The LIVE SESSION will be held on TUE 3 MAR from 15:00-16:30 CET.
POD CALL Exploring your Leadership
PEER FEEDBACK ON CANVASES
UPDATE YOUR CANVASES
INDIVIDUAL REFLECTION JOURNAL
SCHEDULE YOUR COACHING SESSION
See instructions for each delivery below. All deliveries should be uploaded as a PDF in the #2_learnfromfuture channel on Slack by Sun 8 Mar.
"We look at the present through a rear-view mirror. We march backwards into the future. "
[20 Minute Read & Reflection]
Arguably, the ones best prepared for it have been science fiction writers. Writers like Philip K. Dick, Julius Verne, Isaac Asimov and William Gibson created worlds, technologies and societies in their heads that grew to become parts of our collective imagination.
What are the biggest challenges you face when you try to envision the future?
Every new business is betting on knowing the future.
Will people buy soy-based ice cream? Will electric cars go mainstream? Will people spend 4 dollars on coffee?
We tend to think of the future based on the present, or more importantly our perception of the present. This often creates a problem because we continue to think that the behaviors of today can illuminate the behaviors of tomorrow. This fixed mindset makes it difficult to imagine a future where new habits, customs and expectations create new needs, new products and new services.
While the world changes daily, our view of thew world remains the same.
This famous quote from Henry Ford captures the principle of ‘Perception Bias’ well.
While Ford arguably created or at minimum anticipated a future, there are many examples of experts mistakenly predicting the failure of a new product, business or trend.
Look at the some of most successful products and services born this century: The iPhone, Tiktok, whatsapp, instagram, the cloud business... very few experts predicted its transforming success, and some even forecasted them dramatic failures.
When you have spent 10,15, 20 years crafting a point of view, its very hard to see possibilities outside your area of knowledge.
These important lessons from the famous case of Segway make for an interesting read about this topic.
What caused these experts to be wrong? How can we improve our ability to accurately predict the future? Is this even possible?
What’s fascinating about progress is that we have always managed to create, invent and innovate our way into the future in spite of our cognitive limitations.
Today more people enjoy a better quality of life, live longer and in peaceful environments than at any other time in history. This upbeat outlook about who we are becoming is opening business opportunities in a global economy.
Watch this TED talk below, where Pete Alcorn, the Lead for Education Discovery for Apple, gives us his vision of the future based on economic principles (3 min).
Investors, or venture capitalists as some like to call them, spend more time than most people taking risks on future problems and future solutions. They try to imagine what will be the needs of humans in 10 years time, and most of them are terribly wrong most of the time. Then again you might need to be right just once to make a career in VC.
Benedict Evans is a smart investor. And he often shares his views with the world through his newsletter, presentations and essays.
Watch his brilliant analysis of the future of e-commerce on this video "The End of the Beginning" and his most recent deck: "Standing on the shoulders of giants"
How do you feel about the future? Are you optimistic or do you have a more doubtful view? How do our own “feelings” influence our view of the future? Read through your canvas. Are there any signs that show how your case is impacted by your view of the future?
In the 20’s and 30’s, Bell Laboratories in New Jersey, invented the technologies that laid the foundation for the communication revolution of the 80’s and 90’s.In the 70’s and 80’s, Xerox Park in Palo Alto, California, developed the world of computers as we know it today.
We recommend these books about their fascinating story: Idea Lab, Dealers of Lighting, The Dream machine. In each of the cases, the impact of their creations in the consumer economy wasn’t felt until decades later, like a laptop computer, or communications satellite.
Today we are experiencing a much faster transition from research & development commercialization. One reason for this increased in speed is due to the evolution of the the crowdsourcing economy of Wikipedia, Amazon Mechanical Turk, OpenIdeo and Kickstarter for example.
Read about the concept of adjacent possible here.
I leave you this quote as a taste of the concept: “…the adjacent possible “captures both the limits and the creative potential of change and innovation.”
What an inspiring and provoking idea.
Wouldn't it be great to visit, every so often, the edge of possibility so we could learn from the experience?
We can, actually.
All we have to do is challenge our assumptions: expose our selves to diverse thinking outside our bubble of comfort (create a library of adjacent possibles resources) and explore intentionally the edges of possible futures. (talk about potential tomorrows with different people)
Start with this: The Passion economy and how its transforming the world today.
— Iñaki Escudero
Based on everything you’ve read and watched, what can we expect from the future? What business opportunities do you see emerging? How do these opportunities impact your case?
The leader for this module needs to lead this call, creating a structure and flow. IDOARRT, Check Ins & Check Outs and Parking Lot are great tools for this.
The main tool you will practice this weeks is called Active Listening (see below) and it is a great process to generate deeper insights. Some of you already took a stab at practising it last Friday during the Transformers Roundtable so it is a perfect time to practice it with your pod.
There is an explanation about this tool in the recording from Friday on Module 1.
WHAT: Give feedback using the questions in the above tool to one participants on either their Case for Change or Leadership Canvas. (Make sure there is a fair distribution of feedback.)
WHERE: Start/continue a thread on their latest canvas in the channel #1_caseforchange
WHO: Give feedback to the person listed below. Make sure the person who is supposed to feedback you does it.
DEADLINE: Sunday
WHAT: An updated version of your Change for Change and Leadership Canvas.
WHERE: Upload a PDF in Slack, channel #2_learnfromfuture
DEADLINE: Sunday
What affected you most this week and what have you learned?
What have you learned about your own attitudes and behaviours toward rapid change and the future?
What new insights have you gained about your change case and leadership?
What actions will you take in relation to learnings from this week?
WHAT: Your Reflection Journal
WHERE: Upload a PDF in Slack, channel #2_learnfromfuture
DEADLINE: by Sunday
Coaching is about releasing the potential of the coachee (in this case, you!) to maximise their performance. It’s about helping to learn rather than teach. Everything you say during the call is confidential and stays between you and your coach.
Some tips to get the most out of the session:
Have a topic prepared before the call. If you don’t have one specified, that’s ok too. Perhaps you’ll find a broad area that you’d like to focus on and your coach can help you specify it further.
Be ready to explore yourself rather than getting answers.
Plan your time so that you can speak freely (it helps to be in a private room).
WHAT: Schedule in your coaching during week 3 or 4.
WHERE: See links below
WHEN: Schedule the call by Friday.
Book your coaching session using these links for Ben and Hazel.