so many Palestinian deaths and to damning reports by human rights groups.  As long as the United States does not hold Israel accountable for these crimes, they will continue to act with impunity.  

If you wish to help bring justice for Shireen, the Code Pink website has a petition addressed to the US Ambassador to Israel and to Secretary of State Blinken calling for an independent investigation into the killing.

Notes: 

a - Sen Robert Menendez of NJ was absent for the vote.  He is one of the leading Iran hawks and the largest recipient of Israel Lobby funds in 2018, the last time he ran for re-election. So the aye-vote would have been 63.

b - Among the most egregious: "the occupying Power has continued to illegally confiscate and colonize Palestinian land in grave breach of international law, including humanitarian and human rights law, as well as the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court"  and Israel's refusal to recognize the Palestinian Right of Return (a principle in international law which guarantees everyone's right of voluntary return to, or re-entry to, their country of origin or of citizenship.)

c - For example: "massive seizures of Palestinian land and property, unlawful killings, forcible transfer, drastic movement restrictions, and the denial of nationality and citizenship to Palestinians are all components of a system which amounts to apartheid under international law."  Also see postscript above.

d - Thanks to continuing Israeli seizures of Palestinian land, a viable Palestinian state is becoming less and less likely.  This is unfortunate because it is the one thing that would ensure peace in the Middle East.  The isolated Gaza Strip is under a total land, sea, and air blockade, and seizures of Palestinian lands to build illegal settlements have reduced the West Bank to multitude of unconnected districts.  (Map below is dated and does not fully reflect the current extent of the Israeli seizures of Palestinian land. Still, you get the idea.)

Sources: [1] Foundation for Middle East Peace [2] NIAC Action [3] Common Dreams [4] Human Rights Watch

Gaza blockade reaches 15 years

POSTED JUNE 16, 2022

"The world has visited many terrible things on the Palestinian people, none more shameful than robbing them of their basic humanity." - Anthony Bourdain

Largely unnoticed by the Western press and media, June 15th marked the 15th anniversary of Israel's land, sea, and air blockade against the people of Gaza.  With no end in sight and with no political will to stop the oppression, conditions in what has been called the "world's largest open-air prison" continue to deteriorate:

Daily life in Gaza has been a living hell for decades but particularly so since the Israeli blockade.  As compelling a story that these figures tell, people are not statistics.  Maria Filippone is an Iowa physician who has worked "in various clinics throughout Gaza offering medical education, mental health care and yoga classes for trauma survivors."  Her account of life in Gaza under the Occupation [link below] will be an eye-opener for those whose understanding of the situation in Occupied Palestine comes solely from the American press.

Bad as daily life in Gaza is, every several years it gets worse.  Referred to as "mowing the lawn" by some in the Israeli military, Israel's assaults on the Gaza Strip since 2008 have resulted in 5300 deaths (more than half of them civilians) and 138,000 wounded.  Because of the blockade, critical infrastructure destroyed during these sieges are slow to be replaced, if indeed they ever are.   

The blockade, this collective punishment of 2 million people, began immediately after Hamas took over governance of the Gaza Strip.  It is not about security.  It is about Occupation and politics. It is a war crime.  

If any other nation subjected people to this treatment with these results, you could imagine the outcry from Washington.  Instead, the few Congressmembers who do speak out against Israeli apartheid policies and war crimes are branded anti-Semites by the Israel lobby, the far-right Israeli government, and even by some members of their own party.  

The United States refuses to leverage Israel into more humane treatment of the Palestinians and continues to send Israel massive amounts of military aid - in effect, becoming enablers of their war crimes and human rights abuses.  [link below

Until this changes, until the United States stops aiding and abetting these gross violations of human rights and international law, Israel will continue to act with impunity and Palestinians will continue to suffer.

Ways to Help

Although the United States is  doing nothing to end the oppression, international aid groups are taking the initiative. 

After noting the lack of political will to end the suffering caused by the blockade, Oxfam International announced its intention to join a civil society campaign, #OpenUpGaza15. 

Oxfam International Executive Director Gabriela Bucher said, “We need to stop the tragedy of Gaza from continuing to drain all the joy and aspiration of its youth, year upon year. It is imperative that we help the next generation not to be lost to the blockade. Over 800,000 young Palestinians have spent their entire lives trapped within Gaza. They have known nothing else.”

The international humanitarian group noted that governments have spent "an estimated $5.7 billion in Gaza just to help keep an incredibly resilient population afloat" as 2.1 million Palestinians face power cuts, undrinkable water, and restricted movement 


The American Friends Service Committee has re-launched its Gaza Unlocked website.  The website "shines a light on the devastating impacts of the blockade. It also offers concrete ways that every one of us can be part of efforts to stop this injustice. That includes resources to contact U.S. elected officials and organize in solidarity in your community, as well as opportunities and events to connect with people across the U.S. working toward human rights and dignity for all."


Finally, the UNRWA, which provides healthcare and education to millions of Palestinians, is facing a funding gap of $100m - even with the Biden Administration's pledge to restore aid to the organization

You can learn more about UNRWA's national committee and donate here. 


Middle East Updates

POSTED SEPTEMBER 9, 2022

Afghanistan

In late August, several provinces across the eastern, central, southern and western regions of Afghanistan were hit by heavy rains, resulting in flash floods and landslides that have caused the deaths of more than 180 people, displaced at least 8,000 others and damaged at least 3,000 houses.  The UN humanitarian chief has urged donors to restore funding for development in Afghanistan that was frozen when the Taliban took over a year ago, warning that six million people were at risk of famine.  Martin Griffiths told the United Nations Security Council that Afghanistan faces multiple crises – humanitarian, economic, climate, hunger and financial – and that donors should immediately provide $770m to help Afghans survive the coming colder months.  Meanwhile, the violence continues with suicide attacks on the Guzargah Mosque in western Afghanistan and on the Russian embassy in Kabul claiming 24 lives.

Iran Nuclear Deal (1,2)

Hopes are fading for a breakthrough that would return Iran to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (aka Iran Nuclear Deal), which removed sanctions on Iran in return for its placing a limit on uranium enrichment..  The United States and Iran are trading accusations as to who is responsible for the delays.  Donald Trump unilaterally and without cause withdrew the United States from the agreement in 2018.  His Administration then imposed what were at the time the harshest peacetime economic sanctions ever.  A year after the US broached the agreement and the other partners to the agreement could not find a way around the US sanctions, Iran began to progressively increase its uranium enrichment program.

Syria (3,4)

Israel and the United States continued airstrikes against allegedly "Iran-backed" militias fighting for the Syrian government in the ongoing Civil War there.  On Tuesday, Israel attacked Aleppo International Airport, damaging the runway and putting the site out of service for the second time in a week. Syria's foreign ministry said on Wednesday it considered Israeli recent air strikes on civilian infrastructure to be a war crime.  U.S.-backed Syrian Kurdish fighters arrested dozens of Islamic State militants and rescued four women who were being held at the massive al-Hol camp in northeastern Syria. The operation, which has gone on for two weeks, is part of an ongoing effort to dissolve a major Islamic State network at the camp, which is widely seen as a breeding ground for the next generation of Islamic State extremists.

Israel and Occupied Palestine (5,6,7)

Changing its tune several times, Israel has now concluded it is ‘highly possible’ one of its soldiers killed journalist Shireen Abu Akleh.  Israel's PM has said the soldier likely responsible for the killing will not be prosecuted.  Abu Akleh was killed May 11 while reporting on the rise in Israeli raids on the occupied West Bank, and the city of Jenin in particular. Those raids haven’t gone away with her death – if anything, they’ve gotten worse.  The whitewashing of the incident by Washington and Tel Aviv is being challenged by Shireen's family.  Her family is requesting a meeting with President Biden. “Real accountability includes holding the soldier who killed Shireen accountable … and changing the entire policy that continues to perpetuate violence against Palestinians.” Link below left follows Israel's shifting narrative of the May killing to its current state - one agreed by observers the day of the shooting and subsequently confirmed by multiple news sites.

