S6 Playoff Matchups

Awhile back, I found a calculator that the University of Minnesota developed in the computer program R that lets you plug in the following information and it generates the odds for each team to win the series at that point in time:

  • Number of games in the series
  • Home winning percentage of higher seed
  • Away winning percentage of higher seed
  • Current series score (I always enter 0 games to 0 even if I don't get around to running the numbers before the playoffs start)

Here's how the Season 6 playoff matchups break down...as the playoffs progress, I'll add in results too:

Play In Matchups

AL:

#6 Austin @ #3 Jacksonville: Jacksonville has 64.43% chance to win series. Austin won 3-2

#5 Charleston @ #4 Salem: Salem has 65.26% chance to win series. Salem won 3-1

NL:

#6 Durham @ #3 Syracuse: Syracuse has 54.41% chance to win series. Durham won 3-2

#5 Atlanta @ #4 Santa Cruz: Santa Cruz has 50.34% chance to win series. Atlanta won 3-0


League Division Series

AL:

#4 Salem @ #1 Huntington: Huntington has 71.63% chance to win series. Huntington won 3-1

#6 Austin @ #2 Detroit: Detroit has 73.44% chance to win series. Austin won 3-2

NL:

#5 Atlanta @ #1 San Juan: San Juan has 88.89% chance to win series. San Juan won 3-2

#6 Durham @ #2 St. Louis: St. Louis has 84.22% chance to win series. St. Louis won 3-1


League Championship Series

AL: #6 Austin @ #1 Huntington,

NL: #2 St. Louis @ #1 San Juan,