a.k.a. "The Hitch Hikers Guide to A.G.W." ----- Don't Panic

Nearly 25% of all Human generated CO2 entered the atmosphere in this period. 1997 - 2015, so where is the heat ?

AGW or now "Climate Change", they keep renaming the target to fit the thesis, has an incessant parade of publications, each more devastating in its predictions than the last. The actual observations however, that is the real world we live in, just keep refusing to fall in line. Climate has always changed and always will, with or without us. It's the one finite probability or constant we live with.

Apparently identified and measured in the atmosphere in the 70's and 80's sparking a global planetary alarm, huge governmental gravy train bureaucracy to monitor its progress, and with the unparalleled certainty of a "hokey stick", "Mann" made AGW has now somersaulted and taken up Acapulco Cliff high diving. http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.co.nz/2015/07/new-paper-finds-greenhouse-gases.html

One of the places CO2 is supposedly "hiding heat" is reportedly the Ocean "Carbon Sink" and hidden mysterious currents of warm water, unmeasurable in 0.001 Degree Celsius, "Peta Joule", amounts travelling on it's way to "Climageddon delayed", via a submarine escalator or two around the globe. Whilst it has been supposedly doing this the planet atmosphere is stable or even cooling and is likely to enter into perhaps a 1 degree Celsius drop from the solar cycle 26 reverse polarity shift per the latest understanding of the solar magnetosphere. http://phys.org/news/2015-07-irregular-heartbeat-sun-driven-dynamo.html

http://reason.com/blog/2014/10/07/global-warming-heat-not-hiding-in-the-de

http://www.nature.com/news/climate-change-the-case-of-the-missing-heat-1.14525

http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/mystery-of-ocean-heat-deepens-as-climate-changes/

http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.co.nz/2010/08/why-greenhouse-gases-wont-heat-oceans.html

The Second Law of Thermodynamics requires heat to flow one-way from hot to cold.

Since the atmosphere is colder (average radiating temperature of ~ -10 C) than the ocean surface(~ 17 C), the 2nd Law of Thermodynamics states that heat can only be transferred one-way from the ocean surface to the atmosphere, not the other way around.

The LHS graph of 93.4% Ocean warming, caused supposedly by CO2 radiation, is political fiction as is the supposed prior thesis, as it ignores basic thermodynamic principles that are commonly known, i.e. heat rises,... moves from hot to cold..... That "research" of this ilk even gets published is a incredible improbability and failure of the scientific peer review process.

http://www.climatecentral.org/news/global-warming-ocean-heat-18905

Not content with the failed hypothesis of the hidden Ocean heat "sink" scenario, warming alarmists have now enlisted the scientific wisdom of the Pope of the Catholic Faith, a renown and long defender of scientific inquiry, truth, honesty and relentless promoter of fairness, equity, human rights and all that is good about the "sinful fallen from grace" human species, coupled with the most relevant and undoubtedly formidable political force on the planet, the collection of Local City Mayors from around the globe. Could someone please advise if the collective noun would be a "rabble of Mayors ", or a suggestion "a sink of Mayors"? Perhaps lacking access to Scientific advisers and Think Tanks, at real governmental levels, such as National level politicians do, one could cynically describe these "sinkable" politicians as a soft target ? Votes are sure to flow.....

World mayors at Vatican urge 'bold climate agreement'

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/news/article.cfm?c_id=2&objectid=11484988

Global warming personified must be quaking in its albedo reflecting, positive forcing, radiative boots. Here is the kitchen "sink" of humanity being thrown at widely discredited and disputed thesis that would have the planet already 2 degrees warmer and exponentially on its way to a further 4 degrees of tipping point destruction. Borris Johnson, and the global local equivalents of Len Browne, Lianne Dalziel and previous political experts, the ilk of John Banks, have now been enlisted to the desperate dash of Global Warming action. A media circus of absurdity worthy of Douglas Adam's imagination by all accounts.

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/news/article.cfm?c_id=2&objectid=11484988

http://www.stuff.co.nz/world/europe/70432752/world-mayors-urge-action-on-climate-change

http://www.thenewamerican.com/tech/environment/item/18889-desperate-dash-of-global-warming

How much is a kitchen sink these days ? Well in my day about the same as that coal fire place behind us, or a crooked Chicago vote.

Remember the UNFCCC Paris round is due for negotiation in December 2015, and so we are watching the orchestrated Political communications of media savvy minority pressure groups attempting to coalesce public opinion by citing examples, personal references, belief, mass appeal, in other words all the Marketing tricks of Street Vendors and Shopping Channel TV hawkers to elicit viewer buy in.

http://phys.org/news/2014-06-paris-climate.html

"Between 40,000 and 50,000 people from 195 countries are expected," Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius told reporters at the site in Le Bourget, just north of the French capital, where the talks will be held.

Roughly half this number will be official delegates, and the remainder will be support staff or observers, he said.

