EP Election aftermath
London for Europe Blogs
We compare 2019 with the 2014 European Parliament election results in London. It was not just Conservative and Labour that did badly. 2014 also had seen a Nigel Farage vehicle do well (UKIP) and there had also been a number of other anti-EU parties. Comparing the total Brexit Party/ UKIP 2019 vote with the total UKIP/ NO2EU &c &c 2014 vote shows that the number of hard anti EU votes went down slightly. Pro-EU parties went up lots. Clear lessons for Jeremy Corbyn and Conservative Party leadership hopefuls. But will they learn them?
https://www.london4europe.co.uk/2019_v_2014
We look at how good the polls were in forecasting the London result. The broad story was more or less right, though the polls overstated the Brexit Party and the Conservatives' position and understated the Liberal Democrat and Green gains. But the polls tended to show that total Remain support was broadly flat during May when it must have kept on rising. So the Liberal Democrats and Greens both did much better than forecast. That is a tribute to the campaigning of dedicated pro-Remain activists.
https://www.london4europe.co.uk/how_useful_were_the_polls
It's always easier to be right after the event. As a matter of arithmetic, with perfect tactical voting the Remain parties could have obtained an extra seat from the same total number of votes. However, the results would be too close to predict before the poll. There just is not the necessary level of foreknowledge needed for tactical voting advice under D'Hondt. So, no matter for which Remain party you voted, you did the right thing.