Yemen (8, 9, 10)

A truce between the Houthis and the Government was extended into October.  The extension includes a commitment by the Government and Houthi rebels to intensify negotiations to reach an expanded agreement as soon as possible.  Yemen’s UN-brokered ceasefire has drastically reduced fighting since the truce began in April, but outbreaks of violence continue.  Al-Qaeda fighters killed at least 20 fighters aligned with Yemen’s southern separatists in an attack in the Abyan province, a southern military spokesman has said, adding that all 6 Al-Qaeda attackers were killed. A bipartisan group of lawmakers on Wednesday urged the Biden administration to take further measures to ensure US military support to Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates does not contribute to civilian casualties in Yemen. "A failure to reckon with the devastation the United States may be complicit to in Yemen would represent a failure in the Biden administration's stated prioritization of human rights and our core democratic values," the lawmakers said.  Senators Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders and Mike Lee sent letters to the State Department and Pentagon in response to A US congressional watchdog report that found the US had failed to determine how its aid to Gulf allies was linked to civilian casualties. 

Iraq (11.12)

The political paralysis and instability in Iraq continue.  The cost of living is skyrocketing, and unemployment remains high. Although elections were held in October, a new governing coalition has yet to be formed.  A popular leader of the party that won the most parliamentary seats, Muqtada al-Sadr has resigned, saying he was quitting politics altogether. Following the announcement, al-Sadr’s supporters, who largely come from the outskirts of the Iraqi capital, roamed Baghdad and entered the presidential palace and the parliament.  There are growing calls for the launch of a comprehensive political dialogue process that could contribute to addressing the major outstanding concerns. However, there are issues that the internal dialogue may not be able to resolve, including external influence in Iraqi politics.  Below right, an Al Jazeera senior political analyst looks at how the US invasion of Iraq destabilized the country and still haunts it.

Sources: (1) Democracy Now! - 1 (2) CNN (3) US News and World Report (4) Al Jazeera - 1 (5) Democracy Now! - 2 (6) Independent Online (7) Al Jazeera - 2 (8) UN News  (9) Al Jazeera - 3 (10) Middle East Eye  (11) DW  (12) Al Jazeera - 4

What's going on in Iran?

POSTED OCTOBER 12, 2022

Protests over the death of a 22-year-old woman in the custody of Iran's so-called "morality police" continued into their 25th day. Oil workers joined women and students on the streets, and hackers interrupted Iranian state TV to call on viewers to join the mass protests. Mahsa Amini died after being detained for allegedly leaving some of her hair visible in violation of an Iranian law requiring women to cover their heads. Witnesses said Amini was severely beaten by police.

The full extent of the protests or the security crackdown remains unknown, as the Iranian government has disrupted internet access in parts of Iran and blocked some messaging apps. According to the Oslo-based group, Iran Human Rights,  Iran's violent crackdown of the protests has led to an estimated 185 deaths.  

But the chants of "Women! Life! Freedom!" show no sign of slowing down.  While oil workers and students have joined them, women are clearly in the lead.  Before the internet shutdown, the defining images of the protests included women burning their hijabs in public, women cutting their hair as a form of protest, and women-centric slogans.  The widespread protests show solidarity among different social classes,ethnic backgrounds, and regions including traditionally conservative and religious cities.

“Today’s movement is not calling for reform. Today’s movement is calling for a new vision of politics … with women at the helm of it,” says Narges Bajoghli, professor of anthropology and Middle East studies at Johns Hopkins University, in an interview with Democracy Now! [link below]

The international community is condemning the crackdown with the United States issuing sanctions against seven Iranian officials over the shutdown of internet access and the crackdown on the protesters.  

The Iraq Invasion, the AUMF, and America's Forever Wars

POSTED MARCH 19, 2023

Sunday marked the 20th anniversary of America's invasion of Iraq.  It was, like Russia's more recent invasion of Ukraine, unjustifiable and in violation of international law.  

It was America's biggest foreign policy blunder since Vietnam.  With misguided support from publications that should have known better, the neocon "War on Terror" found its way to Iraq based on false allegations of the existence of weapons of mass destruction.  Other, even less-enlightened media and more-deluded politicians forwarded the equally false contention that somehow Iraq was involved in the attacks of 9/11.  

Matthew Yglesias, posting at Vox about the 2018 demise of the neocon journal "The Weekly Standard" summed up the disastrous consequences of the Iraq invasion that the neocons lied us into:

"In its main phase from 2003 to 2011, this war led to the deaths of thousands of American soldiers, plus what appears to be around 400,000 Iraqis. And that was only the beginning. The regional destabilization the invasion touched off led directly to the rise of ISIS and a whole new round of fighting in Iraq in which many thousands of people have died.  More broadly, the extremely deadly civil war in Syria likely also counts as a knock-on consequence of invading Iraq. This is to say nothing of the extent to which the war counterproductively undermined the global nonproliferation regime by convincing North Korea to go for broke in its quest for nukes."  

Yglesias describes the "neo-Reaganite foreign policy" touted by the neocons as "a deeply held ideological view that argues that the United States must avoid any form of pragmatic accommodation of anyone or anything in the international order."

Worldwide protests against the imminent invasion proved fruitless.  America, in its hubris, was going to do whatever it liked, and the war  remade the Middle East for the worse.  [link below]

The costs have been staggering.  At least 929,000 people killed by direct war violence in Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria, Yemen, and Pakistan.  The number of indirect deaths, people who have been wounded or have fallen ill as a result of the conflicts, is far higher.  

As congressional Republicans hold the country's domestic and social welfare programs  hostage over the debt ceiling, it would do us well to remember that the "War on Terror" has cost the United States an estimated $8 trillion - with $2.9 trillion spent on the war in Iraq and neighboring Syria alone.  

So besides ignoring anything that today's neocons like Trump's former  Secretary of State Mike Pompeo have to say about anything, what else can we do to keep our country from ever again making such a enormous mistake?  

The first place to start is the imminent repeal of the Authorization for the Use of Military Force passed in 2001 and then passed again in 2002, in which Congress abdicated its constitutional right to declare war.  As of year end 2021, U.S. presidents had cited the Authorization for Use of Military Force (AUMF) to justify an unknown number of military operations, including airstrikes, combat, detention, and supporting partner militaries, in at least 22 countries.  

On Thursday March 16, the Senate took a step towards ending the forever wars by advancing a bill that would repeal the AUMF.  The bipartisan legislation (Democratic Sen. Tim Kaine of Virginia and Republican Sen. Todd Young of Indiana are the measure's lead co-sponsors) would repeal the 2002 authorization for the use of military force, or AUMF, that Congress approved for the 2003 invasion of Iraq, as well as the 1991 authorization for the first Gulf War.  The bill, which has 12 Republicans among its 41 co-sponsors, easily advanced by a vote of 68 to 27, setting up a vote on final passage as soon as this week. 

Rep. Barbara Lee of California was the only member of Congress to vote against the 2001 AUMF.  Two and a half years ago, in the waning months of the Trump Presidency, she released a statement on the 19th anniversary of her vote against the 2001 Authorization for Use of Military Force (AUMF). Her statement concludes with these wise words: "Now is the time for Congress, and eventually the White House, to reckon with the reality that gross inequity and institutionalized violence is far too prevalent in our society. We must re-conceptualize how we build security both at home and abroad to uphold the wellbeing and dignity of all people. Our focus should be on broad reforms to end our government’s ability to do harm in the world – such as by repealing the AUMFs and publicly debating any future use of military force – and finally reimagine what tools we employ to confront the threats of the twenty-first century.”