The talks, under the banner of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), will run from November 30 to December 11, 2015.

The biggest official turnout at climate talks was at the ill-fated 2009 summit in Copenhagen, which drew about 26,600 delegates.

Read more at: http://phys.org/news/2014-06-paris-climate.html#jCp

And the purpose of this UNFCCC round of conferences ? To stop dangerous ( 2 degree C ) AGW.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Avoiding_dangerous_climate_change

"2C or Not 2C" is the only real question for the Paris round to consider. The facts show less than a 1 degree per century rise, well below half of the "danger threshold", and most likely induced of natural causes, Milankovitch cycles, too boot, so it follows that we are doing everything practical now to abate "Climageddon" without even realizing it.

This begs the question; Why do we need this world wide kitchen sink effort if the temperatures will not even cross the imaginary 2 degrees C threshold promoted by the alarmist community ? Well that's anyone's guess, but plenty of people are hot under the collar about doing something since we have been fed a diet of doom, gloom and destruction, and after all the species causing all this environmental ravage to the planet must also be the ultimate problem solver or solution giver, surely ? We would never botch up the solution by taxing a non existent effect and enforcing wealth redistribution by a bunch of unelected bureaucrats selected by nondemocratic means from a mob of grey faceless middle management telephone sanitisers, who contrive consensus, would we ? Better yet, enroll in John Crooks James Cook University Free Climate Change course, steak knives and fake climate skeptics web site also included free. https://youtu.be/LOGt3OzTXBs

James Hansen, at the extreme alarmist end of the spectrum doesn't even consider 2 degrees safe however and has incited gullible local councils to produce this nonsense to "scare local Mayors into action".

https://www.tvnz.co.nz/one-news/new-zealand/simulation-shows-unavoidable-3m-auckland-sea-level-rise-q02974.html

Be prepared for even more shrill alarmist propaganda. Betting on outcomes predicted by "named authors" without peer review is really a waste of rate payers money. Sea level rise as comically presented in this clip is one of the first and most demonstrable discredited failures of the AGW camp. Since 1990 when it was first postulated 25 years have passed, 1/4 of a century, so where is the 1/4 of a meter, or 1/4 x 3 meters being 1 & 1/4 meters a la Hansen, rise in the oceans ? A simple and reasonable empirical question to confirm the hypothesis, worthy of any Research Methods 101 student. If you're going to bet, "show me the money first".

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2015/07/04/2c-or-not-2cthat-is-the-question/

Conclusion: No warming has yet arisen this century. Warming may be 0.6 K by 2100, could be as low as 0.4 K and will not exceed 1 K. Allowing for negative aerosol forcings in SAR to AR5, or for net-negative temperature feedbacks (Lindzen & Choi, 2011; Spencer & Braswell, 2011; Monckton of Brenchley, 2015), warming may well not reach these values, but is most unlikely to exceed them.

Douglas Adams would have had a field day with the bureaucracy of the IPCC and its offspring such as the UNFCCC. The answer to 2 degrees C or Not 2 degrees C is still obviously 42. "Deep Thought" told us this. The white mice experimenting with us are probably all in stitches of laughter at our lack of critical thinking and political naivety. The profligacy of billions spent on producing defective climate model projections in error of the question 6 x 9 = 42 are obvious. The imminent destruction of the earth for an intergalactic highway by the Vogons is Climageddon. The grey faceless middle management class of telephone sanitisers, the IPCC. Waiting for the missing heat to return a religious belief, the appearance of which is delayed until it appears at Milliways, the Restaurant at the End of the Universe.

Patrick Michaels makes the point that publication bias is running around 10 x 10^46 power against unbiased publication regarding climate papers. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WpNzwzwm-xU 12- 14 minutes along in is enough. Publication bias is the slick well refined Infinite Improbability Drive encouraging more and more fanciful alarmism. http://multi-science.atypon.com/doi/abs/10.1260/095830508783900735

Zaphrod Beeblebrox ?

So Slartibardfast, "but wait there is more" to go along with our IPCC SEP ( Someone Else's Problem or AGW as it is now referred to as) field offering, would you like a free set of streak knives with that "Sink", or maybe a "Bambillo Pillow" and some "Stone Dine" kitchen wear with your 2 degrees of alarmist warming ? Just ask your local Mayor, or Climate action group for advice, as they, along with the Pope, are after all Climate experts and fortuitously they are looking to deal. Maybe 2 free sets not just 1 can be haggled, with free postage and a small down payment trial period, or should we say 2 degrees C, not 1 with a small carbon tax promise. Oh and don't forget the kitchen sink......there's only a short time left for this once in a planets' life time offer. Then its off to Milliways for a Pan Galactic Gargle Blaster, its effects are similar to "having your brains smashed in by a slice of lemon wrapped around a large gold brick". Roughly the same as enduring all the media nonsense around non existent AGW these days.

