Pacing and synchronisation of palaeoclimate variability, June2017

This joint meeting between ReCoVER and Past Earth Network is planned for Dartington Hall, Devon, UK on 29th and 30th June 2017. The meeting will look at a hierarchy of nonlinear models of past climate and will consider how global oscillations of climate variables are created (forced or internal) and may be "paced" by astronomical or other forcing. This adds to our understanding of how the climate system in general responds to forcing, which is relevant for projected future climate change.

Questions include:
How is information moved up and down the hierarchy of models, and how can simple conceptual models be evaluated against more complex models and palaeoclimate data? Also,
  • Which behaviours found in low-order models can be expected to remain in the more complex models, and which will disappear/change?
  • What are the differences between models for cold vs warm climates, e.g. how is variability in warm climates affected by lack of ice sheets?
  • How can classes/types of conceptual models be usefully grouped, eg stochastic vs deterministic, average vs phenomenological?
  • How can one best validate models against data and each other?
  • How can we use knowledge of past climate to improve climate forecasts?

Although the meeting size is strictly limited, we are happy to take expressions of interest from members of CliMathNet or PEN communities.  Please register your interest using the expresson of interest form.

If you have any questions about this meeting then please contact Emily Paremain.

[Logo]    ReCoVER

Invited speakers include:

  • Ayako Abe-Ouchi (Tokyo)
  • C David Camp (Cal Poly)
  • Michel Crucifix (Louvain)
  • Henk Dijkstra (Utrecht)
  • Peter Ditlevsen (Copenhagen)
  • Lauren Gregoire (Leeds)
  • Frank Kwasniok (Exeter)
  • Tim Lenton (Exeter)
  • Richard Wood (Met Office)

Draft schedule:

Thursday 29th June 2017

  • Arrival
  • 9:30 Introduction
  • 9:45 Lecture: Henk Dijkstra (Utrecht)
  • 10:15 Lecture: Peter Ditlevsen (Copenhagen)
  • 10:45 Coffee, Discussions
  • 11:15 Lightning talks
  • 12:30 Lunch
  • 2:00 Lecture: Richard Wood (Met Office)
  • 2:30 Lecture: Tim Lenton (Exeter)
  • 3:00 Tea, Discussions, Posters
  • 4:30 Lecture: Ayako Abe-Ouchi (Tokyo)
  • 5:15 Break
  • 7:00 Dinner

Friday 30th June 2017

  • 9:30 Lecture: Michel Crucifix (Louvain)
  • 10:00 Lecture: C David Camp (Cal Poly)
  • 10:30 Coffee, Discussons
  • 12:00 Lunch
  • 1:30 Lecture: Frank Kwasniok (Exeter)
  • 2:00 Lecture: Lauren Gregoire (Leeds)
  • 2:30 Tea, Discussions, Walk
  • 5:00 Closing

Organizers: Anna von der Heydt (Utrecht), Dave Camp (Cal Poly), Peter Ashwin (Exeter)