Sources: Watson Institute (Brown University) Costs of War Project, CBS News

Israeli-Palestinian Conflict

POSTED OCTOBER 9, 2023

We look on in shock and grief as Israel and Hamas are again at war and send our heartfelt sympathy and condolences to all Israelis and Palestinians who have been affected and who will be affected by it in the coming weeks. 

War broke out between Israel and Gaza after Hamas militants attacked Israel on Saturday on multiple fronts, including  military installations and on a music festival that killed 260 Israeli civilians.  The militants also captured 100 Israelis, mostly civilians. In response, Israeli air strikes hit housing blocks, tunnels, a mosque and homes of Hamas officials in Gaza on Sunday, killing more than 400 people, including 20 children.  

Early Monday, Israeli airstrikes killed dozens of residents in the Jabaliya refugee camp. The intense bombardment had displaced more than 120,000 people there, and the combined Palestinian and Israeli death toll had reached 1600.  Israel has called up 300,000 reservists and is sending heavy armor toward the Gaza border in what appears to be preparation for a massive ground assault on Gaza.  This comes as the United States is sending more ammunition to Israel and warships to the region. 

Israel's Defense Minister Yoav Gallant said it would impose a "complete siege" on the territory. "No electricity, no food, no water, no gas - it's all closed," he said.  The Israeli infrastructure minister later ordered the immediate cut-off of water supplies to Gaza, saying: "What was in the past will no longer be in the future."  Israel has stated they will continue the siege until they recover the hostages.  In a statement released even before those announcements, the Palestinian health ministry said hospitals were already facing a shortage of medicines, medical supplies and fuel due to Israel's actions.  

Some thoughts:


Sources: Al Jazeera, Democracy Now!, BBC, France 24

Biden just went from enabling Israeli war crimes to being complicit in them

POSTED OCTOBER 19, 2023

As expected, Biden used his second-ever Oval Office address to appeal to Americans for their support for tens of billions of dollars of funding for Israel and Ukraine.  Biden said he would send an urgent funding request to Congress, which is expected to be roughly $100bn over the next year. The proposal, which will be unveiled on Friday, includes money for Ukraine, Israel, Taiwan, humanitarian aid and border management.  In a "historically illiterate and hypocritical" speech on Ukraine and Gaza, Biden asked for funding for both the US struggle to get Russia back out of Ukraine and of support for the extremist Netanyahu government’s combination of targeting Hamas and its genocidal campaign against the civilians of Gaza.  [link below left]

Earlier in the day, the US had used its veto at the UN security council to block a resolution calling for Israel to allow humanitarian corridors into the Gaza Strip, a pause in the fighting and the lifting of an order for civilians to leave the north of the besieged territory. 

His visit to Israel was a disgrace.  Instead of pressuring for a ceasefire or at least insisting that Israel adhere to international law and take every step it can to prevent civilian deaths, avoid collective punishment and ethnic cleansing, he doubled down in his support of the Netanyahu government.  His insensitive comment that he bought Israel's fourth version* of the explosion at the Gaza hospital that left up to 500 dead (something like "I believe it was the other team") was beyond the pale.

Hamas's terrorist attack was reprehensible and a crime against humanity.  Israel's response is just as reprehensible.  The Palestinian death toll is approaching 4000, including more than 1000 children. More than 12,000 Palestinians have been wounded in the bombings while  the hospital system is collapsing.   Because of the complete blockade imposed by Israel, Palestinians lack clean water, food, and medicine.  A cholera epidemic is now feared because of the suspension of vaccinations for children and because of the destruction of the sanitary infrastructure.  By requesting more weapons for Israel, Biden has gone from "merely" enabling their war crimes to being complicit in them.

State Department official Josh Paul resigned from his position over the Biden administration’s Gaza policy. He worked for the State’s Bureau of Political-Military Affairs.  “I cannot work in support of a set of major policy decisions, including rushing more arms to one side of the conflict, that I believe to be shortsighted, destructive, unjust, and contradictory to the very values that we publicly espouse.” 

HuffPost reports that other diplomats at State are preparing what’s called a “dissent cable,” a document criticizing American policy that goes to the agency’s leaders through a protected internal channel. 

Sending billions in bombs and weapons to an Israeli military that has already killed nearly 4,000 innocent Palestinians is unacceptable.  The Democratic Party needs a new generation of leaders who’ll stand up for human rights and peace.  Joe Biden is not that person. 



Sources: The Guardian -1, The Guardian-2, Democracy Now!, Informed Comment, Mondoweiss, HuffPost


*Shades of their dissembling on the killing of Palestinian-American journalist Shireen Abu Akleh, Israel has changed its story of the hospital explosion four times. The first Israeli reaction was that they did the airstrike on the hospital because Hamas militants were hiding there. Then they changed the story, and they said that Hamas was using Palestinians as human shields. Then it was a misfired Hamas rocket. Then it was a misfired jihadi rocket.  When and if the truth behind the explosion at the Al Ahli Arab Hospital are ever known, it will not change the fact that Israelis have targeted and continue to target health facilities and schools. [link below right]

"...none more shameful than robbing them of their basic humanity"

POSTED OCTOBER 24, 2023

In 2013, celebrity chef Anthony Bourdain travelled to Occupied Palestine and did a "Parts Unknown" episode on Palestinian food. In the episode, Mr. Bourdain was a guest of a Palestinian family in Gaza, Palestine. Bourdain received an award for the episode from the Muslim Public Affairs Council in 2014.  Overwhelmed by the support of his work from Palestinians and many others, his acceptance speech [link below left] concluded with these words, "The world has visited many terrible things upon the Palestinians, none more shameful than robbing them of their basic humanity."

Salon praises the episode in an article posted on Sunday [link below right] for its depiction of Palestinian day-to-day life, of which "we’re shown next to nothing, save for seconds-long clips of angry demonstrators, fighters wrapped in keffiyeh scarves or wailing victims of military strikes.  With this being the dominant lens, it’s no wonder that the Western audience conflates everyday Gazans and West Bank residents with Hamas militants terrorizing both their own civilians and Israelis."  

This was no ordinary culinary show, and Bourdain did not play it safe.  "By journeying into Gaza, Bourdain was visiting a place described by numerous international officials and organizations as the world’s largest open-air prison. The sister of one of his hosts was shot down by snipers while standing in her kitchen. Gaza was not officially at war with Israel when that happened. She was going about her day, something most Western viewers can't picture."

Ironically, the year Bourdain received his award from the Muslim Public Affairs Council (2014) marked what was, at the time, one of the most devastating Israeli assaults on Gaza.  The world stood by and watched the killing of more than 2200 Palestinians, about two-thirds of them civilians including 551 children.  [sidebar]

Horrific as that 2014 assault on the people of Gaza was, it pales by comparison to the present campaign against the besieged enclave.  And still the United States, Israel's main ally, sits back and refuses to condemn the war crimes, collective punishment, and ethnic cleansing now underway.  We do not even have the courage or moral sense to condemn the Israeli apartheid system, the illegal 56-year military occupation,  the illegal and brutal 16-year blockade of Gaza, the continued theft of Palestinian land, and the killing of Palestinians in the West Bank as they demonstrate against the Occupation.  

