This is odd..... I wasn't expecting to make a page completely devoted to the Runoff election in Georgia, but here we are! Oh, and it's now two of them, and the fate of the senate hinges on them. This is why I am making a separate page exclusively for them.

I will have three maps: One by county for Ossoff/Perdue, One by county for Loeffler/Warnock, and then the complete senate map.

The county map will have a different coloring scheme: 0-5% win is tilt, 5-10% is lean, 10-20% is likely, and 20+% is safe.

Final Ratings

Win Chances for Each state

Republicans are favored (72.3% chance) to win the Senate.

Georgia Class 2: Perdue has the edge (53% chance) to win

Georgia Class 3: Warnock has the edge (59% chance) to win.

Analysis:

While I correctly predicted Loeffler's baggage would sink her campaign, I did not think Ossoff ever could win the GA senate race. I was surprised and shocked, but correctly predicted the margin of victory, just for the wrong candidate.