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The NDA lost in Maharashtra – how will this affect the state's upcoming election
Everyone knew what would happen; everyone was confident. Instead, India’s general elections became the largest upset of the year.
The National Democratic Alliance (NDA), a coalition with the objective of ‘400 paar’ (gaining 400 seats) gained only 293 seats in the Lok Sabha. While they secured a majority, the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance has faced much backstabbing from states from which it was expected to win favour. The largest culprit might be Uttar Pradesh, but the state of Maharashtra is more than worthy of discussion.
Maharashtra, which was expected to bring a majority of its 48 seats to the ruling coalition, has brought a measly 17. The biggest loss for the NDA in Maharashtra was Ajit Pawar’s National Congress Party (NCP), winning only a single seat. Eknath Shinde’s Shiv Sena and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) did not do much better, winning seven and nine seats respectively. This is a wake-up call for the bloc as they will contest in the state's upcoming elections, expected to take place in October.
One reason for this downfall might be the BJP amplifying infighting between local parties, such as the Shiv Sena and the NCP. This has built up mistrust towards the party Maratha community that populates the state.
The failure of the BJP to capture the vote of farmers in Maharashtra’s rural constituencies due to the implementation and reversal of the government’s numerous farming laws and continued protests from farmers in 2020, 2021, and 2024 was on display across the country, but visible in Maharashtra.
This may lead to the NDA losing its 10-year-long grip on the state as the citizens look to dispose of their tastes in politics, especially the state’s Dalit and Maratha population, who tended to vote overwhelmingly for the I.N.D.I.A alliance this election.
The BJP-led bloc has approximately five months to turn its fortunes in the state. It is imperative to make sure to campaign and promote its advances in the state, such as developments in infrastructure and schemes such as the PM KISAN.
Their platform should evolve to capture more of the votes that have turned against it, especially in the eastern and southern regions of the state. These farmer-dominated regions have to be placated through the imposition of more lenient farming rules, lower duties, and removal of export restrictions if the bloc intends to control one of India’s most important states for another five years.
At the same time, the I.N.D.I.A. alliance, which sits in opposition currently, should not rest just yet. The Maharashtrian populous will need to be convinced of their calibre. It has to continue its crusade for the constitution which won it much praise. Its promotion of Uddhav Thackeray in Maharashtra paid off and must continue to ensure the state’s return to Congress-led rule. It must also put forward more proposals to benefit the state’s Maratha population, which makes a significant voting bloc. The alliance’s handling of the Marathas should protect their status, without demeaning their heritage.
This year’s Maharashtra state elections will be one of the most consequential for the state. Both alliances have much to work on to try and win over the state’s diverse population. Their policies will define both the state’s and India’s future.
Article written by Rishabh Goyal and Edited by Geet Ramesh - published on 10/06/2024
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