An immediate cease fire is needed to lessen this already catastrophic humanitarian crisis.  Without Biden pressuring the Israelis, this will not happen.  The death toll from Israel’s 17-day bombardment of Gaza has topped 5,000 as Israel intensified its assault on the besieged territory ahead of an expected ground invasion. Israel continues to reject calls from the United Nations for a humanitarian ceasefire, and relief groups say the aid convoys that have been allowed to enter Gaza are a "mere drop in the bucket compared to the needs of Gaza’s 2.3 million residents." [Democracy Now! link in sidebar]

Meanwhile, politicians in the United States and Israel fan the flames of war and anti-Palestinian sentiment:

For the most part, the US media and the general public have responded as if they were  ignorant or insensitive to the humanitarian crisis unfolding in Gaza.  

The suppression of Palestinian voices is not just in the US.  Award-winning Palestinian author Adania Shibli, a finalist for the 2020 National Book Award for her book Minor Detail, [Goodreads review in the sidebar] was to receive Germany’s 2023 LiBeraturpreis at the 2023 Frankfurt Book.   On October 13, the organizers of the prize, Litprom, which is funded in part by the German government and the Frankfurt Book Fair, released a statement saying that the prize-giving ceremony would no longer take place at the book fair.  In addition, a public discussion with Adania Shibli and her translator Günther Orth at the book fair has also been canceled.

More than 350 writers, editors, and publishers signed an open letter in support of Adania Shibli, and Shibli’s US publisher, Barbara Epler of New Directions, wrote a letter to the editor of The New York Times* about "the author of a novel about the Nakba** that is so historically true...To cancel the ceremony and so try to silence the voice of Adania Shibli —“due to the war in Israel”—is cowardly...But to say Shibli agreed (amid all the suffering in Gaza) is worse."

I'll conclude the post where I started - with Anthony Bourdain's courageous Parts Unknown episode, which Salon praises for its "clear depiction of a truth often dismissed in times like this, which is that people simply want to live in peace and would not claim to support the brutality committed or promised by extremists, whether that describes rogue actors or bloodthirsty politicians."  

Near the end of the episode, Bourdain makes this hopeful comment: "One can be forgiven for thinking, when you see how similar they are, that the two peoples — both of whom cook with pride, eat with passion, love their kids, love the land in which they live or the land they dream of returning to, who live so close, who are locked in such an intimate, if deadly embrace — might somehow, some day, figure out how to live with each other."

Yes, if only.  

Notes

*Epler was responding to a since-corrected New York Times article.  The statement from the Litprom organizers originally and inaccurately said that this decision had been made in accordance with the author’s wishes, which was then relayed, without verification, by an article in The New York Times. Litprom and The New York Times have since made corrections.

**Every year on May 15, Palestinians around the world, numbering about 12.4 million, mark the Nakba, or “catastrophe”, referring to the ethnic cleansing of Palestine and the near-total destruction of Palestinian society in 1948.  On that day, the State of Israel came into being. The creation of Israel entailed the forced expulsion of hundreds of thousands of Palestinians from their homeland to establish a Jewish-majority state.  Between 1947 and 1949, at least 750,000 Palestinians from a 1.9 million population were made refugees beyond the borders of the state. Zionist forces had taken more than 78 percent of historic Palestine, ethnically cleansed and destroyed about 530 villages and cities, and killed about 15,000 Palestinians in a series of mass atrocities.

Gaza 2014

The scale of human loss, destruction, devastation and displacement caused by the 2014 conflict in Gaza – the third within seven years – was catastrophic and, until the current Israeli operation, unprecedented and unparalleled since the start of the Israeli occupation in 1967.  In addition to those killed, roughly one third of the 3400 children wounded will have to cope with disabilities lasting throughout life as a result of their injuries.  

During the conflict, 118 UNRWA installations were damaged, including 83 schools and 10 health centres. In total, over 12,600 housing units were totally destroyed and almost 6,500 sustained severe damage. Almost 150,000 additional housing units sustained various degrees of damage and remained inhabitable. The conflict led to a massive displacement crisis in Gaza, with almost 500,000 persons internally displaced at its peak.

On 2014, the world stood by and watched as Gaza was razed by Israeli bombs, prior to a massive ground assault.  

Why was the Western world, particularly the United States, not outraged at these war crimes?  Had we become so used to the tragedy that is Gaza that we no longer cared?  Had we become so inured to the collective punishment of these stateless people that more than 1000 civilian deaths meant nothing? Or is it because, as Anthony Bourdain said, the world has robbed them of their basic humanity?

Where is the outrage? (July 2014)


Democracy Now!

Goodreads

Friday October 27 update on Israel's war on Gaza 

A brief summary of a few of this week's events, Biden Administration actions, and world reaction

Calls for ceasefire grow as Amnesty International finds "damning evidence" of Israeli war crimes in Gaza and as the UNRWA warns that "Gaza is being strangled"

The death toll in Gaza has topped 6,500* as Israel continues to bombard the besieged territory for a 19th day. According to Palestinian health authorities, the dead include 2,700 children.  Israel, with the backing of the United States, has rejected calls for a ceasefire. 

The UNRWA, the U.N. agency for Palestine refugees, says it is close to running out of supplies in Gaza, where it is sheltering over 600,000 displaced Palestinians. In a Democracy Now! interview on Friday, UNRWA spokesperson Tamara Alrifai talks about the dire humanitarian crisis and the critical lack of food, water, medicine and fuel available for the millions trapped in Gaza. UNRWA is calling for an immediate humanitarian ceasefire and unrestricted aid corridors to address the crisis.  

On Tuesday, U.N. Secretary-General António Guterres addressed the U.N. Security Council and called for a ceasefire.  On Thursday, leaders of the 27 EU member states have unanimously called for “humanitarian corridors and pauses” of the shelling in Gaza to allow food, water and medical supplies to reach Palestinians.

Biden and Blinken try to make the Israeli genocide against Gaza’s Palestinians disappear

As the civilian genocide continued in Gaza, the Biden Administration asked Qatar to have Al Jazeera tone down its coverage of the war and implied that the civilian death toll was not as high as the numbers being reported by Gaza's Ministry of Health.  Juan Cole in an October 26 post at Informed Comment observes:

"The Biden-Blinken line that Israel is not actually killing large numbers of innocent noncombatants in Gaza, and that news outlets should not report these unlawful killings in a thoroughgoing way, fails along several dimensions... the Gaza Ministry of Health is staffed by professional bureaucrats, not Hamas fighters, and its statistics are gathered from hospitals and other local institutions on the ground. Organizations such as Human Rights Watch have attempted to double check these statistics, and have never found major discrepancies." 

Continuing, Cole reports the Reliefweb accounting of Wednesday October 25: "Here are the MoH statistics for Palestinian victims in Gaza...as reported at Reliefweb: Israeli air strikes killed 756 people, including 344 children, over the past 24 hours (as of 18:00 on 25 October), according to the Ministry of Health (MoH) in Gaza. Overall, 6,547, of whom 68 per cent are said to be children and women, were killed in Gaza since the start of hostilities, according to MoH. About 1,600 people, including 900 children, have been reported missing and may be under the rubble. Heavy Israeli bombardments have continued throughout the day. Some 17,439 Palestinians, in addition, have been wounded."


*As of Friday morning, over 7,300 people have now been killed in Israel’s 21-day bombardment. More than a thousand Palestinians are believed to still be trapped under the rubble of buildings leveled by Israeli airstrikes and shelling.

Friday November 3: The Week in Gaza

LAST UPDATED  NOVEMBER 3

A summary of some of this week's events as the Israeli onslaught continues.