Judith Curry,http://curry.eas.gatech.edu/ Professor of Atmospheric Science and Climatological Research at Georgia Institute of Technology sees the problem simply as an infected patient, failed scientific process and political interference or "permanent paradigm paralysis" , that all need to be "put down" for the greater good.

• as temperatures have declined and climate models have failed to predict this decline, the IPCC has gained confidence in catastrophic warming and dismisses the pause as unpredictable climate variability
• substantial criticisms are already being made of the IPCC AR5 Reports as well as of the IPCC process itself; IPCC insiders are bemoaning their loss of their scientific and political influence; the mainstream media seems not to be paying much attention to the AR5 SPM; and even IPCC insiders are realizing the need for a radical change
• global CO2 emissions continue to increase at higher than expected rates and a growing realization of the infeasibility of meeting emissions targets
• failure of the UNFCCC Conference of Parties to accomplish much since 2009 beyond agreeing to establish future meetings
• Growing realization that you can’t control climate by emissions reductions
• European countries and Australia are backing away from their emission reductions policies as they realize their economic cost and political unpopularity
• increasing levels of shrillness on both sides of the political debate, with the ‘warm side’ steeped in moral panic and hyperbole
• after several decades and expenditures in the bazillions, the IPCC still has not provided a convincing argument for how much warming in the 20th century has been caused by humans.
• the politically charged rhetoric has contaminated academic climate research and the institutions that support climate research, so that individuals and institutions have become advocates; scientists with a perspective that is not consistent with the consensus are at best marginalized (difficult to obtain funding and get papers published by ‘gatekeeping’ journal editors) or at worst ostracized by labels of ‘denier’ or ‘heretic.’
• decision makers needing regionally specific climate change information are being provided by the climate community with either nothing or potentially misleading predictions from climate models.

The IPCC needs to get out of the way so that scientists and policy makers can better do their jobs.

Conclusion

The diagnosis of paradigm paralysis seems fatal in the case of the IPCC, given the widespread nature of the infection and intrinsic motivated reasoning. We need to put down the IPCC as soon as possible – not to protect the patient who seems to be thriving in its own little cocoon, but for the sake of the rest of us whom it is trying to infect with its disease. Fortunately much of the population seems to be immune, but some governments seem highly susceptible to the disease. However, the precautionary principle demands that we not take any risks here, and hence the IPCC should be put down.

http://judithcurry.com/2013/09/28/ipcc-diagnosis-permanent-paradigm-paralysis/

http://judithcurry.com/2014/06/05/what-is-skepticism-anyway/

Would you trust this Guy ?

With your money ?

With your daughter ?

With the Planet ?

http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/may/14/un-climate-chief-pachauri-faces-sexual-abuse-trial

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/05/14/ipcc-sexual-harassment-case-two-more-women-come-forward/

If he sort of looks familiar, then look again...that's Rajenda receiving a Noble Prize along with Al Gore in 2006

Former UN climate change chief to face trial for sexual harassment of employees

Two more women file claims against Rajendra Pachauri after 29-year-old colleague from Energy and Resources Institute speaks out.

A court in Delhi has ruled that Rajendra Pachauri, the former chairman of a Nobel prize-winning UN panel on climate change, will stand trial on charges of stalking and sexual harassment of a former employee.

A 29-year-old former employee of The Energy and Resources Institute (Teri), based in the Indian capital, filed a police report against Pachauri last year. She said Pachauri, who led the organisation, had made inappropriate advances soon after she joined in 2013.

Earlier this year police filed 1,400 pages of evidence, including text messages and emails from Pachauri, and testimony from 23 witnesses, many of them Teri employees. Judge Shivani Chauhan said the evidence was sufficient to proceed with the trial.

“There are allegations against the accused that he made sexually coloured remarks upon the complainant on several occasions,” she said. “He touched the complainant inappropriately, despite a clear expression of disapproval from her side. He also sent inappropriate SMS and WhatsApp messages to the complainant.”

…

Since the initial police report, two other women have made public statements against Pachauri, accusing him of sexual abuse in the workplace. Read more: http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/may/14/un-climate-chief-pachauri-faces-sexual-abuse-trial

So would you an average voter want to allow Taxes / Carbon Credits to be raised and sent to the IPCC under the auspicious of this chap ? Well that's what many countries have already been doing for quite some time.

The irony was this was the coldest day on record with -18 degrees in Tekapo, but completely lost on the Greens. The Vogon destructor fleet must not be far away...

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=11470832

temperatures on the same day...

http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/69687960/more-bonechilling-temperatures-for-central-south-island

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/07/31/a-warm-period-by-any-other-name-the-climatic-optimum/

The Climate Bullshit Bingo Game.....

http://www.whaleoil.co.nz/2016/07/climate-bs-bingo/#more-259089

Just time how long between BS statements in any alarmists speech. Guaranteed to keep you awake....

http://www.newsmax.com/MKTNews/global-warming-hoax-facts/2014/10/17/id/601458/