Student Activity / Project

This papers is available from a Journal and related to health in NZ. It is well researched. Its observations are excellent.

The data came from primary sources, in fact every Neurologist in NZ so it is precise and truly reflects the incidences of MS in the population.

This is an example graph I just avoided paying the $30 for the article but roughly speaking its close enough for our assignment.

So here is the hypothetical situation for your groups to consider;

NZ is experiencing population growth and it has been decided to open up the Auckland Islands for population.

The Auckland Islands are at 57 degrees South.

Your job is to look at predictions of required Health Care for the new populous on the Islands.

So here is an analogous activity ;

http://physics.info/radiation/practice.shtml

Scroll down to the Vostock Ice Core plot.

Scroll down to the scatter graph with the 400 ppm Mauna Loa extrapolation point.

Now compare the well known Ice Core temperature and CO2 time series, and this scatter correlation graph.

Extend to 400 ppm and predict the temperature change. ( Its marked just in case you miss it )

Make policy suggestions about this in relation to your understanding of Climate awareness.

Things to consider ;

Correlation vs Causation
Assumptions
Bias
Paradigms of Thinking
Inductive Logic
Deductive Logic
Patterns in Data
A skeptical attitude towards analysis of the data
Unknown factors that are known
Unknown factors that are unknown
Errors in the data
Grounded approach, take both sides of an assumption / conclusion and look at the pros and cons of the arguments.