Saturday October 28: Communications blackout cuts off Gaza from world as Israel intensifies bombardment  Palestinians in Gaza are unable to communicate with family members inside and outside the Strip after most communications went down late Friday as Israel intensified its bombardment.  While some reporters in Gaza have been able to give intermittent updates via satellite connections, the blackout makes it hard for anyone outside the Strip to gain a full picture of the toll Israel's airstrikes and incursion is having on the enclave's 2.2 million people. "If we all got killed in Gaza...no one will know," Palestinian journalist Plestia Alaqad said in a post she was able to upload to Instagram while she had a limited internet connection. (Axios)

Sunday October 29: Israel intensifies Gaza strikes, hospital damaged by nearby bombs as Israeli ground assault, shrouded in secrecy, begins.  The Israeli military intensified airstrikes in Gaza on Sunday, including near its largest hospital, and another hospital was damaged by bombardment close by. Thousands of people desperate for food and basic items broke into aid warehouses in the besieged enclave.  Internet and phone connectivity were restored for many people after Israel knocked out most communications in the territory late Friday. (Associated PressSave the Children: "The number of children reported killed in just three weeks in Gaza is more than the number killed in armed conflict globally – across more than 20 countries – over the course of a whole year, for the last three years." 

Monday October 30:  UNRWA chief Philippe Lazzarini told the UN Security Council that Israel’s “relentless bombardment” of Gaza has led to an “unprecedented” level of destruction.  The World Health Organization (WHO) said it has not been able to resupply hospitals in northern Gaza, and Palestinian hospitals are being forces to choose who lives and who dies as medical supplies run out.  At least 8,306 Palestinians, mostly civilians,  have been killed in Gaza in Israeli attacks since October 7.  The worldwide protests over the weekend and the catastrophic humanitarian crisis failed to move Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to agree to a ceasefire. Palestinian political analyst Omar Baddar says people around the world are “watching these massacres [in Gaza] in complete and total horror”.  “They see that the humanitarian situation in Gaza is utter devastation, and not by accident as a result of the war, but by design.” 

Tuesday October 31: In one of the biggest massacres it has so far committed, the Israeli Air Force bombed the Jabaliyaa refugee camp in Gaza, killing or wounding at least 400 persons and destroying the Block Six residential complex, felling 20 buildings and leaving craters in their place. More victims are believed to be under the rubble.   Footage from the scene showed women and children being helped down half-destroyed buildings as rescuers and local residents dug through the rubble to find survivors. The barrage of Israeli air strikes on the densely populated refugee camp has drawn condemnation from governments and NGOs across the globe.  UK-based Medical Aid for Palestinians (MAP) said Tuesday’s attack should be a “wake-up call”: "This attack marks a new low and should serve as a wake-up call to world leaders and politicians everywhere." 

Wednesday November 1: Israel bombards Jabalia refugee camp for second straight day.  Israeli forces bombed the densely packed Jabalia refugee camp in north Gaza for the second day in a row, following a previous assault that killed dozens of people and wounded many others.  Palestinian authorities said “dozens of people were killed and wounded” in the attack on Wednesday.  Gaza officials say 195 killed, 120 missing in Israel’s bombing of Jabalia refugee camp, which the UN says may be “disproportionate attacks that could amount to war crimes”.

Thursday November 2: Bombing intensifies as Gaza death toll crosses 9,000 [sidebar] Fierce fighting between Israeli forces and Palestinian fighters is reported in northern Gaza and Gaza City as bombardment of besieged enclave intensifies.  Israeli forces are closing in on Gaza City as calls for a humanitarian pause go unheeded. Turkish-Palestinian Friendship Hospital, Gaza’s only medical facility serving cancer patients, was forced to shut down after running out of fuel. The Indonesian Hospital is running on backup generators.  At least 9,061 Palestinians have been killed in Israeli attacks on Gaza since October 7. Forty per cent of the deaths have been children. [link in sidebar, "Gaza becomes a graveyard for children" Washington PostA group of seven senior United Nations human rights experts warned Thursday, “Time is running out to prevent genocide and humanitarian catastrophe. 

Friday November 3: The massacre in Gaza continues.  Israel’s army says it has encircled Gaza City as international condemnation* continues to grow over its 28-day assault on the besieged Palestinian territory, where more than 9,200 people have been killed, including at least 3,800 children. Among the dead and injured are Palestinians sheltering at a United Nations-run school in the Jabaliya refugee camp, where at least 27 were killed in an Israeli strike on Thursday.  The Palestine News Agency reports journalist Mohammad Abu Hattab was killed in an Israeli strike on his home in the southern Gaza Strip on Thursday along with 11 members of his family, including his wife, son and brother. 

*Bahrain has recalled its ambassador from Israel in response to the ongoing bombardment of Gaza. This follows rare protests in the Persian Gulf nation demanding the reversal of a diplomatic normalization agreement between Bahrain and Israel. Latin American governments have also intensified their condemnation of Israel’s attacks, with Mexico, Peru and Argentina all speaking out this week. Bolivia cut ties entirely, attributing its decision to the war crimes and human rights abuses being committed in the Gaza Strip. Colombia and Chile have recalled their ambassadors.  On Thursday Chilean President Gabriel Boric sharply criticized U.S. support for Israel’s assault after talks at the White House with President Biden. 

Images from the top: 

Palestinians evacuate a dead child from a building destroyed in the Israeli bombardment of the Gaza Strip in Rafah, Sunday, October 29, 2023 (Hatem Ali/AP); Smoke rises following Israeli bombardment on Gaza City, Sunday, Oct. 29, 2023. (AP Photo/Abed Khaled); still shot from Al Jazeera video following the bombardment of Jabalia refugee camp; still shot from Al Jazeera video following the bombardment of Jabalia refugee camp; Palestinians wander among debris of buildings that were targeted by Israeli air raids in Gaza's Jabalia refugee camp on Wednesday, November 1 [Abed Khaled/AP Photo]; link to Al Jazeera live coverage November 2; link to Washington Post article "Gaza becomes 'a graveyard for children' as Israel intensifies airstrikes


Occupied Palestine Update: November 3 - 10

LAST UPDATED NOVEMBER 10

A summary of some of this week's events in Occupied Palestine as the Israeli onslaught on Gaza continues.

How you can help

The UNRWA is the major source of aid to the Gaza Strip.  You can donate here to help mitigate the catastrophic humanitarian crisis thereOxfam, Amnesty International, and AFSC are among the many NGOs calling for an end of the siege and a resumption of humanitarian aid to Gaza.  

Friday November 3:  US Secretary of State Antony Blinken was in Tel Aviv where he reiterated that the United States supports Israel’s right to defend itself—but also to insist, "more forcefully than before", on three things

So far, Blinken is 0 for 3.  1) Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu refused the request for a humanitarian pause, saying Hamas has to release hostages before a pause.  2) Blinken's mild admonition about civilian casualties is too little, too late. As of Monday November 6, more than 10,000 civilians, including more than 4000 children, have been killed in the Israeli assault.  3) Few if any of the West Bank killers have been arrested.

Saturday November 4: From Washington to Milan to Paris to Jakarta to London, tens of thousands of pro-Palestinian demonstrators marched Saturday, calling for a halt to Israel’s bombardment of Gaza.  The marches reflected growing disquiet about the mounting civilian casualty toll and suffering from the Israel-Hamas war. Protesters expressed disillusionment with their governments for supporting Israel while its bombardments of hospitals and residential areas in the Gaza strip intensify.  The largest pro-Palestinian protest in US history took place in Washington where speakers and protesters called for a ceasefire in Gaza and condemned the US government's support for Israel as the apartheid nation continues its genocide. [sidebar]

Monday November 6: More than 10,000 people have been killed in 31 days of relentless Israeli attacks on the Gaza Strip, according to Palestinian health officials, with no signs of a ceasefire in the besieged enclave.  In a statement on Monday, Gaza’s Ministry of Health said the death toll has risen to at least 10,022 Palestinians, including 4,104 children, with many victims still trapped beneath the rubble and an Israeli siege drying up access to vital goods like fuel, food and electricity. At least 2000 people remain under the rubble and the lack of heavy equipment and machinery is making it near impossible to reach the trapped.  The United Nations warned that a “tragedy of colossal proportions” is underway in the Gaza Strip  and  that Gaza is becoming a "graveyard for children."  Israel’s military admitted it struck a convoy of ambulances outside Al-Shifa Hospital last week.  Those attacks killed 15 people and wounded dozens.  

