Blog #7 - Week 5 Predictions

Last week, while I quite perfectly described why WATCHING sports is the best part of sports, I continued on and gave you three bets that you were supposed to bet either that night, or during that coming Sunday. Of those 3 bets, we went 2-1 and you should have received your money back on the losing parlay. Not a bad way to win some money. Because I'm short on time this week and I want to get this out to you on time, unlike the podcast "cough, cough", this week will be ALLLLLL about the bets, with some predictions of course.

This week, along with your 3 bets of the week for NFL games, I figured I would create some interleague DRAFT DADDY fun for us to enjoy. Ya know, make the league a little more trash talky while putting some bets on the line. Most bets will be over or under.

As I go through each matchup this week, I will create a betting line for each matchup. You can then fill out the following form to make your bet. $1 for your entire matchup bet, and the person with the most bets, and winning tie breaker, wins the entire money depending how many people play. 

FORM LINK HERE

BETTING BLOG COMING SOOON, but until then

BET 1 - COLTS & BRONCOS - UNDER 42.5 (-115)

BET 2 - CARDINALS +5.5 (-114)

BET 3 - RAMS ML & CHIEFS ML (2 TEAM PARLAY -112)

TO THE PREDICTIONS...

Week 5 PREDICTIONS

Matchup of the Week

Team EDAWG (1-3) vs Jacks 'n Goff (1-3)

Two 1-3 teams playing to basically not be in last place at this point in the young season. So to get our betting off to a hot start, and to continue with matchup tradition, we'll give it a go at each position:

QB - Burrow vs Goff - A battle of two of the top QB's in the league. Yes you read that right. Goff is sitting at QB 5 on this season as the Lions sport the #1 offense in the NFL just like everyone predicted, although Burrow is returning to form playing an interconference foe and predicted to score 2.2 more points than Goff. Betting line - Goff to throw .5 more touchdowns than Burrow (Over or Under) - ADVANTAGE JACKS

RB - Mixon & Jones vs Barkley & Sanders - At the beginning of the season it looks like EDAWG has a steal with Mixon and Jones, but the Jacks have found two top 10 runnings backs outside of the first round (i think most of them are) and look to continue that success Betting line - Barkley & Sanders to score 7.1 MORE fantasy points than Mixon & Jones (Over or Under) - ADVANTAGE JACKS

WR - Sutton & McLaurin vs Chase & Allen - It is clear that McLaurin appears to be what a princess on Halloween would be, not very scary anymore. He has put no fear into opposing defenses and will need to turn things around quick this season to have a chance. With Dotson out, could it be this week? The Jacks welcome Allen back into their lineup, but Ja'Marr doesn't look like the WR1 in this offense. Betting line - Sutton & McLaurin have 2.5 more total receptions than Chase & Allen (Over or Under) - ADVANTAGE EDAWG

TE - Conklin vs Ertz - You may say who the heck is Conklin, but in the same breathe make sure you say hello to the TE with the most routes run by all of TE's. & while it hasn't put his name too much on the map, he is TE9 compared to Ertz 4. Both of these games look to be high scoring affairs, but can Wilson find his TE more than Kyler Murray finds his? Betting line - Conklin gets 3.5 more TARGETS than Ertz (Over or Under) - Advantage EDAWG

FLEX - Gordan III vs Cooper - tbh, i hate both of these plays but I get it. Two guys that were both duds last week, but both usually have a role. The IND defense looks bad, which is good for Gordan, but can he keep ahold of the ball? Will the Browns do anything but run the ball to keep Amari involved? Betting line - Gordan with .5 more fumbles than Amari has TD's (Over or Under) - Advantage Jack

D&KICKER - 49ers & Tucker vs Cowboys & Fairbairn - 49ers D looks good, especially vs a bad Caroline Defense. Tucker is tucker. Nuff said. - Betting Line - Tucker to hit a longer field goal than Fairbairn -  Advantage EDAWG

Prediction: Not an official name change, but we're going with Jacks 'n Goff

Ass Prediction: Jackson-me-off

Nice Diggs (3-1) vs Cincinnati Forklifts (2-2)

Lamar won't have a bad week 2 weeks in a row, right? Vs the Bengals he's likely to come with his A game, compared to the Chargers going against a pretty good Cleveland D. Is Ekeler actually back, or was last week a fluke for the now RB 5 on the year. Look for Travis ETN to take away a score from James Robinson this week for the Forklifts, and for Diggs to find the endzone vs the Steelers. Sorry Forklifts, Diggs are on a streak.

Betting line - Lamar Jackson scores .5 more rushing touchdowns than Ekeler & Robinson combined (Over or Under)

Prediction: Nice Diggs

Ass Prediction: Diggy Dog

Team Keegs (2-2) vs The PP May Already Be Dead (2-2)

In most scenarios I like the PP here. Sporting Zach Wilson as the new QB against a Miami team that likes shootouts. The #1 RB in the league with Chubb, and DK who is starting to look good with Geno. But Keegs was on the Podcast last week. Which means Josh Allen is going to GO OFF vs Pittsburg, Devonta Smith will be a part of a shootout in Arizona, and Mark Andrews doesn't have another bad week. It's no longer a curse for Keegs this week. 

Betting Line - Zach Wilson throws 5.5 MORE yards than Josh Allen (Over or Under)

Prediction: Keegs 

Ass Prediction: Keegs (Big week projected from 'cast curse)

Saving Private (Matt) Ryan (3-1) vs Excel Extraordinaire (2-2)

Stats say things have to even out, and while Saving Private Matt Ryan has had a few players step up, he can't keep scaping by with wins. Things need to even out and no better than a team with Excel in their name. The only downfall is Saving Private Matt Ryan does have a player playing on Monday night, which seems to be the kryptonite for Excel. Butttttttt, the better players play this week and excel has too many of them

Betting Line - Excel outperforms Saving Private Matt Ryan in 6.5 positions - out of 9 (Over or Under)

Prediction: Excel

Ass Prediction: Excel me daddy

Victorville Vengence (1-3) vs Throw Bombs, Bang Moms (2-2)

No Taylor means you don't stand a chance. 1 win during week 1, and you dont get win #2 this week. MOMS MOMS MOMS MOMS MOMS!!!

Betting Line - McCaffery & Pierce score 2.5 more TD's than Dillon & Pollard

Prediction: Bombs & Moms

Ass Prediction: AB BANGS MOMS

Chicago Dogs (3-1) vs Erie Elves (2-2)

Erie scooted by last week. The Dogs hold them under water and drown them this week. Scary mf's. 

Betting Line - Dogs win by 20.5 fantasy points

Prediction: dem dogggy dogs

Ass Prediction: I-L-L 

• With Love, Commish