April 1, 2022

Quantifying the indirect effect of wolves on aspen in northern Yellowstone National Park: Evidence for a trophic cascade?

Dr. Lainie Brice

Post-doctoral Researcher, Cornell University

Abstract

Research has established that carnivores can indirectly benefit plants through both lethal and trait-mediated effects on their prey, but much of what we know about such processes, or trophic cascades, stems from studies on small-bodied carnivores in controlled environments, and we know less about large carnivores across vast landscapes. The purpose of my research was to address this gap through a comprehensive test of a seminal trophic cascade: wolves (Canis lupus), elk (Cervus canadensis), and aspen (Populus tremuloides) in Yellowstone National Park. I used 20 years of data on these species to: 1) clarify annual trends in browsing and height of young aspen after wolf reintroduction, 2) quantify the strength of trait-mediated indirect effects of wolves (i.e., elk fear) on aspen, and 3) evaluate the strength of density-mediated indirect effects of wolves (i.e., direct killing of elk) on aspen. My research suggests that wolves have benefitted aspen since their reintroduction by helping to maintain the elk population at lower numbers, but that any fear of wolves on the part of elk did not reduce their foraging in a way that improved aspen growth. Furthermore, the role of humans as predators of elk outside of the Park was critical in reducing elk density and causing this trophic cascade. However, despite these forces limiting elk abundance, there is still widespread aspen recruitment failure nearly 30 years after wolf reintroduction, suggesting that chronic herbivory may have pushed aspen past its tipping point, and the pathway to recovery will be slower than that of initial degradation.

Biosketch

Lainie Brice is a wildlife ecologist currently working as a post-doctoral researcher at Cornell University. She received her Master’s degree from the University of St Andrews in marine mammal science, and her PhD in ecology from Utah State University, advised by Dr. Dan MacNulty. Her research largely focuses on the role of large, terrestrial carnivores as instigators of ecosystem change, specifically exploring when and how such predators cause trophic cascades, and the influence of climate-induced changes on these processes. She has previously investigated the extent to which wolf reintroduction affected aspen regeneration in Yellowstone National Park, and is currently working to determine how predator reintroduction would affect deer overpopulation and forest regeneration in New York. She is an alum of the Climate Adaptation Science program at Utah State University, where she researched the myriad effects of climate change on Bureau of Land Management land, as well as how climate change will affect amphibian habitat across northern Yellowstone.