IAMS workshop
ReCoVER Integrated Assessment Modelling Sandpit
14th and 15th May 2015, Dartington Hall, Devon
ReCoVER held and Sandpit meeting on 14th and 15th May 2015 at Dartington Hall in Devon. The sandpit meeting looked at new approaches to Integrated Assessment Modelling, including from a policy perspective.
ReCoVER (Research on Changes of Variability and Environmental Risk) is an EPSRC-funded research network aiming to foster new mathematical approaches to the trans-disciplinary challenges posed by climate change. ReCoVER has strong stakeholder engagement and one of the first priority subjects identified in conversation with DECC and other stakeholders was the need to improve the underpinning methodology and the transparency of integrated assessment models of climate change. Hence the aim of this workshop was to explore ways of advancing integrated assessment modelling and its salience, credibility and legitimacy in scientific and policy contexts. The workshop moved from brief updates and perspectives on the current state of integrated assessment modelling, to a ‘sandpit’ generating new research ideas suitable for seed-corn funding.
Agenda
14th May
12.00 Lunch at Dartington Hall, Pontin Room
12.50 Presentations from delegates, Dukes Room. Chair: Tim Lenton
12.50 Welcome (Tim Lenton)
13.00 Ken Wright: IAMs: A Government Science Adviser’s perspective
13.20 Elizabeth Baldwin: Damage Functions: what we (don’t) know, and why it matters
13.40 David Stainforth: Transparency and physical assumptions in IAMS
14.00 Hector Politt: Dynamic, disequilibrium economic modelling with E3ME
14.20 Jean-Francois Mercure: Modelling agent diversity and innovation diffusion
14.40 Neil Edwards: Emulation, uncertainty and integration of qualitative sociological constraints
15.00 Coffee break
15.30 Presentations from delegates, Dukes Room. Chair: TBC
15.30 Steve Smith: How the Committee on Climate Change has used (and stopped using) IAMs
15.50 Tim Lenton: Stochastic integrated assessment of climate tipping points
16.10 Louise Kessler: Estimating the economic cost of the permafrost carbon feedback in using the DICE model
16.30 Jason Lowe: The use and abuse of IAMs in climate research
16.50 Tim Oxley: National scale Integrated Assessment Modelling under the Convention on Long-Term Transboundary Air Pollution
17.10 Andy Jarvis: TBC
17.30 Charlie Wilson: Incorporating behavioural features into global energy-economy models
17.50 Discussion
18.00 End of presentations
19.00 Evening dinner, Screens Room
15th May
8.45 Coffee
9.15 Meeting discussion, Dukes Room
9.15 Pete Ashwin: Introducing ReCoVER Feasibility Funding
9.30 Discussion
10.30 Coffee break
11.00 Meeting discussion and funding application, Dukes Room
13.00 Lunch, Pontin Room
14.00 End of meeting