Tuesday November 7: Israel continues its genocidal rampage in Gaza.  

Meanwhile back in the United States, the House of Representatives voted to censure Rashida Tlaib for her criticism of Israeli war crimes. “The cries of the Palestinian and Israeli children sound no different to me,” Tlaib said in an emotional speech before the vote. “What I don’t understand is why the cries of Palestinians sound different to you all.”  Juan Cole at Informed Comment calls the House resolution "delusional" and "full of fake history and falsehoods" and tells us why in the link in the sidebar

Wednesday Novemebr 8: Thousands more Palestinians have fled northern Gaza on foot, the U.N. said Wednesday, as desperation grew over the dwindling supply of food and water, intensified shelling and the approach of Israeli troops and tanks.  Over 70% of Gaza’s population of 2.3 million have already left their homes, but the number of people making their way south has quickened recently as Israeli ground forces advance on the city.   

Thursday November 9: As the Palestinian death toll approaches 11,000, Israeli forces raided and bombed refugee camps in Gaza and the West Bank.  From Al Jazeera Live reporting on Day 34:

In New York, hundreds of people shut down multiple streets across midtown Manhattan Thursday for another round of protests demanding a ceasefire in Gaza and an end to the Israeli occupation of Palestine. Hundreds of public school students joined walkouts.

Meanwhile, a large group of media workers led a march to The New York Times and later occupied the paper’s building entrance for over an hour, denouncing what demonstrators called biased reporting. Protesters read the names of 36 journalists killed by Israeli fire in Gaza and distributed mock newspapers with the words “The New York Crimes,” accusing the Times with “complicity in laundering genocide.” [sidebar]

The White House announced that Israel has agreed to daily four-hour pauses in fighting in northern Gaza to allow people to flee hostilities and for humanitarian aid to be let in.  Yet, within hours, Israel’s bombing campaign had targeted Gaza’s largest hospital, al-Shifa, and Israeli tanks had surrounded four other hospitals in the northern part of the besieged enclave.

Friday, November 10: While the humanitarian pauses announced Thursday could have offered some hope that hospitals might have been restocked, and other essential facilities could have received supplies, the attacks over the past 24 hours raise questions about Israel’s intent, and that of the US, said many experts, pointing out that the pauses were glaringly inadequate.  From Al Jazeera Live reporting:

*According to international law, the transfer by an occupying power of its civilian population into the territory it occupies is a war crime.  "Settlers" is Israeli/US speak for Israelis who have taken Palestinian land in the West Bank and East Jerusalem  with the approval of the Israeli government.  There are over 244 illegal Israeli settlements and outposts in the West Bank. In total, over 450,000 Israeli settlers live in the West Bank excluding East Jerusalem, with an additional 220,000 Jewish settlers residing in East Jerusalem. Additionally, over 25,000 Israeli settlers live in the Golan Heights.

Sidebar from the top: Anti-war activists rally for a cease fire in Gaza at Freedom Plaza Washington D.C. November 4 [AP photo /Jose Luis Magana]; link to Democracy Now! coverage of the protest in Washington; Palestinians mourn relatives killed in the Israeli bombardment of the Gaza Strip in front of the morgue in Deir el-Balah on November 6 [Hatem Moussa/AP Photo]; Rashida Tlaib addresses the House before her censure vote/Informed Comment post; link to Democracy Now! post on the protest against media bias in Israel-Hamas war; Palestinians carry a casualty of Israeli attacks at Al-Shifa Hospital [Doaa Rouqa/Reuters]; Guardian video of Israeli bombing of hospital in Gaza; Al Jazeera article showing the scale of the destruction in Gaza 

Unconscionable

POSTED DECEMBER 19, 2023

US support of Israel's war on Gaza has long passed the point of us standing up for an ally.  Our weapons, our government's statements and our opposition to a humanitarian ceasefire have made us complicit in the genocide and war crimes being perpetrated there now.  

Let's be clear.  

No military objective can possibly justify the indiscriminate bombing, the strangling total blockade, the destruction of civilian infrastructure and homes, and the attacks on hospitals, ambulances, refugee camps, schools serving as shelters, and journalists reporting on the war.  

A few news items from the past weekend [link below left] shed light on how far down the "atrocity and lawlessness path" the Israel/US war on Gaza has gone:

There is only one word for the United States repeatedly opposing UN resolutions for an immediate humanitarian ceasefire.

Unconscionable.

ICYMI: What's actually happening in Gaza

POSTED JANUARY 8, 2023

Some stories you may have missed about Israel's war against Gaza.

The death toll has now surpassed 23,000, including 10,000 children, who are bearing the brunt of the genocide.  

UNICEF: “Children in Gaza are caught in a nightmare that worsens with every passing day.”  There are some 3,000 new cases of diarrhea among the Strip’s children every single day now.  

Save the Children: An average of over ten children a day over the last three months have had one or both legs amputated.  

The UN warns that 3 months of unrelenting Israeli bombing has left Gaza uninhabitable and people in Gaza face the “highest levels of food insecurity ever recorded."

In the midst of the near total crippling of Gaza's health care system, a public health disaster is unfolding as infectious diseases spread in overcrowded shelters as sewers spill over.  Around 180 Palestinian women “are giving birth daily amidst this chaos.” 

UN’s World Health Organization: the Israeli army has attacked hospitals and other medical facilities 600 times in the past three months. Some 613 persons have been killed in these attacks, including premature babies and 770 were wounded.  According to the latest WHO assessments, Gaza has 13 partially functioning hospitals, two minimally functioning ones, and 21 that are not functioning at all.

Although Gaza’s healthcare system is barely functioning, the Israeli army is continuing to attack hospitals. Most recently, the military has been targeting the only hospital in central Gaza, Al-Aqsa Martyrs Hospital, which has already been over-capacity.

Zero credible evidence has been presented by the Israeli government for its claims that hospitals were Hamas command centers, and a Washington Post investigation has knocked down that claim definitively for al-Shifa hospital.  

By the end of last year, the UN Palestinian relief agency, UNRWA, estimated that 1.9 million people had been internally displaced by the war in Gaza – nearly 85% of the population.

About 65,000 residential units have been destroyed or rendered uninhabitable. Another 290,000 have been damaged. That means that about half a million people have no home to return to.

Analysis of satellite data cited by the Associated Press suggests that about 33% of buildings have been destroyed. The AP said that the rate of devastation was worse than either the razing of Aleppo in Syria or Russia’s bombing of Mariupol. [link below right]

As Israel pummeled the devastated enclave in late December, the Biden administration approved the transfer of more than $147 million in weapons to the Israelis without congressional approval. It was the second time that month that the Administration sent arms to Israel without Congressional approval.

Foreign policy experts warn that Biden's refusal to press for a ceasefire may draw the US into another Middle War.  Groups such as Iraqi militias and the Houthis have made it clear that if there is a ceasefire, they will cease their attacks.  When there was a ceasefire at the end of November of last year, there were no attacks whatsoever from the Iraqi militias and only one from the Houthis. [link below left]

Palestinian journalist Anan Quzmar says media workers are being targeted in order to “shut down the coverage” of Israeli atrocities.  The Palestinian Journalists’ Syndicate has filed an amicus brief in support of the Center for Constitutional Rights genocide lawsuit against Israel, citing the unprecedented number of Palestinian journalists killed in Gaza and evidence that at least 96 of the 109 journalists were deliberately targeted by the Israeli military.

