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Japan's recent foreign exchange intervention in the currency market of $170 billion marks a significant effort to
stabilize the yen against challenging economic conditions. This intervention is led by Masato Kanda, a senior
finance official, who aimed to curb the breadth of yen depreciation after it had depreciated nearly 45% against
the U.S. dollar over recent years. This depreciation led to increased import costs that hit hard on Japanese
households, particularly in terms of necessities such as food and fuel. The move has spurred much debate
nationally as well as globally about Japan's economic strategy, policy direction, and unique challenges that the
country is facing.
Japan has, historically, allowed its currency its course to float freely, with some depreciation benefiting its
export-oriented economy. This includes large companies, such as Toyota and Sony, who will profit from any
softening of their products for global buyers. However, the recent depreciation caused higher import prices,
which added to the crisis of rising costs for Japanese households. In a country where inflation and cost of living
had generally not posed major problems, the increase in food and fuel prices was mostly alarming. The
government felt it had to intervene, as it was worried about the possible adverse consequences for consumers
and the wider economy.
The intervention was met with mixed reactions. Japan's yen support was anointing attention from international
financial authorities, with the U.S. Treasury placing Japan on a currency manipulator watchlist. To many
analysts, especially those outside of Japan, the intervention became labelled as a distortion of natural currency
dynamics. Nevertheless, Kanda is to be commended for defending that Japan's intention was purely that of
mitigating speculative trading, which distorted the yen value far from another possible normal under various
economic fundamentals. By emphasizing that the home currency's active depreciation has not sprung from
sturdy economic fundamentals, but rather speculation, he still argued that considerations of the yen's continuous
depreciation are specious at best.
Japan's strategy stands in stark contrast to Western approaches, which often use rate hikes to counter currency
devaluation. In Japan, prolonged economic stagnation renders the raising of rates less feasible. The Japanese
Bank has kept interest low for several years now in a bid to spur growth but has very few options left to them if
yen depreciation continues. With so low interest rates, Japan does not get any flexibility for effective use of
monetary policy for exchange rate stability and has only direct intervention left as a feasible option to limit
further damage in the economy. Such is the predicament noted by Professor Seijiro Takeshita of Shizuoka
University, who mentions that while intervention in the market is not the best option, it seems to be Japan's only
really feasible one inscribed in present economic fatigue.
Recently, two things turned the yen up naturally-a surprise interest rate hike from the Bank of Japan and a
change in the political leadership. Such questions arise as to whether the intervention will reap long-term
benefits. Critics argue that the yen might have appreciated even without the intervention, implying that the $170
billion outlaid might not have been necessary. Despite this, Kanda insists that the intervention achieved one of
its main goals- that of stabilizing the market during time-zones of severe volatility, providing temporary relief
to Japanese consumers.
Thundered that, probably controversially, the intervention provided an unexpected benefit: it actually made a
profit. Kanda notes that profit was never the main purpose served, yet the cash that came from it complicates
the Japanese strategy. For Kanda, the actual determinant of success will not be after the lascivious judgment
from the public but rather from the markets and the historians down the line. The intervention could turn into a
textbook case for future generations of parliamentarians by showing the complexities involved in making
economic crisis decisions.
In addition, Kanda's choices have made him a social media star, honoured in Japan as the guardian of the yen.
Japanese users are creating AI generative videos of Kanda dancing and symbolically fighting various
speculative traders, as clear expressions of support for his firm decisions during difficult times. Many common
people in Japan appreciate Kanda's attempt in shielding them from rising prices. The spectacle of his online
popularity serves an example of how sometimes, economic policy captures the imagination of the public in
unforeseen manners.
Ultimately, Japan's intervention highlights the rubrics surrounding a modern economy underneath the tension of
domestic and global pressures. With narrow pockets of economic flexibility and a plummeting yen, Japan had
little recourse apart from intervening directly in the markets. While the urgency for this intervention is still a
matter of conjecture, it remains indicative of Japan's aspirations to defend its economy from the pernicious
bouts of wanton volatility characteristic of global markets. Kanda's actions, somewhat controversial, epitomize
the lengths to which any nation can go to ensure economic tranquillity and offer protection to its citizens against
the adverse effects of the playing market.
On a macrolevel, Japan's intervention may provide a penultimate model for other economies that cede monetary
policy power. With the unabated march of globalization blurting the financial markets together, countries,
characterized by structure dissimilar to the ones at their cores, might very likely be required to take the leap into
unorthodox methods to manage their economies. Japan shows again what it can tell about the complexity and
trade-off of modern economic governance as it continues to showcase the tenuous relationship between market
freedom and the need for government intervention during times of crisis.
Article written by Siddharth Ghosh and Edited by Riva Mehta - published on 23/11/2024
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