I truly thought Kirk Cousins could turn things around for the Atlanta Falcons last year. Heck, they started off 6-3 and were on pace to win the NFC South for the first time since 2016. Then the entire team collapsed, Cousins got benched, and they were eliminated from playoff contention with an 8-9 record. Now even more pressure will be placed on head coach Raheem Morris and general manager Terry Fontenot entering 2025. One needs to show that he is a leader among men that knows how to build a winning culture, while the other cannot have any more misses with his personnel decisions. Otherwise, both of them are going to be shown out the door within the next year or two.


Now that Michael Penix Jr. is going to be the starting quarterback, it will be interesting to see what he can do with a full season under his belt. He lost two of his first three starts, but you saw the potential he had and how beneficial he can be to the franchise moving forward. Penix has the pieces around him to make sure that he succeeds in year two. Bijan Robinson is one of the top ten running backs in football with an incredible amount of burst and quickness, with Tyler Allgeier as a reliable complement. Drake London broke out in his third year with over a thousand yards for the first time in his career and Darnell Mooney was eight yards short of that mark, which makes them an underrated receiving duo. However, for this offense to truly rise up the charts, they need Kyle Pitts to get back on the map. After a promising rookie season, the former fourth overall pick has not lived up to expectations and there are rumors that he could be traded as a result. At least Ray-Ray McCloud had a “career year” last season, but that would effectively mean that Pitts’ time in Atlanta will come to an end soon. Either way, I do not think that the offensive line is going to take a step back. They only allowed thirty-two sacks last year and were known as one of the best run blocking lines in the league, so you know that the front five will be up to the task, even with the loss of Chris Dalman in free agency. For this offense to grow, they need Penix to show that he was worth drafting in the first round and these receivers will have to step up in their own way by making sure they are open on almost every single play. 


Kirk Cousins was not the only one that underachieved last year. Let’s talk about that defense. In the offseason last year, the Falcons signed veterans Justin Simmons and Matt Judon to minimum deals in order to provide both veteran leadership and hopefully better production. Instead, Atlanta finished with the second fewest sacks and turned into a below average unit. This year, the front office knew that they needed to fix that side of the ball pronto. Neither Simmons nor Judon were brought back and Grady Jarrett was cut, so those were the first three moves. The Falcons did not only draft one defensive player in the first round, but two! Their original pick was used to take Jalon Walker out of Georgia, but then traded up with the Ravens to select James Pearce Jr.! Both of them are edge rushers! Sure, it was a little bold to give up a future first to draft Pearce, but when you pair him and Walker with a rising Arnold Ebiketie, that trio could be dangerous if things head the right way this year. However, I do not trust the veteran presence on the defensive line. They brought in Leonard Floyd, who had eight and a half sacks the year before, but he is thirty-two years old and is at the risk of declining. Morgan Fox is thirty years old and had a career-low three and a half sacks. David Onyemata is two years older and is also coming off a three sack season. The only way I can see them take off is if their younger players explode onto the scene right away, which requires perfect development and structure, two things that the Falcons do not have at the moment. The one bright spot for the Falcons defense was their ability to slow down the run, but they were ranked fifteenth in that category. Despite having  a standout middle linebacker in Kaden Elliss, it is guys like JD Bertrand and Divine Deablo that need to take their games to another level. I also want to see how Troy Andersen is going to look coming off a season-ending injury, because he was off to a promising start last year before hurting his knee. Now we get to the secondary, which is the biggest reason why I am not overly sold on this defense. Their pass rush was sketchy, but their pass coverage looked worse in my opinion. They allowed the second most touchdown passes at thirty-four, let up the fourth highest passer rating, and the highest completion percentage. Despite AJ Terrell and Jessie Bates being constant focal points, the rest of the secondary has little to no depth. I personally like Dee Alford, but last season was up-and-down for him. Jordan Fuller is a guy that I liked when he was in LA, but he tailed off in Carolina, so maybe a change of scenery with a familiar coach could be good for him. Maybe Mike Hughes can prove that last year was not just a blimp in the radar, but he is not known as a shutdown corner. It says something when the only young player I am excited about is safety Xavier Watts, the third round pick out of Notre Dame. 


One of two things is going to happen. Either Michael Penix surges as the next Lamar Jackson and completely carries the Falcons to their best season in almost ten years, or the team’s flaws are too much to overcome as they stumble into another mediocre season. Atlanta is the type of team that will find ways to implode when you have hope that they can turn things around, so this has to be the year where they crush that narrative and prove that Kirk Cousins truly was the problem. Otherwise, jobs are going to be on the line once again and Arthur Blank is going to find himself at a crossroads with his football team, which is what we do not want to see happen again.