The International Court of Justice will hold hearings this week on a case brought by South Africa accusing Israel of genocide in the Gaza war and seeking an emergency suspension of its military campaign.   South Africa's 84-page filing cites Israel's failure to provide essential food, water, medicine, fuel, shelter and other humanitarian assistance to the Gaza strip during the more than three-month-old war with Hamas. It also points to the sustained bombing campaign which has laid much of the enclave to waste, forced the evacuation of some 1.9 million Palestinians and killed over 23,000 people according to Gaza health authorities.

Senator Bernie Sanders introduced  a resolution invoking Section 502B, a rarely used provision of the Foreign Assistance Act that offers Congress a potent tool to force a high-profile Senate debate about U.S. military support for possible Israeli war crimes in Gaza and pressure Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government to hasten a ceasefire. [link below center]

Ceasefire now to end "one of the worst human catastrophes of this century"

POSTED FEBRUARY 2, 2024

As Israel's genocidal siege of Gaza approaches the 120 day mark, CNN reports that more than 800 officials and diplomats from the United States and Europe have signed a scathing criticism of Western policy towards Israel and Gaza, accusing their governments of possible complicity in war crimes: “We are obliged to do everything in our power on behalf of our countries and ourselves to not be complicit in one of the worst human catastrophes of this century.” 

In defiance of  orders by the International Court of Justice that Israel must take action to prevent genocidal violence by its armed forces; “prevent and punish” the incitement to genocide; and insure that humanitarian aid to Gaza is increased, the siege continues unabated.  It appears that nothing less than an immediate permanent ceasefire will stop the Israelis.  

“These systematic attacks against health care are unacceptable and must end now so that the wounded can get the care they need. The entire health system has been rendered inoperative.” - Guillemette Thomas, MSF/Doctors Without Borders


As Gaza spirals toward full-scale famine, displaced civilians and health workers say they go hungry so their children can eat what little is available.  If Palestinians find water, it is likely undrinkable. When relief trucks trickle into the strip, people clamber over each other to grab aid. Children living on the streets, after being forced from their homes by Israel’s bombardment, cry and fight over stale bread. Others reportedly walk for hours in the cold searching for food, risking exposure to Israeli strikes.  - CNN


“I’ve never seen anything where there was such a lethal combination of factors going on to create the humanitarian situation, but also prevent it from being addressed” - Kate Phillips-Barrasso, Mercy Corps. 

Responding to Israeli claims that twelve of the UNRWA's 13,000 aid workers in Gaza were involved in the October 7 attacks, the United States and several other countries have suspended contributions to the agency that Palestinians have relied on for everything from vaccinations to education for seven decades.   Israel's claims against an agency it has long tried to eliminate [link below right] come just days after the ICJ ruled that Israeli actions in Gaza present a credible risk of genocide.  

U.N. officials urged countries to reconsider a pause in funding for the U.N. agency for Palestinians, pledging that any staff found involved in Hamas' attack on Israel would be punished and warning that aid for some two million people in Gaza was at stake.  Progressive US lawmakers assailed the Biden Administration's decision. The latest to join the chorus of those calling on President Joe Biden to reconsider is Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), who blasted the administration for pausing funding. “Obviously, it’s not acceptable for any of the 13,000 UNRWA employees in Gaza to be involved with Hamas, and allegations against the 12 people charged must be investigated,” Senator Sanders said in a statement. “However, we cannot allow millions to suffer because of the actions of 12 people. The U.S. and other countries must restore funding to stave off this humanitarian catastrophe.”

Pushing Israel for an immediate sustainable ceasefire is step one in ending this genocide.  Anything less is to continue our complicity in Israel's war crimes.  It is not too late to regain some shred of our moral standing in the world.  We have the leverage - in the tens of billions of dollars of military aid we have sent Israel.  Instead of cutting off aid to a devastated enclave at risk of famine and widespread disease, we should stop military aid to Israel until they agree to a sustainable ceasefire.  

Once that is achieved, the Administration should take the lead in rebuilding Gaza, crushed by decades of blockade, invaded time and time again, and now destroyed by Israel's genocidal rampage with US bombs and weaponry.  Announcing a "Marshall Plan for Palestine" would be a step in  restoring America's reputation as a nation concerned with human dignity and human rights.

Longer-term, all future US military aid to Israel must be conditioned on its ending the abuse of Palestinian human rights and its compliance with international law.  Peace will not be achieved in the region without holding Israel accountable for its treatment of Palestinians.  Apartheid, appropriation of Palestinian land, and the brutal blockade must stop.

All eyes on Rafah

POSTED FEBRUARY 14, 2024

Rafah

Israel continues to defy the orders of the International Court of Justice*.  Its bombardment of Rafah in preparation for an announced ground assault crystallizes the ongoing genocide in Gaza, the meaninglessness of the "too little, too late" admonitions from the Biden Administration, and on a larger scale, and what American and Western complicity in the war crimes means for the future of human rights and international law.

On Monday, the South African government lodged an urgent complaint at the International Court of Justice against the plan announced by Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu to attack Rafah in southern Gaza, where 1.4 million people, most of them refugees from elsewhere, have been pushed by the Israeli military.  The complaint described Rafah as "the last refuge for the surviving people in Gaza." [Informed Comment and link below left]

Over the weekend, just days after rejecting a Hamas proposal for a ceasefire that US deemed as having merit, Israel hit Rafah with a wave of bombing raids, intended in part to provide cover for an operation to free two hostages.  In a display of the totally unrestrained nature of Israel's response to the October 7 attacks, Israel killed 67 Gazans to free 2 hostages - hostages who would have been freed by the Hamas ceasefire proposal rejected by Israel.  

Meanwhile the US continues to send weapons to Israel aiding and abetting its war crimes while we withhold funds from the UNRWA**, the primary aid agency for Gaza in the midst of famine and genocide and a destroyed medical care system.  In recent days, as Israel has prepared for a ground invasion of Rafah—drawing heavy international criticism—the administration said it is asking for much clearer plans from Israel and has expressed the sentiment that Israel should not attack Rafah without providing for thee safe evacuation of civilians.  What this means in practice is hard to fathom. As Matt Duss - the executive vice president of the Center for International Policy and a former foreign policy adviser to Sen. Bernie Sanders - points out, such warnings are “meaningless” when the United States shows no signs of “consequences for anything Israel does." When asked if the “over the top” statement by Biden should be seen as a legitimate pushback to Netanyahu he said: “I can’t take that seriously. I’m sorry. You’re still delivering the weapons. You’re still enabling this massacre. That is what matters.” [Mother Jones]

Contrast the US position with the recent ruling in the Netherlands, where an appeals court in The Hague ruled that the Dutch government must cease sending spare parts for the F-35 fighter-jet to Israel: “It is undeniable that there is a clear risk that the exported F-35 parts are used in serious violations of international humanitarian law.”  The court noted that the Netherlands is signatory to treaties and instruments that make it unlawful under Dutch law to pursue such exports “if a clear risk of serious violations of international humanitarian law exists.”  While the Netherlands government appealed the ruling, an Oxfam spokesman expressed his hope that the ruling would have an impact on other European exporters of military weaponry to Israel. [Informed Comment]

Feb 16 Update: The International Court of Justice declined South Africa’s request for urgent additional measures to safeguard Palestinians in Rafah.  The ICJ reiterated its original orders, stating that the situation in Rafah “demands immediate and effective implementation of the provisional measures indicated by the Court in its Order of 26 January 2024.” [Al Jazeera]

The Future of Human Rights and International Law

Writing in the journal Foreign Affairs [link below right], Agnès Callamard discusses what the West's (and particularly the US's) continuing support of the Israeli assault on Gaza means for the future of international law and human rights.  Long after it became clear that thousands of civilians were being indiscriminately killed, they stayed with their initial messages of support.  As the war crimes mounted and the total blockade on Gaza denied Palestinians fuel, food, water and medicine, "all governments, especially those with influence over Israel, should have unequivocally and publicly denounced Israel’s unlawful actions and called for a cease-fire, for the return of all hostages, and for accountability for war crimes and other violations on both sides."

