Once fully autonomous vehicles are integrated into life as we know it, some major changes will occur. It is impossible to say exactly what these changes will be or when they will come about though. To realize future changes some assumptions need to be made. The following changes are based on the assumptions of Level 5 autonomous vehicle integration and a shift away from personal vehicle ownership, moving towards a car sharing subscription model.
Current projects are in progress across the world. This transformation bases on the assumptions that personal vehicle ownership will be greatly decreased and Level 5 autonomy has become integrated. Current projects include road diets to promote quality of life and alternative transportation options. As technology moves forward and autonomous vehicles enter the cityscape, more intense road diets and reclamation of street space may be seen.
Eliminating the need to store a vehicle at home allows for the potential to reclaim the space a garage occupies. In neighborhoods immediately adjacent to downtown areas where the price per square foot is a premium this gives the potential to add significant value to a home.
If this becomes a reality, cities will have to rethink parking requirements that go along with development. Stories can be found across the country of municipalities reducing parking requirements and realizing the benefits that come along with it. In some cases it is able to aid in the reduction of housing costs, but in this future model it may be able to be used to maximize a home's value or add additional dwelling units to a city.
A model such as this opens up the door to an iBuying type scenario. If a company that has the ability to purchase homes in specific locations with these features and has a coordinated network of contractors to remodel the spaces, they may be able to market the homes with no vehicle storage to targeted market groups.
As the need for parking is reduced, parking garages will become open floor areas looking for a new use. Some parking garages are being built with the future in mind, adding in additional up front costs to allow for flexibility in the future. Not all parking garages allow for this level of flexibility though. It is important to find a way that more dated garages can be morphed to fit the autonomous future.
As Logistics changes to meet the increasing demands of one-day delivery and efficiency, underutilized parking garages offer a solution to creating more centrally located distribution centers. Current projects have integrated distribution centers into parking garages in major cities.
This model may become more prevalent as time moves forward. Although parking garages may not serve as the ideal environment for a state-of-the-art warehouse facility, it is certainly possible to store goods in the unused parking areas. Doing so with some simple renovations to protect the goods may be easily possible, requiring minimal reinvestment into the structure. Scheduling large deliveries to the garages in off peak hours and distributing the goods via small autonomous delivery vehicles that can also be housed within the garage can allow this to become a reality in the future. To look a step beyond, structures may with roof access may be able to integrate drone delivery, telecommunications installations, or other possibilities.