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Black Swans Problem: The problem of induction.
Black Swans Problem: The problem of induction.
Black Swan Theory: We (including scientists) consider a statement as true, not because it is true, but because we have the best data that makes it true for us (or because we consider our data as the best). (Philosophy by the way blog)
Black Swan Theory: We (including scientists) consider a statement as true, not because it is true, but because we have the best data that makes it true for us (or because we consider our data as the best). (Philosophy by the way blog)
What to do:
Working in a group. Brainstorm Black Swan events, explain why you've labelled them as "black swan events".
Brainstorm "Black Swan" knowledge. Why have you identified this as Black Swan knowledge ?
Individually - devise a diagram comparing Inductive and Deductive Thinking.
What problem does Black Swan Knowledge (inductive processes) pose for AoK Natural Sciences ?
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