Although there were rehearsals for events in Gaza that showed extreme disregard of international law, she warns that "the war there may well signal a curtain call. The risk of genocide, the gravity of the violations being committed, and the flimsy justifications by elected officials in Western democracies warn of a change of eras. The rules-based order that has governed international affairs since the end of World War II is on its way out, and there may be no turning back."

Callamard notes the consequences of this abandonment of principles: more instability, aggression, conflict, and suffering. "The only check on violence will be more violence. The end of the rules-based order will also bring spreading and palpable anger across all layers of society, in all corners of the earth, except among those positioned to reap whatever sullied rewards can be extracted from the breaking international system."

What steps need be taken to avoid this worst-case scenario? 

Callemard then concludes her analysis with this: "Neither historical grievances nor long-term prospects for peace in the Middle East, and arguably beyond, can be addressed without an international and inclusive process that specifies a dismantling of Israel’s system of apartheid and allows for the security and rights of all populations to be protected."

PostScript: Today marks the 6th anniversary of  the Parkland, Florida high school shooting in which 17 people, 14 students and 3 staff, were killed.  In the four months since the beginning of the War on Gaza, Israeli attacks have killed more than 12,000 children.  That's the equivalent of more than 700 Parklands or 175 Parklands each month.  The trauma being visited on Gaza's population is unimaginable. Perhaps more than anything else, this grim statistic demonstrates the genocidal nature of Israel's attacks.

Notes

*On Friday January 26, the world's highest court, the International Court of Justice, found that there was a "plausible risk" of genocide in Gaza, and ruled that Israel must take action to prevent genocidal violence by its armed forces; “prevent and punish” the incitement to genocide; and insure that humanitarian aid to Gaza is increased.  Three weeks later Israel has yet to comply with any of the Court's orders.

**Days after the ICJ found a "plausible risk" that Israel was committing genocide in Gaza, Israel alleged that 12 of UNRWA's 13,000 workers in Gaza were involved in the October 7 attacks.  The United States and several other western nations suspended their support of the UNRWA until an investigation was completed.  The UNRWA is the agency that Palestinians have relied on for everything from vaccinations to education for seven decades.  Israel has long tried to eliminate the UN agency, which enshrines the right of Palestinian refugees to return home, as provided by international law.  Meanwhile, Israel’s attacks on Gaza have killed at least 28,500 Palestinians and wounded more than 68,000, and we continue to ship them arms and bombs to continue the genocide.  

"How many deaths will it take?"

POSTED FEBRUARY 29, 2024

How many deaths will it take 'til he knows

That too many people have died?

-Bob Dylan, "Blowin' in the Wind"


The War on Gaza has reached a tragic milestone.   The death toll in Gaza is now 30,000, twice the number of Palestinians killed during the ethnic cleansing, the nakba, that resulted in the creation of the state of Israel in 1948.   

As Israel continues its defiance of the orders of International Court of Justice (ICJ) that it prevent genocide and allow adequate aid into the devastated enclave, the United States continues to provide Netanyahu's far-right government with the weapons and bombs to continue the slaughter.  

Almost as distressing as that fact are the shameful actions of the United States at the United Nations.  On three occasions, we have vetoed Security Council resolutions for an immediate humanitarian ceasefire, most recently on February 20.  The draft resolution, presented by Algeria on behalf of Arab states, gathered overwhelming support from 13 of 15 Security Council members, with only the US voting against it and the UK abstaining. The United States has lost the respect of nearly the entire world by its continued support of the slaughter and its obvious double standard when it comes to human rights.  [link below left]

The ICJ ruling in late January has had no effect on Israeli interference in aid shipments.  According to UNRWA, the aid trucks allowed to enter Gaza in February represent a nearly 50 per cent reduction compared to January.

Earlier this month, with Palestinians denied water, food, fuel and medicine, their homes destroyed, their health care system on the verge of total collapse, the United States suspended funds for the main aid agency for Palestine, the UNRWA.  The reason: Israeli allegations that 12 of the 13,000 UNRWA employees in Gaza may have been involved in some way in the October 7 attacks. [link below right

The main entry point for humanitarian aid into the devastated enclave, Rafah, has been under heavy Israeli bombardment, and Netanyahu has announced plans for a ground assault there.  This would further exacerbate the already catastrophic humanitarian crisis in Gaza.  Approximately 1.4 million Palestinians have sought shelter in Rafah after escaping deadly attacks across the Gaza Strip.  A ground invasion raises the risk of tens of thousands of Palestinians being pushed across the border into Egypt, creating yet another humanitarian disaster. Filippo Grandi, UN High Commissioner for Refugees, has emphasized the disastrous implications of this displacement for Palestinians and the stability of the Middle East.

Over two million people now face famine.  Gaza’s Health Ministry says children are dying due to dehydration, and “escalating famine” could “kill thousands” in days if more aid does not enter the Gaza Strip.  A few headlines about the War on Gaza from the past few days...

U.N. Special Rapporteur Accuses Israel of War Crimes By Depriving Food to Gaza 

‘Massacre’: Dozens killed by Israeli fire in Gaza while collecting food aid.  More than 100 Palestinians waiting for food aid were killed and 760 wounded after being shot at by Israeli forces in Gaza

As 2-Month-Old Starves to Death in Gaza, Mosab Abu Toha Says His Own Family Is Eating Animal Feed

Gaza Ceasefire Could Save 75,000 from Death: Report from London School of Hygiene & Johns Hopkins

Israel’s war on Gaza live: Six children die of malnutrition in north Gaza

Meanwhile, the Biden Administration stands idly by, allowing the butchery and war crimes to continue and blocking UN resolutions for a humanitarian ceasefire.  One must wonder: how many deaths will it take to have President Biden admit that "too many people have died" and do something about it?  40,000? 60,000? 100,000? 

One must also wonder: what war crime or atrocity will push Biden to understand the horrific nature of the Israeli assault?  That some of the most vital humanitarian aid is being turned away by Israel? The massacre of dozens of men women and children in line to get food? The obliteration of Gaza's health care system?  The killing of more than 12,000 children...the equivalent of five Parkland Florida high school shootings every day for four months?  The destruction of  water wells,  fuel shortages, power cuts, and the absence of working desalination plants that have left Gaza's clean water at only 7% of its prewar supply? That famine and cholera are almost certain to happen and may cause more deaths than Israel's US-supplied missiles and bombs?  

The justifications given by the Administration for its support of Israeli war crimes and its opposition to a humanitarian ceasefire are as ludicrous  as they are sickening.  The alternate reality constructed by Netanyahu/Biden of "human shields" and "Israel's right to self-defense" is an inhuman obscenity.  No military objective can possibly justify the tens of thousands of civilian deaths, the gross interference in humanitarian aid deliveries, and the destruction of Gaza's health care system.  

Israel is not defending itself.  It is wantonly slaughtering Palestinians, a people they drove from their homes 75 years ago and have oppressed for decades.   We are aiding and abetting a text-book case of genocide.